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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Up 1u on the day with a 1u 3 team teaser still alive (NYG+3.5, DEN-0.5, SF-1)

Time to look at what to play in tonight's game

 
SF +125. Gotta let it ride at this point.

momentum
I didn't realize how much i had on the Tigers to win the series until i double-checked today :bag: . i took the Giants tonight to cut into some of that, and i think i can chalk this world series up to one of those i did not bet very well.
 
After a VERY profitable day with the teasers (effing Bears ruined the perfect day) I've got a #### load riding on the Niners tomorrow night at PK. Debating sprinkling some AZ ML if it's offered.

 
After a VERY profitable day with the teasers (effing Bears ruined the perfect day) I've got a #### load riding on the Niners tomorrow night at PK. Debating sprinkling some AZ ML if it's offered.
good thinking on both ends. I don't know why i didn't include the SF game in teasers today, and unfortunately i had Washington and Chicago involved in almost all of the one's i did play. That being said though, i think hedging with ARI ML or something like it (maybe the adjusted line if there is one?) is a good idea. yes, arizona is not impressive these days, but SF hasn't looked great either. SEA could/should have beat them if Wilson's WRs didn't drop half the passes that him them in the hands. And i am not convinced that teams have not figured out how to slow down SF offense now too, Alex Smith has not been too impressive and Arizona pass defense looked pretty good for awhilethat being said, i think the Arizona OL will get destroyed tomorrow
 
Question for the eggspurts. LSU/Bama opened up Bama -7 and quickly got up to -9.5....Is it safe to assume that the line won't continue to increase?

 
Question for the eggspurts. LSU/Bama opened up Bama -7 and quickly got up to -9.5....Is it safe to assume that the line won't continue to increase?
10 now and frankly I think it may hit 13.5. I look at LSU and I see a team that came out and smoked a few bad teams. Then once the real teams showed up they played them all close. Now take a look at what Bama has done. They trucked every team they have played and then backed it up and ran over them again.I got a unit down at -7 and I might add one now at -10.Surprised the ducks got the hook.
 
Question for the eggspurts. LSU/Bama opened up Bama -7 and quickly got up to -9.5....Is it safe to assume that the line won't continue to increase?
10 now and frankly I think it may hit 13.5. I look at LSU and I see a team that came out and smoked a few bad teams. Then once the real teams showed up they played them all close. Now take a look at what Bama has done. They trucked every team they have played and then backed it up and ran over them again.I got a unit down at -7 and I might add one now at -10.

Surprised the ducks got the hook.
I hear what you're saying...but my biggest gripe against Bama is that they haven't played anyone even remotely close to LSUs defense.. I posted this in the CFB thread....and I post this knowing how much LSU has struggled on offense this year. :shrug:

For those that don't think Bama can lose at LSU:

Bama will win the game, but it will be very close. LSU should cover...but the upset is not nearly as far fetched as people think

2012 Alabama

Michigan (41-14)

W. Kentucky (35-0)

@Arkansas (52-0)

Fl. Atlantic (40-7)

Ole Miss (33-14)

@Missouri (42-10)

@Tennessee (44-13)

MSU (38-7)

Positives

They’ve won each game soundly. Solid balance on offense….solid defense as usual

Negatives

The only team Bama has beaten in the top 25 is MSU. And MSU is criminally overrated. They’ve beaten the 3 worst teams in the SEC (Kentucky, Auburn and Tennessee) by an average of only 15 points and 3 scrubs. They simply are not nearly as good as their record/ranking suggests.

2012 LSU

N. Texas (41-14)

Washington (41-3)

Idaho (63-14)

@Auburn (12-10)

Towson (38-22)

@Florida (14-6)

S. Carolina (23-21)

@ Texas A&M (24-19)

Positives

Played 3 good teams and won 2 of them…1 on the road. Only loss was to a good Florida team on the road. They’ve definitely improved since that loss, playing much better on the O line

Negatives

Even though they won, they laid eggs vs. Townson and @ Auburn. They’ve dropped balls and haven’t had consistent playcalling all year.
 
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So, what's everyone's plan in re: offshore funds if Romney pulls this thing out. I am extremely wary. :unsure:
a whole lot of :X and then probably looking the job ads for a 2nd job. i got some horrible lines when i placed my bets earlier in the yearall that said though, i still don't understand how the big O can lose this, unless people in this countrty literally change their mind everyday. he has been picked to win nearly every day for the last year, and i can't fathom how in the last week or 2 people change their mind. in all honesty, his only worry should be bad weather where you have people only slightly interested in voting not bothering to leave their house
 
Just laid a unit and a half on the Cardinals tonight at +260 to win 4 units on the ML. I currently have 4 units out there on SF PK in a number of teasers that would pay around 7 1/2 units so this will insulate me on that.

 
(as posted in the CFB thread)

You know what I'm a little disgruntled about? If at the start of the season you said "Hey Ref your a nice guy so I'll give you a pair of tickets to any two regular season college football games this year" I'd be thrilled. I would have thought for about 10 seconds just to make sure I wasn't making any bad mistakes and I'd have most likely answered "great I'll take Bama LSU and Oregon USC". Thing is I can't imagine I'd be the only one to respond that way.

Now someone tell me again why these games not only got schedules the same day... but at the same bleeping time? :rant: :hot:

 
So MNF, what are we thinking? I'm thinking of buying up to +7.5 and going Cards/U38.5.
I don't have an opinion on the total but that side doesn't sound like a bad idea. It would seem very risky to be the other way giving a TD to a division rival at their house on MNF.The last three years (2011-2009) this matchup in Arizona has totaled 40, 33, and 36. Before that (2008-2005) 53, 68, 61, and 45.
 
I walked the woman in my calculus class to her car after class today and kissed her in broad daylight in the parking lot. And I have SF PK wrapping up a teaser.

ARIZONA CARDINALS +7 -110

220/200

 
So MNF, what are we thinking? I'm thinking of buying up to +7.5 and going Cards/U38.5.
I like it. I'm in.
i really thought SF was going to get hammered and drive it up to +7.5 on it's own. I know it takes a lot to move a line off of 7, but this one seemed like a public play that would get hit a ton
Gotta think with nothing else to do but drink/watch TV, anyone who wants action tonight and has power is going to play this game. I'm going to wait and see if it gets to 7.5 on its own.ETA: Line not moving, so booked it. 1U to win 2.5 parlay. Need something to get me through the power outage. Partial power so watching on the PC tonight.
 
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'mquinnjr said:
So MNF, what are we thinking? I'm thinking of buying up to +7.5 and going Cards/U38.5.
I like it. I'm in.
i really thought SF was going to get hammered and drive it up to +7.5 on it's own. I know it takes a lot to move a line off of 7, but this one seemed like a public play that would get hit a ton
Gotta think with nothing else to do but drink/watch TV, anyone who wants action tonight and has power is going to play this game. I'm going to wait and see if it gets to 7.5 on its own.
Seems reasonable to me. I'll probably follow
 

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