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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

Nevada -6.5. I buy.

Fajardo is playing. Nevada O line is very good. And most importantly it's the late game Sat so half of you fools will be up :banned: .

Get in now before it hits 7 again.

 
'chet said:
Watch for Shanghai Bobby in the Kentucky Derby. Next race: Juvenile Breeders Cup on 11/3 in LA. SB is my friend's horse, and is 4-0 to start his career. Best horse my friend has ever had, and the present KY Derby Fav (VERY EARLY I KNOW).
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good info here. :thumbup:
 
Cardinals to win World Series, just over 1 1/2 units to win 2 units. Covers me on my 2 unit bet on the Tigers to win it all at 6-1.

Odds were 13-10.

 
'The Ref said:
Looking for ideas for Cuse U conn.
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I'm leaning UCONN +4 1/2. Huskies have 15th rated scoring defense in the country so you have to figureit's going to be a low scoring game, I think the spread is somewhat of an overreaction to the Templeloss. Syracuse has beaten Stoney Brook and Pitt this year. The Pitt game was at home and Pitt had moretotal yards and first downs than Syracuse. They won that game 14-13 but only had one offensive TD, theother coming as a result of a fumble recovery for a TD. If the only game they had won this year wasStoney Brook this wouldn't be a 4 1/2 point spread. In Syracuse's last 3 games they've put up 10 pointsagainst Minnesota, 14 points against Pitt and 15 points against Rutgers. The only real top flight defensethey played in that 3 game stretch was Rutgers. I just don't see how they put more than 17 points up tonight,and probably 13 or 14 is more likely. That means they'll have to hold UCONN to less than 10 more than likely.Number higher than a FG favors the underdog with the great defense in my opinion. I think the under is a good play here as well.
 
'gussy said:
'The Ref said:
Looking for ideas for Cuse U conn.
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I'm leaning UCONN +4 1/2. Huskies have 15th rated scoring defense in the country so you have to figureit's going to be a low scoring game, I think the spread is somewhat of an overreaction to the Templeloss. Syracuse has beaten Stoney Brook and Pitt this year. The Pitt game was at home and Pitt had moretotal yards and first downs than Syracuse. They won that game 14-13 but only had one offensive TD, theother coming as a result of a fumble recovery for a TD. If the only game they had won this year wasStoney Brook this wouldn't be a 4 1/2 point spread. In Syracuse's last 3 games they've put up 10 pointsagainst Minnesota, 14 points against Pitt and 15 points against Rutgers. The only real top flight defensethey played in that 3 game stretch was Rutgers. I just don't see how they put more than 17 points up tonight,and probably 13 or 14 is more likely. That means they'll have to hold UCONN to less than 10 more than likely.Number higher than a FG favors the underdog with the great defense in my opinion. I think the under is a good play here as well.
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This is good enough for me. I can speak to the UConn D. They are very good for the division. That said - Fri night national game on turf, I'm going to pass on the under.
 
'The Ref said:
7-15 for the week. Good times.40.5-45.0 for the year
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OK -- Nice little rebound last night to get us going for the week.I had 3 Units on the Ducks so I'm back to 43.5-45.For the rest of the weekendFri:1 unit Uconn +4Sat:1 Unit Clemson -91 Unit Clemson -8.51 Unit ND -13.51 Unit No Ill -16.51 Unit SC/Fla under 41.5 (Dont even remember making this bet last night, but I like it :banned: :banned: :banned: )And the 6 star Palladium lock of the week 3 Units Nevada -6.5
 
I'm thinking we might want to play Oregon and over in the 1H in every one of their games.

Most weeks it seems like the same story. Get out to an enormous lead at halftime, then sleepwalk through the 2H. I'm sure there have been a couple of exceptions, but that seems to be the pattern. I recall typing this same thing last year too.

 
Havent had time to look yet but someone gave me heads up.

Britts out there again at great value vs crappy bills defense.

