John Bender
Footballguy
Anytime, Rude.
Well, anytime I can be right, anyway.
Well, anytime I can be right, anyway.
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
The Ref
Footballguy
I have done a fair amount of reading on polling and who has a tendency to be more accurate in particular states. Its really not much different then researching the collor gatoraide the winning Super Bowl team uses to dump on the coach. And bu the way, this thread is 3 for 3 the past few Super Bowls on that Prop.By all means don't bet your house on it, but I think it's a good lean.
This ####### thread is awesome
Sorry to offend anyone, I thought I was in the wagering thread there for a minute.
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derek245583
Footballguy
I am not even slightly offended. I just wasnt sure if you were doing your own exit polls or cold calling voters in those states. I was just imagining "Hi, this the ref from the internet...."I have done a fair amount of reading on polling and who has a tendency to be more accurate in particular states. Its really not much different then researching the collor gatoraide the winning Super Bowl team uses to dump on the coach. And bu the way, this thread is 3 for 3 the past few Super Bowls on that Prop.By all means don't bet your house on it, but I think it's a good lean.
This ####### thread is awesome
Sorry to offend anyone, I thought I was in the wagering thread there for a minute.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Today the 21 year old grocery store clerk I am dating gave me a discount on the food I will be preparing at my place tomorrow night for the woman in my calculus class.
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Anybody playing the CFB game tonight? Toledo -6.5 70.5.
Some trends:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 14 games
Toledo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ball State
Toledo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ball State
So, without anything else to go on, I'm thinking the play is Ball St +6.5 O70.5
Anybody?
Some trends:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 14 games
Toledo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ball State
Toledo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ball State
So, without anything else to go on, I'm thinking the play is Ball St +6.5 O70.5
Anybody?
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71 seems like a ton of points for a Tuesday night game so I played the under.
Also thinking of playing Ball St at +7 (-115)
Also thinking of playing Ball St at +7 (-115)
The Ref
Footballguy
Thats not a bad idea....I am not even slightly offended. I just wasnt sure if you were doing your own exit polls or cold calling voters in those states. I was just imagining "Hi, this the ref from the internet...."I have done a fair amount of reading on polling and who has a tendency to be more accurate in particular states. Its really not much different then researching the collor gatoraide the winning Super Bowl team uses to dump on the coach. And bu the way, this thread is 3 for 3 the past few Super Bowls on that Prop.By all means don't bet your house on it, but I think it's a good lean.
This ####### thread is awesome
Sorry to offend anyone, I thought I was in the wagering thread there for a minute.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Both teams wearing dark jerseys. WTF?
nearly 21 points in a quarter doesn't seem too bad for the over.
The Ref
Footballguy
We are lucky Ball St got up early - Toledo looks like they want to run tonight early on.Good news for you Obama folks - unless Mitt starts to do better in Florida this is going to be over before it gets started.nearly 21 points in a quarter doesn't seem too bad for the over.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I haven't followed the Otis thread too closely. Basically tommyboy made bets with everyone that Romney would win, and it ain't gonna happen?
he bet $2500 to various posters at even money when he could have gotten 2:1 odds or better elsewhere.very few other Romney supporters were willing to put any money on the line despite being certain that he was going to win.
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Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Wow.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Tommy is/was pretty sure of himself. It was weird.Why he didn't just go bet a ton on Romney at +200 was just mind-boggling.
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
So much for that ball control. The spread offense is like crack. Ask Mike Leach. 
The Ref
Footballguy
I'm a "Mitt guy". Mitt is walking the edge big time in Florida. If he can't pick up huge votes in the north this thing is over before it started.Only positive is Mitts numbers in Virgina look good.
he's getting blown out in Ohio though.When smart people looking at the polls say Obama was a 80-90+% favorite to win, it seems odd to bet against that at even money with unwavering confidence.
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Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
He's leading in Chesterfield County with 75% of the vote in, 54-45, but by about the same margin that McCain won Chesterfield. Bush II had 63% when he carried VA in 2004.Still seems pretty early there.
derek245583
Footballguy
How much do we stand to win in the thread if Obama wins?
I have no idea since I made so many different bets, but I could probably lose about 2.5k if he blew this one.
derek245583
Footballguy
Obviously not going to tabulate it all, but it would be funny to see how much the thread takes down
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Toledo's QB reminds me of a destitute man's Pat White.
derek245583
Footballguy
We are right in it...Need a TD before half and we are looking at 34 in the first half with a tight game so nobody is slowing down.
optionmaven
Footballguy
Field Goal here in the last 30 seconds we get the over 1st halfedit: nevermind...picked off
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pretty sure my under bet is a loser, but I'd like to see more points for Wenning and Fluellen.
Clorox
Footballguy
I can feel it...NIU Kicker in the house?
Treynwreck3
Footballguy
Like this Fluellen kid. 172 total yards first half.
34 at half. The over is still a great play, as at least three drives were stopped by turnovers.
Ball St threw a huge first punch, but Toledo responded. Game comes down to a FG or OT.
Goiing to lay a small bet on OT @ 15:1. Otherwise, I like Ball to keep it under the number.
34 at half. The over is still a great play, as at least three drives were stopped by turnovers.
Ball St threw a huge first punch, but Toledo responded. Game comes down to a FG or OT.
Goiing to lay a small bet on OT @ 15:1. Otherwise, I like Ball to keep it under the number.
Free
optionmaven
Footballguy
Played under 70 -115 to hedge out a bit on that over.
The Ref
Footballguy
Me too - Under 67. I'm exposed by a hook. Hopefully Ball state can get over 31 and I can get out up a few bucks plus GooRoo props.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I'll post my total. $1200 risked, but a lot of it's favorite money, max. is probably around $900 or so if O takes down VA and FL.'derek245583 said:
