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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (16 Viewers)

Screw it...

PHI -2.5 / NOLA -2 / ATL -1 / GBP pk

By 3's (2.5u t/w 4.5u)

By 4 (2.5u t/w 7.5u)
All comes down to Philly :unsure:
:shrug: I'm just going to let this one go.
:confused: You referring to laying anything off and just rolling w/ phi? Or something else.
no, just about laying off. Don't really see any reason to do it. There is live betting, but I've not even really touched live betting this year.
 
Talk me out of Mendenhall U3.5 First Rush Attempt. The Steelers' first rush attempt has gone under 3.5 in 5 out of 8 weeks. Two of the weeks over 3.5, Mendy went for 4 yards.ETA - looked up the Ravens' success on first running plays...4 out of 7 went for under 3.5.ETA2 - I miss playing GooRoo's props :kicksrock:
Good call, hopefully you went with your gut!ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
 
Talk me out of Mendenhall U3.5 First Rush Attempt. The Steelers' first rush attempt has gone under 3.5 in 5 out of 8 weeks. Two of the weeks over 3.5, Mendy went for 4 yards.ETA - looked up the Ravens' success on first running plays...4 out of 7 went for under 3.5.ETA2 - I miss playing GooRoo's props :kicksrock:
Good call, hopefully you went with your gut!ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
I'm moving soon. what are the chances I can get an account with my wife's name with the new addy?
 
ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
Glad to hear you are killing it! NFL props are absolutely a blast. I'm intrigued about the SB thing...I'll shoot you an email.ETA - :lmao: about the shed...good memory!
 
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Talk me out of Mendenhall U3.5 First Rush Attempt. The Steelers' first rush attempt has gone under 3.5 in 5 out of 8 weeks. Two of the weeks over 3.5, Mendy went for 4 yards.ETA - looked up the Ravens' success on first running plays...4 out of 7 went for under 3.5.ETA2 - I miss playing GooRoo's props :kicksrock:
Good call, hopefully you went with your gut!ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
I'm moving soon. what are the chances I can get an account with my wife's name with the new addy?
About 100% as long as they are still taking US customers.
 
Talk me out of Mendenhall U3.5 First Rush Attempt. The Steelers' first rush attempt has gone under 3.5 in 5 out of 8 weeks. Two of the weeks over 3.5, Mendy went for 4 yards.ETA - looked up the Ravens' success on first running plays...4 out of 7 went for under 3.5.ETA2 - I miss playing GooRoo's props :kicksrock:
Good call, hopefully you went with your gut!ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
I'm moving soon. what are the chances I can get an account with my wife's name with the new addy?
You'll have no problem
 
My first Double Result for kicks0.5u at +1400Tied @ Half / Steelers Win GameWorks out great. Don't like line/total for this game. Don't want to be stuck up late for a small sum. I know where I stand at the half. If it's a tie, I play the 2nd half to lock in some cash (or ride it out). If it's not tied at the half, I can comfortably go to bed at a reasonable hour content with a very solid weekend. Gll! :thumbup:
Damn Cundiff. :rant: That was almost a sweet hit.
 
My first Double Result for kicks

0.5u at +1400

Tied @ Half / Steelers Win Game
YOU HAVE GOT TO BE KIDDING MECundiff has missed 7 straight from 50+

Only 2 FG of 50+ in the 10 years in Pitt's stadium (both by Reed)

Cundiff nails it from 51 as time expires. :mellow:

Unreal... :lmao:

I had already figured out I was going to be able to lock in a nice 3-4u profit with a sweet middle of 4-5 points most likely for the whole schebang.

People to Kill List:

1) Billy Cundiff

 
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Talk me out of Mendenhall U3.5 First Rush Attempt. The Steelers' first rush attempt has gone under 3.5 in 5 out of 8 weeks. Two of the weeks over 3.5, Mendy went for 4 yards.ETA - looked up the Ravens' success on first running plays...4 out of 7 went for under 3.5.ETA2 - I miss playing GooRoo's props :kicksrock:
Good call, hopefully you went with your gut!ETA2 - Come on back man, having a blast. Last i heard, fresh Sportsbook accounts were pretty easy to come by. I want to buy you something nicer than a shed this time around :thumbup:
I'm moving soon. what are the chances I can get an account with my wife's name with the new addy?
You'll have no problem
:banned: :banned: :banned: :banned: :banned:
 
Sportsbetting has some odds up for NCAAB conference winners.Bets I really like:Ohio St. -125Bets I kind of like:Baylor +175Cal +700UNC -175
I am all over that Ohio State one. One of the larger future wagers I've ever laid. Nobody in the conference is even close to being on OSU's level. Also have money on Baylor, Cal, and Iowa State.
 
Sportsbetting has some odds up for NCAAB conference winners.

Bets I really like:

Ohio St. -125

Bets I kind of like:

Baylor +175

Cal +700

UNC -175
I bet the bolded, got some at +800 and some at +700. UCLA playing all their "home" games off campus is a big mistake, really like that Cal bet. It's the only NCAAB future I played.
 
