FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (15 Viewers)

[Raider Nation]

http://www.firstrowsports.tv/watch/97827/1/watch-eastern-washington-vs-ucla.html

 

[xulf]

I dont know if anyone is watching the UCLA game but I'll be looking to go U in the 2H. both teams are using the whole clock every time.

Don't have the game, but that score is gross...i will be with you

 

[The Ref]

I dont know if anyone is watching the UCLA game but I'll be looking to go U in the 2H. both teams are using the whole clock every time.

Don't have the game, but that score is gross...i will be with you

Meh. Sportsbook ins't offering 2H.

 

[mquinnjr]

Thinking a strong hedge teaser for Sunday is Skins @ Giants for 7 points, taking the Giants PK and O39.5

 

[bmj87]

I'm on ucla as well. I have faith in Santa.

Ho ho ho ma'####ers we might be back

 

[nittanylion]

I'm on ucla as well. I have faith in Santa.

Ho ho ho ma'####ers we might be back

Tailed you for some Wednesday night action. Nice work. Thanks!

 

[lumpy19]

Clippers +2 for 2 units on today's news. Run don't walk.

I'll be on GSW here. It's going to be awesome watching paul/griffin together but it's going to take a little time IMO for them to get used to each other.

 

[culdeus]

are you guys really betting preseason nba?

 

[lumpy19]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this week

i might have to start now to get all the plays in

Dallas

NYG

NO

buf(hopefully)

hou

ten

cin(marginal)

oak

NE

NYJ

az

SD

pit

13 teams 286 3 teamers

 

[lumpy19]

are you guys really betting preseason nba?

I will be if there are lines but i was talking about opening day on christmas, GSW/LAC at 10:35

 

[culdeus]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this weeki might have to start now to get all the plays inDallasNYGNObuf(hopefully)houtencin(marginal)oakNENYJazSDpit13 teams 286 3 teamers

 

[The Ref]

Clippers +2 for 2 units on today's news. Run don't walk.

I'll be on GSW here. It's going to be awesome watching paul/griffin together but it's going to take a little time IMO for them to get used to each other.

The line hardly budged. Now 1.5.

 

[mquinnjr]

Anyone want to do some UEFA Europa League games this afternoon? I'm bored. 6 games at 1PM EST. I'm basically blind betting, so I'll tail with you guys if anyone has a good feel for these matches.

 

[[icon]]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this weeki might have to start now to get all the plays inDallasNYGNObuf(hopefully)houtencin(marginal)oakNENYJazSDpit13 teams 286 3 teamers

 

[xulf]

Complete newbie question - do you outline your 3-team teaser picks? If so is there some sort of program or trick to do it to make sure you get them all?

 

[The Ref]

For anyone eyeballing the NE/Den game - not only has the line moved to 6.5 it is now -115 NE.

Personaly I have NE at -6 and I'm going to dare Deacon Tebow into making me pay, but it does look this will get to 7 for you believers... sort to speak.

 

[lumpy19]

Complete newbie question - do you outline your 3-team teaser picks? If so is there some sort of program or trick to do it to make sure you get them all?

I number each team and then work my way thru the number combinations. Thats the most efficient way I've found. I'm not aware of a "quick" way to get it done, on a week like this it's going to take an hour or 2

 

[culdeus]

This sure does feel like a trap after last week.



:cracksnuckles:

 

[MarshallPlan]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this weeki might have to start now to get all the plays inDallasNYGNObuf(hopefully)houtencin(marginal)oakNENYJazSDpit13 teams 286 3 teamers

Are you doing your own thing now and not going through the 7 and 3? Dallas, NYG, NO, Hou, Ten, Cincy, NE, AZ - all can be had at -6.5 right now. I'd want to run numbers on teasing -6.5 road favs before blindly betting these. I seem to remember road favs of -7.5 weren't even profitable longrun.

 

[The Ref]

for a litte afternoon footy - Man U reserves for 1 unit.

 

[lumpy19]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this weeki might have to start now to get all the plays inDallasNYGNObuf(hopefully)houtencin(marginal)oakNENYJazSDpit13 teams 286 3 teamers

Are you doing your own thing now and not going through the 7 and 3? Dallas, NYG, NO, Hou, Ten, Cincy, NE, AZ - all can be had at -6.5 right now. I'd want to run numbers on teasing -6.5 road favs before blindly betting these. I seem to remember road favs of -7.5 weren't even profitable longrun.

I tease -6.5 if the no vig ML is greater than -240, home/road, I don't give a ####, comes back to the ML

 

[lumpy19]

boy i really like the dillard props tonight....

against most of the TG props too....

 

[Man In The Box]

For anyone eyeballing the NE/Den game - not only has the line moved to 6.5 it is now -115 NE. Personaly I have NE at -6 and I'm going to dare Deacon Tebow into making me pay, but it does look this will get to 7 for you believers... sort to speak.

Already on this at 6. Probably put a little more on 6.5. Also on NE TT over 26. Pulling an RN so to speak on the Pats this week. Hopeful for the same result.

 

[Raider Nation]

Falcons moved from 11 to 11.5 to 12. You guys feel comfortable laying that kind of wood?

I already have dough on the ATL team total over 27. It's now at 27.5.

I can see a final of 34-13 or so.

 

[tjnc09]

I'm leaning 6 pt teaser atl -6 / over. Jac defense is a shell of what it was and think Ryan throws at will tonight

 

[xulf]

Complete newbie question - do you outline your 3-team teaser picks? If so is there some sort of program or trick to do it to make sure you get them all?

I number each team and then work my way thru the number combinations. Thats the most efficient way I've found. I'm not aware of a "quick" way to get it done, on a week like this it's going to take an hour or 2

Found this site http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations-calculator.htmlYou can put the team abreviations in and it will create all the combinations for you. If you select the "csv" then hit the List button, it will put them in a nice format of one 3-way teaser per line

 

[MarshallPlan]

looks like a MONSTER teaser week this weeki might have to start now to get all the plays inDallasNYGNObuf(hopefully)houtencin(marginal)oakNENYJazSDpit13 teams 286 3 teamers

Are you doing your own thing now and not going through the 7 and 3? Dallas, NYG, NO, Hou, Ten, Cincy, NE, AZ - all can be had at -6.5 right now. I'd want to run numbers on teasing -6.5 road favs before blindly betting these. I seem to remember road favs of -7.5 weren't even profitable longrun.

I tease -6.5 if the no vig ML is greater than -240, home/road, I don't give a ####, comes back to the ML

Isn't the number supposed to be at least -300? -240 and your gonna start teasing 5.5 pt favs as well.

 

[tjnc09]

Is there anyway RG3 goes after pick 8? Bodog has a prop

Under 8.5 -120

Over 8.5 -120

For draft position?

 

[Raider Nation]

Is there anyway RG3 goes after pick 8? Bodog has a propUnder 8.5 -120Over 8.5 -120For draft position?

free

 

[cheese]

Is there anyway RG3 goes after pick 8? Bodog has a prop

Under 8.5 -120

Over 8.5 -120

For draft position?

There is definitely a chance, but it depends on how some of these 4/5 win teams line up. I'm leaning exactly 8th, if you consider the order is something like...Indy - Luck

STL - Bradford

Minny - Ponder

Cleve - Barkley ???

Carolina - Cam

Jacksonville - Gabbert

Tampa Bay - Freeman

Miami - ??? RG3??

Washington - ???

Kansas City - ???

Buffallo - Fitz?

As long as Cleveland takes a QB, one of Miami/Wash/KC should have a shot in the top 8. Obviously if Cleve prefers RG3 to Barkley, that works too.

 

[[icon]]

Complete newbie question - do you outline your 3-team teaser picks? If so is there some sort of program or trick to do it to make sure you get them all?

I number each team and then work my way thru the number combinations. Thats the most efficient way I've found. I'm not aware of a "quick" way to get it done, on a week like this it's going to take an hour or 2

Found this site http://www.mathsisfun.com/combinatorics/combinations-permutations-calculator.htmlYou can put the team abreviations in and it will create all the combinations for you. If you select the "csv" then hit the List button, it will put them in a nice format of one 3-way teaser per line

Great link..thanks GB.

 

[D-BO]

Definitely tailing the Falcons TT.

Some Hockey plays

Red Wings ML

Flyers ML

Flyers/Habs o5.5

Canucks in regulation

Jets ML

 

[Doctor Detroit]

83% of the public is on the Pats. :trap:

 

[culdeus]

Anyone want to give me WDIS support?

Spoiler

Need to pick 2RB 3WR 1Flex from list below. Somehow this ####ty bunch has the first seed in the playoffs.

Benson, Cedric CIN RB (P) 129.10 7

Gerhart, Toby MIN RB 69.40 9

Green-Ellis, BenJarvus NEP RB 120.20 7

Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB 179.70 6

Thomas, Daniel MIA RB ® 64.80 5

Burleson, Nate DET WR 97.30 9

Colston, Marques NOS WR 138.60 11

Driver, Donald GBP WR 75.20 8

Green, A.J. CIN WR ® 161.40 7

Johnson, Andre HOU WR (Q) 75.40 11

Knox, Johnny CHI WR 101.20 8

 

[Warehouse Nasty]

For anyone eyeballing the NE/Den game - not only has the line moved to 6.5 it is now -115 NE. Personaly I have NE at -6 and I'm going to dare Deacon Tebow into making me pay, but it does look this will get to 7 for you believers... sort to speak.

Already on this at 6. Probably put a little more on 6.5. Also on NE TT over 26. Pulling an RN so to speak on the Pats this week. Hopeful for the same result.

This line seems high to me. NE was 7.5 over Washington. How is Denver only one point better than Washington? Add on top of that Denver has a better homefield advantage. I'm sure I'll be on Denver. Also love the over here. NE can't stop anybody; their defense is atrocious.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Nevermind on the teaser, line to 13.5 now. Will join on the Atlanta TT though.

May have a hockey play later as well.

 

[Cawbird]

Either of these to consider for the Atl/Jac game tonight?

