FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

[John Bender]

MarshallPlan....what side are you playing tonight? I've decided I'm tailing you.

 

[lumpy19]

So can we get a thread consensus going tonight?

Dog and under for me

 

[General Malaise]

I parlayed the Aztecs tonight with the Mayans tomorrow. And the Mayans tomorrow with Pascal's wager the next day.

good thinking

Hi, I just wanted to say I hope you stay in Uber, GB. League more fun when you play. that is all.

 

[Treynwreck3]

So can we get a thread consensus going tonight?

Dog and under for me

On the Aztecs. The total is now down to 45.5, or I would be on that too.

 

[bmj87]

UC Davis +6

Elon +24

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Anybody know anything about this guy? He looks pretty solid:https://twitter.com/nropp

His game evaluation is top notch, but he runs hot/cold. CBB is tough to bet. Latefouls/FT can totally screw things up.

He says E Mich/Mich under 116.5 tonight, noting that Mich is bad against the zone. I got it for 117.

 

[Raider Nation]

Anybody know anything about this guy? He looks pretty solid:https://twitter.com/nropp

Followed him out of covers for a while. He did ok by me but like anyone else is up and down.

This.CRAZY streaky.

 

[Raider Nation]

***ATTN***

If you bet a side in the Chargers/Jets game, you are officially a degenerate.

Keep in mind, I'm a degenerate, and I'm telling you that you'll be the newest member of the club.

This game could end 30-3 either way.

 

[BRONG]

Here it is!

In before someone logs in on the site and posts the link to the FFA Wagering Thread. Wonder if we're better than 48.8% on the season.

You're looking at the wrong percentages, GB. It's the best bets that are.......the best bets.

 

[BRONG]

Jeff Pasquino: When you can't afford the coin to flip when you're picking games...there's Pasquino.

 

[bmj87]

9pm

Cal Poly SLO +9

 

[modogg]

Ouch

David Payne Purdum ‏@DavidPurdumHave confirmed: Fed seize funds from large Survivor Pool based out of Missouri. Reportedly $250K seized. More to come.

Uh Oh....I think I know who this is

remember hearing about a 14,000 man or so one going on here locally a few years back...checking my sources now...lol

i was in one 13,542 people at $20 a person. also in the second half pool after i lost that one, was about 55k and a few thousand people. same thing with $20 a person. i would be real salty if i was close to winning and that happened, and real pissed at the feds. pretty sure my guy isn't in the Missouri area though

 

[modogg]

How exactly would one win a 14000 person survivor pool? I'm not about to do the math, but seems like there would be a bunch left after week 17. Pick all week 17 games in order? Go through playoffs? Split it somehow?

i was in one like this. i have to track the history, but i know that about 70% of the pool (my number could be real off there, basically A ton of the picks) were eliminated by week 5 or 6. the pool is a little different than others, and i forget some of the games that took out a ton of people. i know i lost 2 of my 5 picks on GB over SEA

 

[modogg]

***ATTN***

If you bet a side in the Chargers/Jets game, you are officially a degenerate.

Keep in mind, I'm a degenerate, and I'm telling you that you'll be the newest member of the club.

This game could end 30-3 either way.

already put money on the Chargers. Wish Sanchez was QB'ing though

 

[modogg]

We seriously need wagering on sports to just get legalized already. I thought democrats were pro-gaming, at least less against it than R's. Without getting all political thread-y, I'm rooting for Obama to go ahead and get this done. Stories like this are absurd. /rant

Why is anyone against it? Instead of bringing money into a government that severely needs it, we allow Americans to get ripped off on a daily basis. It seems like nobody in America is winning with the current way things are. People are going to bet either way and why go after people that actually pay their customers? Common sense should prevail.

pretty sure you are in the wrong thread for this one. pretty sure 100% of the people in this thread agree this should be passed

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Poinsetta BowlAmid a late season quarterback controversy two quarterbacks have been sharing first-team reps at practice for BYU. And if both are healthy they will have the opportunity to use the Warhawk formation with a lefty and righty on the field at the same time. Regardless, both senior QBs will probably see the field. SDSU has had time to prepare and I am fading the two quarterback system. SDSU will be playing in what is basically a home game for them and will have their most valuable player Leon McFadden covering Cody Hoffman. I shopped the number and am taking SDSU plus the points.SAN DIEGO STATE +3 -115230/200

Locked in UNDER 49Both teams have good defenses and both seem to trend under against good competition.

