FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

[JerseyToughGuys]

Pitt bet all the way down to 3.5 in some places (NCAA Pitt).

SMU? For real?

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Took a bath on Clemson this week. West Virginia and Clemson. Who would have thunk that things could turn out poorly there? shocked, I tell ya.



Put in a Saints/Steelers ML parlay yesterday. 10 bucks pays about 4.80.

Taking the chalk today too. Houston and New Orleans. -11 is a big #, but big isn't as big in the playoffs. Especially with a historically high total.

 

[shake zula]

I've got one open teaser

Arkansas Pk

Cincy +10

Det +20.5

Atlanta +10.5

Pitt. -1

1u = 5u

Took a bath on Clemson isn't the words for me so taking it slowly this weekend.

Added CFB Pitt. -3.5 for 1u Didn't get the play in NVM.

 

[Dexter Manley]

SMU +4 1 unit

Pitt's qb is horrible, the players don't want to be at this game for the second year in a row, and their HC just bailed on them.

2 team teaser Steelers -2 Falcons +9 2 units

 

[nittanylion]

Bengals at Texans:

It's going to be kind of strange watching this game. You look at the Teams in a vacuum, and would probably expect a wide open offensive showcase, but this one is going to be all about rushing and defense...and the Texans are clearly ahead of the Bengals in both categories.

Bengals played 7 Games vs playoff Teams this season, including the Texans, and went 0-7 straight up. The loss to the Texans was in Cincinnati, with Yates at QB, and no Andre Johnson. Houston only played one other playoff Team besides the Bengals - the Falcons...and they won that one, too, with Yates at QB, and Andre Johnson out for the entire second half. The Texans outgained the Bengals in their previous matchup significantly in both yards per play and yards per rush. Cinci had a yards per pass advantage, but again, no AJ for Houston, and the Texans were running the ball productively, and dominating the line of scrimmage and time of possession that they forced the Bengals to throw more frequently to get production out of their offense. Texans had the ball for 11 drives that game, and overcame 3 fumbles (which are random events from a statistics-based handicapping perspective), 1 INT, a missed FG, and scored 2 TD's and 2 FG's, won the game and only punted twice.

Game is in Houston. Home Team laying 3 or less is a very productive probability play. Better Defense. More and better playmakers on offense. Running game and defense should keep Yates (or Delhomme) in a low pressure game manager role, and open up that lethal play action passing game to a healthy Andre Johnson.

You have to buy this down to 2.5 or 3. I'm kicking myself for not getting in at -3/-115 earlier this week.Too wrapped up in the Bowls. I just bought some more: -2.5/-160 and -3/-140, and I'm annoyed doing it, but I'll probably talk myself to buying even more before game time, and if I do, it's going to add up to one of my biggest NFL plays ever.

Liking Saints TT O34.5, and the Saints straight. Big spread, but in the playoffs, not so much, and certainly coverable. I just feel so good about this Texans play that I'm hesitant to put any more account in play outside of tailing bmj basketball picks, which I seem to be getting very lucky at picking and choosing...thanks, bmj, as always.

Good Luck!!!

 

[MarshallPlan]

I think I set the record for fastest cut by SB. Started betting on 12/25, cut to $10 max on props today. Thanks GR!!

 

[nittanylion]

Also on SMU, small. Someone mentioned Pitt's QB Sunseri sucking. I happen to like him, but Pitt's pass offense flat out sucks. I see it more as a lack of quality talent at WR, though. Also Pitt is without their best offensive player, RB Ray Graham. The best part of SMU's Team is their defense, and not only are they solid vs the run, they are more than solid vs the pass. I'd like to make a bigger play on SMU, but they didn't end the season well, losing their last 6 ATS. I bet them frequently, and losing with them consistently has me skittish about a Team that didn't play up to it's potential. I'm banking a small play on the fact that during the break they might have had time to work out some of the kinks, because the Coaching staff must be incredibly frustrated. SMU is a good Team, flat out better than Pitt on both sides of the ball, and should win this outright...you just have to be able to predict which SMU is going to show up.

Good Luck!!!

 

[John Bender]

Cincy up to +4 in some place.

I've been waiting on this for a week now.

