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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

No reason not to hammer Djokovic -285I'll hold my nose on the juice
On second thought - I'll just go ahead and max out Djoker -130 to win the Aussie Open
Wow, you're that sure, huh? I didn't bet his match with Ferrer but I remember watching, thinking, god would I have been ####ting if I had money on Joker. He looked like he might retire at one point; if not lose. I know Ferrer is a nightmare to play but still. Maybe it was his typical, breathing-type "can I do this?" thing, but he was seriously laboring and moping around. Lotta rope-a-dopes this week in tennis, btw. Anyway, I could see Joker not being 100% yet, so I can't comfortably lay the juice with him.Sure, he's a lock if he's back where he was last year, but I don't know that. Granted, I haven't watched him enough to really know. I actually have a juicy parlay alive (from Nadal) to Murray, so my bed is made, regardless. Thank god Nadal came through, btw, that saved me. I watched that thing 'til the sun came up. I remember going to the ink late (early) because I felt like beers weren't working anymore. :lmao: When I woke up, I realized I was wrong.
 
Magic led the Celtics by 27. Now they are about to lose the game.

You'll never convince me that more than five people in the world make steady money wagering on this garbage sport.

 
No reason not to hammer Djokovic -285I'll hold my nose on the juice
On second thought - I'll just go ahead and max out Djoker -130 to win the Aussie Open
Wow, you're that sure, huh? I didn't bet his match with Ferrer but I remember watching, thinking, god would I have been ####ting if I had money on Joker. He looked like he might retire at one point; if not lose. I know Ferrer is a nightmare to play but still. Maybe it was his typical, breathing-type "can I do this?" thing, but he was seriously laboring and moping around. Lotta rope-a-dopes this week in tennis, btw. Anyway, I could see Joker not being 100% yet, so I can't comfortably lay the juice with him.Sure, he's a lock if he's back where he was last year, but I don't know that. Granted, I haven't watched him enough to really know. I actually have a juicy parlay alive (from Nadal) to Murray, so my bed is made, regardless. Thank god Nadal came through, btw, that saved me. I watched that thing 'til the sun came up. I remember going to the ink late (early) because I felt like beers weren't working anymore. :lmao: When I woke up, I realized I was wrong.
Well they are both at the end of a pretty strenuous run overall and both are taking time off here after the Aussie. I think they throw it all out on the table but I do Nadal is not just tired, he still looked different to me in the Fed match - not as dominate or crisp.Definitely could be wrong and I hope I am - I would love Rafa to win
 
Magic led the Celtics by 27. Now they are about to lose the game.You'll never convince me that more than five people in the world make steady money wagering on this garbage sport.
Gotta admit, I looked at that score and kicked myself for not playing it. Not now. Unbelievable.I have yet to make a play today, thinking Clippers...
 
Keep an eye on the Gonzaga game on ESPN2, folks.

Zags are favored by 15 at Portland, and they are losing right now halfway thru the first. Could be a GOLDEN 2H opportunity.

Gonzaga is clearly the better team... their shots just aren't dropping.

 
My book has a SB prop

Will there be a missed extra point after a TD?

Yes -115

No -115

Does this include 2 pt conversions? Even if it does, I am not sure this is right.

 
My book has a SB prop

Will there be a missed extra point after a TD?

Yes -115

No -115

Does this include 2 pt conversions? Even if it does, I am not sure this is right.
If it says "point" and not "conversion" I think this is a no-brainer for no -115.
 
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NE convert a 4th down (pentalty does not count) +120

NYG convert a 4th down (penalty does not count) +160

One of these has to come true, no? With both being + I went on for a couple units on both. If one can convert, I win :thumbup:

 
Terrible day yesterday, but it seems like there were a lot of people wrong.

Either way, haven't had much feel lately so I'm backing off a little on the

unit side. 3 1/2 unit plays tonight:

Loyola, MD -2 1/2-WIN

Marist +8 1/2-LOSS

Manhatten -10-WIN

2012 Posted Picks

CBB-54-45-1 (54.5%)

NFL-4-0

NBA-5-5-1

CFB-1-0

NHL-8-3

 
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I like the Spurs tonight.

edit: and Loyola MD too, but I'm going to wait until tonight and see if it gets back down to (-2)

$$$$

 
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Eli to win MVP +300
dig it. Good price
This game is a virtual coinflip. Brady small dog for mvp. Eli up over +200 to win it - makes no sense. And the guy has been nails in the postseason, much more then Brady (well he had a so-so last game). If I liked the Giants, I would bet as much on this as I could. Way better then betting the game, imo.
Interesting.
I should note, I don't think so, but the market thinks so. I make this line 4.5.
 
Eli to win MVP +300
dig it. Good price
This game is a virtual coinflip. Brady small dog for mvp. Eli up over +200 to win it - makes no sense. And the guy has been nails in the postseason, much more then Brady (well he had a so-so last game). If I liked the Giants, I would bet as much on this as I could. Way better then betting the game, imo.
Interesting.
I should note, I don't think so, but the market thinks so. I make this line 4.5.
ah, gotcha. I remember the whole "making the line 4'" earlier in the week. That's why I was wondering if you had a change of heart.
 
