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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

Still looking at some props for NFL and will post the rest later, but wanted to let everyone see this in case they missed it with Nicks out.

Ramses Barden (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-140) - sportsbook

 
'swirvenirvin said:
Still looking at some props for NFL and will post the rest later, but wanted to let everyone see this in case they missed it with Nicks out.Ramses Barden (Giants) Total Receptions - Must PlayOver 2.5 (-140) - sportsbook
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Had not really looked at pro stuff yet, but i just booked a little bit of this. I like it.
 
Here are the rest of them

Alex Smith (49ers) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 20.5 (-105)

Shonn Greene (Jets) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 50.5 (-125)

Demaryius Thomas (Broncos) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 70.5 (-115)

1.3

Ramses Barden (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-140)

 
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:hot: :hot: :hot:

OK now that I got that out. I do have ot tip my cap to Chris Thompson RB Fla St. Kid had a clear path to a TD (and the cover) but took a knee inbounds at the 25 and didnt score the TD. Sucks for the lean, but great football by the kid.

 
'modogg said:
just grabbed texas-okl under 91 -120. that has to hit, right?
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Live bet of the year. I had the opportunity to get 88½ but after seeing your number I got stubborn and waited. But I did get in at 81.Back when I was a kid we didn't have fancy live betting on the internet. :thumbup:
 
'Raider Nation said:
'The Ref said:
'Raider Nation said:
Just ate an entire King Size box of Sugar Babies. Feel like I'm gonna throw up.



UCLA -20
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If it's a college like with a lot of Chalk you know I like it.
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:thumbup: Colorado is still terrible. They just forgot it briefly last week.
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:thumbup: Put a unit on whoever they play the rest of the year every week and you are going to come out a winner.

To borrow some RN schtick....

I had the 1H So Miss Over .5 Receptions -250.......

 
'ChainsawU said:
I have gotten so many texts from the HEB girl it is starting to get annoying. I might have to change my number like Kobe and Jordan.Wisconsin vs. Nebraska - ABCWISCONSIN+12 -110
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hell of a middle opportunity here with the halftime line, don't think i'll take it though
 
'Raider Nation said:
'Tiger Fan said:
'cstu said:
LSU vs. Towson -43Towson is a talented team for their level and they've got a very talented RB (Terrence West) but they are out of their element playing in Death Valley.
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Agree with your assessment but LSU has been sloppy in the first half vs. inferior opponents this year. I will be monitoring for a 2nd half playI'm not comfortable they'll cover the 43
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Or even WIN. :mellow:
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This, folks, is why I don't bet on CFB. Anyone actually watching the game? I'd like to know how West is looking.
 
The time for over thinking isn't now.

Ducks

Over

Over Mamba

Over Thomas

Edit Ducks 1H and Over 1Q

Ducks are going to roll.

 
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'John Bender said:
What's the deal w these books. GPJ got clipped for his own soccer plays. Why the hell would anyone want to do business w them when they act this way?You lose - you lose You win - they cut you so you can't win anymore You withdraw and actually want your money - they cut you. A vig isn't enough fOr them?Absolutely pathetic business Practice for the books. Cut all the winners, allow the losers to keep feeding the site.
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Need to play in the big markets, sides/totals. Books are a lot more tolerant in those markets. They'll still cut limits, put on delays but it takes longer to get there.It's not pathetic business practice, it's good business practice, if you're pounding them on props why would they want you as a customer?Squeeze every last dime you can out of all books on props and use that as your bankroll for the bigger markets. Beating the bigger markets is considerably more difficult but you can get piles of money down on your bets if you can find an edge.
 
