FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (8 Viewers)

[lumpy19]

Sorry if this has already been posted but I got an automated call today informing me that NetSpend would no longer be approving transactions with online gambling sites.

This is bad...really bad if it's true.If anyone tries please post in here if you are successful or not. This is the only way to fund several sites that I have.ETA: looks like it's part of the UIGEA, June 1st deadline for banks to comply. Wonder if CC's will work anywhere after june 1st?

 

[John Bender]

2 units on Blue Jays -1.5 at +100

 

[modogg]

One of my busiest nights gambling in awhile. the UFC plays are in, and the smart money I believe is on the Flyers tonight. i put a little in the Stanley Cup thread, but there are a few reasons why. here is a little:

It has been a long 5 days sitting around waiting for this game. I do think the Flyers can take this one, then the Blackhawks come back and open the game up for game 2. I also think the experience of the Flyers and the cup experience Laviolette has is being under-rated. The Flyers have played tough for 8 of their last 9 games, while the Hawks were able to not sweat the Sharks series too much.

I also like the Suns tonight, mostly 1st half -1. and a little baseball too, with the Tigers and the Phils tonight. I think Halladay comes out pissed after his last showing, and the under is probably the best bet in that game. I'm not overly confident in the Phils bats right now

EDIT: i just saw the under for the game, 6.5. Yikes, i will still put a little on it, but not too confident there.

 

[John Bender]

Season: 24-23, -0.02 units

Week: 3-2, +4.98 Units

(Includes Blue Jays win posted earlier)

Baseball Saturday:

1 Unit:

Pirates +195

Giants -155

 

[modogg]

Philly Cup Hedges (ala Malkin +1000 last year):Leighton +1200 (Greek)Richards +1000 (SB)

A little bit of a "Johnny come later" (or whatever the hell that saying is), but i would have suggested maybe taking a shot at Briere for this as well. He was quiet in the Canadiens series, but i could see him having a good series

 

[Raider Nation]

Doc perfect thru 8!

 

[modogg]

Doc perfect thru 8!

I was going to ask if you bet on him before i did. Of course i also played the phils at -1.5 which was dumb now that i think about it (knowing how horrible the Phils bats have been). You had to think he was going to come out like a man on a mission tonight.

 

[TheGooRoo]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

 

[John Bender]

Not a lot of value on tomorrow nights UFC card, but I will be hammering Rashad Evans +105

He can out-wrestle Rampage pretty easily and I expect a lot of ring rust on Rampage's side of things. Evans is a superior athlete and a harder worker. Evans by decision.

Now off to the Celts game

the guy can outwrestle anyone in the LH division.

 

[eoMMan]

Cliff Lee is out of the line-up for Houston. I still like them although Bush, who's been pretty bad has some past success against Houston.

Cliff Lee really hasn't been hitting well anyway.

I'm late to this thread, but what happened to you quitting sports gambling?

 

[modogg]

Not a lot of value on tomorrow nights UFC card, but I will be hammering Rashad Evans +105

He can out-wrestle Rampage pretty easily and I expect a lot of ring rust on Rampage's side of things. Evans is a superior athlete and a harder worker. Evans by decision.

Now off to the Celts game

the guy can outwrestle anyone in the LH division.

He helped me out as well, but his 3rd rounds are not making it easy to have a ton of confidence in him. Luckily some of the live dogs i had hit to help cancel out the Diego Sanchez debacle, which I did not see coming for anything. Killed a nice parlay I had going.

 

[modogg]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

 

[Lupe]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Philly Cup Hedges (ala Malkin +1000 last year):Leighton +1200 (Greek)Richards +1000 (SB)

A little bit of a "Johnny come later" (or whatever the hell that saying is), but i would have suggested maybe taking a shot at Briere for this as well. He was quiet in the Canadiens series, but i could see him having a good series

Now is your chance Mr. JCL, +1500

 

[John Bender]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

Kobe was +120 last night. Moving quickly I guess. I hammers it for 4 units at the +120. The only thing about the Pierce bet would be the fact that Artest will be covering him I believe. He can lock Pierce down. I think that's why you're seeing those short odds on Rondo and like Ray too

 

[TheGooRoo]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

I put Kobe out to the crew at +130 yesterday. I also prefer Pierce +800 to Rondo -110 and now Pierce +500 to Rondo +100 (Greek has +550 and +250 on those guys) fwiw.

 

[Raider Nation]

Cliff Lee is out of the line-up for Houston. I still like them although Bush, who's been pretty bad has some past success against Houston.

Cliff Lee really hasn't been hitting well anyway.

