FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

[The Ref]

OK week one didnt go quite as planed. Well Friday night did, but Saturday was a disaster. Tonights Vat Tech under and .5 2H over tied me back up at 6-6 for the year. Already got some bets in for week 2.Nevada -1 for 2 unitsI dont know if any of you caught the Nevada V Cali game this past weekend. Nevada pushed around Cali. It's that simple. Fajardo and Jefferson look great in the box score, but the OL looked fantastic. They went up and down the field all game long against Cal. USF aint a bad little team it its own right. But I KNOW Nevada can beat a team like Cal. At home laying 1? Count me in.La tech -3.5 for 2 unitsThey missed game 1 vs Texas A&M due to the storm. Colby Cameron is going to be a break out star this year IMHO (and others in here whos opinion I trust). But lets cut to the bone and get right down to it. Anyone actualy see the Houston game this past week? They were absolutely awful. If it wasnt for the ONE bad tackle by texas state Houston would have been shut out. TEXAS "First year in FBS" STATE! Strong posibility that I bump this to 2 units before gametime. F it - I just did.Ark State -22.5 for 1 unitArk State had the honor of getting destroyed by the Ducks this past week, but they did bounce back after the 1Q and put up some points. They cant hang with the big boys and I suspect that the Ducks are going to make good teams look bad this year. Aplin is a very good QB and Ark St should with the conferance. Memphis on the other hand is awful. They lost.... at home.... to a non FBS team. Tenn-Martin. 22.5 is a fair amount of lumber, but I think Ark St is up 28-0 at the end of Q1.Indiana -13.5 for 1 unitIndiana is a mediocre Big ten team at it's best. Umass is the team that had 6 yards at halftime vs Uconn. Any questions?Fla Int -23.5 for 1 unit.I feel the least strong on this pick. 23.5 is a lot of points to lay vs a team that game up almost 50 to duke. But I suspect that the Fla Int D is going to be one of the best this year and will in the picture for the conferance title. Akron on the other hand might be the worst team in FBS. Worse then Houston, worse then Memphis, worse then Umass (OK , maybe not Umass). Now thats saying something.

I love lumber. I should buy a home depot.

 

[gmbacm]

I'm only seeing 1 teasable game on Sportsbook right now

chi(not quite there yet)phibufNODetKCTBAZpitoakthose should be the games this week. if i see chi drop down i'll probably get started

Is there a book out there that does 3x180 with automatic entry? I'd rather spend my time on xhamster than in a click fest.

Someone told me 5dimes does, but I dont have an account there to check.

 

[ChainsawU]

I think once the late money drifts in from all the rich folks in Dallas that line will get pushed down to 3.5 and then I will be taking Giants -3.5 and Vikings -3.5 either straight or in a parlay.

Giants already available at -3.5 -107. Will we see 3???Although I want this compulsively I'm waiting until tomorrow.I keep telling myself it is only week 1, and it is a marathon not a sprint.. juice is down to -105 now.. down to -102..

 

[ChainsawU]

Out

CB Prince Amukamara

Questionable

LB Michael Boley

LB Mathias Kiwanuka

WR Hakeem Nicks

Out

NT Jay Ratliff

Doubtful

TE Jason Witten

Probable

WR Miles Austin

WR Dez Bryant

LB DeMarcus Ware

 

[culdeus]

I'm only seeing 1 teasable game on Sportsbook right now

chi(not quite there yet)phibufNODetKCTBAZpitoakthose should be the games this week. if i see chi drop down i'll probably get started

Is there a book out there that does 3x180 with automatic entry? I'd rather spend my time on xhamster than in a click fest.

maybe a dumb question here...but at SB, should I be doing 3 team teasers or 2 team?

