FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

[Doctor Detroit]

How did the Cowboys not get that? Oof.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

 

[Raider Nation]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

Start crackin the books for the games tomorrow, fella. Huge day coming up... I'm riding you all the way to the payout window!!!

 

[Guster]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

Start crackin the books for the games tomorrow, fella. Huge day coming up... I'm riding you all the way to the payout window!!!

 

[The Ref]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

As I said at the start of the game I'm looking to get a middle here sometime around now. I just passed up 44.5.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

Start crackin the books for the games tomorrow, fella. Huge day coming up... I'm riding you all the way to the payout window!!!

Here is what I have tomorrow gb:South Carolina -1.5 1.5u

USC/Nebraska under 48.5 2u

Oregon -5.5

Stanford/Okie State U 73.5

Georgia -3

If Penn State gets a hook I might do that one as well but that USC/Neb game is HUGE for me.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Why did that idiot not just run for the first down? What a tool.

 

[Raider Nation]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

Start crackin the books for the games tomorrow, fella. Huge day coming up... I'm riding you all the way to the payout window!!!

Here is what I have tomorrow gb:South Carolina -1.5 1.5u

USC/Nebraska under 48.5 2u

Oregon -5.5

Stanford/Okie State U 73.5

Georgia -3

If Penn State gets a hook I might do that one as well but that USC/Neb game is HUGE for me.

Yeah, you've been hot for that USC/NEB under since it came out. Hmmm.Oregon went from 6 to 5.5 and now I'm seeing 5. I like them also, but it makes me nervous. The over there might be in play.

 

[Raider Nation]

FYI

PITT -8

DEN 35.5

CIN 38

HOU -3

DET 58

N.O. -10

 

[Doctor Detroit]

34.5

27.5

20.5Man I would love to have that FG in here, I'd feel pretty confident since the Cowboys moved the ball ok last drive. Need 14 Cowboys points!

 

[The Ref]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

Denver TT u is probably a good bet. Like 14? No way they score 14.

 

[Raider Nation]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

I love, love PITT teased down to 2... but with what else? Gonna have to see what the Giants/Falcons line looks like. We might be able to get ATL +7.5 or 8.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

I love, love PITT teased down to 2... but with what else? Gonna have to see what the Giants/Falcons line looks like. We might be able to get ATL +7.5 or 8.

Cincy +9 or the under 41.5 in the Steelers game both look good.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Cincy is +3 -125

Two missed FGs in this game, ####.

 

[The Ref]

34.5

27.5I have two O 41 and one O 41.5 FWIW. I guess this isn't gonna gather the steam we had in here last night, and I also realize I'm actually going to need Dallas to score 14-17 points to hit this.

Start crackin the books for the games tomorrow, fella. Huge day coming up... I'm riding you all the way to the payout window!!!

Here is what I have tomorrow gb:South Carolina -1.5 1.5u

USC/Nebraska under 48.5 2u

Oregon -5.5

Stanford/Okie State U 73.5

Georgia -3

If Penn State gets a hook I might do that one as well but that USC/Neb game is HUGE for me.

just got to 7.5.....

 

[D-BO]

2 missed FGs. Damn it!

Anything for 2nd half?

 

[Man In The Box]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

I'll definitely be teasing Pit/Cin. 35.5 is about what I expected for Pit/Den and actually like the under there.

 

[The Ref]

34.5

27.5

20.5Man I would love to have that FG in here, I'd feel pretty confident since the Cowboys moved the ball ok last drive. Need 14 Cowboys points!

AND....... out. O21 2H. Playing for a 6 point middle. If I had to guess I say this game goes over.

 

[John Bender]

Early bet on Cincy money line for me. My favorite pick of the season I think.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Best Picture - The Artist +120

 

[shake zula]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

pitt -2 with cincy +8.5 is very nice. i think cincy wins outright.

 

[Raider Nation]

If Penn State gets a hook I might do that one as well but that USC/Neb game is HUGE for me.

just got to 7.5

I'm gonna need a breakdown here.Obviously, Houston's offense is light years better than Penn State's. Is it just the theory of stepping up in class from C-USA's crap defenses to a studly Big-10 defense? I guess PSU also has a shot to maul the Cougs in the run game, but that QB situation is dreadful.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

1.5u on 2nd half under 21. Can't get a middle but I could push this one and win the teasers.

