What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

Newport, RI is so over rated. Especially in the winter
It was better when Jai Alai was up and running. Ridiculously fun sport to watch and play. My first ever paid DJ gig was at the Newport Marriott. But yes, the town is a bunch of blue hairs now.
My scumbag degen pals came down to florida for the pats phins game and I took them to Daina Jai Alai. They fell in love with the place. They might come down in February just to spend a Saturday night there.
 
Newport, RI is so over rated. Especially in the winter
It was better when Jai Alai was up and running. Ridiculously fun sport to watch and play. My first ever paid DJ gig was at the Newport Marriott. But yes, the town is a bunch of blue hairs now.
My scumbag degen pals came down to florida for the pats phins game and I took them to Daina Jai Alai. They fell in love with the place. They might come down in February just to spend a Saturday night there.
Ever try to play? It's a blast!You can buy a real cesta on eBay. Takes awhile to get the throwing motion down. They use a pelota on the court, but you can just use the hard inside core of a baseball when playing outdoors. Just find a big, flat wall and away you go.I played on the actual court in Newport in the amateur league they had. I was nowhere near good enough to be one of the pros (not even when the scabs were playing) but it's such a fun sport.
 
and the first step in pissing away some of the winnings we have begun to gain tonight:Fletcher -105 .5 unit. I couldn't tell you more than 2 or 3 things about him or Parke, just wanted some action for the time being so i figured why not. Palhares will pull the fight out of his ###, and {Pearson will cruise to victory, along with Whittaker) so why not
modogg you have cajones bettting on this fight. joining you on fletcher
yeah, this was a blind bet, not the great call but i was happy with Mendes winning my -1250 bet on him,. and the under too so i got a little excited. funny betting on guys that i haven't even seen fight before though, not the way i like to do itand Mike Pierce sucks. Crappier than Sean Sherk, stand and trade a little you panzy. i like how Kenny and Anik try to make it a good thing, the guy did nothing. i'm only in rd. 1, but he may have thrown a total of 5-10 strikes so farmade some cash, tomorrow should be better
Those last two favorites brought in some much needed profits.
 
Havent had a time out once in almost 10 years here. Thinking of cashing one in on the shooting thread on the next person who tries to take it political.
Also. I double dog dare one of you to go in that gun control debate thread
I ended up going out to play poker instead. I was ready to explode reading any of those threads in the late afternoon after I heard about the tragedy. For my efforts I had the worst winning night in a long time. **Caution Bad Beat story nobody cares about**Played PLO8B for a few hours and banked $450. Took $200 over to a 2-5 table and ran it up to $300. Normally I do very well vs bad players but tonight the bad player won. I limp with pocket aces. Bad player to my left makes it $25. Everyone else folds. I make it $300 knowing he would call because that his move, and call he did. Board runs out 5-5-6-j-55-7 suited.:wall:Oddly enough I thought of today's events when the table groaned about the loss. All I said was nice hand, good night and walked away.
 
SHARPS REPORT ... WEEK 15

GREEN BAY AT CHICAGO:

Very little betting interest in this game yet. Green Bay opened at -3 and 42, and is now -3 and 42.5 (with some 43’s out there). So, we have some action on the Over, which tells you weather won’t be an issue again despite this being a cold weather city in late December. We hear that sharps would fade any public move one way or the other because they believe three is the right line based on how these teams have been playing lately.

NY GIANTS AT ATLANTA:

Limited interest here as well, though the Giants are a popular choice for two-team teasers in spots where they’re getting +1.5. The six-point adjustment moves NYG past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Some stores are considering staying at Atlanta -1 so they don’t have to worry about getting flooded with basic strategy teasers on a quality team. The total has dropped from an opener of 52 to 51, anticipating a playoff atmosphere that would feature conservative play and tight defense.

