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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

While we're on cfb, I just took Kansas St. o8. New QB and d-line, but in Bill Snyder I trust.

Also digging the Sooners o8.5, but way to chalky at -150 (for the time being).

 
anyone know where to find lines for bama vs. A&M? Sportsbook has this at -6.5, but Clay Travis just tweeted out (with no source :rant: ) that he saw Bama -9.5
5dimes has 8.5
thx. will pull the trigger on bama at sb then :thumbup:
:moneybag: Bama by double digits.
Tried to bet it at sportsbook and had $1 limits :sadbanana:
well, makes me feel a little better. I could only play for $10

 
RJ Bell said they were released yesterday, mo. I was too lazy to look em up though.
i saw something on sbnation too about it. They released the Eagles at 6.5, Giants at 9, Cowpokes at 8, and i forget the Skins (you could guess i was reading an NFC East thread). I would have loved to have taken that Eagles over, but i assume i will see 7 before it comes to some of the books i use.
I might go under on the Birds if it hits 7. 8-8 would be pretty incredible for this team coming off a 4-12 season and a completely new coaching staff, and I'd take the push on 7-9.
that is what i was thinking too. I like the 6.5, 7 makes me a little more nervous, anticipating a possible push. I like Kelly, but my concern is more with the uncertainty at QB. i think Kelly is stuck with Vick and can't do much with him. I am not sure Vick can lead this team and play in that offense, and with a complete remaking of the secondary and LB's (let alone the whole defense itself), the under would seem to be the smarter play. but if i see 6.5, and not at some stupid juice price like over -130, i may hop on it, simply for the fan in me
Gentlemen's agreement to take O6.5 and U7 right here! If it's 6.5, I can sell that to myself with a potential mid-season re-tooling/some late season "magic" with different parts. 7 and I'm all over the under, don't see a way they win 8 games. If they do, I'd be happy to lose :cool:
I was on the fence with these, but with Maclin tearing his ACL i just grabbed un7.5 -140

 
UFC card starts at 4, so this is what i have for prelims:

Albert -235

Kedzie (ev)

Yves Edwards +115

Guillard -110

Means +190

Chiesa +235

i got some over/unders too, all are light plays, nothing stands out as that good of a bet
tailed on these, have no clue and don't watch are any of these on TV, or what time are they on if they are?

 
UFC card starts at 4, so this is what i have for prelims:

Albert -235

Kedzie (ev)

Yves Edwards +115

Guillard -110

Means +190

Chiesa +235

i got some over/unders too, all are light plays, nothing stands out as that good of a bet
tailed on these, have no clue and don't watch are any of these on TV, or what time are they on if they are?
I did as well and I just got back to even going off the reservation by taking Cruickshank. Not that I'm complaining, but how the hell can you have a split decision 30-27. 30-27, 27-30?

 
UFC card starts at 4, so this is what i have for prelims:

Albert -235

Kedzie (ev)

Yves Edwards +115

Guillard -110

Means +190

Chiesa +235

i got some over/unders too, all are light plays, nothing stands out as that good of a bet
tailed on these, have no clue and don't watch are any of these on TV, or what time are they on if they are?
I did as well and I just got back to even going off the reservation by taking Cruickshank. Not that I'm complaining, but how the hell can you have a split decision 30-27. 30-27, 27-30?
yeah, this card is literally all over the place, split decisions in most of the fights and you can't have faith in much. And can't believe we missed the under in the Guillard fight by 7 seconds (13 i think officially).

 
UFC card starts at 4, so this is what i have for prelims:

Albert -235

Kedzie (ev)

Yves Edwards +115

Guillard -110

Means +190

Chiesa +235

i got some over/unders too, all are light plays, nothing stands out as that good of a bet
tailed on these, have no clue and don't watch are any of these on TV, or what time are they on if they are?
I did as well and I just got back to even going off the reservation by taking Cruickshank. Not that I'm complaining, but how the hell can you have a split decision 30-27. 30-27, 27-30?
Crap - just saw the Albert fight was earlier and a loss. Oh well. At least I'm still in position to be even if one of the last two plays comes in.