I'm late to this thread, but what happened to you quitting sports gambling?

Writing a book?

 

[eoMMan]

Cliff Lee is out of the line-up for Houston. I still like them although Bush, who's been pretty bad has some past success against Houston.

Cliff Lee really hasn't been hitting well anyway.

I'm late to this thread, but what happened to you quitting sports gambling?

Writing a book?

No, but you might have a gambling problem and might need some help. From your post awhile back that said you were quitting, you said that you were a losing gambler and it was affecting your life. Just seeing what made you get back into it.

 

[modogg]

Philly Cup Hedges (ala Malkin +1000 last year):Leighton +1200 (Greek)Richards +1000 (SB)

A little bit of a "Johnny come later" (or whatever the hell that saying is), but i would have suggested maybe taking a shot at Briere for this as well. He was quiet in the Canadiens series, but i could see him having a good series

Now is your chance Mr. JCL, +1500

I think i am done putting any money on the Flyers besides a game or 2. Crazy game last night, and I have no idea how game 2 will look. I am hoping that the 3rd period was not an indication of what we might get, but the Flyers certainly missed an opportunity last night. I'm okay with the Flyers winning the series 4-1 though

 

[Lupe]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

I put Kobe out to the crew at +130 yesterday. I also prefer Pierce +800 to Rondo -110 and now Pierce +500 to Rondo +100 (Greek has +550 and +250 on those guys) fwiw.

I don't know why anyone would play Rondo at -110 when you can play the Celtics at plus odds. Same with Kobe, much better price on Lakers. Has there ever been a NBA Finals MVP on a team that didn't win the championship? I am assuming not.

 

[TheGooRoo]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

I put Kobe out to the crew at +130 yesterday. I also prefer Pierce +800 to Rondo -110 and now Pierce +500 to Rondo +100 (Greek has +550 and +250 on those guys) fwiw.

I don't know why anyone would play Rondo at -110 when you can play the Celtics at plus odds. Same with Kobe, much better price on Lakers. Has there ever been a NBA Finals MVP on a team that didn't win the championship? I am assuming not.

Happened in the very 1st year they awarded MVP in 68/69 but hasn't happened since. Completely agree with your logic. This was my email to the group yesterday: Taking a position with Kobe to win NBA playoff MVP +130. I like the Lakers to win it all, and if that happens, I see no way that Kobe and his 30 ppg isn't the MVP. It's a cheaper way of betting the Lakers to win the championship than paying the -150 for them as a team.

 

[MarshallPlan]

LAL -120 to win Championship at SB....come onnnnnn.

Good call bud . When i got over there it was -140, but i wish i would have it it harder at that time. I just looked and it is -180 for the Lakers.

Kobe is -110 to win MVP Finals MVP. I played that and Pierce at +800ETA: I just checked and he is now -250, and Rondo is EVEN .... what a joke, why even post lines on MVP? Pierce is now +500. They must have changed the lines in the last 1/2 hour.

I put Kobe out to the crew at +130 yesterday. I also prefer Pierce +800 to Rondo -110 and now Pierce +500 to Rondo +100 (Greek has +550 and +250 on those guys) fwiw.

I don't know why anyone would play Rondo at -110 when you can play the Celtics at plus odds. Same with Kobe, much better price on Lakers. Has there ever been a NBA Finals MVP on a team that didn't win the championship? I am assuming not.

Well, Kobe +130 is better then the current price of betting the Lakers. But yes I agree with Rondo.

 

[lumpy19]

Got the call from netspend today, no more gambling transactions. While I wait and see what pops up next I'll be very hesitant to withdraw anything from any books that do interbook transfers. I figure as long as I can keep either greek or 5dimes funded I can move money around from there.

 

[D-BO]

Memorial Day Parlay

Detoit -175

Philly 135

LAA -105

 

[cosjobs]

WagerTypeARLAY (5 TEAMS)

Date: Team:

May 31 MLB [914] LOS -1½+110 [R LOPEZ -R/BILLNGSLEY-R]

May 31 MLB [916] SDG -125 [Action]

May 31 MLB [923] TOTAL o9EV (TAM vrs TOR) [M GARZA -R/B MORROW -R]

May 31 MLB [926] SEA +102 [Action]

May 31 MLB [926] TOTAL u7+105 (MIN vrs SEA) [F LIRIANO -L/D FISTER -R]

Risking 17 USD To Win 515 USD

 

[lumpy19]

This ones for you Mo

Phi +129

 

[John Bender]

Baseball Tuesday:

2 Units: Cubs -147

 

[modogg]