Eli to win MVP +300
dig it. Good price
This game is a virtual coinflip. Brady small dog for mvp. Eli up over +200 to win it - makes no sense. And the guy has been nails in the postseason, much more then Brady (well he had a so-so last game). If I liked the Giants, I would bet as much on this as I could. Way better then betting the game, imo.
I think any of Eli's WR could take it. Plus if Brady gets sacked a bunch you could see a NY DE. This is not nearly as much value as QB MVP in past. NY has lots of house names that would be solid MVP candidates.
 
Eli to win MVP +300
dig it. Good price
This game is a virtual coinflip. Brady small dog for mvp. Eli up over +200 to win it - makes no sense. And the guy has been nails in the postseason, much more then Brady (well he had a so-so last game). If I liked the Giants, I would bet as much on this as I could. Way better then betting the game, imo.
I think any of Eli's WR could take it. Plus if Brady gets sacked a bunch you could see a NY DE. This is not nearly as much value as QB MVP in past. NY has lots of house names that would be solid MVP candidates.
Only WR I could see taking it is Cruz (maybe Nicks). This game is only supposed to have 4.5 sacks, so unlikely we get a defensive player (unless they score). Who knows you may be right, +300 seems to me a GREAT bet though.I mean in a matter of 4 weeks people are starting to compare Eli to Peyton/Brady. That's nuts - maybe he is as good as those guys but we weren't saying those things when they lost at home to Wash 2 months ago. I had MVP not a qb last year at +250 and +300 in 2009 (Pitt/AZ Super Bowl). Will be an interesting line to see it this year, I'd suppose we get something like +250 not qb, maybe +300. I won't be betting no qb mvp this year though.
 
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Super Bowl MVPs:

QBs: Rodgers, Brees, E.Manning, P.Manning, Brady, Brady, Warner, Elway, Young, Aikman, Rypien, Montana, D.Williams, Simms, Montana, Montana, Plunkett, Bradshaw, Bradshaw, Staubach, Dawson, Namath, Starr, Starr

RBs: T.Davis, E.Smith, O.Anderson, M.Allen, Riggins, F.Harris, Csonka

WRs: Holmes, Ward, Branch, Rice, Biletnikoff, Swann

Other: D.Jackson, R.Lewis, D.Howard, L.Brown, R.Dent, R.White/H.Martin, J.Scott, Howley

24 QBs, 7 RBs, 6 WRs, 8 on defense or special teams

 
Super Bowl MVPs:QBs: Rodgers, Brees, E.Manning, P.Manning, Brady, Brady, Warner, Elway, Young, Aikman, Rypien, Montana, D.Williams, Simms, Montana, Montana, Plunkett, Bradshaw, Bradshaw, Staubach, Dawson, Namath, Starr, StarrRBs: T.Davis, E.Smith, O.Anderson, M.Allen, Riggins, F.Harris, CsonkaWRs: Holmes, Ward, Branch, Rice, Biletnikoff, SwannOther: D.Jackson, R.Lewis, D.Howard, L.Brown, R.Dent, R.White/H.Martin, J.Scott, Howley24 QBs, 7 RBs, 6 WRs, 8 on defense or special teams
I think we can all but eliminate the RBs from this game though. Look at those RBs, all were going to get the ball 20+ times in the game. Bradshaw 13.5 carries, BJGE 12.5. RBBC in this day and age. Sure if they break two big runs they may get the MVP but very tough for RBs this year to win it. Last RB to win it was TD a long time ago. Willie Parker broke a 75 yd td run and still didn't win it a few years ago. No defensive player since Jackson who had 2 INTs (maybe 3?) and Ray Lewis in a game lined at 34 which was a slugfest as Balt had no offense. Everyone else from long, long ago. Interesting discussion though.
 
To me it's fairly simple. If I like the Pats I can bet them:

-130 to win OR

Brady +100

If I bet NYG I can bet:

+120 to win OR

Eli +285

Doesn't make any sense. Seems to me from looking at those lines that Eli is a stiff and his team wins in spite of him - where it's the opposite. I would say Brady's line is too low and he needs to be somewhere like +130, but even still Eli is way too high.

 
Anyone like the Pacers tonight @ C's.

I mean c's can't keep this #### up can they without Rondo and Allen?

Might have been more a factor of the Magic not giving a damn as opposed to the C's actually turning the corner.

thinking of riding them hard

 
I've now got 3 units on the GMen at +13 as the last leg of a bunch of NBA teasers.

4 units on GMen moneyline +125

I guess I'm all in on the Giants. I hate the Giants

 
Anyone like the Pacers tonight @ C's.I mean c's can't keep this #### up can they without Rondo and Allen?Might have been more a factor of the Magic not giving a damn as opposed to the C's actually turning the corner.thinking of riding them hard
Yes. Pacers. Spurs. Oklahoma City.
 

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