Britt over 3.5 rec for 2.75 units

 
'gussy said:
Cardinals to win World Series, just over 1 1/2 units to win 2 units. Covers me on my 2 unit bet on the Tigers to win it all at 6-1.Odds were 13-10.
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I'm going Giants 18-1If they win tonight, the odds are going to come down big time. I think either team is beating the Tigers and the Giants are capable of 3 straight here. The biggest challenge is tonight.
 
Another good one seems to be tebow over 4.5 rush att.

Supposed to be backup rb and they will need to pull out some wildcat to stay in this one

Put down 1.5 units on it.

Will have the rest tonight these two just stood out as some early value

 
'The Ref said:
'derek245583 said:
50 pts in the first 19 mins and probably not going to get over 68Jesus
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Under 31.5 2H was the "shark move". I was happy just to buy out of my live bet over but in hind sight it was the play of the night. Up by 36 we should have known the ducks would pull all the starters and run the ball the rest of the night.Ducks 2H under has done well this year. We will have to remember that the rest of the year.
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'Raider Nation said:
I'm thinking we might want to play Oregon and over in the 1H in every one of their games.Most weeks it seems like the same story. Get out to an enormous lead at halftime, then sleepwalk through the 2H. I'm sure there have been a couple of exceptions, but that seems to be the pattern. I recall typing this same thing last year too.
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:unsure:
 
'TheWick said:
'swirvenirvin said:
Havent had time to look yet but someone gave me heads up.Britts out there again at great value vs crappy bills defense.Britt over 3.5 rec for 2.75 units
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Yes sir
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I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I think the Britt over is a very good play, but the whole concept of being cut due to betting bad lines early makes a whole lot of sense.
 
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'cheese said:
'gussy said:
Cardinals to win World Series, just over 1 1/2 units to win 2 units. Covers me on my 2 unit bet on the Tigers to win it all at 6-1.Odds were 13-10.
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I'm going Giants 18-1If they win tonight, the odds are going to come down big time. I think either team is beating the Tigers and the Giants are capable of 3 straight here. The biggest challenge is tonight.
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I like it, .5u. :homer:
 
'The Ref said:
'TheWick said:
'swirvenirvin said:
Havent had time to look yet but someone gave me heads up.Britts out there again at great value vs crappy bills defense.Britt over 3.5 rec for 2.75 units
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Yes sir
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I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I must never bet a bad line early.I think the Britt over is a very good play, but the whole concept of being cut due to betting bad lines early makes a whole lot of sense.
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Just bet it for smaller I think you may be OK
 
'Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Fading fast, probly won't make it to see what's been up with Bender and his bender. We tried to tell ya, GB.
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Drinking for a different reason. Just made the biggest business deal in my life which will leave me with a commission check right before Xmas of more money than I've made in 2 years. :banned: :banned: :banned:Going to richter it up tonight. Maybe get a drink with chet.
 
Let's look at LSU @ TXAM +4.5, O/U 52.5. Game kicks off at 11:00am CST. I believe the line opened at 3 but has been pushed to 4.5.

LSU is 2-5 ATS this season, including 1-5 ATS in the past 5 games. The Aggies have won 5 in a row SU since losing at home to open the season against FLA. LSU bounced back nicely last week at home, beating SC. While failing to cover the number, LSU was up late by 8 before giving up a late TD last week, winning by 2. TXAM was up big on the road at LA Tech last week before giving up a ton of points late, failing to cover the number (-10).

Big emotional game for the Aggies, looking at this game to validate their move to the SEC. 11:00am kickoff favors the Aggies, as there is little to do in College Station on a Friday night. Besides, LSU doesn't travel well to early games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 road games. The home field ought to be worth 3 points. This would be LSU -10 at a neutral site. That said, I like a close game early, but LSU wakes up in the second half.

I am leaning on TXAM to keep it inside the number, but lose a close one. I also like the UNDER.

Thoughts?

 
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'John Bender said:
'Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Fading fast, probly won't make it to see what's been up with Bender and his bender. We tried to tell ya, GB.
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Drinking for a different reason. Just made the biggest business deal in my life which will leave me with a commission check right before Xmas of more money than I've made in 2 years. :banned: :banned: :banned:Going to richter it up tonight. Maybe get a drink with chet.
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Congrats on the deal!
 