Good posting. Should be a boring* low scoring game. A six point tease taking the points + under might not be out of the question either with the line at 3.5 now..eta:*Only boring if you don't like the proverbial "decided in the trenches" type of game And nice job getting that number. I am going to wait and see if the over gets some public action closer to gametime but regardlss of the movement will still be on the under

Rooting for both teams to get two first downs and then punt from the 50 is incredibly soothing.

 

[sporthenry]

I want to not like Cam Newton, but that comercial with the kid "And become your Mommas favorite player" kills me every time.

https://twitter.com/NFL_Memes/status/281225636436115457/photo/1Combing two of the funnier things this year.

 

[Raider Nation]

Is it just my imagination, or does BYU lead the country in BORING games?

 

[sporthenry]

We seriously need wagering on sports to just get legalized already. I thought democrats were pro-gaming, at least less against it than R's. Without getting all political thread-y, I'm rooting for Obama to go ahead and get this done. Stories like this are absurd. /rant

Why is anyone against it? Instead of bringing money into a government that severely needs it, we allow Americans to get ripped off on a daily basis. It seems like nobody in America is winning with the current way things are. People are going to bet either way and why go after people that actually pay their customers? Common sense should prevail.

pretty sure you are in the wrong thread for this one. pretty sure 100% of the people in this thread agree this should be passed

I know, but I was seriously asking what are the reservations to passing a bill?

 

[gussy]

Remember that one time, at band camp, when BYU TOTALLY ####ED me and I bet my entire bankroll on them and they didn't cover?! We might go out in flames with the Mormons again tonight. Just put a unit on the first half under 24. Already have a unit on the total under 48. I might play this every freaking quarter tonight. Go team?

Trying to not overthink this here..........I thought 2nd half total would be 20, it was 21 1/2. More free money. One unit on Under 21 1/2. Also put a 1/2 unit on SDSU +3 second half. I thought that line would be PK.Screw it. 2 units on under 21 1/2.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Thanks to those who advocated the under. The first half under was sweet.

 

[Raider Nation]

Ty Detmer and Marshall Faulk can't bear to watch this game.

I miss the WAC shootouts between these two schools.

 

[ChainsawU]

That u49 for the game was a gold plated palladium labia.

 

[The Ref]

Ty Detmer and Marshall Faulk can't bear to watch this game.I miss the WAC shootouts between these two schools.

I can't wait for "the stepchild of them all" tomorrow night.

 

[Raider Nation]

Remember that one time, at band camp, when BYU TOTALLY ####ED me and I bet my entire bankroll on them and they didn't cover?! We might go out in flames with the Mormons again tonight. Just put a unit on the first half under 24. Already have a unit on the total under 48. I might play this every freaking quarter tonight. Go team?

Trying to not overthink this here..........I thought 2nd half total would be 20, it was 21 1/2. More free money. One unit on Under 21 1/2. Also put a 1/2 unit on SDSU +3 second half. I thought that line would be PK.Screw it. 2 units on under 21 1/2.

This was a brilliant call that might get ruined by TWO defensive scores.Sucks.

 

[modogg]

That u49 for the game was a gold plated palladium labia.

let's hope the un21 2nd half comes through as well. This 4th Q has been a bit of a pain in the butt..

 

[ChainsawU]

The 4Q u13.5 was an unwise choice. <_<

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Nev/ZONA 2h OVER LOSS

Toledo/Utah State UNDER 58.5 WIN

Toledo +10.5 LOSS

BYU/SDSU 1H UNDER 23.5 (.5u) WIN

BYU/SDSU UNDER 49 WIN

-----------------------------

Ball State +8.5 (Autoplay)

ULL/ECU OVER 65

ECU +175 (.5u)

Boise State/Washington OVER 46.5 (AP)

Fresno State/SMU UNDER 59 (AP)

Fresno State -11 (1.5u)

Western Kentucky -5

Texas/Oregon State OVER 55 (AP)

Northwestern +1.5 (AP)

LSU -3.5 (AP)

Pitt/Ole Miss OVER 51.5 (AP)

West Virginia -4 (1.5u)

Oregon State -2

Vanderbilt -6.5

Michigan/USC UNDER 48.5

Three adds bolded above. ULL and ECU are both good offensive teams and a fast track should help them score a lot of points. ECU ML for a nibble also, they improved quite a bit down the stretch with a rising star at QB in Shane Carden. ULL is the better team and playing close to home but something very attractive about ECU possibly winning this game 42-38 or thereabouts.

