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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

Of all the threads on FBGs, I try to follow this one. But everyday, I mouse over it and it says: 1500 new posts. You guys are truly degenerate gamblers. I respect and identify with that, but Jesus.

 
'FootballDummy said:
Of all the threads on FBGs, I try to follow this one. But everyday, I mouse over it and it says: 1500 new posts. You guys are truly degenerate gamblers. I respect and identify with that, but Jesus.
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I respectfully disagreeMost on here are looking to make money. They are always looking to invest in teams/things/elections.There are very few on here who are just straight degenerates imoI hung around the most intense gambling crowd for about 2 years when I was in college and most in here dont even qualify as "addicted to gambling" let alone degenerate gamblers. I never got too deep into it, but I bet I would be there had I not graduated college, got married, and all that...
 
The Refs tip of the day

Don't go out and have some cocktails, come home and sweat the end of some prop plays, decide to parlay the days prop wins on more NCAA sides this Saturday from 11:45-12:00 at night............ when you could have waited till 12:01 and got -105 lines at sportsbook. :bag:

 
Are we playing Oregon first half over this week, or does the thought change b/c it's USC? I've been doing pretty well playing USC and Oregon overs this year. 70 seems like a slam dunk to me?

Also, I'll be playing LSU ( :homer: ) and the points per my analysis earlier this week. A guy at work gave me LSU +21 ($1 a point...so I don't have to pay him unless Bama wins by 21)...so I'll probably throw $20 on the LSU ML also (even though I think Bama wins)

 
'Tiger Fan said:
Are we playing Oregon first half over this week, or does the thought change b/c it's USC? I've been doing pretty well playing USC and Oregon overs this year. 70 seems like a slam dunk to me?Also, I'll be playing LSU ( :homer: ) and the points per my analysis earlier this week. A guy at work gave me LSU +21 ($1 a point...so I don't have to pay him unless Bama wins by 21)...so I'll probably throw $20 on the LSU ML also (even though I think Bama wins)
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I think the over is a slam dunk as well. I don't think I would stick with 1st half. If they come out and dominate again, they're covering 8 regardless. They aren't going to pull people against USC. If they struggle, you've got a better chance getting to the 8 than barely beating the 1st half.No idea on LSU game. I haven't been a buyer on Bama all year and they've covered pretty consistently so I'm a little gunshy to fade them again.
 
So hey guys, got power and all at work so I'm still out power at home, but the options are getting better with the rents having power back now. Big thanks to Bender for offering to host me in Philly, appreciate it GB!

So have an out of town thing to get me away for the weekend, but will have SNF and my Eagles at home, will be first football I'll see being on the road all day Sunday.

I am thinking I want to take my Sandy aggression out on my Birds and bet against them bigtime.

Line is -3 Saints. Having watched the Eagles and suffering through 3 ugly losses in 4 weeks (bye included), and factoring in that the Saints D is pretty bad, we still go heavy on the Saints offense just pouring it on in this one at home in prime time and the Eagles not keeping up with that pace, correct? I'm thinking of cleaning out the account, since I have my election plays come through on Tuesday.

Thoughts/reality check before the button gets hit?

 
'mquinnjr said:
So hey guys, got power and all at work so I'm still out power at home, but the options are getting better with the rents having power back now. Big thanks to Bender for offering to host me in Philly, appreciate it GB!So have an out of town thing to get me away for the weekend, but will have SNF and my Eagles at home, will be first football I'll see being on the road all day Sunday. I am thinking I want to take my Sandy aggression out on my Birds and bet against them bigtime.Line is -3 Saints. Having watched the Eagles and suffering through 3 ugly losses in 4 weeks (bye included), and factoring in that the Saints D is pretty bad, we still go heavy on the Saints offense just pouring it on in this one at home in prime time and the Eagles not keeping up with that pace, correct? I'm thinking of cleaning out the account, since I have my election plays come through on Tuesday. Thoughts/reality check before the button gets hit?
Click to expand...
Saints D is really really bad. If Philly can get just a few stops on Brees this will come down to who has the ball last. Sproles has a hand issue, Graham is still a little gimpy from his ankle. How healthy is the Philly D?
 