This ones for you MoPhi +129

well, i'm glad today is one of my gambling days, and I think i will join you in the resurgence of the Phils. I saw yesterday they were -200 to win the East, and i was tempted a little if i had some wiggle room with the account right nowOn a side note, i would love to have a conversation with whoever sets some of the lines for them. The Flyers have not panned out as well as i had hoped. So i checked the Conn Smythe odds to run in and try to get Niemi for what i could. the lines as of now are this: Antti Niemi (Blackhawks) +700 Chris Pronger (Flyers) +1200 Danny Briere (Flyers) +1500 Jonathan Toews (Blackhawks) -300 Marian Hossa (Blackhawks) +500 Michael Leighton (Flyers) +1200 Mike Richards (Flyers) +800 Patrick Kane (Blackhawks) +800 Patrick Sharp (Blackhawks) +1000 Simon Gagne (Flyers) +1500 z Field (Any Other Player) +250 Am I missing something here? Is it possible that the field couls win the Conn Smythe? I don't think Duncan Keith or Buff has sone anything to justify it in the series so far. I have no idea why anyone would take Toews at this point, and Hossa at better odds than Niemi seems like insanity to me. So is there any reason i shouldn't be putting money on Niemi at this point? I am thinking of putting more than my $30 or $40 bets have been, and this one seems somewhat obvious since i have no idea who else they could give it to.EDIT: Well i just hit my max with this bet, so I would love to hear some thoughts to see if i jsut made a good decision, or a real dopey one

 

[kjberry]

Dear kjberry,Our records show that you may have used your for internet gambling transactions in the past.Beginning May 31, 2010, MasterCard and Visa will begin complying with the Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act by blocking all online gambling transactions attempted by U.S. cardholders. This means you will not be able to use your NetSpend card or account for internet based gambling transactions. Internet gambling transactions will be automatically declined to comply with these federal regulations. NetSpend has no control over this change.Don’t forget there are many great ways to use your NetSpend card. You can pay bills online or over the phone, shop online and make everyday purchases anywhere Visa debit cards or wherever Debit MasterCard is accepted. At NetSpend, we make sure that you are informed and in control of your money.Thank you,Your NetSpend Team

 

[TheGooRoo]

This ones for you MoPhi +129

well, i'm glad today is one of my gambling days, and I think i will join you in the resurgence of the Phils. I saw yesterday they were -200 to win the East, and i was tempted a little if i had some wiggle room with the account right nowOn a side note, i would love to have a conversation with whoever sets some of the lines for them. The Flyers have not panned out as well as i had hoped. So i checked the Conn Smythe odds to run in and try to get Niemi for what i could. the lines as of now are this: Antti Niemi (Blackhawks) +700 Chris Pronger (Flyers) +1200 Danny Briere (Flyers) +1500 Jonathan Toews (Blackhawks) -300 Marian Hossa (Blackhawks) +500 Michael Leighton (Flyers) +1200 Mike Richards (Flyers) +800 Patrick Kane (Blackhawks) +800 Patrick Sharp (Blackhawks) +1000 Simon Gagne (Flyers) +1500 z Field (Any Other Player) +250 Am I missing something here? Is it possible that the field couls win the Conn Smythe? I don't think Duncan Keith or Buff has sone anything to justify it in the series so far. I have no idea why anyone would take Toews at this point, and Hossa at better odds than Niemi seems like insanity to me. So is there any reason i shouldn't be putting money on Niemi at this point? I am thinking of putting more than my $30 or $40 bets have been, and this one seems somewhat obvious since i have no idea who else they could give it to.EDIT: Well i just hit my max with this bet, so I would love to hear some thoughts to see if i jsut made a good decision, or a real dopey one

The thing that most people don't realize (because it is unlike most other sports) is that the Conn Smythe Award is given to a player based on his body of work over the entire playoffs, not just a game or series. At this point I would consider +700 to be a nice value play with Niemi. Toews is still 6 points ahead of the next Blackhawk in scoring. If he continues to be silent, I would vote for Niemi. If he puts in a point per game over the next 2-4 games, I believe Toews wins. 2 of Niemi's major KPI's are GAA and Save %, both are solid, but not spectacular. The award is decided by journalists....writers for USA today, Yahoo Sports, Denver Post, etc...imo journalists tend to be "what have you done for me lately". If Toews scores 0-1 points in the Stanley Cup finals series, I have a hard time believing that he would get a majority of the 400ish votes. Right or wrong, I would favor Niemi in that scenario, unless he (or the Hawks) falters again and we have another 10-9 game or whatever game 1 ended up at. To your other point, I don't believe that the field has any value at this point.