3@180 FTW

 

[gussy]

couple of early lines I grabbed for the weekend

C. Florida +17 1/2

Purdue +14 1/2

8-12 -5.7 units

 

[ChainsawU]

9/4/12 7:00pm  ATP Tennis    257 Juan Martin del Potro -345* vs Andy Roddick9/5/12 8:30pm  NFL Football  452 New York Giants -190* vs Dallas Cowboys 9/9/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  454 Chicago Bears -475* vs Indianapolis Colts 9/9/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  464 Minnesota Vikings -200* vs Jacksonville Jaguars 9/9/12 1:00pm  NFL Football  468 Detroit Lions -330* vs St. Louis Rams+365

 

[bmj87]

Wellll I'm bringing back the baseball plays with the September rosters. In April, we finished 82-69 +12.07u

Today, all 1u:

TB 1st 5 -135

TB -133

Atl/Col u8 -115

Mia 1st 5 +100

Cle +173

 

[Good Posting Judge]

To win their leagues next year:France: PSG -181 - Will go up even further on today's news. They seem likely to run away with it.Italy: Juventus +130 - I don't see anyone else that can contend with them right now.Spain: Barcelona +125 - Good value in a two-horse race coming off an injury-plagued year.England: Man U +260 - solid value. If Aguero shoots wide against QPR in stoppage time, would Man U be this low as defending champs?

All of these have moved in the right direction, although it's still early.

 

[lumpy19]

2 more bonus codes for sportsbook.ag

We're running two 25% reload bonus codes 25KICKOFF and TOUCHDOWN until Monday night....enjoy!

Add that to the loyalnfl one i posted earlier....3 separate 1k deposits and you get $750 CASH to bet your teasers with. You should easily meet rollover just playing teasers there this season even if you're betting $10/legGet that free money!

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Do you guys usually go a full unit per teaser leg? I was thinking maybe .5u or so.

 

[culdeus]

Do you guys usually go a full unit per teaser leg? I was thinking maybe .5u or so.

teasers is more a function of total legs for me. Scale it to a % of bankroll per week. Less legs the more the bet amount.

 

[Tiger Fan]

2 more bonus codes for sportsbook.ag

We're running two 25% reload bonus codes 25KICKOFF and TOUCHDOWN until Monday night....enjoy!

Add that to the loyalnfl one i posted earlier....3 separate 1k deposits and you get $750 CASH to bet your teasers with. You should easily meet rollover just playing teasers there this season even if you're betting $10/legGet that free money!

What's the rollover?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Do you guys usually go a full unit per teaser leg? I was thinking maybe .5u or so.

teasers is more a function of total legs for me. Scale it to a % of bankroll per week. Less legs the more the bet amount.

Gotcha. What % of your roll is typical? 10%?

 

[wazoo11]

Wonder what the line is for Savannah St-Florida State

 

[ChainsawU]

some tennis:Kohlschreibber +170 over Tipsarevic - I would have put these two as even odds here. A true toss up IMO and that line is pretty valuable.Del Potro -300 over Roddick is great value too. Del Potro is going to romp A-Rod IMO.

Did you catch any of Del Potro v Roddick? Del Potro looked strong after settling down. I just wish he could have gotten it over with tonight.I think I saw Del Potro at -245 during live betting just as they sat down for the delay.

 

[John Bender]

some tennis:Kohlschreibber +170 over Tipsarevic - I would have put these two as even odds here. A true toss up IMO and that line is pretty valuable.Del Potro -300 over Roddick is great value too. Del Potro is going to romp A-Rod IMO.

Did you catch any of Del Potro v Roddick? Del Potro looked strong after settling down. I just wish he could have gotten it over with tonight.I think I saw Del Potro at -245 during live betting just as they sat down for the delay.

Yeah.I guess I didn't expect that much guile out of Roddick. He's over matched by Potro here by a lot though.Will be turned in tomorrow morning for sure

 

[modogg]

GooRoo, i always forget, but you're a Lions fan, right? if so, you think they have a chance to win their division?

 

[TheGooRoo]

GooRoo, i always forget, but you're a Lions fan, right? if so, you think they have a chance to win their division?

