FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

[modogg]

FYI ties lose at kurts book, I'd recommend never teasing there, its an awful rule, awful

oof. Did not know this.

I looked when i entered them in, and didn't see anything that explained what would occur with a tie. I believe betevo, and many other sites give you the option to get better odds with ties losing, and slightly worse odds if the teasers tie. Hopefully they can adjust the system to score them this way, seems like a very logical solutionETA: And i thought the Giants were the best pick of the night and wanted to put money on them straight-up and completely forgot . I subscribe to the idea that if a team's starters are not that good, their bench is probably worse. of course not applicable in all situations, but with Jax i think that is the case.

 

[modogg]

Anybody watching these pre-season games tonight? How bad is Arizona? I thought the Giants-Jax game would be the biggest beating up of an inferior team, but Arizona looks like they may end up being pretty bad this year

And mother F'n Jets. Blocked punt returned for a TD :( The Jets were one of the teams that i know i included in quite a few of the teasers i put in, thinking Tebow would do a good job of lighting up another team's #2 defense. Hope it still happens

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Anybody watching these pre-season games tonight? How bad is Arizona? I thought the Giants-Jax game would be the biggest beating up of an inferior team, but Arizona looks like they may end up being pretty bad this yearAnd mother F'n Jets. Blocked punt returned for a TD :( The Jets were one of the teams that i know i included in quite a few of the teasers i put in, thinking Tebow would do a good job of lighting up another team's #2 defense. Hope it still happens

ya, feeling the pain on both, teaser-wise.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

wow, Toronto's centerfielder just took a pop fly to the head. Must have lost it in the lights. Looked like a complete ###.

Sportscenter will have a field day with it.

 

[Raider Nation]

Wong needs a beating.

 

[hooter311]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Nailed it...again.

 

[optionmaven]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Nailed it...again.

Thanks, that was the easy one, and worthy of a strong play. Won the Dyson over Overton. I was watching the scoreboard yesterday, and they were tied at 8 over with Simon through 16 and Overton 15. It was a rollercoaster final 3 holes and fun to be glued to the scoreboard. Micheelish threw a blowup number out there and Beem was a pretty steady ship yesterday. p^^^K! Note to self, don't bet on crappy golfers showing bad form, regardless of matchup. Stricker and Bubba will be a battle until the end.

 

[hooter311]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Nailed it...again.

Thanks, that was the easy one, and worthy of a strong play. Won the Dyson over Overton. I was watching the scoreboard yesterday, and they were tied at 8 over with Simon through 16 and Overton 15. It was a rollercoaster final 3 holes and fun to be glued to the scoreboard. Micheelish threw a blowup number out there and Beem was a pretty steady ship yesterday. p^^^K! Note to self, don't bet on crappy golfers showing bad form, regardless of matchup. Stricker and Bubba will be a battle until the end.

Any opinion on G Mac over Phil for a 3rd round play today? Considering a strong play on it.

 

[optionmaven]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Nailed it...again.

Thanks, that was the easy one, and worthy of a strong play. Won the Dyson over Overton. I was watching the scoreboard yesterday, and they were tied at 8 over with Simon through 16 and Overton 15. It was a rollercoaster final 3 holes and fun to be glued to the scoreboard. Micheelish threw a blowup number out there and Beem was a pretty steady ship yesterday. p^^^K! Note to self, don't bet on crappy golfers showing bad form, regardless of matchup. Stricker and Bubba will be a battle until the end.

Any opinion on G Mac over Phil for a 3rd round play today? Considering a strong play on it.

I have a "i wanted some action parlay" with phil over graemy and ryo over woodland.

 

[hooter311]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Nailed it...again.

Thanks, that was the easy one, and worthy of a strong play. Won the Dyson over Overton. I was watching the scoreboard yesterday, and they were tied at 8 over with Simon through 16 and Overton 15. It was a rollercoaster final 3 holes and fun to be glued to the scoreboard. Micheelish threw a blowup number out there and Beem was a pretty steady ship yesterday. p^^^K! Note to self, don't bet on crappy golfers showing bad form, regardless of matchup. Stricker and Bubba will be a battle until the end.

Any opinion on G Mac over Phil for a 3rd round play today? Considering a strong play on it.

I have a "i wanted some action parlay" with phil over graemy and ryo over woodland.

all I needed to know. Thanks!

