tailing (teaser)
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
The Ref
Footballguy
Lets put this another way - If you wanted to get in early on a Pats SB woul you rather pay -110 and lay 4 points and get the benny of a backup plan or would you rather get paid +140 and have to lay zero points.
Last edited by a moderator:
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
I'm going with the Jets +15.5 in a tease with GB +9.5 at Sportsbook.
I do like NE at -1.5 but I think the Jets are the play.
I do like NE at -1.5 but I think the Jets are the play.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
I see you Brasky, give us some pucks now and then brother!
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
He's just saying they are favs to get there and if they do it doesn't matter who they play they are laying more then 4. I think the AFC will be laying AT LEAST 3 no matter who makes it.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Also, Bender, I already miss him...
And in honor of our fallen comrade, I am heading out to the bar for Taco Tuesday and the Lake Show.
And in honor of our fallen comrade, I am heading out to the bar for Taco Tuesday and the Lake Show.
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I don't think the Ravens or Jets would be favored over the Falcons or Packers.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Why?The Jets laid 6.5 to GB at home a few months ago and they got 1.5 at Chicago just a few weeks ago. This tells me on a neutral field Jets would be favored. Yes, they lost both gms. But, Jets would be going through Indy, NE (SB favs), and then through Balt/Pitt on their way to the SB. Tougher road. Balt went to Atl and got just 1 pt. They did host Balt and laid just 1 though. I would venture to say if Balt wins this weekend then hosts Jets they may not be favored. But if they go to NE and win they will.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
He didn't say he would quit posting.lumpy19 said::fingerscrossed:MarshallPlan said:
modogg
Footballguy
played it light, but much appreciated
Man In The Box
Footballguy
I think you answered your own question.
What was the spread the last time the Jets played in Foxboro? 3? They lost that game too, now they're +9. Also, GB winning @PHI, @ATL, @CHI would be nothing to sneeze at.MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Spread was 4. Pats now are clear SB favorites after the run they have been on. Plus Pats have a week off and some rest. Line is now 8 to 8.5. We give the Pats 1 point for the week off that gets it to 5. We then give them 2 pts (imo) for recent form (crushing everyone). This line should be 7 I think. But, it's a point to point and a half too high. Jets were bigger dogs before the playoffs. We still have to keep in mind the AFC is -4 which is a very high number and tells us AFC is clearly better then the NFC.I think you answered your own question.
60% chance Pats reach SB and lay probably 7.
40% chance someone else goes. I know there's lots of possibilities but if the Pats are a 60% chance of laying a TD, I don't think the 40% chance moves this line 4-6 points.
Man In The Box
Footballguy
The line should be 7, even though it opened at 9, and hasn't budged at some books. OK.Your other made up percentages don't help your argument, either. Look, I think that if the Pats are the AFC representative in the SB, getting -4 now would be a good bet. If not, you'd be hoping for Seattle or possibly Chicago to come out of the NFC, or else you'll have yourself a bad line. Just one man's opinion.
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
I said the line should be 7 I think. That's my opinion. No made up percentages come on, Pats -145 at 5 dimes, -130 at Matchbook.
optionmaven
Footballguy
George Mason -4.5, Seton Hall -3, and the fish that saved Pittsburgh +2.5.
John Bender
Footballguy
If Levi sticks to his word, this will be a LHUCKS free thread going forward
zander_s
Footballguy
Odds that it happens?If Levi sticks to his word, this will be a LHUCKS free thread going forward
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
+800If Levi sticks to his word, this will be a LHUCKS free thread going forward
zander_s
Footballguy
Mind reader!!+800If Levi sticks to his word, this will be a LHUCKS free thread going forward
John Bender
Footballguy
Mind reader!!+800If Levi sticks to his word, this will be a LHUCKS free thread going forward
since this is the only thread I visit, I'm a happy camper.
John Bender
Footballguy
LHUCKS
Clorox
Footballguy
So that's what the "L" stands for! So much to learn here...
