FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

[Man In The Box]

I like Buffalo again this week. Who is starting at WR for Oakland? RN?

 

[Raider Nation]

Lubick, any thoughts on CSU/COLORADO?

 

[Raider Nation]

I like Buffalo again this week. Who is starting at WR for Oakland? RN?

No Ford. No Murphy. No DHB.Looking like the Schilens/Moore/Hagan show. :X

 

[BRONG]

Lubick, any thoughts on CSU/COLORADO?

Too emotionally invested to be rational I suppose but here's where I've been at... Earlier in the week I was thinking CU looked too good against Cal and was down on CSU because we lost our best player last week. A LB who leads the nation in tackles for loss the last 3 years; captain of the team. Also lost both fullbacks last week. However, CU is also hurting, starting a handful of inexperienced players including two tackles. It's enough for me to change my outlook and think that we can actually win, if not cover. We'll definitely be ready.I took CSU. Points and moneyline.

 

[Raider Nation]

Lubick, any thoughts on CSU/COLORADO?

Too emotionally invested to be rational I suppose but here's where I've been at... Earlier in the week I was thinking CU looked too good against Cal and was down on CSU because we lost our best player last week. A LB who leads the nation in tackles for loss the last 3 years; captain of the team. Also lost both fullbacks last week. However, CU is also hurting, starting a handful of inexperienced players including two tackles. It's enough for me to change my outlook and think that we can actually win, if not cover. We'll definitely be ready.I took CSU. Points and moneyline.

In at +7.

 

[The Ref]

Saturday's card so far from my "Hammer Time email list syndicate"...

Pick and choose if you wish, but if you play all of them I can almost guarantee a profit.

========================

Troy/Arkansas over 63 (My buddy's totals special of the week)

Oklahoma State -13

Temple +7

Maryland (Pick)

Central Florida -6

Houston -6.5

Auburn +3.5 (Okay at 3 as well if you can't get the hook)

Wyoming/Bowling Green over 54.5

Utah +4 -and- ML.

Nevada -6 (The guy who LOVES this one went 5-0 last week but I didn't post his plays because I was feeling him out.)

I like all of these plays except Central Florida. Florida International is a good squad. Strange thing at sportsbook - they are leting people bet with no juice on either side right now at -6. Someone made a mistake.

 

[bmj87]

1u Florida -9.5

1u Army +5.5

 

[optionmaven]

I took missouri st. +67 in a 10 pt teaser with cinci-24 and fiu +16.5. 67!!!! if they get one t.d., oregon needs to score 75 minimum.

 

[modogg]

My background music while studying CFB matchups this early morning...

 

[The Ref]

I took missouri st. +67 in a 10 pt teaser with cinci-24 and fiu +16.5. 67!!!! if they get one t.d., oregon needs to score 75 minimum.

Well looks like you got your TD - now you just have to make sure the Ducks dont hang a 75 on the board...

 

[Raider Nation]

Duke/BC over 50.

33 points in the 1st half.6 points in the 2nd half.

 

[optionmaven]

I took missouri st. +67 in a 10 pt teaser with cinci-24 and fiu +16.5. 67!!!! if they get one t.d., oregon needs to score 75 minimum.

Well looks like you got your TD - now you just have to make sure the Ducks dont hang a 75 on the board...

Wooohooo.....74-0 midway through the 1st quarter.

 

[optionmaven]

I took missouri st. +67 in a 10 pt teaser with cinci-24 and fiu +16.5. 67!!!! if they get one t.d., oregon needs to score 75 minimum.

Well looks like you got your TD - now you just have to make sure the Ducks dont hang a 75 on the board...

Wooohooo.....74-0 midway through the 1st quarter.

And seconds later, right on queue, oregon scores. i hope they run out of posessions.

 

[The Ref]

Duke/BC over 50.

33 points in the 1st half.6 points in the 2nd half.

Personaly I think the Auburn collapse was more of a fail here. I can say that becuase I was on them both.On a good note Nevada 13 First downs to 1. Of course the game is tied...

 

[The Ref]

Sportsbook still has the Fla Int C Florida game posted at even money for both sides. Never seen this before. I dont like the game but it would be nice to be able to bet a game with no juice.