'Doctor Detroit said:
'gussy said:
'Doctor Detroit said:
'gussy said:
Saturday's action at this point:Cal +1 (2 units)SMU +16New Mexico +26
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Would kind of like to break down these three if possible. The one I don't agree with is the SMU pick, they got housed by TAMU and Baylor and TCU is better than both those teams. Any particular reason you like the SMU there? Game is a short bus ride for TCU and I think they'll have a good number of fans at the game so homefield doesn't seem very strong here. Just would like your thought process on the other two, I don't know much about Cal or ASU but Cal has been playing some good teams pretty tough. New Mexico, man I've always shied away from touching anything in New Mexico, especially the fat chicks.
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TCU allowed 380 yards to a terrible Kansas team and 353 yards to a not very good Virginia team. At home. Their defensive numbers are skewed by what they did against Grambling. They only brought back 11 starters this year and the schedule they've played hasn't proven anything at this point. I think they win, I don't think they cover 2+TD's. Baylor outgained SMU by only 107 yards. SMU had 3 turnovers. They actually had MORE first downs than Baylor. I think TCU and Baylor are fairly equal in talent.Arizona St. has faced a backup QB in every game they've played this year, they lost at Missouri, at one point being behind 24-7. Missouri is an average at best football team. Cal is 0-3 against FBS teams, but they played both USC, a preseason popular BCS champion pick, and Ohio St. (at the shoe) close. They outgained the Buckeyes by 100 yards in Columbus. In the last 9 years Cal is 8-1 vs. Arizona St. and have won by more than 14 four years in a row. Tedford owns the Devils. Home dog? Vegas has this one wrong.Bob Davey has New Mexico on the right track. I faded the #### out of them last year and made some money, they were 1-11 vs. the spread. I'm torn on Boise. I don't think they are anywhere close to as good as they've been, but it's hard to be sure because they've played 2 of the best defenses in the country in their first 3 games. I'm betting on them not being able to cover 4 TD's on the road against an improving (anything is better than last year) New Mexico team that may have a little confidence after beating NMSU on the road last week. Probably not as confident in this one as I am the other two, especially the Cal game.
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Nice, thanks. I think you talked me out of TCU and into Cal, but there is no way I'm touching New Mexico unless Jesus himself tells me that's the play.
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Gussy=JC? :unsure:
 
OK - as someone who has the over and the ducks I'm all for a few picks for wazzou and letting them get some points on the board..... but lets not over do it...

 
'lumpy19 said:
'John Bender said:
What's the deal w these books. GPJ got clipped for his own soccer plays. Why the hell would anyone want to do business w them when they act this way?You lose - you lose You win - they cut you so you can't win anymore You withdraw and actually want your money - they cut you. A vig isn't enough fOr them?Absolutely pathetic business Practice for the books. Cut all the winners, allow the losers to keep feeding the site.
Click to expand...
Need to play in the big markets, sides/totals. Books are a lot more tolerant in those markets. They'll still cut limits, put on delays but it takes longer to get there.It's not pathetic business practice, it's good business practice, if you're pounding them on props why would they want you as a customer?Squeeze every last dime you can out of all books on props and use that as your bankroll for the bigger markets. Beating the bigger markets is considerably more difficult but you can get piles of money down on your bets if you can find an edge.
Click to expand...
:goodposting:I'm still in the "Squeeze every last dime" mode, but obviously I'm going to be chased around for awhile. Beating the big markets is the next step.
 
Las Vegas Sharps Report - Week 4

NEW ENGLAND AT BUFFALO:

Buffalo got strong support here as a divisional home dog. They opened +6 but have been bet down to +4. Sharps do like to go against New England’s soft defense with decent quarterbacks. Fitzpatrick has put some points on the board vs. the Pats recently. The total is up from 50 to 51.5 or 52 because of the same reasoning. Some anti-New England personnel issues in the mix there as well.

MINNESOTA AT DETROIT:

This line went up late because of Stafford’s injury, but it now seems likely he will play. Sharps don't think it matters much who's under center, as they clearly like the divisional dog in this spot. Sharps lost on the Lions and won with Minnesota last week and they'll have no hesitation to back rising star Christian Ponder and a quality defense against the defensively toothless Lions here. An opener of 5.5 for Detroit is now bet down to 4, with the total up a tick from 47 to 48.5.

CAROLINA AT ATLANTA:

Support here again for another divisional road team, as an opener of Atlanta -9 has been bet down to the key number 7. Hard to figure as Atlanta has owned this series of late, and brings the better team playing at home, but Sharps thought 9 was too much to ask in a division rivalry game. An total opener of 50 is down to 49 or 48.5 because of Cam Newton’s shaky play this year, and Atlanta’s shutdown of Philip Rivers and San Diego last week. Sharps would fade any further public move off the 7 based on what we’re hearing... backing Carolina at +7.5 or better but liking well-playing Atlanta at -6.5.

SAN FRANCISCO AT NY JETS:

Just a half point move here, with SF opening at -3.5 and moving up to -4. Any opener above the key number of three tells you that oddsmakers expect the Sharps to like the favorite, and they’re not giving them that critical number. Sharps don't expect the public to play the Jets the way they’ve looked the past two weeks. If anything, Sharps are concerned the public will play San Francisco in the bounce-back spot. They jumped in early so scores like 14-10, 17-13, 24-20, or 28-24 would be winners, rather than pushes or late pointspread losses were the line to keep scooting up.