TAMPA BAY AT NEW ORLEANS:

Clear sharp sentiment on the home favorite here even though it’s only a half point move. New Orleans opened at -3, and is now -3.5. We’ve told you often this year that it takes a lot of money to move off the three. If a number moves off a key line, then STAYS there, then you know the sharp side. No buy back on the Bucs at +3.5. Sharps are happy with their position on the home team -3. Nothing on the total. If we don’t mention the Over/Under in any of the following games, it’s because sharps haven’t expressed an interest.

MINNESOTA AT ST. LOUIS:

Another quiet game right on the three. St. Louis opened at -3 and stayed there. This is why you can tell New Orleans was such a strong opinion. Neither Green Bay nor St. Louis moved off the key number. New Orleans moved and then locked in higher than the key number. Sharps will fade any public move in this game that could launch the winner to a surprise Wildcard spot if they get some help elsewhere.

WASHINGTON AT CLEVELAND:

There’s been no line all week because of the injury to Robert Griffin III. Washington won’t announce until Sunday whether or not he’s going to play based on most recent reports. Sharps have a number in mind with RGIII and without. They’ll hit the opener if oddsmakers miss the mark. If you want to know who the sharps are betting Sunday morning in this one, follow any moves right after the game goes up. Sharps always act quicker than the public.

JACKSONVILLE AT MIAMI:

Miami opened at -7, and there’s been enough action that we’re now seeing either increased juice on the Dolphins at -7, or line moves to -7.5. Sharps prefer the favorite, and would also like to include Miami in basic strategy teasers because they can move the line down below the 7 and the 3. There are some sharps, though, who think the Jaguars plus anything over the key number of seven offers value. So, there’s a bit of a tug of war going on between the Miami -7 and Jacksonville +7.5 contingents. If the public gets involved, they would likely play Miami at -7 but not -7.5. This is obviously a low priority game in terms of the public’s radar this week…except for squares who always move all favorites down to cheap prices for teasers.

DENVER AT BALTIMORE:

Interesting spot here. Denver opened at -2.5, and stayed there most of the week. When this happens, it typically means sharps like the underdog. Obviously, if they liked the favorite, they would have jumped in beneath the key number for percentage reasons. But, as we’re going to press this morning there are some stores moving up to three. We’re hearing that’s more public-driven than sharp driven…and that sharps will generally be on Baltimore +3 or better if the public backs Peyton Manning. Even if the line solidifies at +2.5 everywhere again, sharps will be on the Ravens in basic strategy two-team teasers. Sharps will be rooting for Baltimore this Sunday in one form or another.

INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON:

Houston opened at -8 despite their poor showing last Monday Night in New England. Sharps who liked Houston acted early, driving the line to -8.5 or -9. Those who prefer the dog are waiting to see what they can get because the public may bet the highly regarded team in a bounce back spot at any price below -10. Sharps would have Houston in two-team teasers at -8 or -8.5, but not at -9 because that moves out of the window. We understand that some stores moved this one up to nine quickly once the sharps committed so that it wouldn’t fall in the teaser window.

CAROLINA AT SAN DIEGO:

Another game sitting solidly on the key number of three. Our discussions suggest sharps generally prefer the dog, which might shade juice in that direction before kickoff. Though, because three’s are so common, sharps would fade any public move off the key number if that happens. In other words, sharps may have a lean toward Carolina at +3, but they would like San Diego -2.5 better simply because three’s are so common in final victory margins. The total has dropped from an opener of 46 down to 45. It’s not a busy week on totals for sharps because weather influences just aren’t happening this year.

SEATTLE VS. BUFFALO (in Toronto):

Seattle opened at -5.5…and it doesn’t take a lot of money to move a game off a tweener number like that. Yet, we’re still sitting at Seattle by 5.5 in this neutral field game as we go to press. Six is a “minor” key number. So, it’s telling that Seattle wasn’t at least driven to the six. We’re hearing that sharps are concerned about peak focus for the Seahawks because a huge game with San Francisco is on deck next week. Sharps would probably take Buffalo at +6 or better if the public moves the line higher Sunday.