 
UFC card starts at 4, so this is what i have for prelims:

Albert -235

Kedzie (ev)

Yves Edwards +115

Guillard -110

Means +190

Chiesa +235

i got some over/unders too, all are light plays, nothing stands out as that good of a bet
tailed on these, have no clue and don't watch are any of these on TV, or what time are they on if they are?
I did as well and I just got back to even going off the reservation by taking Cruickshank. Not that I'm complaining, but how the hell can you have a split decision 30-27. 30-27, 27-30?
Crap - just saw the Albert fight was earlier and a loss. Oh well. At least I'm still in position to be even if one of the last two plays comes in.
yeah, and i added the Albert fight late too. i didn't see that one, but he is much better then Meza. hate losing fights by guys who fight above their talent levels. and i'll be pissed if Means loses to this lay n pray of Castillo. he is twice as active, but there is 0% faith in these judges and what they are seeing

ETA: Yeah, i give up. I have no idea how Castillo was awarded that decision, Means won almost every round. I literally have no idea how these guys are scoring these fights

 
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Aside from the fact that I had money on Means....Castillo wasn't better. Boo
that one has me truly baffled. I guarantee Means landed more strikes on the ground then Castillo did, and one of those takedowns was meaningless because Means swept him immediately to end up on top. Granted Means didn't have any huge moments of the fight, but a bad decision none the less. At least Means was +200 instead of -200

ETA: especially frustrating after considering the Kedzie fight earlier when it was very similar to this one but they did not count her takedowns in that one like they did here.

 
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well, I don't even no what to think for the main card here. I don't think any of the favorites should be that high. I think If Ellenberger loses to McDonald it will be by decision, Moraga will lose by Decision to mighty mouse, and it's crazy to think Carmouche and Lawler are as high of favorites as they are.

think i'll grab Ellenberger and Moraga and hope to get lucky. Maybe Voelker too, Lawler is famous for winning one and losing the next

 
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well, I don't even no what to think for the main card here. I don't think any of the favorites should be that high. I think If Ellenberger loses to McDonald it will be by decision, Moraga will lose by Decision to mighty mouse, and it's crazy to think Carmouche and Lawler are as high of favorites as they are.

think i'll grab Ellenberger and Moraga and hope to get lucky. Maybe Voelker too, Lawler is famous for winning one and losing the next
So far the only play i've put in is Moraga. Adding Jake and Voelker, Operation TailWinningDogs has begun!

 
well, I don't even no what to think for the main card here. I don't think any of the favorites should be that high. I think If Ellenberger loses to McDonald it will be by decision, Moraga will lose by Decision to mighty mouse, and it's crazy to think Carmouche and Lawler are as high of favorites as they are.

think i'll grab Ellenberger and Moraga and hope to get lucky. Maybe Voelker too, Lawler is famous for winning one and losing the next
So far the only play i've put in is Moraga. Adding Jake and Voelker, Operation TailWinningDogs has begun!
let's do this, we have to start winning some of these. Lawler looks real good here, so banking on Jake to even us out, and hopefully get lucky with Moraga

 
and if we don't get these, there is at least one fight on the upcoming Bellator card i feel good about. First time in 2-3 MMA cards that i feel real comfortable making a call. don't know the line yet, but i'll be on it as long as it isn't too crazy

 
well, I don't even no what to think for the main card here. I don't think any of the favorites should be that high. I think If Ellenberger loses to McDonald it will be by decision, Moraga will lose by Decision to mighty mouse, and it's crazy to think Carmouche and Lawler are as high of favorites as they are.

think i'll grab Ellenberger and Moraga and hope to get lucky. Maybe Voelker too, Lawler is famous for winning one and losing the next
So far the only play i've put in is Moraga. Adding Jake and Voelker, Operation TailWinningDogs has begun!
let's do this, we have to start winning some of these. Lawler looks real good here, so banking on Jake to even us out, and hopefully get lucky with Moraga
WOW. Don't mind losing that one....Lawler was just awesome, fun to watch.

