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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (17 Viewers)

'shake zula said:
Creighton -11 1u

Indiana -10.5 1u

I know the NBA will be the death of me but...

Houston -3.5 because they've lost their last 3 ATS after going 12-1 ATS. I think they win convincingly against a Paul-less clippers team coming off a huge win.

Tailing chainsaws parlay too.
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Keep your head up shake...i'll buy the free beers at the bj tables this summer.
 
Gussy you called it early this morning for Miss to let down. And minus that OT you were pretty right about that. That OT was nuts. You'll get 'em next time brother.

 
Harsh reminder of why I don't shouldn't bet NBA....

Have the over (212.5) in the MIL/LAL game and, at the half, these 'professionals' are a combined 10-22 from the charity stripe.

 
'Limp Ditka said:
Harsh reminder of why I don't shouldn't bet NBA....

Have the over (212.5) in the MIL/LAL game and, at the half, these 'professionals' are a combined 10-22 from the charity stripe.
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In other news, I helped out at practice yesterday. My son went 19-25 from the stripe after 90 minutes of non-stop, ###-kicking, practice.
 
'Limp Ditka said:
'Limp Ditka said:
Harsh reminder of why I don't shouldn't bet NBA....

Have the over (212.5) in the MIL/LAL game and, at the half, these 'professionals' are a combined 10-22 from the charity stripe.
Click to expand...
In other news, I helped out at practice yesterday. My son went 19-25 from the stripe after 90 minutes of non-stop, ###-kicking, practice.
Click to expand...
Lebron's not shooting that good from the stripe this year.
 
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
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No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
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Already resoundingly IN.
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:

I can see ATL covering +11, but I can't see them winning.Wilson threw for 375 yards and ran well. Kap is better. If Kap finds V.Davis the way Wilson found Miller last week, they have no chance.

 
'Getzlaf15 said:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Click to expand...
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:
I can see ATL covering +11, but I can't see them winning.Wilson threw for 375 yards and ran well. Kap is better. If Kap finds V.Davis the way Wilson found Miller last week, they have no chance.

The guys on Sirius did a pretty good job breaking down the reason that St. Louis had so much success defensively against the Niners. They move their front around before the snap, they stunt and bring different guys at different times. Basically, constantly change up the looks. SF has success before they snap if they know what defense you're in. That's why GB got crushed. Everyone is right where you expect them to be pre-snap. The point is that the scheme Nolan runs in ATL is similar to the amoeba stuff the Rams run. I'm confident that if the Falcons lose at home, it won't be by more than 10. Don't forget how awful Kaepernick looked on the road at Seattle. If you like the special 10-point teasers, ATL +15, Baltimore +19 and BAL/NE o41.5 should be like stealing.

 
'Raider Nation said:
'Getzlaf15 said:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Click to expand...
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:
Click to expand...
I can see ATL covering +11, but I can't see them winning.Wilson threw for 375 yards and ran well. Kap is better. If Kap finds V.Davis the way Wilson found Miller last week, they have no chance.
The guys on Sirius did a pretty good job breaking down the reason that St. Louis had so much success defensively against the Niners. They move their front around before the snap, they stunt and bring different guys at different times. Basically, constantly change up the looks. SF has success before they snap if they know what defense you're in. That's why GB got crushed. Everyone is right where you expect them to be pre-snap. The point is that the scheme Nolan runs in ATL is similar to the amoeba stuff the Rams run. I'm confident that if the Falcons lose at home, it won't be by more than 10. Don't forget how awful Kaepernick looked on the road at Seattle. If you like the special 10-point teasers, ATL +15, Baltimore +19 and BAL/NE o41.5 should be like stealing.

I can't argue with that.I can't see ATL losing by more than 10 no matter what happens.

I was in Vegas for the Macco Bowl and hit a 6 and 7 team teaser and missed a 10-teamer when I had NE -10 vs JAX and they won by 7.

