FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

[Good Posting Judge]

I love the Pirates +12_ tomorrow through 5 IP. Taking a starter with a K/BB of almost 4 against a starter who walks more than he k's, as an underdog, at that point I don't care who's in whose lineup. I also think STL's pen is underrated, and PIT's is overrated, hence 5 IP.

Also, righty-destroyer Matt Adams is on the DL.

 

[Plorfu]

What do you guys think about the Lakers/SA game? Blake, Meeks, Kobe(obv) and Nash all hurting. At home getting 6, which in the playoffs is REALLY hard not to play a home dog at +5 or better....but I think IF I play this pre-tip, i'd lean SA. 95-89 projected score? Can LA score 90? May play the under here, too. Not sure on this game at all yet.

SA/Under sounds like a good drunk parlay.

I'm drunk and enjoy parlays! Taking SA and under 184.

I failed to do this. Now I'm just rooting for Metta Artest to score.

 

[Angry Beavers]

TOR/NYY O 9 - 105

Nailed it. Congrats.

 

[got_nugs]

this ##### is going way over

 

[Plorfu]

I love the Pirates +12_ tomorrow through 5 IP. Taking a starter with a K/BB of almost 4 against a starter who walks more than he k's, as an underdog, at that point I don't care who's in whose lineup. I also think STL's pen is underrated, and PIT's is overrated, hence 5 IP.

Also, righty-destroyer Matt Adams is on the DL.

The Pirate bullpen is actually pretty good. I'm not saying anything about your bet the pen is not overrated.

 

[got_nugs]

To Jarrett Jack: give the ball to Curry and get back on defense.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

I love the Pirates +12_ tomorrow through 5 IP. Taking a starter with a K/BB of almost 4 against a starter who walks more than he k's, as an underdog, at that point I don't care who's in whose lineup. I also think STL's pen is underrated, and PIT's is overrated, hence 5 IP.

Also, righty-destroyer Matt Adams is on the DL.

The Pirate bullpen is actually pretty good. I'm not saying anything about your bet the pen is not overrated.

PIt Pen is really nice.

Watson, Melancon, and Grilli have all been absolutely lights out.

 

[Plorfu]

The Rockies are being friendly so far.

 

[Reginald Cornsilks]

I probably dropped a little too much scrilla on World Peace. What a scrub.

I'd pay to see DeAndre Jordan posterize him.

 

[Angry Beavers]

this ##### is going way over

There is a big middle there for the taking...... I think I might be greedy and try it.. Nah. Take what ought to be the easy winner and let it ride...

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I love the Pirates +12_ tomorrow through 5 IP. Taking a starter with a K/BB of almost 4 against a starter who walks more than he k's, as an underdog, at that point I don't care who's in whose lineup. I also think STL's pen is underrated, and PIT's is overrated, hence 5 IP.

Also, righty-destroyer Matt Adams is on the DL.

The Pirate bullpen is actually pretty good. I'm not saying anything about your bet the pen is not overrated.

PIt Pen is really nice.

Watson, Melancon, and Grilli have all been absolutely lights out.

Let me rephrase: If the Pirates are trailing going to the bullpens, and we don't see Grilli/Melancon, the likes of Mazzaro/Wilson/Hughes aren't going to keep up with Mujica/Rosenthal. Hence the 5 IP.

 

[modogg]

this ##### is going way over

There is a big middle there for the taking...... I think I might be greedy and try it.. Nah. Take what ought to be the easy winner and let it ride...

I went the opposite direction and loaded up on all sorts of overs in the 2nd half,. Did quarters, Denver total points, and the 2nd half over. Got worried when they slowed the pace as much as they did, really would love to see them keep the fast break offense and the 3 pointers coming

 

[Raider Nation]

This is how we do back in the day, young bucks...

 

[Raider Nation]

Doc, did you ever rock the same hairdo/outfit as

 

[Raider Nation]

Last one, I promise.

was my favorite song for about a year and a half.Migod, 80s clothing was so embarrassing.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Doc, did you ever rock the same hairdo/outfit as

Those pants are pretty awesome.

Good call on the over, knobs.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Also, pick 84 just happened and it wasn't Lattimore!

Well done men. Loved that one. At least we cashed one big draft prop.

 

[gussy]

Few plays in the early games today for me:

Nats/Reds over 8 -110

Yanks/Jays under 8 -115

I'm also leaning playing the Twins if I can get them at +140 or better, just waiting on it.

 

[loser]

Yesterday: -1.25

YTD: +3.66

Indians +145

Royals TT u4.5 -105

I like Kazmir here. There I said it.

 

[Annyong]

i like Medlen -113 vs Porcello, but i dont think ive ever posted a winning play on here.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Reds/Nats O8 -105

Giants/Padres O7.5 -105

 

[Annyong]

Yesterday: -1.25YTD: +3.66 Indians +145 Royals TT u4.5 -105 I like Kazmir here. There I said it.

Lol you got some stones. I took KC -1.5. I'll fade Kaz till I see something.