DETROIT AT ARIZONA:

Some interest on Detroit at the opener of -6. We’re seeing a few -6.5’s out there. This is tepid interest though because serious backing for the favorite would have yielded an immediate move to at least -6.5, and then probably up to the key number of -7. You’ve seen what happens when sharps really like a favorite. That’s not what’s going on here. We would expect sharp respect to show up for Arizona’s defense if the public moves the line to Detroit by seven before kickoff. Sharps who are taking a flyer on Detroit are in softly at -6. If there’s a “hidden dragon” here, it’s on Arizona getting +7 as a home dog.

PITTSBURGH AT DALLAS:

In most weeks, this would be the biggest public game of the entire weekend. Today it’s overshadowed by a few others. But, the prime placement in the late TV window will still make this a very heavily bet game. Sharps hit Pittsburgh at the opener of +1. We’re now seeing Pittsburgh -1.5 in most stores. That’s not really a big move percentage-wise even with the flipped favorites. Note that Dallas is now in the teaser window, because you can move them up past the 3 and the 7 to +7.5. Sharps will be rooting for Pittsburgh +1 and Dallas +7.5.

KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND:

Our fourth and final game of the day that’s been frozen on three. Oakland is the short home favorite. Sharps will fade any public move. The late schedule is fairly heavy this week, so the public may not be very active in this game. Had there been just three late games, which has been common lately, even an ugly matchup like this would get heavily bet. Sharps did play Over 43 at the opener. We’re now seeing 44 in most places.

SAN FRANCISCO AT NEW ENGLAND:

Maybe this is a game the sharps will be betting again several weeks down the road. Is this a Super Bowl preview? Right now, Vegas books have the AFC at -3 over the NFC in the Super Bowl…which you can bet even though the teams aren’t known yet. New England only opened at -4.5 here…which is less than you’d except for the AFC favorite playing on its home field. Sharps bet the Pats to -5.5. Given how the public joined the sharps on New England over Houston last week, we may see a rise once again on game day in this line. We understand sharps would come in on San Francisco at +7 because of their strong defense.
 
Newport, RI is so over rated. Especially in the winter
It was better when Jai Alai was up and running. Ridiculously fun sport to watch and play. My first ever paid DJ gig was at the Newport Marriott. But yes, the town is a bunch of blue hairs now.
My scumbag degen pals came down to florida for the pats phins game and I took them to Daina Jai Alai. They fell in love with the place. They might come down in February just to spend a Saturday night there.
Ever try to play? It's a blast!You can buy a real cesta on eBay. Takes awhile to get the throwing motion down. They use a pelota on the court, but you can just use the hard inside core of a baseball when playing outdoors. Just find a big, flat wall and away you go.I played on the actual court in Newport in the amateur league they had. I was nowhere near good enough to be one of the pros (not even when the scabs were playing) but it's such a fun sport.
I'm way too out of shape to pull that off right now. I bet it would be a blast though. Dania is closed Monday/Tuesday nights and I know for a fact the rent it out and have some armature players.I wonder if the RI players striked as the same time as the Florida players. Dania jai Alia used to be a big deal. you used to have to pay for parking and the place was always jam packed. Now you go and it's 1/20th full on a Saturday night. Anyway I think it was back in the early 90's they had a strike and the place was never the same again.
 
Newport, RI is so over rated. Especially in the winter
It was better when Jai Alai was up and running. Ridiculously fun sport to watch and play. My first ever paid DJ gig was at the Newport Marriott. But yes, the town is a bunch of blue hairs now.
My scumbag degen pals came down to florida for the pats phins game and I took them to Daina Jai Alai. They fell in love with the place. They might come down in February just to spend a Saturday night there.
Ever try to play? It's a blast!You can buy a real cesta on eBay. Takes awhile to get the throwing motion down. They use a pelota on the court, but you can just use the hard inside core of a baseball when playing outdoors. Just find a big, flat wall and away you go.I played on the actual court in Newport in the amateur league they had. I was nowhere near good enough to be one of the pros (not even when the scabs were playing) but it's such a fun sport.
I'm way too out of shape to pull that off right now. I bet it would be a blast though. Dania is closed Monday/Tuesday nights and I know for a fact the rent it out and have some armature players.I wonder if the RI players striked as the same time as the Florida players. Dania jai Alia used to be a big deal. you used to have to pay for parking and the place was always jam packed. Now you go and it's 1/20th full on a Saturday night. Anyway I think it was back in the early 90's they had a strike and the place was never the same again.
It was almost certainly the same strike. I believe it was from 1989 to 1992, give or take. The owner of Newport Jai Alai also owned one of the frontons in Florida. Putting the pieces together, it had to be Dania.
 