 

[MarshallPlan]

Anyone else cut down to $50 max props on Kurt's book today? I have no idea why my account may have been cut as I've lost easy 4k+ the past week betting props.

 

[bmj87]

Anyone else cut down to $50 max props on Kurt's book today? I have no idea why my account may have been cut as I've lost easy 4k+ the past week betting props.

Also got cut. Tried to get an explanation, but heard the all-too-familiar "management discretion."

 

[lumpy19]

Anyone else cut down to $50 max props on Kurt's book today? I have no idea why my account may have been cut as I've lost easy 4k+ the past week betting props.

Also got cut. Tried to get an explanation, but heard the all-too-familiar "management discretion."

Are you guys only betting props?

 

[bmj87]

Anyone else cut down to $50 max props on Kurt's book today? I have no idea why my account may have been cut as I've lost easy 4k+ the past week betting props.

Also got cut. Tried to get an explanation, but heard the all-too-familiar "management discretion."

Are you guys only betting props?

I would say more than 50% props, but I've been giving a lot of Olympic action, too.

 

[TheWick]

Anyone else cut down to $50 max props on Kurt's book today? I have no idea why my account may have been cut as I've lost easy 4k+ the past week betting props.

What kind of props are you betting?Maybe they felt bad for you guys

 

[lumpy19]

13 teaser qualifiers(14 if you want to use the sas/edm CFL game)286 bet combinations, time to get to work

I put mine in early (last night - I only put in 10 + 1). What a huge PITA. I somehow missed some too.

I've gotbufbaldentbnyjclenygazminhouteninddaland it looks like GB is going to get there

With all of these combinations, what % of your BR is on each play?

Complicated question. There's some guys on 2+2 that know what the right % is. I had very small bets for each leg this week. My normal teaser bet is ~0.15% of my bankroll

 

[Good Posting Judge]

What's the Wong ROI been on a year-to-year basis?

And I assume that books are wise to this by now, how do they guard against these, if at all? Would doing so leave them open to straight bets the other way?

 

[lumpy19]

What's the Wong ROI been on a year-to-year basis?

And I assume that books are wise to this by now, how do they guard against these, if at all? Would doing so leave them open to straight bets the other way?

My linkthis should get you started

 

[Raider Nation]

I think the Seahawks lay a beatdown on the Titans tonight.

 

[hooter311]

UFC tonight:

Justin Lawrence +155

This line movement is insane and it's going against Lawrence. I just don't see the advantages Hollway has in this fight beyond length, and he doesn't have much to offer on the ground at all.

Personally, I think the line should be flipped.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

What's the Wong ROI been on a year-to-year basis?

And I assume that books are wise to this by now, how do they guard against these, if at all? Would doing so leave them open to straight bets the other way?

My linkthis should get you started

I just leaked a little clear stuff.

 

[modogg]

A few pga matchups look inviting. Vijay over the other Singh -170. Vijay had rare week off(should be well rested), playing well of late, and has won this thing before. Jeeves is streaky, better at euro tour events, and didn't play well last week at bridgestone. Looks very obvious hence the juicy price. Simon Dyson -130 over Jeff Overton. Dyson showing good form recently(euro tour, bridgestone, the open). Overton with some noninspiring efforts lately. Stricker over Bubba -105. I liked stevies final round last week. I think he might be a nice darkhorse this week at 35/1. In the battle of who is playing crappier right now...... i'll take shaun micheel over rich beem -115. Both players to likely MC, but micheel should prevail.

Going with Mcilroy big this week, to win the tourney and pretty much all his matchups.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

This seems helpful to the manual drudgery: http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations-calculator.html

 

[lumpy19]

This seems helpful to the manual drudgery: http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations-calculator.html

That helps and you can also use google to get a quick numbertype in 10 choose 3 or 9 choose 3 etc. and it will tell you the # of combinations

 

[optionmaven]

Any opinion on G Mac over Phil for a 3rd round play today? Considering a strong play on it.

I have a "i wanted some action parlay" with phil over graemy and ryo over woodland.

Sorry about that. Hate it when i cost other fbg's money. I had really good days thursday and friday on individual round matchups, not so good yesterday. I'll see if I can come up with some 4th rounders that I feel strongly about. Most of my action plays really are automatic costanza's.....i.e. opposite george.