I hate doing this.

 

[MarshallPlan]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

I love, love PITT teased down to 2... but with what else? Gonna have to see what the Giants/Falcons line looks like. We might be able to get ATL +7.5 or 8.

I thought before tonight's game Atl may be pk or slight favs at the NFC East winner. Not so much anymore. But, I think this line is close to pk and you get to tease Atl.

 

[Raider Nation]

FYIPITT -8DEN 35.5CIN 38HOU -3DET 58N.O. -10

Cinci looks OK I guess.

I love, love PITT teased down to 2... but with what else? Gonna have to see what the Giants/Falcons line looks like. We might be able to get ATL +7.5 or 8.

I thought before tonight's game Atl may be pk or slight favs at the NFC East winner. Not so much anymore. But, I think this line is close to pk and you get to tease Atl.

You would think the books would make this a pick instead of letting ATL get 1 or 1.5. Opens up the teaser windows and they could be vulnerable. Especially since playoff games tend to be closer to the closing line than regular season games.* *Just a guess, anyway.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

1.5u on 2nd half under 21. Can't get a middle but I could push this one and win the teasers.I hate doing this.

Did get it at +110. Rooting for 21 on the nose!!!!!

 

[The Ref]

If Penn State gets a hook I might do that one as well but that USC/Neb game is HUGE for me.

just got to 7.5

I'm gonna need a breakdown here.Obviously, Houston's offense is light years better than Penn State's. Is it just the theory of stepping up in class from C-USA's crap defenses to a studly Big-10 defense? I guess PSU also has a shot to maul the Cougs in the run game, but that QB situation is dreadful.

I don't know who mentioned it, but someone said to run and bet Houston back when the QB fight broke out at -4.5. Wish I would have done so now considering how far the line has moved. That said I have no real feel for this game and I don't plan to bet it now. I think it was Bender that said I keep looking for the angle and I can't see it. I feel the same way. Someone is going to make a fortune on this game, it aint going to be me though.

 

[Angry Beavers]

FYI - this on Rotoworld... just something to keep in mind.

Steelers coach Mike Tomlin revealed Sunday night that Rashard Mendenhall is unlikely to play in the Wild Card round at Denver.

The team fears he has a torn ACL. Mendenhall will undergo an MRI tonight or tomorrow, and his injury's extent will be learned when results come back. Isaac Redman will likely close out the postseason as the team's feature back

 

[MarshallPlan]

Not a big dropoff in Redman from Mendenhall - maybe worth a pt to me. I like Redman a lot.

I think 10/10.5 is too many for the Lions. Yes, this has blowout written ALL over it, but the backdoor will be open with the Lions' offense.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Not a big dropoff in Redman from Mendenhall - maybe worth a pt to me. I like Redman a lot.

Redman is a fumbling #####.

 

[bmj87]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:

2u Wisconsin +5.5

1u Florida -2

1u Penn St +7.5

YTD 75-64 +8.9u

 

[Doctor Detroit]

34.5

27.5

20.5

13.5

 

[Raider Nation]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:2u Wisconsin +5.51u Florida -21u Penn St +7.5YTD 75-64 +8.9u

Are these gut feels or do you apply the same data for football as with your hoops plays?

 

[The Ref]

Rest of year football plays. Semi biggish day tomorrow.

Georgia -3 - 1.5 Units

SC -2.5 - 2 Units

SC Under 46 - 2 Units

Ok St -4 - 2 Units

NIU +1.5 - 2 Units

NIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 units

LSU/Bama Under 40.5 - 3 units

Bama +1 - 3 Units

Green Bay Super Bowl +180 - 10 Units

New Orlean Super Bowl +500 - 4 Units

 

[Raider Nation]

NIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 units

Definitely tailing.I wish Gus were calling the plays though.

 

[bmj87]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:2u Wisconsin +5.51u Florida -21u Penn St +7.5YTD 75-64 +8.9u

Are these gut feels or do you apply the same data for football as with your hoops plays?

