Bears ML +115, may rise - Atlanta is getting all the hype for adding Julio Jones, but in the meantime, did absolutely nothing to improve an absolutely terrible defense. There are concerns about the Bears O-line, but I don't think they manifest themselves vs the Falcons D. Falcons offense posted avg #'s last year, adding Julio Jones improves it, but not enough to outperform a solid Bears D, on the road, vs a good home team playing a season opener at home.
Rams +4. I'm too chicken to play the ML here, but I probably should. A year under Bradford's belt, and McDaniels running the O...everyone knows Eagles went big on D, not as many know the Rams did too, with less heralded, but still solid players. Rams are a solid defensive team at home, and Birds still have issues on O-Line. Eagles defensive weakness is LB, which is what the Rams scheme is designed to attack. Big surprise here today.
Texans -9. Texans losing AFoster is nowhere near as big a deal as Colts losing Manning. Texans running scheme is more about the scheme than the player, Colts run D is swiss cheese, and Tate and Ward will do just fine. There's a lot going on here. The Texans have lost plenty to the Colts over the years, and they a team on the rise. This is a divisional game, with plenty of history behind it - there is no way the Texans don't smell blood in the water, and press their advantage all day long. This is a perfect game to make a statement, and I'm pretty sure Kubiak has his team primed to bully the Colts and keep bombing away to run up the score if the opportunity presents itself. Houston D is sneaky good, and KCollins has a rookie protecting his blindside.
Lions/Bucs OVER 41.5 - Don't see how both teams don't go over 20 points.
Redskins ML +120. Giants are a mess, and this version of the Shanahan Redskins have a better Defense, a better running game, and with the distractions of McNabb and Haynesworth being removed, they are a motivated motherF'er, Shanahan has them amped up and focused, and believing in themselves. The 'skins QB's are game managers, and being able to run the ball extremely well vs the porous and hurting Giants D, they don't need to try and win the game themselves.
Redskins Team Total 19.5. Don't see how the 'skins aren't going to put up 20 points today.
Like the Jets tonight, and thinking Broncos Monday. Still working things out.
Good Luck, and Happy New Year!