'John Bender said:
'Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Fading fast, probly won't make it to see what's been up with Bender and his bender. We tried to tell ya, GB.
Click to expand...
Drinking for a different reason. Just made the biggest business deal in my life which will leave me with a commission check right before Xmas of more money than I've made in 2 years. :banned: :banned: :banned:Going to richter it up tonight. Maybe get a drink with chet.
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:thumbup: good stuff there BenderI'm feeling pretty good cashing in $900 today from selling some World series Tix
 
'John Bender said:
'Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Fading fast, probly won't make it to see what's been up with Bender and his bender. We tried to tell ya, GB.
Click to expand...
Drinking for a different reason. Just made the biggest business deal in my life which will leave me with a commission check right before Xmas of more money than I've made in 2 years. :banned: :banned: :banned:Going to richter it up tonight. Maybe get a drink with chet.
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Well done sir. Two more checks and you can pay off that Yankees bet.
 
'Treynwreck3 said:
Let's look at LSU @ TXAM +4.5, O/U 52.5. Game kicks off at 11:00am CST. I believe the line opened at 3 but has been pushed to 4.5.

LSU is 2-5 ATS this season, including 1-5 ATS in the past 5 games. The Aggies have won 5 in a row SU since losing at home to open the season against FLA. LSU bounced back nicely last week at home, beating SC. While failing to cover the number, LSU was up late by 8 before giving up a late TD last week, winning by 2. TXAM was up big on the road at LA Tech last week before giving up a ton of points late, failing to cover the number (-10).

Big emotional game for the Aggies, looking at this game to validate their move to the SEC. 11:00am kickoff favors the Aggies, as there is little to do in College Station on a Friday night. Besides, LSU doesn't travel well to early games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 road games. The home field ought to be worth 3 points. This would be LSU -10 at a neutral site. That said, I like a close game early, but LSU wakes up in the second half.

I am leaning on TXAM to keep it inside the number, but lose a close one. I also like the UNDER.

Thoughts?
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I disagree with the bolded...What evidence do you have there? Under is the play IMO...more specifically the first half under.A&M struggled against Florida, who has a good defense...and LSU's defense is a tier above Florida. I can't think of a bigger difference than last week where A&M scored at will, with this week where they will struggle mightly. It's going to take them at least a half to ground themselves. Hell, I might have just talked myself into adding on another unit.

 
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'Raider Nation said:
GooRoo (or anyone else)... Is Manziel for the Heisman worth a shot at +1200? He's putting up some stupid numbers on the ground.http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2012/10/15/heisman-survey-geno-smith-braxton-miller-collin-klein/1634233/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+sportsmain+%28Sports+-+Flipboard%29
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Pass imo. He'd likely have to beat LSU and Bama and sustain his outstanding numbers in doing so. He's getting close to a play in the +1200 to +1500 range, but not enough value for me yet.
 
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.

Roethlisberger O22.5 comp

Ridley O82.5 rushing

Eli O23.5 comp

Cecil Shorts O1.5 rec

Blackmon O2.5 rec

DeAngelo U50.5 rushing

Givens O2 rec

Schaub O20.5 comp

Flacco O21.5 comp

Luck O22 comp

Gordon O2.5 rec

Weeden O20.5 comp

Fitzpatrick O19.5 comp

Britt O3.5 rec

Tonight

Lynn U7.5 K's + Walks

Zito U3.5 K's

they'll have quick hooks on both these guys

 
'Tiger Fan said:
'Treynwreck3 said:
Let's look at LSU @ TXAM +4.5, O/U 52.5. Game kicks off at 11:00am CST. I believe the line opened at 3 but has been pushed to 4.5.

LSU is 2-5 ATS this season, including 1-5 ATS in the past 5 games. The Aggies have won 5 in a row SU since losing at home to open the season against FLA. LSU bounced back nicely last week at home, beating SC. While failing to cover the number, LSU was up late by 8 before giving up a late TD last week, winning by 2. TXAM was up big on the road at LA Tech last week before giving up a ton of points late, failing to cover the number (-10).

