Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
I have a lot tied into the Texans tomorrow. Parlays, Teasers, etc. May hedge a little on the Jets but I certainly hope they suck as hard as I expect them to.
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Stayed up too late last night, but the Saints and Yanks both came through late. Turned my weekend around. 
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
lumpy19
Footballguy
If your book has this game at 10 please bet on the jets, that's a bad numberStayed up too late last night, but the Saints and Yanks both came through late. Turned my weekend around.
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
gussy
Footballguy
Quick look at the undervalued CFB teams for this coming week based upon the Vegas power rankings and what the true lines of those games should be:
Troy -2
C. Michigan PK
Pitt +5 1/2
Kansas St. -12 1/2
Texas -1
Michigan St. -16 1/2
Kent St. -8
Ole Miss -6
UCONN -11
UCLA -13
Virginia -10
W. Virginia -10
Florida St. -33
Florida -14
Kentucky +10
TCU +2 1/2
La. Tech PK
WAZZU PK to -1
New Mexico -9
This is typically where I start with my list of games to consider.
Troy -2
C. Michigan PK
Pitt +5 1/2
Kansas St. -12 1/2
Texas -1
Michigan St. -16 1/2
Kent St. -8
Ole Miss -6
UCONN -11
UCLA -13
Virginia -10
W. Virginia -10
Florida St. -33
Florida -14
Kentucky +10
TCU +2 1/2
La. Tech PK
WAZZU PK to -1
New Mexico -9
This is typically where I start with my list of games to consider.
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
435 Houston Texans -10 -110 -400436 New York Jets +10 -110 +320If your book has this game at 10 please bet on the jets, that's a bad numberStayed up too late last night, but the Saints and Yanks both came through late. Turned my weekend around.
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
I realize the smart play is a double digit home dog, but the Jets? Ugh. I think I'll just stay away.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Your book is giving you 2 free points on an NFL game, if you want to win money betting sports this is the kind of bet you should be making.435 Houston Texans -10 -110 -400436 New York Jets +10 -110 +320If your book has this game at 10 please bet on the jets, that's a bad numberStayed up too late last night, but the Saints and Yanks both came through late. Turned my weekend around.
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
I realize the smart play is a double digit home dog, but the Jets? Ugh. I think I'll just stay away.
I'm not hedging out of any of the ML stuff. But I may take the points later. Especially if I can find a 10.
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Of course, you are right. I'll put 1U on the Jets +10, and 1U on the Under 41.Your book is giving you 2 free points on an NFL game, if you want to win money betting sports this is the kind of bet you should be making.435 Houston Texans -10 -110 -400436 New York Jets +10 -110 +320If your book has this game at 10 please bet on the jets, that's a bad numberStayed up too late last night, but the Saints and Yanks both came through late. Turned my weekend around.
Should be watching the Texans tonight, but I'll be at the ballpark with my son to close out his early fall baseball season. The -10 number on the road frightens me a bit. I like the U41. I think the Texans get up early, take their foot off the gas as Kubiak is want to do, and run the ball a ton in the second half. The Jets will have hell with the Texans D, but will find a way to scratch out a few points. I expect a total like 24-9 or something like that.
I realize the smart play is a double digit home dog, but the Jets? Ugh. I think I'll just stay away.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
34-6 Texans.
The Ref
Footballguy
So what you are saying is, dont over think it?
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I understand lumpy's advice above, but you can take 10 points with some other team. The Jets lost their best defensive player, their best offensive player, and they sucked a fat one BEFORE that.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Yeah my advice from this morning isn't looking so good, 10's starting to pop up everywhere now
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I'm on the Cards again at -105. Zimmermann has struggled vs. them in the past and I'm bored, so what the hell. Garcia is usually money at home also.
Jets under 16 -115 also booked for a unit.
Jets under 16 -115 also booked for a unit.
The Ref
Footballguy
2 units -9.5I'll play it for Houston scoring first and try and get a middle going.Yeah my advice from this morning isn't looking so good, 10's starting to pop up everywhere now
The Ref
Footballguy
Yeah something is wrong with that line. Not only is it <7 it oopened at 4.5 and is down to 4. Seems like they are begging the public to take WVU. I'd seriously feel better about it if WVU was -6.5 -115 or something.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Sportsbook took the Sanchez bet down completely for attempts and yards, they must have figured out the same thing, that there is going to be a lot more Tebow.
