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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
I'm torn because I really want the Thunder to win, but think Miami wins. +150 is a great price IMO, but I'm no NBA guy so maybe I'm falling into some sort of a trap.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Kings PL tonight 
9-1 final
9-1 final
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Per the NBA thread, OKC opened up at -125 and got moved up quickly to -155 due to some significant early action.'Doctor Detroit said:
TheWick
Footballguy
It would take Kovalchuk or Parise having HUGE game 6 and 7 for that...and I just don't see that many goals being scored.NJD got all the breaks last game...it'll probably be a 3 or 4-1 game for the Kings tonight...I hope.'TheWick said:i did the same thing. If somehow the Devils win and Marty doesn't win the Conn Smythe, Philadelphia will burn
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Great idea. Thanks fellas.'TheWick said:
The Ref
Footballguy
I have been buying eagles -7 in week one since the lines came out kind of sorry to see it is up to -9 now. Browns starting a rookie QB most likely should = a blowout even if richardson is the next AD.
I still like patriots -6.5 a whole lot. Can't see that game under 7 if Brady is alive come week 1.
Houston -6.5 ain't bad either, I'd love it if the rook starts.
I still like patriots -6.5 a whole lot. Can't see that game under 7 if Brady is alive come week 1.
Houston -6.5 ain't bad either, I'd love it if the rook starts.
modogg
Footballguy
And Marty would have to give up 3+ goals each game. I think it is practically impossible to have the Devils win and marty not get it, but the way some of these bets have gone for me over the past few months, who knowsKings look like gang busters to start the gameIt would take Kovalchuk or Parise having HUGE game 6 and 7 for that...and I just don't see that many goals being scored.NJD got all the breaks last game...it'll probably be a 3 or 4-1 game for the Kings tonight...I hope.'TheWick said:
modogg
Footballguy
Game is far from over, but I am quite confident in them simply because of the hedging that was conducted in here. The amount of money i tossed away in these post-seasons hedging has been a bummer'TheWick said:
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
They would need to make some hitting trades. Their bullpen is stellar but how long will that last? The Reds and Cards are both really good teams, I have the Pirates over wins and I like that way that is looking...but I think they come up 5+ games short of the division.
TheWick
Footballguy
Same thing happened last year...not enough pitching
modogg
Footballguy
Kings PL tonight
modogg
Footballguy
I really was pretty confident the Devils would lose tonight with how much i put on that Brodeur for Conn Smythe today.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Shhhhh. You've already said too much.
optionmaven
Footballguy
And there was much rejoicing.Kings PL tonight
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Not a great playoffs for me, at least I got the last game of the year right.And there was much rejoicing.Kings PL tonight
QUICK!
nittanylion
Footballguy
Very glad the series is over and the Kings reign the NHL supreme.
I don't know why I didn't take my usual withdrawal after NFL and NCAA Hoops ended, but I didn't. Been dabbling in baseball, NBA and NHL this spring, mostly trailing, and making some small change, but I got loopy when the Kings went up 3-0 in the Finals, and put down a whopper (for me, at least). Never laid a grand on anything but an NFL game in my life. Really found myself sweating prior to puck drop tonight with the series 3-2 after 2 straight Devils W's. I've played plenty of big NFL ML, but never as big as Kings -1000.
1050 to win 105. Wow.
I don't know why I didn't take my usual withdrawal after NFL and NCAA Hoops ended, but I didn't. Been dabbling in baseball, NBA and NHL this spring, mostly trailing, and making some small change, but I got loopy when the Kings went up 3-0 in the Finals, and put down a whopper (for me, at least). Never laid a grand on anything but an NFL game in my life. Really found myself sweating prior to puck drop tonight with the series 3-2 after 2 straight Devils W's. I've played plenty of big NFL ML, but never as big as Kings -1000.