I think they'll finish their division in 3rd place.

 

[modogg]

Wellll I'm bringing back the baseball plays with the September rosters. In April, we finished 82-69 +12.07uToday, all 1u:TB 1st 5 -135TB -133Atl/Col u8 -115Mia 1st 5 +100Cle +173

looks like a nice job there bud, congrats. i missed 'em, but as long as your Orioles win the division i will be ok. Got the little buggers at +800 to win the AL East. Kicking myself that i have way more on the Phils to win the NL East, but that will be a nice surprise if they pull it out

 

[modogg]

GooRoo, i always forget, but you're a Lions fan, right? if so, you think they have a chance to win their division?

I think they'll finish their division in 3rd place.

oof. glad i didn't play that bet yet. I thought their defense was still getting better, is it their running game which will hurt them quite a bit? Packers seem close to the same, and i'm not a believer in the Bears yet. all i know, is poor Vikings

 

[The Ref]

Pats down to -5.5.

Whoops.

 

[Scruff Mcgruff]

Pats down to -5.5.Whoops.

down to 5 on 5dimes. I am on the same whoops. This is the strangest line drop of all.

 

[lumpy19]

Do you guys usually go a full unit per teaser leg? I was thinking maybe .5u or so.

teasers is more a function of total legs for me. Scale it to a % of bankroll per week. Less legs the more the bet amount.

Gotcha. What % of your roll is typical? 10%?

some weeks you'll have 100+ bets, i personally use the same amount no matter how many legs, each leg is 1/5 a normal bet for me and a normal bet is less than 1% of my bankroll. It works out to roughly .15% of my bankroll for each leg, so 10k bankroll would be $15 legsETA: I should add I may not be doing it exactly right for optimal bankroll growth but this is what works for me and what i'm comfortable with

 

[gussy]

7 point teaser

Giants +3

Patriots +1

Texans -5

Rams +14 1/2

Chiefs +10

Packers +2

Ravens +1

Sick em!

 

[optionmaven]

Pats down to -5.5.Whoops.

down to 5 on 5dimes. I am on the same whoops. This is the strangest line drop of all.

This one and the Washington/Nawlins game. I have the Skins in a few teasers @ +15, and 15.5. line is now 7 and i almost feel obligated to work Nawlins into a few @ -1. Seems i have alot invested in 3-4 games in teasers thus far. Bears -3 and -4, Ravens even, and the Pats -1 and even. Slightly worried, but if each team plays up to their potential, and avoid the turnover bug, i think we might get out alive.

 

[lumpy19]

Entered a bunch of teams at draftstreet...considering this is a fantasy football board i'd encourage everyone to do the same. I entered some salary cap leagues and they have some severely underpriced players in the pool this week(cough..doug martin...cough)

 

[TheWick]

I keep waiting for some big money to come in and pound the Patriots. This has to be a setup...right? Locker is good for atleast 2 picks in this one it would seem.

 

[TheWick]

Entered a bunch of teams at draftstreet...considering this is a fantasy football board i'd encourage everyone to do the same. I entered some salary cap leagues and they have some severely underpriced players in the pool this week(cough..doug martin...cough)

Let me know how this goes please

 

[culdeus]

Do you guys usually go a full unit per teaser leg? I was thinking maybe .5u or so.

teasers is more a function of total legs for me. Scale it to a % of bankroll per week. Less legs the more the bet amount.

Gotcha. What % of your roll is typical? 10%?

