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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

Wait a minute. :lmao:
This was a glorified spring game for the Eagles and their freshman QB. Mismatch on the O-line and they abandon the run down 10 in the third quarter. At least the under is there, but BC should be within 7 at this juncture. Only hope is a backdoor cover on the 8.5
Rather be lucky than good. Nice backdoor SLBD, keep on Drinking!!! :unsure: That gets my Eagles over back Going to go with my gut tomorrow.Auburn and the Under
 
Wait a minute. :excited:
This was a glorified spring game for the Eagles and their freshman QB. Mismatch on the O-line and they abandon the run down 10 in the third quarter. At least the under is there, but BC should be within 7 at this juncture. Only hope is a backdoor cover on the 8.5
Rather be lucky than good. Nice backdoor SLBD, keep on Drinking!!! :goodposting: That gets my Eagles over back Going to go with my gut tomorrow.Auburn and the Under
Yeah, that was embarrassing, never, ever should've covered that ####.
 
If GB and Sea win this week the NFC championship will be played in Seattle....Sea at that point will have a .500 record :unsure:

 
Couple props for tonight.

1st turnover a fumble +125. Free money if you have bodog and greek accts as they have these backwards. Anyway, looking at both teams hardly any ints for the teams and lots of fumbles.

1st fd a run +115, 1st play to cross the 50 +145, 1st play to enter red zone run +140 - same reasoning here. Many more fds by both teams via the run. These are a jumpball kind of bet but I will take the + odds on something more prevalent to happen.

 
Looks like we all won last night, regardless of our angles. In the end, winning's all that matters, so congrats all around!

So, the SEC has won 5 straight BCS Title Games. Not so fast my friends!

All over the Ducks tonight, and big. Will have time later today to post why, but I think it's overwhelmingly compelling.

 
Couple props for tonight.1st turnover a fumble +125. Free money if you have bodog and greek accts as they have these backwards. Anyway, looking at both teams hardly any ints for the teams and lots of fumbles. 1st fd a run +115, 1st play to cross the 50 +145, 1st play to enter red zone run +140 - same reasoning here. Many more fds by both teams via the run. These are a jumpball kind of bet but I will take the + odds on something more prevalent to happen.
Bodog must have corrected, I see -165 for fumble.
 
Couple props for tonight.1st turnover a fumble +125. Free money if you have bodog and greek accts as they have these backwards. Anyway, looking at both teams hardly any ints for the teams and lots of fumbles. 1st fd a run +115, 1st play to cross the 50 +145, 1st play to enter red zone run +140 - same reasoning here. Many more fds by both teams via the run. These are a jumpball kind of bet but I will take the + odds on something more prevalent to happen.
Bodog must have corrected, I see -165 for fumble.
No, it's not. Bodog probably has the correct number for fumble. Greek still holding +105 for fumble.
 
Consider me shocked and incorrect with this line move. I thought it would close Auburn -3.5 due to the fact SEC has been great in the title game and how impressive a few of their teams were.

Thankfully I got down as much as I wanted on Oregon with -2.5 +158 and -2 +154 as well as +140 on the ml. I have looked for the last 20 mins to maybe get down more and I don't see much.

 
Couple props for tonight.1st turnover a fumble +125. Free money if you have bodog and greek accts as they have these backwards. Anyway, looking at both teams hardly any ints for the teams and lots of fumbles. 1st fd a run +115, 1st play to cross the 50 +145, 1st play to enter red zone run +140 - same reasoning here. Many more fds by both teams via the run. These are a jumpball kind of bet but I will take the + odds on something more prevalent to happen.
Bodog must have corrected, I see -165 for fumble.
No, it's not. Bodog probably has the correct number for fumble. Greek still holding +105 for fumble.
What's your true number there?I'd hit that +105 again.
 
Couple props for tonight.1st turnover a fumble +125. Free money if you have bodog and greek accts as they have these backwards. Anyway, looking at both teams hardly any ints for the teams and lots of fumbles. 1st fd a run +115, 1st play to cross the 50 +145, 1st play to enter red zone run +140 - same reasoning here. Many more fds by both teams via the run. These are a jumpball kind of bet but I will take the + odds on something more prevalent to happen.
Bodog must have corrected, I see -165 for fumble.
No, it's not. Bodog probably has the correct number for fumble. Greek still holding +105 for fumble.
What's your true number there?I'd hit that +105 again.
I think -165 is the true number. I have what I want at +125, I don't need anymore.
 