1050 to win 105. Wow.
modogg
Footballguy
Yeah, i have had a couple of plays like this during the playoffs this year in NBA and NHL. Not a whole lot of fun.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
There He Is.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
I'm doubling down on the Heat +150, my last bet before football season. Not sure why I feel so strongly about this one, I like the Thunder and I really don't watch a whole lot of hoops.
modogg
Footballguy
here is one for tomorrow i took a stab at:
Heat win 1st half/Thunder win 2nd half +400
I figure the heat have been playing top level for the past week, and the Thunder may come out a little bit rusty. I'm pretty sure the Thunder win this, but even if they don't i would think their legs would be more fresh in the 2nd half then the Heat, so they should take the 2nd. Bit of a silly bet, but at the odds worth a shot
Heat win 1st half/Thunder win 2nd half +400
I figure the heat have been playing top level for the past week, and the Thunder may come out a little bit rusty. I'm pretty sure the Thunder win this, but even if they don't i would think their legs would be more fresh in the 2nd half then the Heat, so they should take the 2nd. Bit of a silly bet, but at the odds worth a shot
modogg
Footballguy
I don't know, my thought on this is that you will likely be able to get a much better number tomorrow night, or maybe even later.If the Thunder win tomorrow, the number should easily be over +200, and if the Thunder take both at home, they should be a nice size underdog. i guess if they go 1-1 the line moves much toward their favor since it will be a best of 5 series and 3 are at Miami, so maybe it does make sense to take it now. All I know (which isn't much at all), is that the Thunder are a good team at home, and I would imagine they can win these 1st 2 at home because if there is one thing the Heat don't do, it is play hard every single game. I figure they would be ok going back to Miami, down 2 games, knowing the next 3 is at home, and then they have to win 1 in OKC. I think that is what i am banking on anyway, because i didn't put much in for the Heat to win it all, which is probably a good thing.I'm doubling down on the Heat +150, my last bet before football season. Not sure why I feel so strongly about this one, I like the Thunder and I really don't watch a whole lot of hoops.
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modogg
Footballguy
So after this heat-Thunder series, i would like to give one more bit of gasmbling a go before i call it for awhile. The Summer Olympics. I know for the past 1 or 2 olympics (can't remember if it was summer or winter) we did pretty good in here. So who knows there summer olympics, and can find an edge?
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Good god.
modogg
Footballguy
Yup, i know for me winning them is much more a sigh or relief, then actual excitement about winning a bet
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
If break-even is 91%, there's just no way you're going to get any value there. Unless it's a 100% cinch, and I don't see how anything can be 100%...unless you're in on the fix.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Getting closer to football season ...
modogg
Footballguy
I will say there is some that can get close. Not with the crap i have been recently betting, but I know MMA/UFC pretty well, and there are a few guys over there i am willing to take at over -400. You certainly have to hit a high percentage of those, but with the right match-ups they can get real close to being locks
lumpy19
Footballguy
Golden Nugget opened 111 college football game of the year lines yesterdayGetting closer to football season ...
lumpy19
Footballguy
For those of you with evo accounts
Under lee westwood props, odds for him to win his first major they have US open at +1600, nice advantage here, Pinny has him at +1170 to win the US open.
I don't know much about golf but the guy who sets the lines in vegas(Jeff Sherman @golfodds) stated yesterday that westwood is his #1 power rated golfer for this tourney.
Under lee westwood props, odds for him to win his first major they have US open at +1600, nice advantage here, Pinny has him at +1170 to win the US open.
I don't know much about golf but the guy who sets the lines in vegas(Jeff Sherman @golfodds) stated yesterday that westwood is his #1 power rated golfer for this tourney.
John Bender
Footballguy
In
Westwood is a great golfer. Not sure how well his game holds up on this course but that's good money.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
ThanksIn
lumpy19
Footballguy
Even evo has +1000 under their US open odds, love finding mistakes like this, hope this one pays offThanksIn
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
MLB Today:
STL TT O4.5 -110
CIn - 1.5 +130
Bos -105
GLTA
AB
Home today playing nurse to the wife who just had outpatient surgery... I am afraid I could have a bet on every game by the end of the afternoon if I am not careful
adding:
Was/Tor O 9.5 -105
PHI -105
DET/CHC O 8-105
STL TT O4.5 -110
CIn - 1.5 +130
Bos -105
GLTA
AB
Home today playing nurse to the wife who just had outpatient surgery... I am afraid I could have a bet on every game by the end of the afternoon if I am not careful
adding:
Was/Tor O 9.5 -105
PHI -105
DET/CHC O 8-105
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Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
a few I found: Navy vs. Notre Dame (-13.5) Notre Dame at Michigan State (-3) Michigan at Notre Dame (-1) Miami vs. Notre Dame (-9.5) Stanford at Notre Dame (-5) BYU at Notre Dame (-9) Notre Dame at Oklahoma (-11) Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (-12.5) Notre Dame at Boston College (+12) Notre Dame at USC (-13)Golden Nugget opened 111 college football game of the year lines yesterdayGetting closer to football season ...
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MarshallPlan
Footballguy
Easy enough.