and the first step in pissing away some of the winnings we have begun to gain tonight:Fletcher -105 .5 unit. I couldn't tell you more than 2 or 3 things about him or Parke, just wanted some action for the time being so i figured why not. Palhares will pull the fight out of his ###, and {Pearson will cruise to victory, along with Whittaker) so why not
modogg you have cajones bettting on this fight. joining you on fletcher
yeah, this was a blind bet, not the great call but i was happy with Mendes winning my -1250 bet on him,. and the under too so i got a little excited. funny betting on guys that i haven't even seen fight before though, not the way i like to do itand Mike Pierce sucks. Crappier than Sean Sherk, stand and trade a little you panzy. i like how Kenny and Anik try to make it a good thing, the guy did nothing. i'm only in rd. 1, but he may have thrown a total of 5-10 strikes so farmade some cash, tomorrow should be better
Those last two favorites brought in some much needed profits.
got Elliot -155 and Head +175 so far. Got Head (heehee) +225 at some other books the other night. Pyle is a wiley vet, but Head should light him up. I like it mostly for the number it can be had at, lot of the MMA sites love Head too, but his last fight is a little deceiving b/c he fought a guy who came in a few weeks notice and was looking to drop in weight class. still think he takes Pyle though. and Elliot opened nicer, but got there a little late
 
Newport, RI is so over rated. Especially in the winter
It was better when Jai Alai was up and running. Ridiculously fun sport to watch and play. My first ever paid DJ gig was at the Newport Marriott. But yes, the town is a bunch of blue hairs now.
My scumbag degen pals came down to florida for the pats phins game and I took them to Daina Jai Alai. They fell in love with the place. They might come down in February just to spend a Saturday night there.
Ever try to play? It's a blast!You can buy a real cesta on eBay. Takes awhile to get the throwing motion down. They use a pelota on the court, but you can just use the hard inside core of a baseball when playing outdoors. Just find a big, flat wall and away you go.I played on the actual court in Newport in the amateur league they had. I was nowhere near good enough to be one of the pros (not even when the scabs were playing) but it's such a fun sport.
I'm way too out of shape to pull that off right now. I bet it would be a blast though. Dania is closed Monday/Tuesday nights and I know for a fact the rent it out and have some armature players.I wonder if the RI players striked as the same time as the Florida players. Dania jai Alia used to be a big deal. you used to have to pay for parking and the place was always jam packed. Now you go and it's 1/20th full on a Saturday night. Anyway I think it was back in the early 90's they had a strike and the place was never the same again.
It was almost certainly the same strike. I believe it was from 1989 to 1992, give or take. The owner of Newport Jai Alai also owned one of the frontons in Florida. Putting the pieces together, it had to be Dania.
http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/1988-05-27/sports/0040250287_1_jai-alai-basque-strike
 
Those last two favorites brought in some much needed profits.
only fight i am upset with is that i didn't Beltran. I wanted to, but got talked out of it because everybody was against Beltran big time. Palharas and Seth were good prices, made up for the fight not being in our favor. it was one of the lightest cards i have played in awhile, just didn't know anybody from the TUF UK-Australia
 
There he can earn as much as $15,000 a month playing in front of fans who pay up to 50 euros for tickets to epic matches that end at 35 points.

