FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (14 Viewers)

[bryan11joseph]

2H O/U PLAYS (at the Half):

7pm GAMES

2u on Kansas State / Missouri UNDER 74 LOSS

2u on Clemson / Georgia Tech OVER 64.5 LOSS

2u on Georgetown / Seton Hall UNDER 68.5 WIN - Middled it

2u on Illinois / Ohio State UNDER 69.5 LOSS

EDITED to add my plays as the other games reach half-time.

1u on Michigan / Northwestern OVER 67.5

I don't think CBB totals are efficient enough to assume they will always regress towards the mean. Curious to know how far back you looked.

Based on your statement, I am guessing you think I am simply taking the Avg Pts? Is that correct?

If it's X more than the 1st half total, you take the under 2ndIf it's Y less than 1st half total, you take the over 2nd

No?

No. I could see why you think that though, being that I bet the 1H lines. I am considering dropping the 1H plays, they are just additional plays/hedges.I am better with examples!

So for example, the Clemson game. 1H line I took u55.5

I had Clemson o120 for the GAME.

Since the 1H went UNDER, you think I went with the OVER.

Right?

It's easy to come up with thinking I would use that theory because since you know I bet all unders 1H... there are only 4 potential scenarios.

1H-2H-GAME

U-U-U

U-U-O

U-O-O

U-O-U

Clem/GA Tech went under 1st, you bet over 2ndKSU/Mizzou went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

Georgetown/Seton went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

IL/OSU went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

Mich/NW went under 1st, you bet over 2nd

VA/VA Tech went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

KY/Miss St went over 1st, you bet under 2nd

NM/CSU went under 1st, I assume you bet over 2nd

It has more to do with the 2H line than anything. Obviously if the 1H is low scoring, the linesmakers aren't going to put out a ridiculously high 2H #. You know what I mean?It is more about capitalizing on small discrepencies in the line.

Say the GAME line is 130 - that means the 1H will ALWAYS be 60.

Say the teams combine for 57 for the 1H.

The line for the 2H usually comes out around 71, depending...

So now, just because it went under, doesn't mean I automatically take the over.

Because say they score 63 in the 1H and the line is still 71 - you're saying my bet would change entirely to the other side? The UNDER?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

round 1 leansmolinari -115 schwartzel -140 woodland a big hitter but he's strugglingmanassero +140 tiger -250 - little chance he loses, match play beast and playing better now, odds should be closer to -500stanley -120 hansen -120els +160 - value play

I'm with you on a few of these.So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100like schwartzel too but the price went up too much for me to take him.was tempted to just empty my account on Tiger. He better come through.

 

[BRONG]

GO RAMS!!!

Wait, what?

Busting Sonny's balls. Every time he bets against his boys, they win.

:finger:

 

[DA RAIDERS]

GO RAMS!!!

Wait, what?

Busting Sonny's balls. Every time he bets against his boys, they win.

:finger:

 

[DA RAIDERS]

Hammered

 

[Nipsey]

round 1 leansmolinari -115 schwartzel -140 woodland a big hitter but he's strugglingmanassero +140 tiger -250 - little chance he loses, match play beast and playing better now, odds should be closer to -500stanley -120 hansen -120els +160 - value play

I'm with you on a few of these.So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100

I ended up taking just these 6:tiger schwartzel stanley oglivymolinaria. hansen

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100

I ended up taking just these 6:tiger schwartzel stanley oglivy molinaria. hansen

ship it

 

[mquinnjr]

People must be pounding tiger, he went up a little bit

 

[Raider Nation]

So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100

I ended up taking just these 6:tiger schwartzel stanley oglivy molinaria. hansen

ship it

"Expert picks" FWIW...http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/2012/tournaments/r470/02/21/match-predictions/index.html

 

[Nipsey]

So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100

I ended up taking just these 6:tiger schwartzel stanley oglivy molinaria. hansen

ship it

 

[Raider Nation]

"Expert picks" FWIW...http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/2012/tournaments/r470/02/21/match-predictions/index.html

Interestingly, they both have Wilson advancing, and he is +125.

 

[modogg]

People must be pounding tiger, he went up a little bit

after the Spurs second half debacle, i hit Tiger pretty good. If that mother f'er loses, Kurt will be contributing quite a bit to me going on a stringent diet and losing weight....

 

[Raider Nation]

Good matchup breakdowns here:

http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/2012/tournaments/r470/02/21/first-round-match-previews/index.html

Coverage begins at noon on the Golf channel. Coincidentally, Tiger tees off at 12:30.

 

[modogg]

Good matchup breakdowns here:http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/2012/tournaments/r470/02/21/first-round-match-previews/index.htmlCoverage begins at noon on the Golf channel. Coincidentally, Tiger tees off at 12:30.

they really should include the odds on each guy for their comparisons

 

[mquinnjr]

Good matchup breakdowns here:http://www.worldgolfchampionships.com/2012/tournaments/r470/02/21/first-round-match-previews/index.htmlCoverage begins at noon on the Golf channel. Coincidentally, Tiger tees off at 12:30.

they really should include the odds on each guy for their comparisons

Reminds me of the quote from Dr. Tobias Funke in Arrested Development on the boardwalk when he talks about there being other never nudes in the world (look it up if you've never seen it, great show): "There are dozens of us!" (who want matchup breakdowns based upon current book odds for the Accenture)

 

[BRONG]

Gordon, an NBA prospect who had 20 boards and 27 points against UNLV 3 days ago, gave up 10 rebounds to a 6'4" white boy...basically, a walk-on. 10 boards. IN THE FIRST HALF!

Gordon The ####, put up 13 pts and 6 rebounds against a team whose biggest player was 6 ####### 4, and who also started 4 guards. And the lazy ******* turned the ball over 6 times. ####### Gordon just put up a total of 44 points and 37 rebounds against UNLV and SDSU. Tonight, he's way less than half against a much easier opponent, without a center, it's crazy.

 

[optionmaven]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

 

[modogg]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

i got some good change on Mcelroy, any chance he loses in the first round?

 

[Raider Nation]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

What's not to like about Poulter? To say Bae is untested against the big boys is an understatement.

 

[optionmaven]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

i got some good change on Mcelroy, any chance he loses in the first round?

Solid play against Coetzee. Pre tourney fave at 10/1. Shouldn't have any reason to lose first 2 matches (at least) IMO.

 

[optionmaven]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

What's not to like about Poulter? To say Bae is untested against the big boys is an understatement.

He's also very good at this event. I know i have won money on him in the past in this tourney. Bae playing decent right now and i'm taking a chance on him in the dessert course. Lots of upsets happen in the first round and i threw this one in there. Gut play for an underdog with nothing to lose. He could go low.

 

[Nipsey]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

i got some good change on Mcelroy, any chance he loses in the first round?

Solid play against Coetzee. Pre tourney fave at 10/1. Shouldn't have any reason to lose first 2 matches (at least) IMO.

Golf guy on si.com picked him to lose

George Coetzee over Rory McIlroy Here's your jet-lag upset special. McIlroy just flew in Monday night from the other side of the world, an 11-hour flight.

 

[Raider Nation]

round 1 leansmolinari -115 schwartzel -140 woodland a big hitter but he's strugglingmanassero +140 tiger -250 - little chance he loses, match play beast and playing better now, odds should be closer to -500stanley -120 hansen -120els +160 - value play

I'm with you on a few of these.So far, I'm on these:Woods -210Stanley -101Toms +113Clarke +260 (2nd round matchup with Tiger coming)Furyk +110Ogilvy +100like schwartzel too but the price went up too much for me to take him.was tempted to just empty my account on Tiger. He better come through.

Donald and Sergio look like the biggest slam dunks on the board. More than Tiger, even.

 

[optionmaven]

Tiger is a great bet everybody and I don't have a 5 dimes acct. -250 for me at SB, 5 units to win 2. Strong play and we should be good to go. The other Juicy picks I have are Rose over Lawrie -140, Schwartzel over Woodland -140,Sergio over himenez -200, Baddely over Oossty -140, Kuchar over Byrd -145, Fowler over Toms -120 and Laird over Quiros -130. All bets are to win 1 unit. The fades, Yang over Graeme even, Dyson over senden -104, Mannasero over simpson +140, Ogilvy over Bradley -110, Ishikawa over Haas +130, all bets are wagering 1 unit. Upset specials, Rock over Scott +135, furyk over dj +105, Sang moon bae over Poulter +140,Colasarts over Westy +170. All bets are 1/2 units. 10 dollar win bets (i prefer to bet more on these as the tourney progresses) Tiger at 12/1, Schwartzel at 30/1, Baddely 50/1. 5 dollar win bets on Colaserts 80/1 and Na 100/1.

i got some good change on Mcelroy, any chance he loses in the first round?

