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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

'swirvenirvin said:
Got Tamme over 4 rec (even) at SB, like this a lot if Stokley is out, if Stokley plays then maybe 50/50. Tamme under is now + so could hedge for half if Stokley is playing
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ETAWith Stokley being active and the way the juice had changed since I got it at even, I am buying back a half unit. Don't think I have ever done this before with a prop but under the circumstances I think it's the right move for me since the under is now at +115So Tamme over 4 (even) 1 unitTamme under 4 (+115) .5 unitsBOL to all
 
I just think this was set kind of high especially w the news on Carmelo. The old timer is strictly NCAA plays. And usually always totals. :thumbup:

eta I think it was set high for a reason and think it goes over. I waited all day on it because of the hook and had to take it when I got home and saw it.

 
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Going 7-point NFL Teaser tonight: Broncos -3 / UNDER 55.5

I like the Broncos to win, but double digit home dogs and road favorites are both tough plays, and there's no revenge factor playing, as Denver pounded Oakland in Denver earlier this season...Thursday night favorites of 7 or more actually do pretty well, though, so that mitigates things somewhat...I think the Broncos will be in control of this one enough to kill some clock, and keep this under 48, but I'll take the hedge. Raiders should have to throw, and the Broncos secondary should turn Palmer over enough to keep the Raiders from getting to the end zone too often.

Good Luck!

 
'John Bender said:
Just based on contrarian betting, Raiders still looking like the bet tonight.81% of public on Broncos yet line has moved away from public, likely just the philosophy of sharp money to always take double digit dogs in the NFL?I'll wait for RN to weigh in
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Sorry... long day.Put everything you own on the Broncos. Bet your dog on it too. We haven't even been competitive, and that won't change tonight.30-13 DEN.
 
I need my head examined for buying 0.5 points to bet the Raiders +10.5 at home. This team is going to get destroyed tonight.

Now that we're in 2Q of this slopfest, waiting for the a O/U first downs remainder of game - Oakland Raiders - 4.5 -110 prop. UNDER.

 
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Gents, Manti Te'o is cleaning up with the prelim CFB awards. Are we sticking with Johnny Football winning this, or starting to think +300 is fantastic value?

 
'swirvenirvin said:
'Doctor Detroit said:
Xavier not making this easy.
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yeah no good I was on the under at 129 also oh well
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I had won two chalks in a row, figured this one would fail somehow. Looks like the Heat are gonna lose as well. Re: Manti Te'oGotta think there are a lot of voters that don't really want to give it to a frosh QB. I think it will be pretty close, a little on Te'o might not be bad.
 
'ChainsawU said:
I just think this was set kind of high especially w the news on Carmelo. The old timer is strictly NCAA plays. And usually always totals. :thumbup:eta I think it was set high for a reason and think it goes over. I waited all day on it because of the hook and had to take it when I got home and saw it.
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didn't tail, but looked like a good call
 
'Raider Nation said:
'John Bender said:
Just based on contrarian betting, Raiders still looking like the bet tonight.81% of public on Broncos yet line has moved away from public, likely just the philosophy of sharp money to always take double digit dogs in the NFL?I'll wait for RN to weigh in
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Sorry... long day.Put everything you own on the Broncos. Bet your dog on it too. We haven't even been competitive, and that won't change tonight.30-13 DEN.
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My bad. 26-13.It still spends.
 
Iowa is rotating true freshmen in at PG. Mike Gesell started the season and Anthony Clemmons took over on Tuesday. They also start true freshman Adam Woodbury at center. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s top five guys in minutes played are all redshirt seniors except for Melvin Ejim, a junior. I’m going with the experienced group who has also won the last three matchups in this series.

IOWA STATE +2 -110

 
I am going to school a little bit early this morning to meet the MILF for some last minute studying before the exam, which is probably a good idea despite all the cramming we did yesterday. And she is already making plans for us during the day on Monday because she won’t be able to see me for seven to nine days after her boob job on Tuesday.

 
For the Pac Man/Marquez fight:

Pacquiao to win by KO, TKO OR DQ +200

Pacquiao to win by decision +EV

If you bet these both, say $100, you're basically getting -200 to win non-decision, and get a push if it's a decision at +EV. With the posted line of -270 to get Manny to win, with this being the same result, this would be the way to go, no? Save 70 points on vig, get effective -200 odds if he wins by KO, TKO, DQ, and get a push if he wins on decision.