Will join OV on WKU, mostly because CMU is by far the worst team to make a bowl.

 

[got_nugs]

Remember that one time, at band camp, when BYU TOTALLY ####ED me and I bet my entire bankroll on them and they didn't cover?! We might go out in flames with the Mormons again tonight. Just put a unit on the first half under 24. Already have a unit on the total under 48. I might play this every freaking quarter tonight. Go team?

Trying to not overthink this here..........I thought 2nd half total would be 20, it was 21 1/2. More free money. One unit on Under 21 1/2. Also put a 1/2 unit on SDSU +3 second half. I thought that line would be PK.Screw it. 2 units on under 21 1/2.

This was a brilliant call that might get ruined by TWO defensive scores.Sucks.

Also killed the U54.5 and SDS +9.5 teaser that was looking so yummy.Fortunately I tapped the Under 1Q/2Q/1H/G lines thanks to the fellas up in here.

 

[modogg]

Mo - does this site weigh into your picks? They seem to completely align with what you picked in this card. http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2012/12/14/3767764/ultimate-fighter-16-finale-staff-picks-predictions

sometimes, mostly not. they have talked me out of a few winners in the past, so i already know who i am taking most of the time before i read it. but they do give good info sometimes. i actually didn't see their preview today, interesting to see 3 of the 5 on Barry.

Got it - thanks. You have all the same picks as them so I was curious.

So they are getting their picks from Mo. Not sure what the problem is here. There is plenty of room in the world for more People's Champs!

No problem - thought maybe we had an undercover shark here!

C, is this you?http://middleeasy.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=9861:this-guy-has-20-solid-reasons-why-he-feels-wwe-is-better-than-ufc-and-none-of-them-are-valid&catid=34rganizations

 

[John Bender]

Mo is and has always been nails with his UFC leans.

I miss real tennis. 2 months til Australian open

 

[John Bender]

Speaking of which, and I'd wait for modogg to weigh in but that price of -205 on Jim Miller isn't going to get any lower and I'm going to put 2 units on it now (with mo's blessing). I think I've seen all of Joe Lauzons fights. I like him, but whenever he's faced a upper tier fighter, he's lost. He's been beating down patsies so farin his career and losing in big spots.

I think Miller picks him apart

 

[Billy Bats]

The blazin five:

COLIN'S PICKS

Giants (-2.5) at Ravens

Redskins (-6.5) at Eagles

Browns (+13) at Broncos

49ers at Seahawks (+1)

Saints at Cowboys (-2.5)

 

[The Ref]

OK so what have we decided for tonight?

Originally I liked the Under because I like the UCF D, but in looking at the games they played this year they give up more points then I would have thought. I think 59 is about right.

Take the points?

 

[ChainsawU]

BYU +7 -110

110/100

Middle Tenn St vs. Vanderbilt u126 -120 (b ½ pt)

120/100

 

[The Ref]

By the way - Check #2 from Sprotsb00k.AG on the way after 6 weeks time.

Obviously it sucks being cut from football, but it's nice to know that it paid off for the season.m Thanks Again GooRoo.

 

[John Bender]

Ball St tonight IMO

+7.5

 

[ChainsawU]

UCF is

16th in the country in turnover margin link

24th in turnovers gained link

17th in turnovers lost http://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/1032'>link

8th in fewest penalties per game link

Ball St is

105th in turnovers gained http://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/1047/p3'>link

106th in run defense link

UCF takes care of the ball, avoids penalties and is facing a bad run defense. And the game is being played in St. Petersburg, ninety minutes away from UCF campus.