 

[optionmaven]

No matchups posted at SB yet, only a few props. Only a half hour or so until they start the 4th round. I hate when weather delays ruin the normal betting patterns. Rory has dropped for some reason from -250 earlier to -160 now.

 

[optionmaven]

Not much time to get these in on the early matchups. Baddely over chalmers -135, and Haas over Clark -135. Missed Sendens matchup with Molinari by 2 minutes. might have been the best play.

 

[lumpy19]

Not cool poulter not cool at all

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Not cool poulter not cool at all

:goodpost:(I tailed you, of course)

 

[optionmaven]

Not cool poulter not cool at all

:goodpost:(I tailed you, of course)

Rory playing well, confident, and consistent. Having someone nipping at his heels might actually help him. <owner of a rory @ 7/1 bet after 2nd round>

 

[Raider Nation]

"NIU quarterback" is in the game for the Colts.

Did he bring "NIU kicker" with him???

 

[NIU Kicker]

"NIU quarterback" is in the game for the Colts.Did he bring "NIU kicker" with him???

Didn't I put you into retirement?

 

[Raider Nation]

"NIU quarterback" is in the game for the Colts.Did he bring "NIU kicker" with him???

Didn't I put you into retirement?

 

[NIU Kicker]

All I have to do is dump one more game this year and ill graduate with a 2.2gpa in phys ed and enough money to buy a house. Kurt is one hell of a nice guy.

 

[optionmaven]

About to make a very large bet on the mets runline +1.5 @ -165. Heres why. I'm one lucky B!! Now if I had only bet Otis like money. Go BRAVES!!

1) BET

Parlay (8 Teams) 08/12/12 12:48 ET

bet 5.00 to win 2575.60 Result: Pending

Athletics(Oakland) Colon 3

WhiteSox(Chicago) Sale 7 08/12/12(14:10 ET)

WhiteSox(Chicago) -1.5 (+140)

Braves(Atlanta) Sheets

Mets(NY) Niese 08/12/12(20:05 ET)

Braves(Atlanta) -1.5 (+155)

Brewers(Milwaukee) Gallardo 5

Astros(Houston) Lyles 3 08/12/12(14:05 ET)

Brewers(Milwaukee) -1.5 (-120)

Nationals(Washington) Detwiler 4

Diamondbacks(Arizona) Corbin 7 08/12/12(16:10 ET)

Diamondbacks(Arizona) -1.5 (+160)

RedSox(Boston) Lester 14

Indians(Cleveland) Kluber 1 08/12/12(13:05 ET)

RedSox(Boston) -154 Listed

Reds(Cincinnati) Cueto 3

Cubs(Chicago) Raley 0 08/12/12(14:20 ET)

Reds(Cincinnati) -1.5 (-125)

Tigers(Detroit) Porcello 3

Rangers(Texas) Darvish 8 08/12/12(15:05 ET)

Rangers(Texas) -1.5 (+130)

Yankees(NewYork) Hughes 7

BlueJays(Toronto) Happ 10 08/12/12(13:05 ET)

BlueJays(Toronto) +159 Listed

 

[Raider Nation]

Wow, too bad you don't have the Braves on the ML. Could still take the Mets +1.5 but might win everything.

Good job.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

As always, thanks a ton Lumpy. Great call on the goph!

 

[modogg]

About to make a very large bet on the mets runline +1.5 @ -165. Heres why. I'm one lucky B!! Now if I had only bet Otis like money. Go BRAVES!!1) BET Parlay (8 Teams) 08/12/12 12:48 ETbet 5.00 to win 2575.60 Result: PendingAthletics(Oakland) Colon 3 WhiteSox(Chicago) Sale 7 08/12/12(14:10 ET)WhiteSox(Chicago) -1.5 (+140)Braves(Atlanta) Sheets Mets(NY) Niese 08/12/12(20:05 ET)Braves(Atlanta) -1.5 (+155)Brewers(Milwaukee) Gallardo 5 Astros(Houston) Lyles 3 08/12/12(14:05 ET)Brewers(Milwaukee) -1.5 (-120)Nationals(Washington) Detwiler 4 Diamondbacks(Arizona) Corbin 7 08/12/12(16:10 ET)Diamondbacks(Arizona) -1.5 (+160)RedSox(Boston) Lester 14 Indians(Cleveland) Kluber 1 08/12/12(13:05 ET)RedSox(Boston) -154 ListedReds(Cincinnati) Cueto 3 Cubs(Chicago) Raley 0 08/12/12(14:20 ET)Reds(Cincinnati) -1.5 (-125)Tigers(Detroit) Porcello 3 Rangers(Texas) Darvish 8 08/12/12(15:05 ET)Rangers(Texas) -1.5 (+130)Yankees(NewYork) Hughes 7 BlueJays(Toronto) Happ 10 08/12/12(13:05 ET)BlueJays(Toronto) +159 Listed