:shock:

 
Nipsey's a big jai alai guy, I think.I'm pretty sure you have to be right-handed to play that sport, or you can't play. FTS.
Oh, you can be left-handed. But the cesta had better be on your right hand. :)
I'll make sure that we put jai alai courts in the labor camps for when we take over.ETA: There's a funny jai alai scene in an early Archer episode. GET ON IT.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Regarding The BRONG SYSTEM -- great name, btw --
:lmao:
:excited: 5 games on Sunday; it could very well be called the BwRONG system by Monday. :banned:
Not off to a promising start. Your first Bwrong "System" play loses by 3 TDs. Maybe you are a strong finisher? Nah. I even told you why it was going to lose and you laughed at me. Hurry up with those other 5. I want to see what other beauties you are offering up for me to fade.Bwrong Week 15 "System" Play Record0-1 PHI +4.5 LOSES 34-13
Settle down. Two of your reasons for taking the other side were laughable. One was because you said Cinci hadn't been favored on the road since the Boomer era...only to have a poster correct you in saying that they've actually been favored in their last four road games. FOUR. :lmao: Come on, that's hilarious.Your other "info" was obvious and in the line. OMG the starters are out and the team sucks! DUH. I wouldn't be crowing about your analysis, it wasn't exactly ground-breaking, but hey you won and I gave you props. Again, well done. Maybe try not taking this too seriously.
You think I am taking this seriously? I am just toying with you. You seem to enjoy taking jabs at me. So now I am just having some fun at your expense. Your LMAOs, OMGs, WHATWHATINTHEBUTTBUTTs, and DUHs come off a little desperate and sad. Don't crack on me now. I need those 5 other plays!
 
Damn. I missed out on the Jai Alai discussion.

GPJ - Archer is next on my list, you've convinced me alas. Need to finish up the Ken Burns baseball documentary.

Ken Burns - you're documentaries are so informative, but so ####### boring.

DD - Whats your official, official stance on today's bowl games?

Modogg - thx for UFC plays

Chainsaw - you're posting about gambling vs. wimmens ratio has gotten much better. Keep it at 5:1 IMO

RN - ill be in Rhodey through New Years. Let's play Jai Alai one on one, on ice skates, loser leaves town match.

Oukurt - give Brong a break. He's the best and a small percentage of the pomp and circumstance re: his system is just shtick. Good clean fun shtick.

DerekNumbers - good luck in fantasy playoffs. #### I have a lot to learn about leagues like that, I got stomped.

Ref - that's not too bad a beat, more of a really annoying loss. Over time you'd have destroyed that guy. I still miss the Foxwoods PLO8, 4-8, Must move game, :(

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Florida -2.5

Notre Dame -6

BYU -2.5

All road favorites which is always dicey, but all three of these teams are significantly better than their opponents.

 
'Frostillicus said:
Florida -2.5Notre Dame -6BYU -2.5All road favorites which is always dicey, but all three of these teams are significantly better than their opponents.
:excited:You're 1 of 4 people I follow on Florida today. :unsure:
 
'John Bender said:
Damn. I missed out on the Jai Alai discussion. GPJ - Archer is next on my list, you've convinced me alas. Need to finish up the Ken Burns baseball documentary.Ken Burns - you're documentaries are so informative, but so ####### boring.DD - Whats your official, official stance on today's bowl games?Modogg - thx for UFC playsChainsaw - you're posting about gambling vs. wimmens ratio has gotten much better. Keep it at 5:1 IMORN - ill be in Rhodey through New Years. Let's play Jai Alai one on one, on ice skates, loser leaves town match. Oukurt - give Brong a break. He's the best and a small percentage of the pomp and circumstance re: his system is just shtick. Good clean fun shtick.DerekNumbers - good luck in fantasy playoffs. #### I have a lot to learn about leagues like that, I got stomped.Ref - that's not too bad a beat, more of a really annoying loss. Over time you'd have destroyed that guy. I still miss the Foxwoods PLO8, 4-8, Must move game, :(
JB - He is far from the best. Just a well disguised troll from what I see. I get along with everyone yet he continues to take shot after shot at me for whatever reason and I have played nice for the most part. I just don't like him. As soon as he grows up, I will. It isn't that big of a deal. Like I mentioned, just having some fun at his expense for once.As for wagering. I have been killin it lately. I have a good read on game 2. Love Toledo. Somebody break down game 1 today.modogg - Thanks for the UFC picks. Enjoyed the fights and you helped me to another perfect night. We laid some lumber, but as long as it cashes baby.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Played Arizona/Nevada under 79 just do I could participate in Bovada's stupid Monopoly game.