Solid play against Coetzee. Pre tourney fave at 10/1. Shouldn't have any reason to lose first 2 matches (at least) IMO.

Golf guy on si.com picked him to lose

George Coetzee over Rory McIlroy Here's your jet-lag upset special. McIlroy just flew in Monday night from the other side of the world, an 11-hour flight.

Coetzee was an add-on to the field because of Phil not playing i believe. I'd take my chances on a jetlagged rory over this nobody. Adding bet as we speak.

 

[gussy]

I got EVERY SINGLE NHL game wrong tonight. That's gotta be hard to do, no?

I'm going to back off of hockey until the playoffs at this point outside of the occasional -300Jackets at Pistons type of play. Very unpredictable right now. Conservative CBB plays until thetournaments start.2012 Posted PicksCBB-98-83-3 (54.1%)NFL-4-0NBA-11-11-2CFB-1-0NHL-12-15

 

[TheWick]

I got EVERY SINGLE NHL game wrong tonight. That's gotta be hard to do, no?

I'm going to back off of hockey until the playoffs at this point outside of the occasional -300Jackets at Pistons type of play. Very unpredictable right now. Conservative CBB plays until the

tournaments start.

2012 Posted Picks

CBB-98-83-3 (54.1%)

NFL-4-0

NBA-11-11-2

CFB-1-0

NHL-12-15

A pro hockey team like the Jackets would be much more of than a -300 favorite over a bunch of guys who can't skate...just my opinon.

 

[gussy]

I got EVERY SINGLE NHL game wrong tonight. That's gotta be hard to do, no?

I'm going to back off of hockey until the playoffs at this point outside of the occasional -300Jackets at Pistons type of play. Very unpredictable right now. Conservative CBB plays until the

tournaments start.

2012 Posted Picks

CBB-98-83-3 (54.1%)

NFL-4-0

NBA-11-11-2

CFB-1-0

NHL-12-15

A pro hockey team like the Jackets would be much more of than a -300 favorite over a bunch of guys who can't skate...just my opinon.

I don't think you've seen the Pistons skate my friend, lol. Er. Red Wings,

 

[hooter311]

5dimes won't let you parlay Rory and Tiger together. Seems a bit odd.

 

[hooter311]

Stanley -105

Snedeker -140

Both for 2 Units

Also parlayed Haas/Rory

 

[derek245583]

Ben Crane to win the whole thing at 80-1

That is the college fund right there.

 

[lumpy19]

5dimes won't let you parlay Rory and Tiger together. Seems a bit odd.

I did this at betonline....but added rory in, 250 to win 550

 

[hooter311]

5dimes won't let you parlay Rory and Tiger together. Seems a bit odd.

I did this at betonline....but added rory in, 250 to win 550

quality play as usual.

 

[John Bender]

Took the following:

Select #1 : Golf Other Sports

KJ Choi 2/22/2012 9:45 AM - (PST)

Money Line -115 for Game

Select #2 : Golf Other Sports

Jim Furyk 2/22/2012 7:05 AM - (PST)

Money Line +100 for Game

Select #3 : Golf Other Sports

Ben Crane 2/22/2012 9:15 AM - (PST)

Money Line +100 for Game

Select #4 : Golf Other Sports

Geoff Ogilvy 2/22/2012 10:15 AM - (PST)

Money Line -105 for Game

Select #5 : Golf Other Sports

Darren Clarke 2/22/2012 9:25 AM - (PST)

Money Line +250 for Game

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

added 3-man parlay:

Rory (-220)

Schwartzel (-155)

Haas (-200)

 

[derek245583]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

 

[John Bender]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

Me too.Gotta be online somewhere though right?

 

[mquinnjr]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

You mean a separate feed for every single matchup? Yeah, I mean that would get eerily close to being as awesome as rounds 1 and 2 of the NCAA tournament.

 

[lumpy19]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

Me too.Gotta be online somewhere though right?

How does the golf channel not carry every second of footage that isn't on a network?

 

[derek245583]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

Me too.Gotta be online somewhere though right?

How does the golf channel not carry every second of footage that isn't on a network?

No idea. It angers me to no end that they skip a half hour every Saturday/Sunday.Golf Channel has it on from 12-2:30...then CBS or NBC picks it up at 3.....WTF happened to 2:30-3? WTF is this #### not covered?

 

[derek245583]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

You mean a separate feed for every single matchup? Yeah, I mean that would get eerily close to being as awesome as rounds 1 and 2 of the NCAA tournament.