Maybe they should have a new promotion, like a juice free game of the week or something.

 

[bmj87]

OK hold your nose on these late plays:

1u La Tech +6.5

1u Buffalo +4

1u Tulsa +13.5

1u UNLV +17.5

1u Arizona +9.5

 

[derek245583]

Remember my buddy who kills totals? He doesn't play them just to play them. In fact, he had nothing last week.Just sent this email, and I quote:

Troy/Arkansas goes WAY over 63

I'll post more if he sends more.

Total down to 61...that is odd

 

[Raider Nation]

The AC forum is ...

If anyone has a gut feeling on this, I'd appreciate the input. Playing my hated rival this week:

============

Non-PPR. I need 2 of these 3:

Vernon Davis

Jimmy Graham

Robert Meachem

NOTE: I am playing AGAINST Drew Brees, for what it's worth.

With Colston out and Moore iffy, I'm leaning towards both Saints over Davis.

WILL ANSWER YOURS!

 

[derek245583]

The AC forum is ...If anyone has a gut feeling on this, I'd appreciate the input. Playing my hated rival this week:============Non-PPR. I need 2 of these 3:Vernon DavisJimmy GrahamRobert MeachemNOTE: I am playing AGAINST Drew Brees, for what it's worth.With Colston out and Moore iffy, I'm leaning towards both Saints over Davis.WILL ANSWER YOURS!

I would take Meachem and Davis, but that is just me...I dont like have the WR's of the QB you are against.

 

[BRONG]

Gonna go pretty big on SDSU at half here...

 

[PatsFanCT]

Gonna go pretty big on SDSU at half here...

Just jumped in blind. I like a confident wagerer.

 

[BRONG]

Gonna go pretty big on SDSU at half here...

Just jumped in blind. I like a confident wagerer.

They are selling out to contain Hillman. Lindley just hasn't made 'em pay, yet. And Hillman will break some; I doubt they contain him all 4 quarters (although he does have 2 TDs already). They've got to start to wear down.

 

[modogg]

The AC forum is ...If anyone has a gut feeling on this, I'd appreciate the input. Playing my hated rival this week:============Non-PPR. I need 2 of these 3:Vernon DavisJimmy GrahamRobert MeachemNOTE: I am playing AGAINST Drew Brees, for what it's worth.With Colston out and Moore iffy, I'm leaning towards both Saints over Davis.WILL ANSWER YOURS!

I would take Meachem and Davis, but that is just me...I dont like have the WR's of the QB you are against.

i think Moore will play, even if limited, and will take some of the plays from Graham

 

[Clorox]

The AC forum is ...If anyone has a gut feeling on this, I'd appreciate the input. Playing my hated rival this week:============Non-PPR. I need 2 of these 3:Vernon DavisJimmy GrahamRobert MeachemNOTE: I am playing AGAINST Drew Brees, for what it's worth.With Colston out and Moore iffy, I'm leaning towards both Saints over Davis.WILL ANSWER YOURS!

I would take Meachem and Davis, but that is just me...I dont like have the WR's of the QB you are against.

i think Moore will play, even if limited, and will take some of the plays from Graham

Wouldn't he take more away from Meachem?

 

[cosjobs]

Pretty good day so far. I think I'll close out with a red-eye 3 teamer

Stanford -9.5 bought .5 pt

OSU -13.5

Hawaii -16.5 (bought .5 pt)

 

[LHUCKS]

Pretty good day so far. I think I'll close out with a red-eye 3 teamerStanford -9.5 bought .5 pt

Love Stanford here...they demolished us last year in Palo Alto, no reason to think anything has changed.

 

[LHUCKS]

My NFL bets

Games I like the Most

Cowboys -3 vs. 49ers (8 units) (five star lock)

Pats -7 vs. Chargers (4 units)

Saints -6.5 vs. Bears (4 units)

Games with slight leans-1 unit

Steelers - 14 vs. Seahawks

Browns -2.0 vs. Colts

Redskins -3.5 vs. Cards

Broncos -3.5 vs. Bengals

Lions -9 vs. Chiefs

 

[modogg]

The AC forum is ...If anyone has a gut feeling on this, I'd appreciate the input. Playing my hated rival this week:============Non-PPR. I need 2 of these 3:Vernon DavisJimmy GrahamRobert MeachemNOTE: I am playing AGAINST Drew Brees, for what it's worth.With Colston out and Moore iffy, I'm leaning towards both Saints over Davis.WILL ANSWER YOURS!