Consider me shocked and incorrect with this line move. I thought it would close Auburn -3.5 due to the fact SEC has been great in the title game and how impressive a few of their teams were.

Thankfully I got down as much as I wanted on Oregon with -2.5 +158 and -2 +154 as well as +140 on the ml. I have looked for the last 20 mins to maybe get down more and I don't see much.
Sweet I got +141 at my unobtainable local, everyone pile into the wayback machine with me so we can hit it
 
Consider me shocked and incorrect with this line move. I thought it would close Auburn -3.5 due to the fact SEC has been great in the title game and how impressive a few of their teams were.

Thankfully I got down as much as I wanted on Oregon with -2.5 +158 and -2 +154 as well as +140 on the ml. I have looked for the last 20 mins to maybe get down more and I don't see much.
Sweet I got +141 at my unobtainable local, everyone pile into the wayback machine with me so we can hit it
Lump>HeyWhy not middle it with Auburn +315'?

My local was pissed when I pulled that #### on him.

 
Lots of love in here today. :)
Maybe I was a little harsh but +140 wasn't available EVER online, even at SIA, pinnacle was the best I could find, it hit +137 on 12/10 at 9:05am.glad you got +140 but it comes off as a brag post for how much you beat the line.
I bet it Dec 28 at midnight est at matchbook and my local website.And even so I'd be hard pressed to say the two bets at sia today are almost as good with a total in the 70s.
 
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I'm pretty dumb, so humor me. How does this:

MarshallPlan said:
Consider me shocked and incorrect with this line move. I thought it would close Auburn -3.5 due to the fact SEC has been great in the title game and how impressive a few of their teams were.
Jive with this:
MarshallPlan said:
I bet it Dec 28 at midnight est at matchbook and my local website.
So you are shocked and incorrect because you didn't see the line move,Yet, you actually did see the line move coming (and beat that move a cool two weeks ahead of time)? :shrug:
 
+140 was a good number at that time so I took it, not for a lot but oh well. And yes I thought it would close -3.5 but I was wrong.

Anyway, I'm not sure a special teams/def td gets scored tonight. The line has been coming down. But with a total in the 70s how many punt returns will we get? Also, with rushing offenses it's much tougher to return fumbles for tds then it is ints. Only thing is that you are going to have to dodge at least 10 kick returns.

 
Boy was I wrong. I really figured the money would come in on the Tigers. I bet Auburn last night at -2 to try and hit all the Ducks teasers I have (+8-+9) open in the middle. I guess i should have held off.

 
I am thinking that the 1st half might go over but the 2nd half might be low scoring considering how strong both teams are with making halftime adjustments. Oregon has outscored their opponents 115-24 in the 4th Q and Auburn has only given up 117(9pt/game) 2nd half points all year.

 
I also thought the line would move the other way, so I'm late to the party:

2u: Oregon ML +105

YTD: 74-55 57.4% +17.55u

 
ORE +10

UNDER 81

:goodposting:

Also small plays for fun:

Double Result: ORE Win 1st half - ORE Win Game -- 0.5u +175

L James - Rushing TD - Over 1.5 - 0.5u +105

L James - Receptions - Over 1.5 - 0.5u -125

CNewton - Longest Rush - Over 24.5 - 0.5u -130

Fannin Bets (via Marshall) 0.5u each

Under 4 Rush Att (-130)

Under 18.4 Rush Yds (-115)

Longest Rush Under 8.5 (-115)

 
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I played Fannan under on pretty much everything except for 1st carry.

Un 4 rushes -130

Un 18.5 rush yds -115

Un 9 yds long rush +115

No td -285

Un 48.5 rush/rec -205

Reason being in the last half of the year in every competitive game he hardly plays at all. Only games where he got 4 or more rushes was South Carolina (blowout) and Chattanoga (blowout). In what should be a close game, I'm not sure he sees the field much.

 
has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
I know I'm young but I can't say I have seen anything like this without any injury info. Moving from a weak 3 at many books to pk and Oregon favored at sharp books. I'm still not sure what to think about it as I thought people would be lining up at the window to bet the SEC.
 
I played Fannan under on pretty much everything except for 1st carry.Un 4 rushes -130Un 18.5 rush yds -115Un 9 yds long rush +115No td -285Un 48.5 rush/rec -205Reason being in the last half of the year in every competitive game he hardly plays at all. Only games where he got 4 or more rushes was South Carolina (blowout) and Chattanoga (blowout). In what should be a close game, I'm not sure he sees the field much.
tailing
 
has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
 
Another I bet at bodog. Yes either team scores 3x in a row -200. In a game with over 10 scores this seems pretty good.