10-15% is the normal range. I don't key in teasers of like $17.32 or something to hit an exact amount. 10% is normal. For full disclosure if I carry over teaser legs (Monday forward) and they are live I just let them run and don't count it.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Entered a bunch of teams at draftstreet...considering this is a fantasy football board i'd encourage everyone to do the same. I entered some salary cap leagues and they have some severely underpriced players in the pool this week(cough..doug martin...cough)

Let me know how this goes please

 

[TheWick]

Just put a unit on NE -5...pretty sure it'll lose.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Just put a unit on NE -5...pretty sure it'll lose.

something is amiss

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

Just put a unit on NE -5...pretty sure it'll lose.

something is amiss

seriously though, does anyone have a rational explanation for this line and the movement? By all appearance, everyone and their brother is on the Pats side. Yet the number has slid 2.5 points. It moved through the 7 almost immediately. So is the explanation that moving form 7 down to 5 isn't that big of a deal?I am not very good with numbers and stuff, but this is innerestin

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'll be placing a large wager on the Titans when I get to Vegas. Was really hoping for 7 instead of 5 points though.

Super Bowl losers never cover in week 1. I think it's something like 13 in a row? Not sure.

 

[ChainsawU]

The woman I sit next to in calculus gave me her phone number today.

New York Giants -3½ +100

 

[Good Posting Judge]

The woman I sit next to in calculus gave me her phone number today.New York Giants -3½ +100

NICE.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I found a nutty line on a WCQ game, Hungary/Andorra u4.5 +100, which I bet three units on. Today it moved all the way down to o3.5 +100/u3.5 -142, which is probably about where it should be.

The proper thing to do is to let it ride and not shoot for the middle, correct?

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Just put a unit on NE -5...pretty sure it'll lose.

something is amiss

seriously though, does anyone have a rational explanation for this line and the movement? By all appearance, everyone and their brother is on the Pats side. Yet the number has slid 2.5 points. It moved through the 7 almost immediately. So is the explanation that moving form 7 down to 5 isn't that big of a deal?I am not very good with numbers and stuff, but this is innerestin

It's allmost like they want people to bet NE.

 

[LHUCKS]

I've got the following...

Giants -3.5, 1 unit

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Saints -7, 1 unit

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Breakdown?What do you think Detroit's chances are of covering the 7?

 

[LHUCKS]

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Breakdown?

2012 Detroit point margins at home vs. non playoff teams...45 points vs. KC14 points vs. CAR6 points vs. MINN28 points vs. SDthis is a bloodbath and I actually think St. Louis will be improved this year.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Breakdown?

2012 Detroit point margins at home vs. non playoff teams...45 points vs. KC14 points vs. CAR6 points vs. MINN28 points vs. SDthis is a bloodbath and I actually think St. Louis will be improved this year.

So this covers 80% of the time? 90%? Where should the line be?

 

[LHUCKS]

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Breakdown?

2012 Detroit point margins at home vs. non playoff teams...45 points vs. KC14 points vs. CAR6 points vs. MINN28 points vs. SDthis is a bloodbath and I actually think St. Louis will be improved this year.

So this covers 80% of the time? 90%? Where should the line be?

I'll leave the rest to you.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Lions -7, 4 units (lock city)

Breakdown?

2012 Detroit point margins at home vs. non playoff teams...45 points vs. KC14 points vs. CAR6 points vs. MINN28 points vs. SDthis is a bloodbath and I actually think St. Louis will be improved this year.

So this covers 80% of the time? 90%? Where should the line be?

I'll leve the rest to you.

I honestly have no idea, and I'm not at all disputing that the Lions might be a good play. But if someeone has a 4u play and says it's a "lock" (which I assume is at least somewhat hyperbolic), I'm curious to hear the rationale and see some work. Especially since I can't ever imagine playing an NFL side for 4u.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Giants -3.5 I think that the NYG D line is going to be too much for Romo and Co. this evening..........

 

[LHUCKS]

Giants -3.5 I think that the NYG D line is going to be too much for Romo and Co. this evening..........

I agree. Eli is nails on the road too. If the Cowboys were at 100% I might stay away.

 

[Mister Martie]

Eli is nails on the road too.

Huh?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Eli will be driving on the road on the way to the game. NAILS!

 

[bmj87]

Baseball, all 1u

Pit/Hou u8.5

Atl/Col u8

Was 1st 5 -245

Atl 1st 5 -215

YTD 87-69 +17.8u