 

[Raider Nation]

4/27/13

Dear Diary,

Today, I woke up and FELIX DOUBRONT was -270.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Today's card. Trying to keep the momentum going:

Phi/nym o8 -110

Cin-103

Mil/lad o 7.5-115

Tor/nyy u 8-120

Bal/oak o 8-105

Tb -112

Parlay of atl/kc/arz/sea pays 7.5 to 1

GLTA

Ab

 

[Raider Nation]

AB, can I get your rationale on the TOR/NYY under? CC has been underwhelming.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Reds/Nats O8 -105

Giants/Padres O7.5 -105

Tail the beav on Mets/Phillies O8 -105

Let's go runs!!!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

AB, can I get your rationale on the TOR/NYY under? CC has been underwhelming.

I can tell you this:

In 143 at bats vs Sabathia, Toronto hitters have a .503 OPS.

 

[ChainsawU]

CWS v TB

TB -110

KC -158

 

[ChainsawU]

I wonder what the Ref is buying himself at Bed Bath and Beyond today.

 

[gussy]

Twins/Rangers over 8 1/1 -115

 

[got_nugs]

So after last night I have 1 leg left on an 18:1 payout parlay. It's Indy +2.5. I personally think this should hit BUT not interested in wagering 18 units on it. Any intelligence in buying .5 and playing ATL -2? Is there another way to hedge (say playing ATL to win at -135) and hoping for a middle? I only ask as I assume there have been thesis papers written on the subject and if there has-one of you degen's has a copy.

ETA: line now -2 ATL so I wouldn't have to buy the .5 if I moved now.

 

[Raider Nation]

^^^ You like Indy, otherwise you wouldn't have played them in the first place. Maybe just hedge enough to ensure you get the risk amount back?

 

[got_nugs]

So just play 1.2 units or whatever and hope for a 15 unit win? The line is moving to my benefit (or has .5 point so far)....maybe i'll wait until just before tip to see if I can get a full point middle.

Just because I like Indy doesn't mean I know what i'm doing. I'm just big on Indy, have been all year.

 

[got_nugs]

Lattimore! 131

 

[Raider Nation]

So just play 1.2 units or whatever and hope for a 15 unit win?

Yeah, whatever you risked. All gravy after that. JMO though.

 

[The Ref]

I wonder what the Ref is buying himself at Bed Bath and Beyond today.

Just got back a few minutes ago. We bought an old fashioned 50's style sign for the cabana bathroom.

 

[The Ref]

Lattimore! 131

Yeah - "it was close"

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I wonder what the Ref is buying himself at Bed Bath and Beyond today.

Just got back a few minutes ago. We bought an old fashioned 50's style sign for the cabana bathroom.

You're so ####### classy.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Pucks:

Av's +117

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Leinenkugel's Summer Shandy gives me the summer mudbutt rash.

 

[Angry Beavers]

I think cc rights the ship. Nothing more than a "feel" play. Not every nyy game can go over.

I should add that after cc got off to a rough start last time out he settled in pretty well. I remember watching most of his last start.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Leinenkugel's Summer Shandy gives me the summer mudbutt rash.

Really? That sucks. My wife loves that beer. Insert your own poop joke here.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Leinenkugel's Summer Shandy gives me the summer mudbutt rash.

Really? That sucks. My wife loves that beer. Insert your own poop joke here.

I didn't say I didn't like the beer, nor that I'll stop drinking it.

 

[nittanylion]

There's almost no chance the Broncos take a QB this year, not so much because of Peyton Manning, but moreso because Brock Osweiler is an excellent prospect with a bright future as Manning's eventual replacement.

Yesterday's ML/RL baseball plays went 1-2, and unfortunately, the winning play was the Red Sox, which generated the least profit.

Backing the Red Sox again today, -260/-130, as well as the Cardinals -189/+100...

2-0 yesterday on ML/RL baseball plays! 4-2 so far. Playing for peanuts: +29, -61, +43 so far this week.

Scrounging for action today, so I'm going to take a shot at anything over -150 ML. Probably going to get creamed.

Mariners, Diamondbacks, Royals, Red Sox, Yankees.

 

[got_nugs]

It's official (supposedly), Westbrook is out for the playoffs.

As far as tonight-I still see this as high scoring. Houston has to shoot better than when in OKC, the line is 205 1/2 ish right now. PK is the spread.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Reds/Nats O8 -105

Tail the beav on Mets/Phillies O8 -105

Let's go runs!!!

 

[got_nugs]

Gotta love the smell of overs in the morning! Thanks Upton!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Blues PL +160

TOR -110

EDM +110

CBJ/PIT/OTT parlay +225

 

[got_nugs]

So just play 1.2 units or whatever and hope for a 15 unit win?

Yeah, whatever you risked. All gravy after that. JMO though.

I ended up playing where i'll either win approx 33% vs 67% A) Cause i'm a big coooooch and didn't want to risk that much on Indy and B) i've been rocking the live betting in these playoffs so i'll likely end up with the extra 6 units in play on the game regardless. Still got an edge and a rooting interest, just not so heavily invested and a guaranteed cash either way.

 

[Raider Nation]