Still waiting for no def/st score. But I will bet that at best price available.

 
has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
Ditto, this has been one crazy day...Total is moving up again, back to 73 at my Offshore. That's 10 TD's and a FG. I don't care who's playing, so many things have to go absolutely right for a Total to come in that high, I won't be able to look myself in the mirror tomorrow if I don't bet the Under, so I'm in there pretty deep, buying a 1/2 point to loosen up a little...also teasing Oregon/Under and Oregon ML.ST/DT Touchdown Yes just hit my Offshore at +135, MP, fyi...
 
has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
What I'd like to know is how much money is now pouring in on the Ducks to try and hit this in the middle. I can see why the line would move, but if I'm running a book I'd just juice up the Ducks line to +1 -130 before I'd let it cross zero.Sportsbook must have seen some action in the last 5 minutes. Now a pickem game, it was at 1 5 min ago.
 
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has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
What I'd like to know is how much money is now pouring in on the Ducks to try and hit this in the middle. I can see why the line would move, but if I'm running a book I'd just juice up the Ducks line to +1 -130 before I'd let it cross zero.
What tells you people are shooting for a middle here?
 
Another I bet at bodog. Yes either team scores 3x in a row -200. In a game with over 10 scores this seems pretty good. Still waiting for no def/st score. But I will bet that at best price available.
No -150?I hate that three scores in a row prop - the +175 for no always looks so tempting, especially in a game lined as a pk.
 
Since MP post a few plays that people can actually tail for once, I'll come in and say hello to my brethren for the Title Game.

On Auburn PK

:shrug:

 
Since MP post a few plays that people can actually tail for once, I'll come in and say hello to my brethren for the Title Game.On Auburn PK:shrug:
How's it going GB. :lmao: I bet -145 no def/st td at bodog Red. Figured the number couldn't get lower. I always find a way to lose these though.
 
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has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
What I'd like to know is how much money is now pouring in on the Ducks to try and hit this in the middle. I can see why the line would move, but if I'm running a book I'd just juice up the Ducks line to +1 -130 before I'd let it cross zero.
What tells you people are shooting for a middle here?
Nothing, thats why I am curious.I know that If I had a ticket on the ducks at +3 I'd gladly put down an equal bet on the Tigers at +1 and try and hit it in the middle.
 
has there ever been this much swing on the day of a big game?
For a championship game, I have never seen anything like it.I mean, I was kind of onboard with finding an Oregon #, thinking how overexposed Newton was and that Oregon had a good enough defense to surprise but with dueling -110 money lines, it's hard to not play Auburn given their rankings and ratings. This is a really good price on the Tigers.
What I'd like to know is how much money is now pouring in on the Ducks to try and hit this in the middle. I can see why the line would move, but if I'm running a book I'd just juice up the Ducks line to +1 -130 before I'd let it cross zero.
What tells you people are shooting for a middle here?
Nothing, thats why I am curious.I know that If I had a ticket on the ducks at +3 I'd gladly put down an equal bet on the Tigers at +1 and try and hit it in the middle.
Only reason why I ask is that if people were trying to hit middles we would probably see Auburn money coming in now and we aren't. Oregon up to -118 at pinny.
 
Interesting, probably irrelevant note: PAC 10 Dogs with regular season records that are 3 Games or more over .500 are 16-2 in Major Bowl Games...

For years, the SEC has been the best conference in College Football, but statistical and on the field analysis show the PAC 10 was actually stronger this Season, Team for Team...with all due respect to how good the SEC is, the 2010 PAC 10 isn't USC and the Creampuffs...this Season the P10's Average Team Rating was highest in the Nation. P10 played a tougher aggregate schedule than the SEC, and performed better against it, and that success tranferred over to the Bowls. SEC is 4-5 straight up in their Bowl Games despite being favored in 6 of them, and by an average of almost 3 points. After Arizona lost early in Bowl Season, UW upset Nebraska and Stanford routed VaTech. P10 has been disrespected for years, but P10 dogs are actually 20-6 in Major Bowls since 1997...Oregon won every game by 17 or more, including blowing out Stanford. Cal kept it close and low scoring, but Cal had a statistically better D than Auburn, and that was an in-Conference rivalry Game. Auburn played an easier schedule and won 4 Games by 3 or less, and 6 by 8 or less...

Two great Offenses, but Oregon has an definite advantage on Defense and Special Teams...

Go Ducks, and Good Luck, Fellas!

 

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