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
John Bender
Footballguy
Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
Get up there and clean it off!Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
I live in Buffalo and never had my Direct TV go out, we getting rocked with snow right now. (jinxed)Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
John Bender
Footballguy
####### 2 feet of snow brother. I tried using a golf ball extendable retriever - no dice. Gonna have to get the ladder out tomorrow morning.Get up there and clean it off!Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
2 feet? Stay inside, wrap yourself in a nice pink slanket and drink some hot cocoa, okay Princess?####### 2 feet of snow brother. I tried using a golf ball extendable retriever - no dice. Gonna have to get the ladder out tomorrow morning.Get up there and clean it off!Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
John Bender
Footballguy
I could give a #### about the snow - just not interested in breaking my neck trying to climb a ladder right now. Going to listen to some Stevie Wonder on grooveshark instead. :slapithigh: ?2 feet? Stay inside, wrap yourself in a nice pink slanket and drink some hot cocoa, okay Princess?####### 2 feet of snow brother. I tried using a golf ball extendable retriever - no dice. Gonna have to get the ladder out tomorrow morning.Get up there and clean it off!Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
I could give a #### about the snow - just not interested in breaking my neck trying to climb a ladder right now. Going to listen to some Stevie Wonder on grooveshark instead. :slapithigh: ?2 feet? Stay inside, wrap yourself in a nice pink slanket and drink some hot cocoa, okay Princess?####### 2 feet of snow brother. I tried using a golf ball extendable retriever - no dice. Gonna have to get the ladder out tomorrow morning.Get up there and clean it off!Would love to watch some hoops tonight but there's ####### snow covering the sat. dish on my room.
I had a dish for a while and ran into this problem often (live in Manitoba). Took a broom and extended the handle to about 20 feet long so I could just step out my door and clean it off.optionmaven
Footballguy
You know its just killing him too, thats the best part of it. I expect to see more LHUcks threads about betting. He won't be able to contain himself.8 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
7 Members: [icon], LHUCKS, Gottabesweet, Lupe, singman, nittanylion, Trey
Cliff Clavin
Footballguy
No more NBA thread for him eitherYou know its just killing him too, thats the best part of it. I expect to see more LHUcks threads about betting. He won't be able to contain himself.8 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
7 Members: [icon], LHUCKS, Gottabesweet, Lupe, singman, nittanylion, Trey
John Bender
Footballguy
i don't care if he posts elsewhere - I rarely venture elsewhere and when I see a thread of his, I just tend to ignore it.You know its just killing him too, thats the best part of it. I expect to see more LHUcks threads about betting. He won't be able to contain himself.8 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
7 Members: [icon], LHUCKS, Gottabesweet, Lupe, singman, nittanylion, Trey
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Working link for "The Fighter" on a boring, snowy Wednesday night.
http://www.sockshare.com/file/G2YU0FFMGFCO8OK
Just click "continue as free user" and click play for the stream.
http://www.sockshare.com/file/G2YU0FFMGFCO8OK
Just click "continue as free user" and click play for the stream.
lumpy19
Footballguy
I'd guess it doesn't snow much in Memphis, hope you're taking advantage and playing around in the snow with the Jeepduke -6 2hWe just got 6" of snow down here in Memphis. Pretty much the more snow then we've gotten in the previous 3 years combined. My DirecTV is fine
The Ref
Footballguy
Hope nobody tailed St Louis... he was shutout....
southeastjerome
Footballguy
With college FB over and with a few more weeks to the NFL season, tell me how it is you guys can bet on basketball? I don't mean that to be sarcasm, I just don't trust it. I don't watch any NBA except for the Celts and I do not watch any NCAA, but looking for a reason to get into it.
TheWick
Footballguy
I actually played Avs U28.5 earlier today...now I feel smart...lets hope it wins
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
[icon]
Insoxicated
yay. Now time to lose it backFSU +7 2H
MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Bet on it and don't watch it if you want to stay sane.
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
Don't bother, unless you have the time and really know what you're doing. I don't. At least not until we approach tourney time. Entertainment games sure, but the rest of it, nah. I love the break actually, haha...
lumpy19
Footballguy
IMO there is no tougher sport than the NBA.Work on CBB, it can be beat, look at smaller conferences and non-tv games