Added in CBB

Rhode Island PK

Iowa -4

Georgia S. +15

Oklahoma -2 1/2

 
This will probably get lost in the mix by tomorrow..

I'm taking this at RB after seeing it lined 1.5 elsewhere and as RN’s Sharps Report mentioned, probably a result of not wanting a ton of teaser action. We are just asking for ATL to win here and I think they will be able to beat the Giants secondary all day long and get the win. Atlanta has allowed 24 sacks on the season. And a nifty little stat on football outsiders gives their adjusted sack rate at 5.1% which ranks them tied for 7th in the NFL in that category. The 24 sacks allowed also ranks them 7th in the NFL. So they are above average when it comes to allowing the QB time to throw which is obviously big v the Giant’s front four.

ATLANTA FALCONS -1 -115

345/300

 
This will probably get lost in the mix by tomorrow..

I'm taking this at RB after seeing it lined 1.5 elsewhere and as RN’s Sharps Report mentioned, probably a result of not wanting a ton of teaser action. We are just asking for ATL to win here and I think they will be able to beat the Giants secondary all day long and get the win. Atlanta has allowed 24 sacks on the season. And a nifty little stat on football outsiders gives their adjusted sack rate at 5.1% which ranks them tied for 7th in the NFL in that category. The 24 sacks allowed also ranks them 7th in the NFL. So they are above average when it comes to allowing the QB time to throw which is obviously big v the Giant’s front four.

ATLANTA FALCONS -1 -115

345/300
Chainsaw, not knocking your pick, actual question here since I'm thinking of tailing this. Where are you with this if White is out? I mean it's pretty obvious if White's out, Julio will get keyed on, and Douglas will get the snaps in White's place. I wonder if Ryan has a harder time finding open receivers in that scenario, and that gives the Giants pass rush a little more time to disrupt him. I dunno, maybe I'm overthinking this, but White out scares me, the Giants are no slouch.
 
This Nevada team is going to be scary good next year. Fajardo will be a junior, Jefferson will be a senior and the O-line is all Junior and Seniors next year. They will be an auto over like Oregon early next year.

 
'John Bender said:
Damn. I missed out on the Jai Alai discussion. GPJ - Archer is next on my list, you've convinced me alas. Need to finish up the Ken Burns baseball documentary.Ken Burns - you're documentaries are so informative, but so ####### boring.DD - Whats your official, official stance on today's bowl games?Modogg - thx for UFC playsChainsaw - you're posting about gambling vs. wimmens ratio has gotten much better. Keep it at 5:1 IMORN - ill be in Rhodey through New Years. Let's play Jai Alai one on one, on ice skates, loser leaves town match. Oukurt - give Brong a break. He's the best and a small percentage of the pomp and circumstance re: his system is just shtick. Good clean fun shtick.DerekNumbers - good luck in fantasy playoffs. #### I have a lot to learn about leagues like that, I got stomped.Ref - that's not too bad a beat, more of a really annoying loss. Over time you'd have destroyed that guy. I still miss the Foxwoods PLO8, 4-8, Must move game, :(
JB - He is far from the best. Just a well disguised troll from what I see. I get along with everyone yet he continues to take shot after shot at me for whatever reason and I have played nice for the most part. I just don't like him. As soon as he grows up, I will. It isn't that big of a deal. Like I mentioned, just having some fun at his expense for once.
BRONG is good people, Kurt. I used to dislike him also in his Sonny Lubick days. He's an acquired taste. ;)
 
Instead of the shock and awe of a bowl game first half I think I'll let some of these games play out and grab a 2h line this year. This New Mexico bowl is a good example.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top