 
Missed em, looks like I didn't miss much tho
yup. ####ty part is that the fights were predictable, but the odds were set real well. it is too risky taking some of these guys/girls who were set as high as they were as favorites.

and Ellenberger, Jesus H. i thought Rory would win by conservative boring decision, but never thought it would be this bad

 
I always wanted to see Mighty Mouse lose. But I have never seen him lose. And I hope Moraga wins tonight.
Yeah, at +400 i thought it was worth a shot. Moraga had the power, and i was hoping the focus on him at the MMA lab would elevate his game for this, but Rogan brought up a great point that it is hard to get somebody to mirror Johnson in your training. Sucks, because i knew looking at this card i didn't see much worth betting on, and was hoping i got lucky playing some of these dogs. Problem is taking too many of these dogs adds up to a hit to the balance.

well, at least Wednesday i know i'll have a good play

 
I woke up at 4pm today. Had coffee. Had two hot dogs at 7:00. Ice cream at 9:30. Two more hot dogs just now at midnight.

I should sell a health & wellness DVD or something.

 
anyone know where to find lines for bama vs. A&M? Sportsbook has this at -6.5, but Clay Travis just tweeted out (with no source :rant: ) that he saw Bama -9.5
5dimes has 8.5
thx. will pull the trigger on bama at sb then :thumbup:
:moneybag: Bama by double digits.
Tried to bet it at sportsbook and had $1 limits :sadbanana:
well, makes me feel a little better. I could only play for $10
In for 300. Was looking at this last week and didn't pull the trigger. Roll Tide.

 
Side note, was buying a bottle of wine last night and i saw the front of the enquirer (or some other stupid magazine like that) and they showed a bloated sick looking OJ and the caption was he has 3 months to live. I know there will be many a tear shed.

 
Side note, was buying a bottle of wine last night and i saw the front of the enquirer (or some other stupid magazine like that) and they showed a bloated sick looking OJ and the caption was he has 3 months to live. I know there will be many a tear shed.
What kind of wine did you get?

 
I'm a Nole fan....and realllllly tempted to lay the 1.5 and take Clemson vs FSU Oct 19th. FSU has a freshman QB heading into Clemson and FSU lost a urineload on defense to the draft last year. I'll be rooting like hell to lose my $$ but 1.5 is a good number.

 
Since rejoining the KC rotation Bruce Chen has allowed one run on four hits in 12 innings with 8K and 1BB against two of the top five offenses in the majors, the Cleveland Indians (fifth in runs) and Baltimore Orioles (third in runs). On Sunday, he'll have a much easier task against the Chicago White Sox, who have the second-fewest runs in the majors link. Randazzo behind the plate is 6-13 O/U (7.50) with nine of his last ten cashing the under.

White Sox u4 -135

 
I got my purity ring in the mail last night. It is engraved, "True love waits." I think it will be a great conversation starter and endearing to all the women I am trying to bone.

 
Cards/Braves over.

Medlen is good for one blow up inning and Miller can be rattled.

USA over 2.5

and a little parlay

Rockies

AZ

Rays

AZ/Padres under

StL

 
STL - 114 - Medlen has been well, not good

Cubs + 133 - I will continue to fade TImmy after his 148 pitch outing

Tex/Cle O 8 - 120 - after 1-0 yesterday, I can see fireworks today. I don't trust either starter to not have a bad inning. I can see this one being 4-4 after 5 pretty easily

GLTA
AB

SC: Wife turns 40 today. I told her I never boned a lady in her 40's before and tonight would be "special" for me. At least she laughed. :oldunsure:

 
If they weren't the Pirates and the Marlins, Cole/Fernandez would be getting some coverage for the nice matchup of young arms.

 
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