I would settle for just having coverage on like a regular golf tourney

 

[hooter311]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

You mean a separate feed for every single matchup? Yeah, I mean that would get eerily close to being as awesome as rounds 1 and 2 of the NCAA tournament.

I would settle for just having coverage on like a regular golf tourney

 

[bryan11joseph]

5dimes won't let you parlay Rory and Tiger together. Seems a bit odd.

I did this at betonline....but added rory in, 250 to win 550

How is Rory/Tiger Parlay 250 to win 500?Rory is -205Tiger is -225Your lines must be considerably better...because I just entered this same parlay and it's $200 to win $229.81...

 

[gmbacm]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

you have to be able to see it to bet on it? So it turns out Bet365 makes doing parlay combinations way too easy.Hit these parlays in combos of 4s and 7s at a fraction of my regular unit.Ian Poulter @ -200Steve Stricker @ -175Adam Scott @ -188Jason Day @ -188Nick Watney @ -275Tiger Woods @ -250Sergio Garcia @ -225Martin Kaymer @ -225Luke Donald @ -200Rory McIlroy @ -225

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I got EVERY SINGLE NHL game wrong tonight. That's gotta be hard to do, no?

I'm going to back off of hockey until the playoffs at this point outside of the occasional -300Jackets at Pistons type of play. Very unpredictable right now. Conservative CBB plays until thetournaments start.2012 Posted PicksCBB-98-83-3 (54.1%)NFL-4-0NBA-11-11-2CFB-1-0NHL-12-15

All you do is play huge favorites and you still suck at hockey betting.

 

[bryan11joseph]

Went a little crazy... but oh well, will give me something to watch.

Plopped a bunch down on TIGER

McIlroy/Woods PARLAY

Donald/McIlroy/Garcia/Schwartzel PARLAY

Schwartzel

Garcia

Snedeker

Scott

Stricker

Poulter

Baddeley

Laird

Stanley

Clark

Wilson

GL ALL!!!

 

[lumpy19]

5dimes won't let you parlay Rory and Tiger together. Seems a bit odd.

I did this at betonline....but added rory in, 250 to win 550

How is Rory/Tiger Parlay 250 to win 500?Rory is -205Tiger is -225Your lines must be considerably better...because I just entered this same parlay and it's $200 to win $229.81...

yikes my fault....rory/tiger and added SERGIO in is what I played

 

[derek245583]

Sucks we cant watch all of this match play. I would literally bet on every single one.

you have to be able to see it to bet on it?

I gamble purely for recreational purposes. I dont care about the money at all, I just wanna get the heart rate up and sweat it out. If I cant watch it or follow it online (with a shot tracker or something) I may as well just invest it in the stock market and say I am gambling.If someone could trick me into thinking I wagered on a game I literally wouldnt even need to bet on it...just get the adrenaline pumping and stuff...I would be in good shape. And I would probably have more money to spend I am not making a living gambling nor am I doing it for any other reason than for the rush.Thats just me though, I am sure you guys are more serious about it.

 

[hooter311]

Ben Crane to win the whole thing at 80-1

That is the college fund right there.

Got a kick out of this story:http://steveelling.blogs.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/6267041/34918564

Stiff or not, Crane sends 'em running

Posted on: February 20, 2012 7:20 pm

Edited on: February 20, 2012 9:37 pm

By Steve Elling

Obviously, they haven't seen the funny workout video.

Otherwise, the would-be thieves might have known that in the grand scheme of mean, Ben Crane is about as daunting as Mickey Mouse.

The PGA Tour veteran and part-time Internet entertainer has an endorsement deal with ShowMeGolfers, a company with offices in Denmark. Late Friday night, thieves smashed a window at the buildings, where a mannequin dressed at Crane adorns a window.

Apparently spooked after believing the dummy was a real person -- it was holding a real golf club -- the thieves entered the building, but were scared off and bailed without swiping anything.

That's just the beginning. When police officers responded, they thought the Crane mannequin was the robber -- his acting in his wevbsite videos is rather wooden in spots -- so they drew their guns on it and asked the mannequin to drop the weapon.

Cracked Crane on his Twitter account: "It’s just nice that people are finally taking me seriously."

ShowMeGolfers is a new golf application which mixes GPS with a shot tracker and shows it all in real time on the web, so friends can follow you on the golf course.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

what is the first match and when does it start?

 

[lumpy19]

what is the first match and when does it start?

mcdowell/yang tee'd off at 9:25, 5 groups out now