I like the overs straight up and teased in both games.

I might even go for the middle on a 7pt tease ov/ov/balt/SF +3.5 and then the other with ATL +10.5.

Going to put something on BALT ML also.

 
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:

I guess no one else does these, and I get why. But I :wub: me a 4 team 13 point teaser during the playoffs when matchups are generally near the set spread. My favorite NFL bet. I bought up to 14 points this week at -140. BAL +23, ATL +17.5, SF/ATL O34.5, BAL/NE O37.5. Just based on sides, the 4 team 13 pt teaser was a winner no matter which side you took in the wild card and divisional rounds. Last time you can do it this season, throwing in totals for the conference round, and I think those totals are most definitely hitable with the sides pretty cozy. What I've noticed is, even if its close (I took GB and DEN last week, both still hit), you're in garbage time and the quality of these teams can generally be moreso relied upon to get the garbage production than a random team on a random week in the regular season.

 
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Click to expand...
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:
I guess no one else does these, and I get why. But I :wub: me a 4 team 13 point teaser during the playoffs when matchups are generally near the set spread. My favorite NFL bet. I bought up to 14 points this week at -140. BAL +23, ATL +17.5, SF/ATL O34.5, BAL/NE O37.5. Just based on sides, the 4 team 13 pt teaser was a winner no matter which side you took in the wild card and divisional rounds. Last time you can do it this season, throwing in totals for the conference round, and I think those totals are most definitely hitable with the sides pretty cozy. What I've noticed is, even if its close (I took GB and DEN last week, both still hit), you're in garbage time and the quality of these teams can generally be moreso relied upon to get the garbage production than a random team on a random week in the regular season.

The thing that worries me about the 13-pointers is that you must include four teams, decreasing your margin for error. You'd have to figure that one of these games will eventually be unusually low scoring. I mean, the odds are in favor of it happening sooner or later here. I just think the Pats game has a better chance of being high-scoring (as Pats games always are) than the SF/ATL game. There could be serious nut shrinkage going on in that game. Lots of players who are either very young and/or inexperienced at being this deep into the playoffs.
 
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Click to expand...
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:
Click to expand...
I guess no one else does these, and I get why. But I :wub: me a 4 team 13 point teaser during the playoffs when matchups are generally near the set spread. My favorite NFL bet. I bought up to 14 points this week at -140. BAL +23, ATL +17.5, SF/ATL O34.5, BAL/NE O37.5. Just based on sides, the 4 team 13 pt teaser was a winner no matter which side you took in the wild card and divisional rounds. Last time you can do it this season, throwing in totals for the conference round, and I think those totals are most definitely hitable with the sides pretty cozy. What I've noticed is, even if its close (I took GB and DEN last week, both still hit), you're in garbage time and the quality of these teams can generally be moreso relied upon to get the garbage production than a random team on a random week in the regular season.
The thing that worries me about the 13-pointers is that you must include four teams, decreasing your margin for error. You'd have to figure that one of these games will eventually be unusually low scoring. I mean, the odds are in favor of it happening sooner or later here. I just think the Pats game has a better chance of being high-scoring (as Pats games always are) than the SF/ATL game. There could be serious nut shrinkage going on in that game. Lots of players who are either very young and/or inexperienced at being this deep into the playoffs.Oh I definitely agree there's some risk there. It's more of me relying on the odds makers being pretty sharp and playing that to my advantage. And it makes the whole game(s) entertaining, you're not out like you would be on a straight bet if you pick a stinker. I'm not putting up mortgage checks, and I've just found these bets to be alot of fun and profitable moreso than not, I've been doing them all year. During the regular season I was doing sides only on home dogs that I could get over 2 TD's, and as long as you avoid truly dreadful franchises it generally worked out well. I think I put a spreadsheet together and home teams losing by more than 2 TD's in 2012 through week 12 or 13 only happened roughly 25% of the time. I week to week excluded teams at home playing teams that beat other teams already by 2+ TD's on the road, and teams that already lost by more than 2TD+ at home.
 