Weekend wrapup:

LSU/BAMA 15-21 TOtal Points +1000 > WIN (0.5u to win 5u)

LSU/BAMA 14 or Less Total Points +1500 > LOSS (-0.5u)

LSU/BAMA 1st Score Not A TD +175 > WIN (1u to win 1.75u)

Trent Richardson 90 or less Rush Yards +400 > WIN (1u to win 4u)

7pt Teaser - LSU +11.5 / OKL -7 > WIN (2u to win 1.75u)

Boise / UNLV - 2H Over 30 > WIN (0.5u to win 0.4u)

7pt 8-team Lumpy Lottery Ticket Teaser > LOSS (-1u)

6pt NFL Teaser - ATL / NO / GBP > WIN (2.5u to win 4.5u)

6pt NFL Teaser - PHI / NO / ATL > PENDING (2.5u to win 4.5u)

6pt NFL Teaser - PHI / NO / GBP > PENDING (2.5u to win 4.5u)

6pt NFL Teaser - PHI / NO / GBP / ATL > PENDING (2.5u to win 7.5u)

BAL/PIT Double Result Lottery Ticket (1H TIE > GAME PIT) +1400 > LOSS (-0.5u) :hot:
6-3 Total > 6-1 Non "Lottery Ticket" Plays for a total of +15.5u

PENDING ACTION:

With 7.5u risked to win 16.5u on PHI -2.5 Tonight (total of 24 units on the line)

Halfway considering laying off some of this action at CHI +8 for a healthy middle (3-7) since I've got such a large chunk riding here. Of course, then I'll feel like a jackass if PHI takes Chicago to the woodshed. :lmao:

 
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You know a sign that I have not watched or even payed attention to the NFL.

I searched this morning for the Philly score for 5 minutes before realizing the game hasn't played yet. :bag:

 
So here are my options for tonight. Eager to hear some thoughts:

Let it RIde:

PHI L or W By <3 : -7u

PHI W by 3+ : +16.5u

Play 5u on CHI +8

PHI L or W by <3 : -3u

PHI W by 3-7 : +21u

PHI W by 8 : +16.5u

PHI W by 9+ : +11.5u

Play 10u on CHI +8

PHI L or W by <3 : +1.5u

PHI W by 3-7 : +25.5u

PHI W by 8 : +16.5u

PHI W by 9+ : +6.5u

Play 15u on CHI +8

PHI L or W by <3 : -3u

PHI W by 3-7 : +30.5u

PHI W by 8 : +16.5u

PHI W by 9+ : +1.5

The main reason I'm considering is not to get out from under my PHI -2.5, but that I've got a great opportunity for a middle here (3-7 with a push on 8) that's tough to ignore. If I'm pretty sure PHI covers and think there's a good chance they blow them out by 9+ then I should only lay off 5u (or let it ride if I'm sure of a blowout). If I'm thinking a chance of a blow out, but leaning middle then 10u is the play. If I'm gung ho on the middle or worried about Chicago winning or losing by a point or two, then 15u is the play.

These are pretty rough unit conversions but you get the idea. Which way is the action steaming? I ASSUME more money will come in on PHI meaning the line COULD move to +8.5 but I'm not sure.

Thoughts? :D

 
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Anybody looking at College Basketball yet?

St johns line looks like it dropped to -8 from opening higher. Is William and mary a sleeper non major school team or just a non major team?

 
Anybody looking at College Basketball yet?St johns line looks like it dropped to -8 from opening higher. Is William and mary a sleeper non major school team or just a non major team?
St Johns is basically replacing their entire team, WM is returning 12 of 13, thats why the line dropped from 10 to 8 IMO. The St johns players are far superior athletes but they've never really played together. I played u137 but I'm not touching the side.
 
What is the o/u for Celek's yardage tonight. I need 70 yards and a TD to beat my hated rival.

:scared:

He's scored in his past two games, and Chicago doesn't cover the TE well, but I still give myself only about a 35% chance.

 
What is the o/u for Celek's yardage tonight. I need 70 yards and a TD to beat my hated rival.:scared:He's scored in his past two games, and Chicago doesn't cover the TE well, but I still give myself only about a 35% chance.
Brent Celek (Eagles) Total Receptions - Receptions 0/u3.5 (-115)Brent Celek (Eagles) Will He Score a Touchdown - Yes+140:sadbanana: doesn't look good GB
 
Let it ride, or the 5u on Chicago if it makes your evening less stressful.
This. the 5u makes the most sense if you want a middle. Your risk is cut to less than half and if you win, the minimum won is only decreased by a third.
Yeah I'm leaning this way as well. Gives me the fun of a middle to root for, cuts risk in case the game goes awry, and doesn't cost a ton in the event PHI runs away with it. EDIT: CHI +8 Played for 5u. Thanks for the feedback guys. :thumbup:

 
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OK aside from having a billion units on the Eagles' teaser leg tonight, COLLEGE BASKETBALL BEGINS

We had a good run last year, to summarize:

In college hoops, a touch over 54%, good for +18.95u

Nothing on the card tonight, but there's sure to be some great lines in the opening week!

 
OK aside from having a billion units on the Eagles' teaser leg tonight, COLLEGE BASKETBALL BEGINSWe had a good run last year, to summarize:In college hoops, a touch over 54%, good for +18.95uNothing on the card tonight, but there's sure to be some great lines in the opening week!
Looking forward to the CBB plays again this year
 
I also have been working on college totals, so while this is completely unofficial, I'll post my total plays.

Due to other obligations, I can't run these numbers and play them right at open. So we'll likely be behind the ball on some of these plays, but =they've shown promise.

I would not advise tailing, but if you're a degenerate or need some action, follow along:

EKent/Miss St UNDER 133.5

 
Forgot to add, I'll personally be playing these for half a unit, but once again would not advise tailing. I'm posting mostly for record keeping purposes

 
Here's my big bet for next week.

3 team, 7 point teaser:

Jags +4 @ Colts (The Colts D is so bad even the Jags can score on them and no Dallas Clark)

Texans +4 @ Bucs (The Texans are a good team, should have Andre Johnson back and the Bucs lost DT McCoy)

Packers -6.5 vs Vikings (The Vikings lost to the Packers three weeks ago and now face them in GB on Monday night)

 
OK aside from having a billion units on the Eagles' teaser leg tonight, COLLEGE BASKETBALL BEGINSWe had a good run last year, to summarize:In college hoops, a touch over 54%, good for +18.95uNothing on the card tonight, but there's sure to be some great lines in the opening week!
Teaser Schmeaser:Tom Broekhoff (valpos) over 15 points + rebounds
 
Early leans for next week (lines represent 6pt Teases) :

SD -0.5 vs OAK

THIS is the week SD throws that switch they always do around this time of the year. They almost got GB last week. This week they win at home. McFadden likely still unlikely to be playing.

BAL -1 @ SEA - (MOVING TO -0.5)

Emboldened by their win @ PIT, BAL takes their physical game to the west coast and walks away a winner.

GB -7.5 vs MIN

No way MIN can keep up with Green Bay at Lambeau

less favorable

STL +8.5 @ CLE

Purely a system play right now, but the addition of Lloyd opens up new possibilities for this team.

 
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BEARS +13 at PHI

Is Philly for real now or were they just the beneficiaries of a horrid Romo showing? Surely they're not going to be posting 500yds of offense on the Bears? That Dallas game was their first win/cover of the season and it's against a 1-3 Road team (Dallas).
:unsure: Cmon Iggles.... :rant:

EDIT: Well... if PHI are going to blow up and drop some points on CHI at least this sets up the middle :popcorn:

 
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Soooo... um.. dear Epic-Team PHI..... YOu guys can turn on the offense anytime you want now.... :unsure:

Regretting not sticking with my gut on this game re: the Bears.

 
Welll...... that was fun :lmao:

Now I hope the eagles lose in glorious fashion.... Ideally a Pick 6 while Vick is injured. :whistle:

 
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Sportsbetting has some odds up for NCAAB conference winners.

Bets I really like:

Ohio St. -125

Bets I kind of like:

Baylor +175

Cal +700

UNC -175
I bet the bolded, got some at +800 and some at +700. UCLA playing all their "home" games off campus is a big mistake, really like that Cal bet. It's the only NCAAB future I played.
Zona just looks messy. They have big recruiting classes coming, but that roster just doesn't look like a conf. champ to me, even in the vaunted P12. I think it's a two-horse race betw. UCLA and Cal.
 
Is Jaws a total ######## or what? Vick puts it in Maclins hands and he can't keep his balance? WTF game is he watching?

 
Is Jaws a total ######## or what? Vick puts it in Maclins hands and he can't keep his balance? WTF game is he watching?
no idea what Jaws said about it, but that throw was pretty high. looked like a great catch to me. sucked that he lost his balance afterwards.
 
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Got that right, terrible night. Bears last score tdLast score tdPhilly -7 2hVick ov 27.5 rush yds 2h (had 25)Under 3.5 fgsPhilly -7/ov 23.5 2h parlayNot good at all - I've certainly lost more on one game but the way it happened was not good. Back to the drawing board.
 
Is Jaws a total ######## or what? Vick puts it in Maclins hands and he can't keep his balance? WTF game is he watching?
no idea what Jaws said about it, but that throw was pretty high. looked like a great catch to me. sucked that he lost his balance afterwards.
Fantastic catch, Maclin -10.5 yards over roy williams, needed that catch for the W, I'll take it, could care less that he didn't get the first down
 
Is Jaws a total ######## or what? Vick puts it in Maclins hands and he can't keep his balance? WTF game is he watching?
no idea what Jaws said about it, but that throw was pretty high. looked like a great catch to me. sucked that he lost his balance afterwards.
Fantastic catch, Maclin -10.5 yards over roy williams, needed that catch for the W, I'll take it, could care less that he didn't get the first down
ditto at O60.5 yards...feel sorry for anyone that got on late at O63.5BTW - draftstreet trial run was a failure...close but no cigar
 

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