 

[ChainsawU]

Ball State QB Keith Wenning fractured his ankle on Nov. 14 and had surgery the next day, but is expected to start tonight according to The Star Press:

Wenning said the injury isn’t completely healed. Changing positions with quick movements in the pocket isn’t a problem, but sprinting out of the pocket isn’t as easy for him as it was before the injury. It’s likely Ball State could play both Wenning and [second string QB] Kelly Page in the game, in part to relieve some of the stress on Wenning’s ankle, but Lembo wouldn’t confirm that possibility. link

 

[The Ref]

Ball State QB Keith Wenning fractured his ankle on Nov. 14 and had surgery the next day, but is expected to start tonight according to The Star Press:

Wenning said the injury isn't completely healed. Changing positions with quick movements in the pocket isn't a problem, but sprinting out of the pocket isn't as easy for him as it was before the injury. It's likely Ball State could play both Wenning and [second string QB] Kelly Page in the game, in part to relieve some of the stress on Wenning's ankle, but Lembo wouldn't confirm that possibility. link

Laying the points it is.

 

[ChainsawU]

I'm not locking anything in yet. Bender (+7.5) and the Doc (at +8.5, great number) are both on Ball State plus points and I've seen a lot of love for the Cards so far. I just wish we knew more about the QB situation. And can't verify but have heard Latavius Murray may be questionable? IDK but that would be huge.

Ball State ended the season 6-0 its last six games. And beat Toledo during that stretch. So I dunno.

(edited to correct Ball State's end of season record)

eta2: FWIW the backup QB for Ball State is probable w a concussion..

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Paris St. Germain to score first, -160.

 

[lumpy19]

From sportsbook.com twitter

3 most popular NBA plays: 91% of $ on Pacers -4 at Cavs; 89% on Knicks -6 vs Bulls & 88% on Hawks -2 at 76ers

I bet all 3 of those

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm not locking anything in yet. Bender (+7.5) and the Doc (at +8.5, great number) are both on Ball State plus points and I've seen a lot of love for the Cards so far. I just wish we knew more about the QB situation. And can't verify but have heard Latavius Murray may be questionable? IDK but that would be huge.

Ball State ended the season 6-0 its last six games. And beat Toledo during that stretch. So I dunno.

(edited to correct Ball State's end of season record)

eta2: FWIW the backup QB for Ball State is probable w a concussion..

Yeah, got it at open. This is my first handicapped by the numbers play (autoplay), so I'm very interested in the outcome. Plus it's the Beef O'Brady Bowl, big stage tonight fellas.

 

[gussy]

OK so what have we decided for tonight?Originally I liked the Under because I like the UCF D, but in looking at the games they played this year they give up more points then I would have thought. I think 59 is about right.Take the points?

I was leaning towards the over, not sure if I'm playing it or not.

 

[gussy]

I'm not locking anything in yet. Bender (+7.5) and the Doc (at +8.5, great number) are both on Ball State plus points and I've seen a lot of love for the Cards so far. I just wish we knew more about the QB situation. And can't verify but have heard Latavius Murray may be questionable? IDK but that would be huge.Ball State ended the season 6-0 its last six games. And beat Toledo during that stretch. So I dunno. (edited to correct Ball State's end of season record)eta2: FWIW the backup QB for Ball State is probable w a concussion..

If I was playing a side I was leaning Ball St., but the QB ankle situation would worry me. I'm old and out of shape, but a few years ago I fractured mine and tore 3 of the 4 ligaments around the outside and destroyed the sac that contained it all. After my surgery it took me a year to be back to normal and 6 months before I could even consistently walk without a limp.

 

[John Bender]

From sportsbook.com twitter

3 most popular NBA plays: 91% of $ on Pacers -4 at Cavs; 89% on Knicks -6 vs Bulls & 88% on Hawks -2 at 76ers

I bet all 3 of those

Ugh. On Pacers and Hawks myself.

 

[ChainsawU]

BYU +7 -110110/100Middle Tenn St vs. Vanderbilt u126 -120 (b ½ pt)120/100

addingMiddle Tenn St vs. Vanderbilt u125 -110220/200

 

[John Bender]

The Beef O Brady Bowl is here!!,!,!,!,!,a,

There it is!

 

[optionmaven]

From sportsbook.com twitter

3 most popular NBA plays: 91% of $ on Pacers -4 at Cavs; 89% on Knicks -6 vs Bulls & 88% on Hawks -2 at 76ers

I bet all 3 of those

Ugh. On Pacers and Hawks myself.

Knicks ML -260S.ILL ML -500Utah St. ML -600Ball St. ML +24550/285