SAN DIEGO AT KANSAS CITY:

We flipped favorites here, as San Diego opened at -1.5 on the road, only to see Sharps hit the Chiefs so that Kansas City is now laying a point. The Chiefs did play better last week after a slow start, matching what happened to them in 2011. San Diego looked so vulnerable vs. Atlanta that the market wouldn’t accept them as a road favorite vs. this divisional rival. The total is down from 46 to 45.

TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON:

The Texans have been bet up from -11 to -12, with a chance to go to -12.5 from what we’re hearing. That’s important because it over-rode the old school passion for big dogs. Even though those guys took the big dog, so much Houston money came in on the favorite that the line went up anyway. Note that the public is likely to back Houston on game day given that team’s blowouts of Miami and Jacksonville (comparable opponents). Some of this early money was position-taking for middles in case squares take the line to -13 or -14. The total is up from 43.5 to 45 given the lack of defense shown by the Titans last week vs. Detroit and earlier vs. New England.

SEATTLE AT ST. LOUIS:

The only move of note here was on the total, as an opener of 40.5 is down to 38.5. Seattle’s playing low scoring grinders. St. Louis showed offensive issues last week in Chicago. Frankly, a bad opener from the oddsmakers here based on team tendencies. The Seahawks are laying 2.5 points, which is our first teaser window game. St. Louis +8.5 will be a popular choice for Sharps in two-team teasers because line movement would cross the 3 and the 7, and Seattle's offense has been woeful .

MIAMI AT ARIZONA:

The total was of more interest to Sharps again here, with an opener of 41 dropping to 39.5. Sharps like what they’ve seen from Arizona’s defense, and figure they can keep the solid play going vs. a visiting rookie quarterback. They’d prefer to express that interest on the total rather than laying -6 or higher with Kevin Kolb. They’re sour on him in general. All three Cardinals wins have been “defensive” wins.

OAKLAND AT DENVER:

Support for Denver at the opener of -6 has lifted the line to -6.5. It hasn’t gone all the way to -7 though. Oakland did show signs of life while upsetting Pittsburgh last week. And, this is a rivalry both teams take seriously. Sharps would likely hit the rivalry underdog if the public moved the number up to the key number seven. The total is up a tick or two from an opener of 47.5 based on what’s seen as softening defenses.

CINCINNATI AT JACKSONVILLE:

This won’t be a highly bet game in Vegas, though the late start will give it a larger handle than normal. The total is up from 41.5 to 42.5 or 43 because Andy Dalton has been putting up numbers. Sharps would rather bet the Over with him than ask for a second straight good game from what’s probably a non-playoff team. The Bengals are -2, which puts Jacksonville in the teaser window.

NEW ORLEANS AT GREEN BAY:

This was supposed to be the showcase game of the day! Instead, we have an 0-3 team visiting a 1-2 team and it’s very likely that at least one of these teams will miss the playoffs. There’s still plenty of time for Green Bay to recover from MNF’s robbery. They’d better snap into form here though. It’s not like they really played well vs. Seattle, or the prior week vs. Chicago. No movement yet because Sharps don’t want to lay the -7.5 against a strong offense. They'll wait to see what Joe Public does and likely take whatever points are on offer with the 0-3 Saints. A total of 54 has scared everyone away for now, except old-schoolers who automatically go under anything 52 or higher.

WASHINGTON AT TAMPA BAY:

Vegas opened TB -2.5 figuring people were looking to bet Griffin against a team with no offense. Sharps zigged the other way though, impressed with Tampa Bay’s defense. The Bucs are now -3 in most places. The total has fallen from 49 to 47.5 or 47. Another bad opener. Tampa Bay’s defense shone vs. Carolina and Dallas, and Washington’s throwing mostly conservative passes with Griffin.

NY GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA:

The total is down a point from 48 to 47, with the Eagles sitting at -2 on the team side. Sharps don’t trust Michael Vick at all. Those interested in taking the Giants are waiting to see if the public will drive the favorite up in this Sunday Night TV game. No reason to bet NYG at +2 in terms of point value unless it’s almost kickoff and that’s the best you’re going to get. If there’s no line move, Sharps liking NYG will be focused on two-team teasers, where they can cross the 3 and the 7.

CHICAGO AT DALLAS:

Big move on the total here, with an opener of 45 falling all the way to 42 or 41.5. Again, you get the sense that oddsmakers haven’t been watching any games! The Cowboys have played three Unders so far. Chicago was way Under its last two games. On the team side, Dallas opened at -3 and was bet up to -3.5. They still get respect at home from Sharps when prices are that low, and Sharps don't trust schizophrenic Cutler just now.
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