'Nero said:
Detroit -4 at Jacksonville (4 units)

Jacksoville's third down conversion percent is worst in the league. Detroit's defense is 9th. If Detroit doesn't give up any special teams TD's, they should win this game pretty easily. 27-13

Houston -10.5 vs Buffalo (4 units)

The only reason I don't have Jacksonville rated as the worst team in the NFL is Buffalo. Buffalo got smoked in their other two games against top competition (San Francisco and New England). No reason to think any differently here as Buffalo's weakness(run defense) is Houston's strenght. Houston will score plenty. Buffalo will not keep up because Houston has a good defense. 38-20

Carolina +3.5 at Washington (3 units)

I think the road team is the better team here. RG3 has been great, but he still isn't playing well on 3rd down. Washington defense is decimated by injury and can't get of the field. Carolina can win this game. Getting more than a field goal makes it even more attractive. 27-24 Carolina.

Cleveland +4 vs Baltimore (3 units)

I though Baltimore was one of the more overrated teams before they were struck with all the injuries. I'm still confused as to how they were able to beat New England and Dallas. I think the Houston thrashing is closer to what they really are at this point. This should be a pick em game, but Baltimore is living of past glory. Cleveland wins 20-18

I also like the Colts, Bears, Giants and Vikings in teasers.

I got KC to cover tonight. They can't possibly keep turning the ball over as they have right?
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Nice writeup. Somebody else said it somewhere......."How can you put any money on the chiefs at this point?"

I like the Lions call. I think the Texans demolish the bills. Carolina/Wash is a coin toss. I like that you are going with the points there. The one i strongly disagree with is the last one. Even a banged up Ravens team should have no problem beating up a weak division foe that it knows very well. I think the ravens are better than you are giving them credit for. My recollection, not looking at real stats at the moment, is that Baltimore has dominated this series recently. The brownies have been covering (you go bender) but good teams beat the teams they are supposed too. Ravens by; 7 or more.

 
'TheWick said:
'mquinnjr said:
So hey guys, got power and all at work so I'm still out power at home, but the options are getting better with the rents having power back now. Big thanks to Bender for offering to host me in Philly, appreciate it GB!So have an out of town thing to get me away for the weekend, but will have SNF and my Eagles at home, will be first football I'll see being on the road all day Sunday. I am thinking I want to take my Sandy aggression out on my Birds and bet against them bigtime.Line is -3 Saints. Having watched the Eagles and suffering through 3 ugly losses in 4 weeks (bye included), and factoring in that the Saints D is pretty bad, we still go heavy on the Saints offense just pouring it on in this one at home in prime time and the Eagles not keeping up with that pace, correct? I'm thinking of cleaning out the account, since I have my election plays come through on Tuesday. Thoughts/reality check before the button gets hit?
Click to expand...
Saints D is really really bad. If Philly can get just a few stops on Brees this will come down to who has the ball last. Sproles has a hand issue, Graham is still a little gimpy from his ankle. How healthy is the Philly D?
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It's "healthy." Just looking putrid. If Graham looks good in the practice reports, he and Colston should terrorize the Eagles secondary from how they've looked the past few weeks.
 
I'm probably taking the Eagles. I'm actually buying into some of this "team meeting" and refocused energy this week. I think those things can have an impact in the short term. The Saints are just not a good team. If the Eagles defense plays with some life, any team in the league can score on the Saints.

Two very unpredictable teams usually though, so I'm treading lightly.

 
'cheese said:
'Tiger Fan said:
Are we playing Oregon first half over this week, or does the thought change b/c it's USC? I've been doing pretty well playing USC and Oregon overs this year. 70 seems like a slam dunk to me?Also, I'll be playing LSU ( :homer: ) and the points per my analysis earlier this week. A guy at work gave me LSU +21 ($1 a point...so I don't have to pay him unless Bama wins by 21)...so I'll probably throw $20 on the LSU ML also (even though I think Bama wins)
Click to expand...
I think the over is a slam dunk as well. I don't think I would stick with 1st half. If they come out and dominate again, they're covering 8 regardless. They aren't going to pull people against USC. If they struggle, you've got a better chance getting to the 8 than barely beating the 1st half.No idea on LSU game. I haven't been a buyer on Bama all year and they've covered pretty consistently so I'm a little gunshy to fade them again.
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I'm playing the over as well. Phil Steele says it gets to 90 that's good enough for me. As for LSU/Bama, logic says LSU is the play but my eyeballs tell me something different. I'll probably stay away.
 