1. Jacksonville's 3rd game in 11 days and defense is decimated

2. Atlanta has HUGE showdown with New Orleans next week..........possible trap game here? Not saying at all that they will lose, but do they overlook this game?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Still feeling out hockey but I like these two tonight:

Rangers +125

Caps -115

 

[Billy Bats]

Falcons moved from 11 to 11.5 to 12. You guys feel comfortable laying that kind of wood?I already have dough on the ATL team total over 27. It's now at 27.5.I can see a final of 34-13 or so.

Up to 13.5 at most casinos. Does that say blowout?? I certainly dont feel comfortable laying that much with Atlanta. I think ill just make a small play on the overs. What's everyone else doing with this one?

 

[The Ref]

Team totals for the game tomorrow night are finally posted.

Let's keep the train rolling. I was 3-0 on team totals on Sunday (Pats/Packers/Chargers).

The Falcons TT is 27. I like the over quite a bit. They are averaging slightly less than that at home this year, but this one should cash. National TV game. They need to keep winning for playoff positioning. And even if Atlanta has trouble moving the ball against JAX (which they won't), Gabbert is good for at least one crucial turnover in his own end.

I would play this up to 28, where you'll at least push.

Be glad you bougght early its up to 28 -130.

 

[[icon]]

Nevermind on the teaser, line to 13.5 now. Will join on the Atlanta TT though.

Man this game is MOVING.... 14 / 28TT (-130) now

 

[The Ref]

Falcons moved from 11 to 11.5 to 12. You guys feel comfortable laying that kind of wood?I already have dough on the ATL team total over 27. It's now at 27.5.I can see a final of 34-13 or so.

Up to 13.5 at most casinos. Does that say blowout?? I certainly dont feel comfortable laying that much with Atlanta. I think ill just make a small play on the overs. What's everyone else doing with this one?

Sportsbook is already on 14. At this point I'd just pass, but if you had a gun to my head I'd take Atl and not jax.

 

[[icon]]

1 unit

Falcons - Total Points

Over 28 (-130)

1 unit

Cowboys(Dallas) -1 (-105)

Falcons(Atlanta) -8

Patriots(NewEngland) -0.5 (-115)

1 unit

Packers(GreenBay) -7

Patriots(NewEngland) +0.5

Seahawks(Seattle) -3

Still sitting on 2 units NE over 11.5 Wins too....

 

[Dexter Manley]

Atlanta -13.5 1 unit

Really blew it by not playing this earlier this week and getting a better #, but I still like the ATL at -14 or lower.

 

[Dexter Manley]

Anyone want to give me WDIS support?

Spoiler

Need to pick 2RB 3WR 1Flex from list below. Somehow this ####ty bunch has the first seed in the playoffs.Benson, Cedric CIN RB (P) 129.10 7 Gerhart, Toby MIN RB 69.40 9 Green-Ellis, BenJarvus NEP RB 120.20 7 Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB 179.70 6 Thomas, Daniel MIA RB ® 64.80 5 Burleson, Nate DET WR 97.30 9 Colston, Marques NOS WR 138.60 11 Driver, Donald GBP WR 75.20 8 Green, A.J. CIN WR ® 161.40 7 Johnson, Andre HOU WR (Q) 75.40 11 Knox, Johnny CHI WR 101.20 8

Assuming ADP plays and AJ doesn't, this is who I would roll with:Benson, Cedric CIN RB (P) 129.10 7 Lynch, Marshawn SEA RB 179.70 6 Colston, Marques NOS WR 138.60 11 Driver, Donald GBP WR 75.20 8 Green, A.J. CIN WR ® 161.40 7 Knox, Johnny CHI WR 101.20 8

 

[Man In The Box]

For anyone eyeballing the NE/Den game - not only has the line moved to 6.5 it is now -115 NE. Personaly I have NE at -6 and I'm going to dare Deacon Tebow into making me pay, but it does look this will get to 7 for you believers... sort to speak.

Already on this at 6. Probably put a little more on 6.5. Also on NE TT over 26. Pulling an RN so to speak on the Pats this week. Hopeful for the same result.

This line seems high to me. NE was 7.5 over Washington. How is Denver only one point better than Washington? Add on top of that Denver has a better homefield advantage. I'm sure I'll be on Denver. Also love the over here. NE can't stop anybody; their defense is atrocious.

I don't bother with what a spread was last week, and this team beat that team, so that team should kill this team, etc...This is a step up in class for Denver. Tebow won't be able to withstand a slow start in this one IMO. If he goes 3/16 thru 3 quarters, he'll be down by a lot more than 10 points. I also think Denver's D is a bit overrated. They've been exposed a few times against good offenses.

 

[BRONG]

ATL is 15.5 now, wtf?

 

[BRONG]

Dear FFAWTers,

If I was a gambler, I would bet this horse in the 9th at HAW:

N O B L E G R A C E

You have 25 minutes to do so.

Love,

Santa Claus

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

83% of the public is on the Pats. :trap:

love the DEN side fo sho.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

tonight's line movement =

seems like things are pretty evenly split, despite the move from 11----->13.5