Big emotional game for the Aggies, looking at this game to validate their move to the SEC. 11:00am kickoff favors the Aggies, as there is little to do in College Station on a Friday night. Besides, LSU doesn't travel well to early games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LSU's last 9 road games. The home field ought to be worth 3 points. This would be LSU -10 at a neutral site. That said, I like a close game early, but LSU wakes up in the second half.

I am leaning on TXAM to keep it inside the number, but lose a close one. I also like the UNDER.

Thoughts?
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I disagree with the bolded...What evidence do you have there? Under is the play IMO...more specifically the first half under.A&M struggled against Florida, who has a good defense...and LSU's defense is a tier above Florida. I can't think of a bigger difference than last week where A&M scored at will, with this week where they will struggle mightly. It's going to take them at least a half to ground themselves. Hell, I might have just talked myself into adding on another unit.
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None. The comment about College Station was more a dig at the Aggies than anything else. :) I really think the under is the play here also.
 
'TheWick said:
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.Roethlisberger O22.5 compRidley O82.5 rushingEli O23.5 compCecil Shorts O1.5 recBlackmon O2.5 recDeAngelo U50.5 rushingGivens O2 recSchaub O20.5 compFlacco O21.5 compLuck O22 compGordon O2.5 recWeeden O20.5 compFitzpatrick O19.5 compBritt O3.5 recTonightLynn U7.5 K's + WalksZito U3.5 K'sthey'll have quick hooks on both these guys
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Looks like we will be on the same page for some of these
 
'TheWick said:
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.Roethlisberger O22.5 compRidley O82.5 rushingEli O23.5 compCecil Shorts O1.5 recBlackmon O2.5 recDeAngelo U50.5 rushingGivens O2 recSchaub O20.5 compFlacco O21.5 compLuck O22 compGordon O2.5 recWeeden O20.5 compFitzpatrick O19.5 compBritt O3.5 rec
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And we thought RN liked overs ;)
 
'TheWick said:
Justin Blackmon O2.5 rec -125 for sunday in enticing. He's been getting plenty of targets and should be able to get open vs. Raiders.Roethlisberger O22.5 compRidley O82.5 rushingEli O23.5 compCecil Shorts O1.5 recBlackmon O2.5 recDeAngelo U50.5 rushingGivens O2 recSchaub O20.5 compFlacco O21.5 compLuck O22 compGordon O2.5 recWeeden O20.5 compFitzpatrick O19.5 compBritt O3.5 recTonightLynn U7.5 K's + WalksZito U3.5 K'sthey'll have quick hooks on both these guys
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How you doing on your prop bets this year Wick? hitting better than .500? any particulars you are hitting well?
 
Props -41-303 +8.68

Units Record

Week 1 -0.23 1-1-1

Week 2 -4.03 6-8-1

Week 3 5.07 13-6

Week 4 2.03 6-3

Week 5 6.92 10-3-1

Week 6 -1.07 5-9

This could be a big card this week, taking advantage of some injuries

1.5

Tim Tebow (Jets) Total Rushing Attempts - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-120)

2.75

Kenny Britt (Titans) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-115)

AJ Green (Bengals) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 5.5 (-145)

Antonio Brown (Steelers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-115)

.9

Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 22.5 (-140)

.5

Early Doucet (Cardinals) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 3 (-130)

Ryan Fitzpatrick (Bills) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 19.5 (-115)

Alex Green (Packers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 57.5 (-115)

.5

Aaron Rodgers (Packers) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 24.5 (even)

.7

Greg Little (Browns) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 3 (-125)

.75

Josh Gordon (Browns) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-115)

.75

Donnie Avery (Colts) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 35.5 (-115)

Reggie Wayne (Colts) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 5.5 (-125)

Andrew Luck (Colts) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 22 (-125)

1.1

Cam Newton (Panthers) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 20.5 (-105)

.9

Cecil Shorts (Jaguars) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 1.5 (-130)

.65

Josh Freeman (Buccaneers) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 20.5 (-115)

.8

Martellus Bennett (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3 (even)

Victor Cruz (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 5.5 (-150)

Hakeem Nicks (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-115)

 
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