 

[modogg]

The thing that most people don't realize (because it is unlike most other sports) is that the Conn Smythe Award is given to a player based on his body of work over the entire playoffs, not just a game or series. At this point I would consider +700 to be a nice value play with Niemi. Toews is still 6 points ahead of the next Blackhawk in scoring. If he continues to be silent, I would vote for Niemi. If he puts in a point per game over the next 2-4 games, I believe Toews wins. 2 of Niemi's major KPI's are GAA and Save %, both are solid, but not spectacular. The award is decided by journalists....writers for USA today, Yahoo Sports, Denver Post, etc...imo journalists tend to be "what have you done for me lately". If Toews scores 0-1 points in the Stanley Cup finals series, I have a hard time believing that he would get a majority of the 400ish votes. Right or wrong, I would favor Niemi in that scenario, unless he (or the Hawks) falters again and we have another 10-9 game or whatever game 1 ended up at. To your other point, I don't believe that the field has any value at this point.

thanks bud, much appreciated. I didn't play Toews at sportsbook, but i played him at ther greek for what i could. I didn't play Niemi at the time, but it seemed the situation warranted it. And thanks for the clarification with the Conn Smythe. I did not know that about the whole playoffs, but i assumed it had to be a factor when they had Toews at -600 to start the Cup. I have faith that the Flyers will continue to shut down the Toews line for the series, and whoever is on the ice vs. the flyers 3rd defensive line (Ryan Parent is very, very bad) has a chance to score. I feel better with having some angles covered now. If the Blackhawks get lucky enough to squeek by the Flyers in the run for the cup, please let it be Game 6 with Niemi getting the Conn Smythe

 

[lumpy19]

This ones for you MoPhi +129

thats what i get for betting a philly sports team crushed the market though, philly closed at roughly +110Tam/Tor u8(-120), this one is going to be at 7.5 by the end of the day

 

[zander_s]

This ones for you Mo

Phi +129

thats what i get for betting a philly sports team crushed the market though, philly closed at roughly +110

Tam/Tor u8(-120), this one is going to be at 7.5 by the end of the day

Is it any good @ 7.5?

 

[zander_s]

WagerTypeARLAY (5 TEAMS)Date: Team:May 31 MLB [914] LOS -1½+110 [R LOPEZ -R/BILLNGSLEY-R]May 31 MLB [916] SDG -125 [Action]May 31 MLB [923] TOTAL o9EV (TAM vrs TOR) [M GARZA -R/B MORROW -R]May 31 MLB [926] SEA +102 [Action]May 31 MLB [926] TOTAL u7+105 (MIN vrs SEA) [F LIRIANO -L/D FISTER -R]Risking 17 USD To Win 515 USD

I mixed these around last night.Played Sea & u8 LAD/SDG/SEA

 

[lumpy19]

This ones for you Mo

Phi +129

thats what i get for betting a philly sports team crushed the market though, philly closed at roughly +110

Tam/Tor u8(-120), this one is going to be at 7.5 by the end of the day

Is it any good @ 7.5?

I'd probably still play it at 7.5 +100 or better

 

[zander_s]

Late to post but im on a parlay

NYY/BOS/LAA

50 = 160

 

[cosjobs]

3 teamer with

mil/fla < 8.5 -125

atl +115

tex -120

4u

 

[cosjobs]

PARLAY (3 TEAMS)Date:Team:Jun 03MLB [953] MIL +210 [Action] Jun 03MLB [968] SEA -1½+160 [C PAVANO -R/F HERNANDZ-R] Jun 03NBA [701] BOSTON +200

3 teamer longshot

mil +210

Sea -1.5 +160

celtics +200

1u to win 23u

 

[optionmaven]

I liked the lakers and the over 191.5. The obvious thing to do was opposite george it. Celts +6 and under for a quarter parlay.

 

[lumpy19]

NBA finals

I've got 2 futures on the Lakers to win, one at +210 and another at +245(gonna need it to makeup for what I lost on Cle and Orl)

Kobe to win MVP -110

Pierce u19p(-125) for the series

That's really it, I'm really excited about this finals, some serious talent on the floor for each team.

 

[zander_s]

NBA finals

I've got 2 futures on the Lakers to win, one at +210 and another at +245(gonna need it to makeup for what I lost on Cle and Orl)

Kobe to win MVP -110

Pierce u19p(-125) for the series

That's really it, I'm really excited about this finals, some serious talent on the floor for each team.

What? is that average per game??ETA - Nevermind, i see it now

 

[lumpy19]

Adding

Gasol o28.5pr(-125)

rondo u26.5pa(-130)

kobe -10.5p over pierce -120

all at bookmaker

 

[D-BO]

I didn't get a chance to post yesterday...

I HATE the Nationals.

Had a decent 3 team parlay yesterday with the Angels, A's, and Nats....Damn it!

Today is a new day. Looking for another 3-teamer.

 

[lumpy19]

sportsbook.com

Ivory coast not to advance past qualification round -105

Don't know much about soccer but their best player broke his arm against Japan today and Greek and Pinnacle took the Ivory Coast lines down and bookmaker is at -140. Seems like a smart play.

 

[TheGooRoo]

sportsbook.comIvory coast not to advance past qualification round -105Don't know much about soccer but their best player broke his arm against Japan today and Greek and Pinnacle took the Ivory Coast lines down and bookmaker is at -140. Seems like a smart play.

Alot of confusion over this injury. Initial reports were he was out for the Cup, then I read he will likely miss the opener but play the remaining 2 games, now i've read that he may be fit to play in the opener. I don't follow soccer AT ALL, but what I gather is the top 2 teams in the group advance, and I see that Brazil and Portugal are ranked higher than Ivory Coast, Ivory plays Portugal in the opener that this star may or may not play in. I heard a guy on ESPN say Ivory may be the most talented team in the group even without the star player (wtf?)...thats a hell of a lot of confusion. But if a bad line is going to be posted, leave it to sportsbook to do the honors.

 

[lumpy19]

sportsbook.comIvory coast not to advance past qualification round -105Don't know much about soccer but their best player broke his arm against Japan today and Greek and Pinnacle took the Ivory Coast lines down and bookmaker is at -140. Seems like a smart play.

Alot of confusion over this injury. Initial reports were he was out for the Cup, then I read he will likely miss the opener but play the remaining 2 games, now i've read that he may be fit to play in the opener. I don't follow soccer AT ALL, but what I gather is the top 2 teams in the group advance, and I see that Brazil and Portugal are ranked higher than Ivory Coast, Ivory plays Portugal in the opener that this star may or may not play in. I heard a guy on ESPN say Ivory may be the most talented team in the group even without the star player (wtf?)...thats a hell of a lot of confusion. But if a bad line is going to be posted, leave it to sportsbook to do the honors.

Similar to what I've read. The article on ESPN has the player stating he's out for the cup. Some other chatter I've read states that soccer players can play with broken arms. I really have no idea, Greek was at +100 when they pulled this and pinnacle was at a plus number also. I guess we'll see what they put the line back up at to determine whether or not it's a good bet. At least it gives me something to root for in the world cup

 

[cheese]

sportsbook.comIvory coast not to advance past qualification round -105Don't know much about soccer but their best player broke his arm against Japan today and Greek and Pinnacle took the Ivory Coast lines down and bookmaker is at -140. Seems like a smart play.

Alot of confusion over this injury. Initial reports were he was out for the Cup, then I read he will likely miss the opener but play the remaining 2 games, now i've read that he may be fit to play in the opener. I don't follow soccer AT ALL, but what I gather is the top 2 teams in the group advance, and I see that Brazil and Portugal are ranked higher than Ivory Coast, Ivory plays Portugal in the opener that this star may or may not play in. I heard a guy on ESPN say Ivory may be the most talented team in the group even without the star player (wtf?)...thats a hell of a lot of confusion. But if a bad line is going to be posted, leave it to sportsbook to do the honors.

yea, you're basically betting on that 1st game since there is literally 0 chance that North Korea advances or Brazil doesn't advance. Ivory Coast has a lot of good players even without Drogba, but so does Portugal so it will be very tough for them in the opener. I think IC would be hoping for a draw without Drogba. Even if they get it, they're going to have to come out smoking against North Korea potentially without their best scorer in order to get through on goal differential..... or possibly tie Brazil as well. Otherwise, I suspect they will finish with 4 points and still be eliminated.Long story short, I like the bet against them.Plenty of soccer knowledge on this board so hopefully someone else can chime in with opinions as well. I would love to get some WC betting discussion going.

 

[MarshallPlan]

Like others said, the first game is the most important against Portugal. Brazil will advance and Korea certainly will not. Drogba is clearly their best player and losing him would be a significant blow to their chances as their 12th player is not as strong as say Brazil's 12th player off their bench. Remains to be seen if he will give it a go. He is 32 yrs old so this is probably his last chance at the world cup.

 

[zander_s]

NYY/BOS/TB

.25 unit parlay

 

[D-BO]

Where's RN been?