Thoughts?

 
'mquinnjr said:
For the Pac Man/Marquez fight:Pacquiao to win by KO, TKO OR DQ +200Pacquiao to win by decision +EVIf you bet these both, say $100, you're basically getting -200 to win non-decision, and get a push if it's a decision at +EV. With the posted line of -270 to get Manny to win, with this being the same result, this would be the way to go, no? Save 70 points on vig, get effective -200 odds if he wins by KO, TKO, DQ, and get a push if he wins on decision. Thoughts?
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noThe 70 cents is the price you pay to also WIN money on a decision.
 
'mquinnjr said:
Gents, Manti Te'o is cleaning up with the prelim CFB awards. Are we sticking with Johnny Football winning this, or starting to think +300 is fantastic value?
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The 2 awards sometimes match but not enough the time. Also, found this info:Manziel _ who celebrates his 20th birthday today _ has carved out a solid lead in projections by StiffArmTrophy.com, which solicits feedback from Heisman voters. With input from 140 voters, the site reported this morning that Manziel has 82 first-place votes _ double the total for Te’o (41), the next-closest finalist _ and was listed on 127 of 140 ballots. Voters are required to select a first, second and third choice on each ballot.

Te’o appeared on 104 ballots, the site reported, with Klein receiving seven first-place votes and appearing on 94 ballots. The site has correctly predicted the Heisman winner in each of the last 10 years.

Manziel emerged Wednesday as the leader in the final weekly installment of the Scripps Howard News Service Heisman Trophy Poll, the nation’s longest-running Heisman poll. Since its inception in 1987, it has correctly forecast the Heisman winner in its final weekly installment in 21 of 25 years, including last season.

Read more here: http://sportsblogs.star-telegram.com/colleges/2012/12/texas-ams-manziel-becoming-prohibitive-heisman-favorite-odds-now-115-for-him-to-win-saturday-tamu-jo.html#storylink=cpy

 
In Vegas for the weekend, 2 big parlays.

Browns -6

Steelers -8

Giants -5

And the above 3 with

Patriots -3 1/2

Jets -3

Paying for the trip right there brother. Btw, the cucumber mojitos at Mandalay are to die for. There. I said it. And I feel a little gayer for doing so. Nttawwt

 
'ChainsawU said:
Iowa is rotating true freshmen in at PG. Mike Gesell started the season and Anthony Clemmons took over on Tuesday. They also start true freshman Adam Woodbury at center. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s top five guys in minutes played are all redshirt seniors except for Melvin Ejim, a junior. I’m going with the experienced group who has also won the last three matchups in this series.IOWA STATE +2 -110
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Tailed. Iowa State to +3 at 5D and +3.5 at my book. GL! :banned:
 
Colin's Picks Result

Cowboys (+3) at Bengals ?

Titans (+5.5) at Colts ?

Panthers (+3.5) vs. Falcons ?

Browns (-6.5) vs. Chiefs ?

Ravens (+2.5) at Redskins ?

 
'Tiger Fan said:
Colin's Picks Result

Cowboys (+3) at Bengals ?

Titans (+5.5) at Colts ?

Panthers (+3.5) vs. Falcons ?

Browns (-6.5) vs. Chiefs ?

Ravens (+2.5) at Redskins ?
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huh, not too happy to be on the other end of 3 of those (i like Cincy, Atl and Was). Only thing i think i like there is Cle
 
I don't pretend to know jack about this Sam Houston- Montana St. tilt, but its looking a lot like snow showers. With a total of 50, and two teams who, on the surface, feature solid defenses, what am missing?

 
Army/Navy UNDER 56(-120): This game has ugly written all over it. Two pure option teams with terrible defenses. The thing is, when it's option team vs option team, they tend to defend the run better, due to familiarity, as it's exactly the rush offense they go up against every day in practice. The atheletes are of comparable athleticism and talent on both sides of the ball, no discernable advantage there, but it's Army/Navy, so they're obviously going to give it their all, and when the two teams are statistically close (check) and statistically bad (check), the results tend to be close, and the score tends to be low. I think the odds that these two combine to score 8 TD's between them is slim to none.

Throwing a little on Navy -.5 / U62 (6.5 pointer), just for S & G, as it's the only thing on, and I want to root for a side.

Good Luck!

 
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