Looks like 5dimes had it, but at -165 #### them
Looks like 5dimes had it, but at -165 #### them
ScoobySnack
Footballguy
Betus has Sanchez U 18 Completions -125 and U205.5 passing yards -115...also under 1.5 TD Passes -180.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Do you have a source that says more tebow tonight? I looked I can't find anything
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I was running around doing stuff but Kim Jones (on SOME show) reported that she definitely expects a lot more Tebow tonight.Yeah, she's a broad but she's pretty wired in to the Jets organization.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Yep, it was 100% her. She is there now.
https://twitter.com/KimJonesSports/status/255403527956987904/photo/1
https://twitter.com/KimJonesSports/status/255403527956987904/photo/1
gussy
Footballguy
I'll bite. Should have played them at 9 1/2 before I went and golfed. This isn't the sharp play, it's the eyeball play.
Unless I'm missing something, no way the Jets hang close. The arguement was last week the 49ers were only a 4 point
favorite and you're telling me the Texans are 6 points better than the 49ers? No. I'm telling you the Jets are 6 points
worse.
Texans -10 2 units even money.
Unless I'm missing something, no way the Jets hang close. The arguement was last week the 49ers were only a 4 point
favorite and you're telling me the Texans are 6 points better than the 49ers? No. I'm telling you the Jets are 6 points
worse.
Texans -10 2 units even money.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
For those unaware, Nats/Cards just started on TBS. Good way to kill a few hours until kickoff.
The Ref
Footballguy
Must have just happened in the last :45 min. I was looking at the under 200.5. I decided to pass just because I think they are going to get thier teeth kicked in.
The Ref
Footballguy
I wasnt aware.... thanks.
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I'd love to find more info on how much Tebow we can expect tonight. SB still has Sanchez INT yes/no up. Thinking NO might be a decent poke at +170.
TheGooRoo
Footballguy
I think I read Glazer saying it on Sunday. The Sanchez fade has been very profitable but I find myself on the sideline tonight
John Bender
Footballguy
Because they played Northwestern St, Texas State, Iowa St, and New Mexico.
they finally played a real team and got 41 dropped on them.
Sell sell sell
John Bender
Footballguy
1 unit Jets +9.5
1 unit Jets MONEYLINE
Got a feeling about this one.
1 unit Jets MONEYLINE
Got a feeling about this one.
I hear ya...and I'm on WVU (see above post on this page)...just attempting to put some logic on the line
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Your bookie.
mquinnjr
Footballguy
I dunno, I didn't put a ton on this one. But, taking over 2 TD's at home, I just can't see myself going against that. Plus, I could see this being one of those games where the too easy play is the one making the book's rich, e.g. Houston wins by a TD. Won't be eating cat food if Houston embarrasses this team, but I could see the Jets playing within 2 TD's at home.
lumpy19
Footballguy
RB has the same #'s, I played all 3
gussy
Footballguy
Just bet the house.............and by the house, I mean enough for people to write an article about bankroll management, on Sanchez under 1 1/2 TD passes. Wish me luck! Now I'll have a reason to watch. Never been a bigger Tebow fan in my life. Wife and kids are gone, just me and a bottle of scotch....................GO
-200
16+ UNITS TO WIN 8+
You can't win if you don't play, right?
-200
16+ UNITS TO WIN 8+
You can't win if you don't play, right?
Last edited by a moderator:
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
GLWhat kind of scotch?Just bet the house.............and by the house, I mean enough for people to write an article about bankroll management, on Sanchez under 1 1/2 TD passes. Wish me luck! Now I'll have a reason to watch. Never been a bigger Tebow fan in my life. Wife and kids are gone, just me and a bottle of scotch....................GO+20016+ UNITS TO WIN 8+You can't win if you don't play, right?
The Ref
Footballguy
John NAILS it here. The problem is EVERYONE LOVES WVU this week. I can't figure this line at all. I think it should be at least 6 and it opens at 4.5 and drops? :scared
The Ref
Footballguy
Might be Walker Blue next week though.
lumpy19
Footballguy
slightly worse numbers at other places but i'm playing the same 3 props where i can find themhttp://aol.sportingnews.com/nfl/story/2012-10-08/tim-tebow-ny-jets-vs-texans-mnf-preview-mark-sanchez-start-qb