Well, great call on taking the hedge with the Mets RL. Still ended up, so you have to love that. Nice job either way

 

[lumpy19]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.

bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afc

You can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.

betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

 

[bmj87]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afcYou can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

I would love to if I could open accounts in Maryland

 

[modogg]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afcYou can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

I would love to if I could open accounts in Maryland

that is a pain in the ###. For me, they have all my cards on lockdown, and Kurt has tapped my rainy day fund of cash around the house.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afcYou can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

I always thought that betting big favorites on "draw no bet" seemed like an efficient way to clear bonuses, or the ML on big favorites in general (CFB, when they're offered). Barcelona, for instance, is -5000 this weekend. Man City is -2500. You could churn through a lot of money without ever exposing yourself much (or making much on the bets alone), it seems. thots?

 

[lumpy19]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afcYou can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

I always thought that betting big favorites on "draw no bet" seemed like an efficient way to clear bonuses, or the ML on big favorites in general (CFB, when they're offered). Barcelona, for instance, is -5000 this weekend. Man City is -2500. You could churn through a lot of money without ever exposing yourself much (or making much on the bets alone), it seems. thots?

Most sites take the lesser number towards rollover, riks 5k to win 100, only 100 counts towards rollover, riks 100 to win 5k only 100 counts towards rollover

 

[derek245583]

It's reload time at all the sportsbooks, I'd recommend hitting up live chat before making any deposits anywhere, lots of great bonuses out there this time of year.bookmaker and DSI both offering deposit $300 and get 100% fp sports and 50% casino up to $300, also a $50fp for who wins superbowl nfc or afcYou can make lots of money this time of year just depositing at sites and breaking even on bets.betusa.ag(a sportsbook skin) 20% CASH signup bonus and 5% CASH on every reload. They have +180 on 3 team NFL teasers....I grab my CC and deposit 1k repeatedly. Getting 1% cash back on my CC, $200 bonus on first deposit and $50 on every deposit after that, NO LIMIT on the bonuses.

I always thought that betting big favorites on "draw no bet" seemed like an efficient way to clear bonuses, or the ML on big favorites in general (CFB, when they're offered). Barcelona, for instance, is -5000 this weekend. Man City is -2500. You could churn through a lot of money without ever exposing yourself much (or making much on the bets alone), it seems. thots?

Most sites take the lesser number towards rollover, riks 5k to win 100, only 100 counts towards rollover, riks 100 to win 5k only 100 counts towards rollover

I actually have a spreadsheet for my rollover chasing...

 

[John Bender]

So is this the year we finally do a weekly pick em contest against the spread?

Or did one end up going last year? I think Derek may have run one previously.

It's about time we do something of that nature.

50 bucks a man? Every game - against the spread for the entire season?

 

[optionmaven]

Playing a two team parlay of Pirates -127 and under 8. I'm starting to warm up to those boys in Pittsburgh (hopefully making playoffs). Also playing no score 1st inning -145.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Bet the over for action (dallas v. raiders) forgetting I already had a billionty teaser legs on dallas. Awesome.

 

[Raider Nation]

Bet the over for action (dallas v. raiders) forgetting I already had a billionty teaser legs on dallas. Awesome.

This game will still be scoreless tomorrow morning. UGLY!

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Bet the over for action (dallas v. raiders) forgetting I already had a billionty teaser legs on dallas. Awesome.

This game will still be scoreless tomorrow morning. UGLY!

You and your raiders family are a ####!!!

 

[lumpy19]

Bet the over for action (dallas v. raiders) forgetting I already had a billionty teaser legs on dallas. Awesome.

This game will still be scoreless tomorrow morning. UGLY!

You and your raiders family are a ####!!!

Flood gates open in the 2h, over 15.5!