'cheese said:
'JerseyToughGuys said:
hafta fade ND this week, right?

17 is way too many imo.

:unsure:
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Agree, but might want to keep an eye on guys who might get suspended
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I'm just looking at it from the "Can ND really score more than 24" angle. Pitt's defense is that bad.
'John Bender said:
'JerseyToughGuys said:
hafta fade ND this week, right?

17 is way too many imo.

:unsure:
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Seems it. But BC are the Chiefs of college football. They are turrible.
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Pitt, yo.
 
'mquinnjr said:
So hey guys, got power and all at work so I'm still out power at home, but the options are getting better with the rents having power back now. Big thanks to Bender for offering to host me in Philly, appreciate it GB!So have an out of town thing to get me away for the weekend, but will have SNF and my Eagles at home, will be first football I'll see being on the road all day Sunday. I am thinking I want to take my Sandy aggression out on my Birds and bet against them bigtime.Line is -3 Saints. Having watched the Eagles and suffering through 3 ugly losses in 4 weeks (bye included), and factoring in that the Saints D is pretty bad, we still go heavy on the Saints offense just pouring it on in this one at home in prime time and the Eagles not keeping up with that pace, correct? I'm thinking of cleaning out the account, since I have my election plays come through on Tuesday. Thoughts/reality check before the button gets hit?
Click to expand...
I played the Eagles at +3 1/2 earlier this week. I realize the hook makes a big difference but I have a feeling Philly goes in and wins this one. 32nd ranked Saints defense is just the medicine for the Eaglets terrible offensive line.
 
'optionmaven said:
'Nero said:
Detroit -4 at Jacksonville (4 units)

Jacksoville's third down conversion percent is worst in the league. Detroit's defense is 9th. If Detroit doesn't give up any special teams TD's, they should win this game pretty easily. 27-13

Houston -10.5 vs Buffalo (4 units)

The only reason I don't have Jacksonville rated as the worst team in the NFL is Buffalo. Buffalo got smoked in their other two games against top competition (San Francisco and New England). No reason to think any differently here as Buffalo's weakness(run defense) is Houston's strenght. Houston will score plenty. Buffalo will not keep up because Houston has a good defense. 38-20

Carolina +3.5 at Washington (3 units)

I think the road team is the better team here. RG3 has been great, but he still isn't playing well on 3rd down. Washington defense is decimated by injury and can't get of the field. Carolina can win this game. Getting more than a field goal makes it even more attractive. 27-24 Carolina.

Cleveland +4 vs Baltimore (3 units)

I though Baltimore was one of the more overrated teams before they were struck with all the injuries. I'm still confused as to how they were able to beat New England and Dallas. I think the Houston thrashing is closer to what they really are at this point. This should be a pick em game, but Baltimore is living of past glory. Cleveland wins 20-18

I also like the Colts, Bears, Giants and Vikings in teasers.

I got KC to cover tonight. They can't possibly keep turning the ball over as they have right?
Click to expand...
Nice writeup. Somebody else said it somewhere......."How can you put any money on the chiefs at this point?"

I like the Lions call. I think the Texans demolish the bills. Carolina/Wash is a coin toss. I like that you are going with the points there. The one i strongly disagree with is the last one. Even a banged up Ravens team should have no problem beating up a weak division foe that it knows very well. I think the ravens are better than you are giving them credit for. My recollection, not looking at real stats at the moment, is that Baltimore has dominated this series recently. The brownies have been covering (you go bender) but good teams beat the teams they are supposed too. Ravens by; 7 or more.
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Stats for Brownies/Ravens. Seems my recollection was pretty good.

http://sportsdirect.usatoday.com/football/nfl-matchups.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_7.html

Ravens have won the last 9 in a row in this matchup. 3 times out of 9 the ravens won by 6-7. all the others were double digit wins. I think the Ravens are a very strong play here.