'Limp Ditka said:
Harsh reminder of why I don't shouldn't bet NBA....

Have the over (212.5) in the MIL/LAL game and, at the half, these 'professionals' are a combined 10-22 from the charity stripe.
Click to expand...
The 6th grade catholic school girls game I watched on sunday shot a higher percentage.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:

I hate to be debbie downer but you're coming out of retirement a week late. 4 easy overs last weekend
 
Bender - what's the chance that Del Potro wins the Fourth Quarter Third Quarter? May be interested at +400

 
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'lumpy19 said:
'Raider Nation said:
'mquinnjr said:
'Raider Nation said:
'Leroy Hoard said:
teasing both dogs up might be a decent play this week.
Click to expand...
No, it's not a "decent play". It's...
LOCK

F##KING

CITY!!!

:banned:
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Already resoundingly IN.
Click to expand...
Getting 11 and 15 with two teams which both have a legitimate chance to win is crazy good.I may come out of retirement for one more week. :unsure:
I hate to be debbie downer but you're coming out of retirement a week late. 4 easy overs last weekendI hadn't noticed.And yeah...

:cry:

 
CBB tonight:Drake -1 1/2 (2 units)Maryland -1 1/2Boston College +6 1/2Mississippi St. +2 1/2Nebraska +3Washington -4111-108-4 -6 units

 
'ChainsawU said:
7:00PMNC State vs. Maryland9:00PMNew Mexico vs. Boise State:popcorn:
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FWIW I'm on NCST. MD is so terrible that any residual effect the Duke win might have over NCST should be negligable. I also like Dayton +5, Miami -6, and Pacers -1
 
You're never as good as everyone tells you when you win, and you're never as bad as they say when you lose.

[*]In the last 23 seasons NC State has now beaten Duke in the regular season 8 times. Of the previous 7 wins, they are 1-6 in the following game. The only win came vs UNC in 2003.

[*]NC State now has 6 all-time wins against the No. 1 team. Of the four previous wins that came in the regular season the Wolfpack are 0-4 in the following game.

 
Buffalo -1 The Bulls have won five straight at home in this series, and this time they catch Kent looking ahead to a home spot vs Akron, the class of the MAC (with Ohio). YTD 7-10

 
'Angry Beavers said:
From the Sportsbook Twitter feed: Most popular prop for this weekends NFL is 49ers to score over 27.5 pts :unsure:
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Kaep & the running game vs. ATL D has to be the logic right? That's significant consumer confidence though. It sounds more to me like they're in an underhanded manner begging for money on the over.
 
'loser said:
Buffalo -1 The Bulls have won five straight at home in this series, and this time they catch Kent looking ahead to a home spot vs Akron, the class of the MAC (with Ohio). YTD 7-10
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Adding:Kansas St./TCU Under 112 (-115) I'd be surprised to see TCU hit 50 here. Also, with home games vs Oklahoma and Kansas next, there's a good chance of seeing some sluggishness out of KSU.
 
Well, evened the Razorbacks Hoops record at 1-1 after the home rout vs Vandy on Saturday, and got my 1u back. Not betting tonight's home game vs Auburn, but if I were, I'd bet on Auburn covering as a +12 dog. Hogs are a beast at home, but after watching the loss to A&M, I'm leery of laying that many points vs a team with a quality big or bigs, and Auburn's Rob Chubb is the kind of player that looks like can give Arkansas fits until further notice. I fairly certain the Hogs win outright, but giving 11 in this spot looks to be a bit of a reach.I am putting 1u on Missouri, however, vs Georgia, laying 13. KCP is a HORSE, but Missou has far and away more horses, and they're playing a weak sister in front of their home crowd coming off an embarrassing road loss @ Ole Miss. Nothing like putting a whipping on a bottom feeder in front of your natives to get everything back on track.Good Luck!

 
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