Cincinnati Moneyline +175 - 3.5 units. Biggest bet in a few weeks.

 

[Dexter Manley]

I've got a question. I get why people who are betting Houston want to get the line down to 3. My question is why are people doing this when historically in the nfl playoffs the winning team is nearly automatic wrt covering the spread?

 

[Angry Beavers]

Detroit Lions +10½ -110 for Game

New York Giants -3 Ev for Game

Cincinnati Bengals +175 for Game

Parlayed these. LOVE that Bender like the CIncy ML and no one is giving the Lions much of a chance. That D Line is going to cause some trouble for Brees and Co. and least keep them in it.

GLTA

AB

 

[TheGooRoo]

I think I set the record for fastest cut by SB. Started betting on 12/25, cut to $10 max on props today. Thanks GR!!

not even in the top 5 Stay persistent good buddy

 

[John Bender]

Detroit Lions +10½ -110 for Game

New York Giants -3 Ev for Game

Cincinnati Bengals +175 for Game

Parlayed these. LOVE that Bender like the CIncy ML and no one is giving the Lions much of a chance. That D Line is going to cause some trouble for Brees and Co. and least keep them in it.

GLTA

AB

Glad I've got someone to sweat it out with me. I also like your Lions betI just think these teams are more evenly matched than Bengals are getting credit for.

Bengals certainly have the better QB right now.

Texans lost their last 3 games against the Panthers, Colts and Titans :X

I like Bengals outright 20-17 or so.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I have a .5u wager on SMU mostly because I like their helmets.

Pitt is awful.

 

[John Bender]

I have a .5u wager on SMU mostly because I like their helmets. Pitt is awful.

Great helmets

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I have a .5u wager on SMU mostly because I like their helmets.

Pitt is awful.

Great helmets

Plus their fight song is She'll be comin' around the mountain.

 

[shake zula]

I've got one open teaser

Arkansas Pk

Cincy +10

Det +20.5

Atlanta +10.5

Pitt. -1

1u = 5u

Took a bath on Clemson isn't the words for me so taking it slowly this weekend.

Added CFB Pitt. -3.5 for 1u Didn't get the play in NVM.

Thank god!

 

[John Bender]

I have a .5u wager on SMU mostly because I like their helmets.

Pitt is awful.

Great helmets

Plus their fight song is She'll be comin' around the mountain.

We need a :jackrabbit: smiley.

 

[John Bender]

Looks like this dude had a few snappers.

 

[Raider Nation]

Liking Saints TT O34.5

Where is this number?

 

[MarshallPlan]

I've got a question. I get why people who are betting Houston want to get the line down to 3. My question is why are people doing this when historically in the nfl playoffs the winning team is nearly automatic wrt covering the spread?

Bold above. Of course when dogs win outright they will cover, so that leaves the other 60% or so of the time when the fav wins will they cover. Well in games lined at 3 or less it's a near certainty. That leaves only a handful of other games lined higher.

 

[Raider Nation]

I've got a question. I get why people who are betting Houston want to get the line down to 3. My question is why are people doing this when historically in the nfl playoffs the winning team is nearly automatic wrt covering the spread?

Bold above. Of course when dogs win outright they will cover, so that leaves the other 60% or so of the time when the fav wins will they cover. Well in games lined at 3 or less it's a near certainty. That leaves only a handful of other games lined higher.

Chris "Mad Dog" Russo was going over this on his show yesterday. Over the last two years, the number was STUPID. I think the spread only came into play once or twice in the last two postseasons combined. Pick the winner of the game and you usually will get the cash as well.Makes me feel better about my 52-24 Saints prediction.

 

[MarshallPlan]

I've got a question. I get why people who are betting Houston want to get the line down to 3. My question is why are people doing this when historically in the nfl playoffs the winning team is nearly automatic wrt covering the spread?

Bold above. Of course when dogs win outright they will cover, so that leaves the other 60% or so of the time when the fav wins will they cover. Well in games lined at 3 or less it's a near certainty. That leaves only a handful of other games lined higher.

Chris "Mad Dog" Russo was going over this on his show yesterday. Over the last two years, the number was STUPID. I think the spread only came into play once or twice in the last two postseasons combined. Pick the winner of the game and you usually will get the cash as well.Makes me feel better about my 52-24 Saints prediction.

Two postseasons, come on that's only 22 games. Sample size? And dogs win outright as well, obviously covering the number too. You take a random 2 weeks of the nfl season and I bet the number doesn't come into play as much as you think.

 

[Raider Nation]

I've got a question. I get why people who are betting Houston want to get the line down to 3. My question is why are people doing this when historically in the nfl playoffs the winning team is nearly automatic wrt covering the spread?

Bold above. Of course when dogs win outright they will cover, so that leaves the other 60% or so of the time when the fav wins will they cover. Well in games lined at 3 or less it's a near certainty. That leaves only a handful of other games lined higher.

Chris "Mad Dog" Russo was going over this on his show yesterday. Over the last two years, the number was STUPID. I think the spread only came into play once or twice in the last two postseasons combined. Pick the winner of the game and you usually will get the cash as well.Makes me feel better about my 52-24 Saints prediction.

Two postseasons, come on that's only 22 games. Sample size? And dogs win outright as well, obviously covering the number too. You take a random 2 weeks of the nfl season and I bet the number doesn't come into play as much as you think.

Just telling you what I heard, Sparky.

 

[Raider Nation]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

 

[Dexter Manley]

crosseyes has to be having a near aneurism right with penn st's new coach getting airtime during the halftime of Pitt's bowl game.

 

[TheGooRoo]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

Yates should be -8 based on the lines they set. Funny part is I wouldn't touch any of them, mistake or not.

 

[Raider Nation]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

Yates should be -8 based on the lines they set. Funny part is I wouldn't touch any of them, mistake or not.

Oh, gotcha. I didn't even do the math. I just looked at them individually.

 

[John Bender]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

The math is Off with them.ETA: GooRoo beat me to it

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Liking Saints TT O34.5

Where is this number?

Yeah, tell me and I can get it now. Everywhere else is at 35.5, don't care for that.

 

[Raider Nation]

Liking Saints TT O34.5

Where is this number?

Yeah, tell me and I can get it now. Everywhere else is at 35.5, don't care for that.

It was at 35 all week. Really don't think it will matter though. They are going for 42, minimum.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Liking Saints TT O34.5

Where is this number?

Yeah, tell me and I can get it now. Everywhere else is at 35.5, don't care for that.

It was at 35 all week. Really don't think it will matter though. They are going for 42, minimum.

Ok, I'll play it. Not sure what to do on this early game, should have locked in a teaser earlier in the week. Also gonna play Saints 1h side I think.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm gonna tail Bender/Beavers and take the Bengals ML +190

I like the value, not a big play.

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm gonna tail Bender/Beavers and take the Bengals ML +190

I like the value, not a big play.

It feels like the Texans have been slow-rolling the past few weeks. They've had everything locked up.I think their D suffocates Cincy's offense, and Foster should have a monster day.

 

[derek245583]

Cincy hasnt beaten anyone this year including Houston, they arent going to start today.

 

[lumpy19]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

Yates should be -8 based on the lines they set. Funny part is I wouldn't touch any of them, mistake or not.

I didn't play any of them either. They made the same mistake with AJ green and johnson, I did play that one. I like AJ green in that matchup.

 

[TheGooRoo]

check out these prop lines for todays early gameJan 07 81001 MOST PASSING YDS-ANDY DALTON -11½-125 1:30 PM 81002 MOST PASSING YDS-TJ YATES +11½-105 Jan 07 81003 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON o206½-120 1:30 PM 81004 TOTAL PASS YDS BY ANDY DALTON u206½-110 Jan 07 81005 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES o214½-120 1:30 PM 81006 TOTAL PASS YDS BY TJ YATES u214½-110

MP just got a boner with those lines

Anyone wanna fill me in as to why these lines are funny? I haven't bet props all year, so I'm out of the loop. Numbers on Yates are way too high, I'm assuming?

Yates should be -8 based on the lines they set. Funny part is I wouldn't touch any of them, mistake or not.

I didn't play any of them either. They made the same mistake with AJ green and johnson, I did play that one. I like AJ green in that matchup.