I would take Meachem and Davis, but that is just me...I dont like have the WR's of the QB you are against.

i think Moore will play, even if limited, and will take some of the plays from Graham

Wouldn't he take more away from Meachem?

hmm, to be honest i don't know bud. i will defer to GooRoo et al to answer this one better then

 

[The Ref]

Remember my buddy who kills totals? He doesn't play them just to play them. In fact, he had nothing last week.Just sent this email, and I quote:

Troy/Arkansas goes WAY over 63

I'll post more if he sends more.

Total down to 61...that is odd

I don't want to jinx it, that said your pal is good with totals.

 

[The Ref]

Remember my buddy who kills totals? He doesn't play them just to play them. In fact, he had nothing last week.Just sent this email, and I quote:

Troy/Arkansas goes WAY over 63

I'll post more if he sends more.

Total down to 61...that is odd

I don't want to jinx it, that said your pal is good with totals.

Your boy with :28 seconds to spare....

 

[PatsFanCT]

Gonna go pretty big on SDSU at half here...

Just jumped in blind. I like a confident wagerer.

They are selling out to contain Hillman. Lindley just hasn't made 'em pay, yet. And Hillman will break some; I doubt they contain him all 4 quarters (although he does have 2 TDs already). They've got to start to wear down.

Thanks for the easy dough.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Remember my buddy who kills totals? He doesn't play them just to play them. In fact, he had nothing last week.Just sent this email, and I quote:

Troy/Arkansas goes WAY over 63

I'll post more if he sends more.

For those who weren't watching, this seemed like a slam dunk with 59 points after 3 quarters.. I'm in the car now and will look up stats when I get home but I swear each team was in the red zone twice before they finally went over!Either way, good call RN

 

[Raider Nation]

Remember my buddy who kills totals? He doesn't play them just to play them. In fact, he had nothing last week.

Just sent this email, and I quote:

Troy/Arkansas goes WAY over 63

I'll post more if he sends more.

For those who weren't watching, this seemed like a slam dunk with 59 points after 3 quarters.. I'm in the car now and will look up stats when I get home but I swear each team was in the red zone twice before they finally went over!Either way, good call RN

He's also the one who called Utah +4 and ML. They won 54-10. I'm gonna post only his CFB picks for awhile. He's on fire.

 

[Raider Nation]

Cowboys -3 at San Francisco for a MILLION units please!

Okay. All systems GO. Feeling very good about this one.

Cowboys -3 vs. 49ers (8 units) (five star lock)

 

[cosjobs]

I've got a 4 team RR parlay by 3s. I won the first two (USC & OK) and now the rain delay is finally over for the Okla St/Tulsa tilt.

I have Ok St -13.5 and over 67.5

I think the extended delay will work to my advantage, esp. since the Tulsa QB has already been knocked out of the game. So looks like I'll be up for a couple more hours now. If both win, I net about 830, if only one wins, I get about 60.

:cheers:

 

[Jefferson the Caregiver]

2 plays for me today

Washington -3.5

GB-Carolina over 45

 

[PatsFanCT]

I'd give whatever points Vegas wants and still take Pittsburgh all day. -14 should be easy.

 

[kt3nlee]

thanks rn for the o63 arkansas/troy...



today i'm taking jets u39.5

schaub o21.5 completions

 

[bmj87]

2u UMD/WVU o58 (posted yesterday) 2u Iowa -3 1u Duke +7 1u Clemson -4.5 1u Florida -9.5 1u Army +5.5 1u La Tech +6.5 1u Buffalo +4 1u Tulsa +13.5 1u UNLV +17.5 1u Arizona +9.5

Awesome day yesterday, too bad the two late games couldn't hold up for the sweeeeep

 

[lumpy19]

teaser legs, big week

det -7.5

jets -8.5

ten +5.5

tampa +2.5

indy +2

sf +3

miami +3

ne -7

atl +2.5

 

[bmj87]

First NFL plays of the year:

1u Buffalo -4

1u Buffalo 1h -3

1u Washington -3.5

1u Washington 1h -3 +100

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

teaser legs, big weekdet -7.5jets -8.5ten +5.5tampa +2.5indy +2sf +3miami +3ne -7atl +2.5

84 bets, right (3 teamer)?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

2u UMD/WVU o58 (posted yesterday) 2u Iowa -3 1u Duke +7 1u Clemson -4.5 1u Florida -9.5 1u Army +5.5 1u La Tech +6.5 1u Buffalo +4 1u Tulsa +13.5 1u UNLV +17.5 1u Arizona +9.5

Awesome day yesterday, too bad the two late games couldn't hold up for the sweeeeep

very nice

 

[Man In The Box]

Haven't played much yet so far.

BUF-3 (-120)

Teasing TB/IND/NE/ATL (wish DET would go below 9 so I could play it)

I like DET a little, but 9 is a lot to lay.

Nice work yesterday bmj, also another thanks to RN for posting the Troy/Ark over.

 

[lumpy19]

teaser legs, big weekdet -7.5jets -8.5ten +5.5tampa +2.5indy +2sf +3miami +3ne -7atl +2.5

84 bets, right (3 teamer)?

yes, if that's too many dump san francisco, very marginal play

 

[LHUCKS]

Some player props I like

Felix Jones Over 58.5 yards rushing (Dez Bryant possibly out)

Aaron Rodgers Over 2.5 TDs + INTs

Adrian Peterson Over 101.5 yards rushing

Brandon LaFell Under 3.5 receptions

Kenny Britt Over 69.5 yards

Santana Moss Over 61.5 yards (five star lock)

 

[TheWick]

2011 NFL posted prop plays 12-6Schaub O21.5 compReggie Bush O68.5 rush+rec x2Stafford O20.5 compSanchez O18.5 compHolmes O60.5 rec ydsFitzpatrick O204.5 pass ydsSantana Moss O55.5 rec ydsFinley O51.5 rec ydsCam Newton O18 compFelix Jones O54.5 rush yds x2Orton U23 compDecker O2.5 comp

adding from sportsbettingKolb O18.5 compNate Washington U4.5 recBurleson -7.5 yds vs. BreastonCooley U44.5 rec yardsFtizpatrick O18.5 comp 2 unitsFitz -21.5 pass yds over CampbellMcGagee O46.5 rush ydsGarcon U4 recColt McCoy O17.5 comp 3 unitsDeAngelo +10.5 rush yds vs. Ryan Grant

 

[culdeus]

teaser legs, big weekdet -7.5jets -8.5ten +5.5tampa +2.5indy +2sf +3miami +3ne -7atl +2.5

What do you see in TEN? they are +6 -105 on SB at the moment. Total is low, but not sure that makes it better than just ATS. One issue with teasers is you need all the lines to line up at one place just perfect.

 

[LHUCKS]

Santana Moss Over 61.5 yards (five star lock)

I just have to point out how bad this is. Moss may not cover here, but this is a terrible line...all the action should be on the over.A) In 16 games last year with a sputtering offense Santana covered this yardage total 11 times out of 16. B) The AZ Cards secondary just gave up 412 yards passing to rookie Cam Newton.C) The best corner on AZ is a rookie.D) With Rex Grossman at QB, Santana hit the over here (61.5) all three games Rex started.Free Money

 

[TheGooRoo]

2011 NFL posted prop plays 12-6Schaub O21.5 compReggie Bush O68.5 rush+rec x2Stafford O20.5 compSanchez O18.5 compHolmes O60.5 rec ydsFitzpatrick O204.5 pass ydsSantana Moss O55.5 rec ydsFinley O51.5 rec ydsCam Newton O18 compFelix Jones O54.5 rush yds x2Orton U23 compDecker O2.5 comp

adding from sportsbettingKolb O18.5 compNate Washington U4.5 recBurleson -7.5 yds vs. BreastonCooley U44.5 rec yardsFtizpatrick O18.5 comp 2 unitsFitz -21.5 pass yds over CampbellMcGagee O46.5 rush ydsGarcon U4 recColt McCoy O17.5 comp 3 unitsDeAngelo +10.5 rush yds vs. Ryan Grant

Which ones do you recommend at current numbers?