Pretty similar to hoops, different data sets obviously but same principles. The Wisconsin play is borderline 2u w/in my system, but my gut says Wisconsin handles them with the time off and the size advantage in the trenches.

 

[culdeus]

over on life support now

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:2u Wisconsin +5.51u Florida -21u Penn St +7.5YTD 75-64 +8.9u

Are these gut feels or do you apply the same data for football as with your hoops plays?

Pretty similar to hoops, different data sets obviously but same principles. The Wisconsin play is borderline 2u w/in my system, but my gut says Wisconsin handles them with the time off and the size advantage in the trenches.

Is Florida a marginal or strong play in that system? I have no feel for that game at all so I might tail.

 

[Raider Nation]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:2u Wisconsin +5.51u Florida -21u Penn St +7.5YTD 75-64 +8.9u

Are these gut feels or do you apply the same data for football as with your hoops plays?

Pretty similar to hoops, different data sets obviously but same principles. The Wisconsin play is borderline 2u w/in my system, but my gut says Wisconsin handles them with the time off and the size advantage in the trenches.

Interesting. I keep thinking about Oregon's speed advantage. You just think Wisconsin will bludgeon them instead.

 

[The Ref]

NIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 units

Definitely tailing.I wish Gus were calling the plays though.

This is the last lean that really jumped off the board at me when the lines were released.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Rest of year football plays. Semi biggish day tomorrow.Georgia -3 - 1.5 UnitsSC -2.5 - 2 UnitsSC Under 46 - 2 UnitsOk St -4 - 2 UnitsNIU +1.5 - 2 UnitsNIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 unitsLSU/Bama Under 40.5 - 3 unitsBama +1 - 3 UnitsGreen Bay Super Bowl +180 - 10 UnitsNew Orlean Super Bowl +500 - 4 Units

I was just looking at this and you have more units bet there than I have in my account (one unit for me is 4% right now so 25 units).Maybe I need to adjust that.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Early leans on SEC games tomorrow (haven't punched these, will provide a bit of rationale while I sweat this middle)

USC -3 (Nebraska)

Georgia -3 (Michigan State)

Ohio State +2 (Florida)

 

[Man In The Box]

Pretty awful decision there by Coughlin.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Pretty awful decision there by Coughlin.

Terrible play call for certain.

 

[Tiger Fan]

NIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 units

Definitely tailing.I wish Gus were calling the plays though.

Something to remember for next year for sure :thumbup;

 

[gussy]

Definitely playing

Penn St +7 1/2

NU/USC under 46

Ohio St. +2

considering a small wager on the Badger money line.

Could really use a Giants win by somewhere between 4 and 8 points here to hit the 9 team teaser AND the Giants insurance bet.........

come on baby, daddy needs a new pair of shoes.

 

[The Ref]

Rest of year football plays. Semi biggish day tomorrow.Georgia -3 - 1.5 UnitsSC -2.5 - 2 UnitsSC Under 46 - 2 UnitsOk St -4 - 2 UnitsNIU +1.5 - 2 UnitsNIU/Ark St O 62.5 - 4 unitsLSU/Bama Under 40.5 - 3 unitsBama +1 - 3 UnitsGreen Bay Super Bowl +180 - 10 UnitsNew Orlean Super Bowl +500 - 4 Units

I was just looking at this and you have more units bet there than I have in my account (one unit for me is 4% right now so 25 units).Maybe I need to adjust that.

I'm doing it wrong. A Unit is a set amount to me. Even if I go 100-0 I'm not going to up my standard wager amount. I'll cash out and buy something cool before I go any higher. I do this for fun more then anything else. Poker on the other hand I take more seriously....

 

[bmj87]

Bowl plays for tomorrow:2u Wisconsin +5.51u Florida -21u Penn St +7.5YTD 75-64 +8.9u

Are these gut feels or do you apply the same data for football as with your hoops plays?

Pretty similar to hoops, different data sets obviously but same principles. The Wisconsin play is borderline 2u w/in my system, but my gut says Wisconsin handles them with the time off and the size advantage in the trenches.

Is Florida a marginal or strong play in that system? I have no feel for that game at all so I might tail.

Eh pretty marginal. But still good enough for a play.

 

[culdeus]

horrid spot it seems