Yeah, I'm very hesitant on Johnson, just seems like damaged goods. Hopefully he's healthy though because I like Jacoby u 2.5 receptions quite a bit.

 

[bmj87]

Just got back from Atlantic City, missed the early games

CBB

2u Tulsa -9

2u Portland St +2.5

1u Idaho -5

1u San Fran +15.5

1u Miami Oh +2.5

1u Bradley +11

1u Arkansas +1

1u Tenn Martin -7

1u Tenn Tech -7

1u Idaho St +6

1u Oral Roberts -7.5

YTD 122-107 +1.15u

 

[Raider Nation]

Just got back from Atlantic City, missed the early games

CBB

2u Tulsa -9

2u Portland St +2.5

1u Idaho -5

1u San Fran +15.5

1u Miami Oh +2.5

1u Bradley +11

1u Arkansas +1

1u Tenn Martin -7

1u Tenn Tech -7

1u Idaho St +6

1u Oral Roberts -7.5

YTD 122-107 +1.15u

Bender is gonna fade these until you clean up your act!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I'm gonna tail Bender/Beavers and take the Bengals ML +190

I like the value, not a big play.

It feels like the Texans have been slow-rolling the past few weeks. They've had everything locked up.I think their D suffocates Cincy's offense, and Foster should have a monster day.

Meh not a big bet at all, barely enough to be considered "action." I don't trust Yates so the value here is good IMO.

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm gonna tail Bender/Beavers and take the Bengals ML +190

I like the value, not a big play.

It feels like the Texans have been slow-rolling the past few weeks. They've had everything locked up.I think their D suffocates Cincy's offense, and Foster should have a monster day.

Meh not a big bet at all, barely enough to be considered "action." I don't trust Yates so the value here is good IMO.

If only the other QB was a rookie as well.

 

[Kubes]

Just got to $1 on all props at sportsbook

 

[John Bender]

Just got back from Atlantic City, missed the early games

CBB

2u Tulsa -9

2u Portland St +2.5

1u Idaho -5

1u San Fran +15.5

1u Miami Oh +2.5

1u Bradley +11

1u Arkansas +1

1u Tenn Martin -7

1u Tenn Tech -7

1u Idaho St +6

1u Oral Roberts -7.5

YTD 122-107 +1.15u

Bender is gonna fade these until you clean up your act!

every time I tail a BMJ 2 unit I lose.

Not take anymore of these bad Larry's

 

[Raider Nation]

Just got to $1 on all props at sportsbook

THERE HE IS!

 

[Kubes]

Just got to $1 on all props at sportsbook

THERE HE IS!

Now what do I do. This really sucks.

 

[BRONG]

crosseyes has to be having a near aneurism right with penn st's new coach getting airtime during the halftime of Pitt's bowl game.

 

[John Bender]

Just got to $1 on all props at sportsbook

THERE HE IS!

Now what do I do. This really sucks.

PM timschochet for assistance. He knows what's up

 

[[icon]]

Texans(Houston) +3

Falcons(Atlanta) +10 (-115)

Saints(NewOrleans) -3.5

Broncos(Denver) +16 (-120)

in a few combinations for 1/2u each as action plays

1/4u "lottery tickets"

Texans Win By 14-17 pts+1100

Texans Win By 07-10 pts+600

 

[MarshallPlan]

Just got to $1 on all props at sportsbook

THERE HE IS!

Now what do I do. This really sucks.

Find a "friend" and have them open an account.

 

[nittanylion]

Liking Saints TT O34.5

Where is this number?

Yeah, tell me and I can get it now. Everywhere else is at 35.5, don't care for that.

It was at 35 all week. Really don't think it will matter though. They are going for 42, minimum.

Ok, I'll play it. Not sure what to do on this early game, should have locked in a teaser earlier in the week. Also gonna play Saints 1h side I think.

I'm getting this at that offshore out that I use that I've mentioned before: www.wager7.comStill holding at 34.5, however it's -135 if you want in. I'm in.

 

[Raider Nation]

Still holding at 34.5, however it's -135 if you want in. I'm in.

With both fists, ninja!