 
Why I like Lions over the Jags, besides MJD being out. Notice in the Jags 7 games this yr. that on the road, they are 4-0 against the spread. They were competitive in every game besides the packers. At home, they've been blown out in every matchup by at least 17. Taking for granted that those 3 teams were Houston, Dabears, and Cincy (better foes than the lions). Under looks logical too, imo.

http://sportsdirect.usatoday.com/football/nfl-matchups.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_4.html

 
'lumpy19 said:
At RB you can bet on NBA ROY, I'd recommend locking in Anthony Davis at +200. We're in the unique position of already getting to see him play with some of the best players in the world at the olympics. I watched a lot of the olympic basketball and he fit right in. I get that during the regular season he won't be playing with the type of talent he had on that olympic team but I don't think it matters, the brow is special.
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21pts 7reb 1blk in his debut....wish i could have bet like 10k on this....he's awesome.....the brow might be avatar worthy
 
Celts -7 tonight. Home opener - coming off a loss - Milwaukee's best scorers are guards and Boston has some decent defensive guards. KG should be able to have his way in the front court as well as Bass.

 
Anyone have anything solid on tonight's game? I watched Cal get pushed around by Nevada earlier in the year but go to Columbus and hang with the Buckeyes. Washington beats the Beavers last week. If anything I see under 51?

Just booked 2 units on Ore O 35 1H.

 
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
At RB you can bet on NBA ROY, I'd recommend locking in Anthony Davis at +200. We're in the unique position of already getting to see him play with some of the best players in the world at the olympics. I watched a lot of the olympic basketball and he fit right in. I get that during the regular season he won't be playing with the type of talent he had on that olympic team but I don't think it matters, the brow is special.
Click to expand...
21pts 7reb 1blk in his debut....wish i could have bet like 10k on this....he's awesome.....the brow might be avatar worthy
Click to expand...
Good start. I was even more impressed by Lillard. Not the debut I expected from a guy from Weber State. Super quick. He has alot of Kyrie Irving in him, but better I think. Love the brow, but gimme some more Lillard at +600.
 
'The Ref said:
Anyone have anything solid on tonight's game? I watched Cal get pushed around by Nevada earlier in the year but go to Columbus and hang with the Buckeyes. Washington beats the Beavers last week. If anything I see under 51?Just booked 2 units on Ore O 35 1H.
Click to expand...
Nothing solid. Both teams stepping down in class after a stretch of tougher opponents. Playing Washington small.
 
I need college basketball to start.

Tonight NBA:

Orlando +6

Atlanta -5

Cleveland +3

Minnesota -3

OK City -8.5

New York +6

LAC/LAL u191

Utah/NOR u191

Going to continue to fade the public until :tfp:

 
'Doctor Detroit said:
At this point in the season I think there is good value playing the Falcons opponent on the ML until they lose. Call me crazy, but I think the Cowboys have a decent shot this week. +180 Was actually hoping that line would be closer to seven, maybe someone has the same idea I do. :kicksrock:
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I like Dallas +5 as well, to keep it inside the number and possibly win it outright. Dallas plays better as a road dog when they feel as if their back is against a wall. Atlanta has had some trouble at home and plays better on the road. I think they have to lose sometime (they aren't that good), this is as good a time as any.
 
'TheGooRoo said:
'lumpy19 said:
'lumpy19 said:
At RB you can bet on NBA ROY, I'd recommend locking in Anthony Davis at +200. We're in the unique position of already getting to see him play with some of the best players in the world at the olympics. I watched a lot of the olympic basketball and he fit right in. I get that during the regular season he won't be playing with the type of talent he had on that olympic team but I don't think it matters, the brow is special.
Click to expand...
21pts 7reb 1blk in his debut....wish i could have bet like 10k on this....he's awesome.....the brow might be avatar worthy
Click to expand...
Good start. I was even more impressed by Lillard. Not the debut I expected from a guy from Weber State. Super quick. He has alot of Kyrie Irving in him, but better I think. Love the brow, but gimme some more Lillard at +600.
Click to expand...
heard good things about lillard in the preseason, haven't seen him play yet
 
I recommend anyone on the under tonight to buy out now. You got a 2 point middle and the only thing stoping being way upside down was a fumble on the 20.

 
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