FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

Detroit never seen Strasburg except for Infante who is 0-6 and Peralta who is 0-2.

Sanchez v Washington

Year W L  W-L%  ERA  G GS GF CG SHO SV    IP  H  R ER HR BB IBB  SO HBP BK WP  BF  WHIP SO/9 SO/BB2006 2 0 1.000 2.52  4  4  0  0   0  0  25.0 16  8  7  2 17   1  12   2     0 106 1.320  4.3  0.712007 1 0 1.000 5.06  2  2  0  0   0  0  10.2 15  7  6  1  3   0   5   2     0  51 1.688  4.2  1.672008 0       0 2.57  1  1  0  0   0  0   7.0  4  3  2  0  3   0   7   1     0  29 1.000  9.0  2.332009 0       0 1.69  2  2  0  0   0  0  10.2 10  2  2  1  6   0   9   1     0  48 1.500  7.6  1.502010 2 0 1.000 1.05  4  4  0  0   0  0  25.2 18  5  3  0  7   0  22   1     0 103 0.974  7.7  3.142011 2 0 1.000 1.40  4  4  0  0   0  0  25.2 17  5  4  1 10   1  32   1     1 107 1.052 11.2  3.202012 1 0 1.000 1.29  2  2  0  0   0  0  14.0  8  3  2  2  1   0  13   0     0  50 0.643  8.4 13.002013 0 1  .000 3.00  1  1  0  0   0  0   6.0  8  3  2  1  0   0   8   0     0  25 1.333       12.0Tot  8 1  .889 2.02 20 20  0  0   0  0 124.2 96 36 28  8 47   2 108   8     1 519 1.147  7.8  2.30

 

[ChainsawU]

Colorado is 4-15 versus Atlanta since 2011 and 5-17 at Atlanta since 2007.

Houston is 0-6 at Camden Yards.

 

[ChainsawU]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link
Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

 

[shake zula]

StL @ Pit ML -154, -1.5 +140

Westbrook is 0-5 in 5 career starts at PNC with a 7.24 ERA. StL is 7-13 in their last 20 road games. Gotta take the Bucs at home with Liriano on the mound.

PIT -1.5 +140 1.5U

Had to give you props. Hammered Pitt. ML and took Alvarez, Mcclutchen, and Liriano for my daily draft team. Altogether you helped me win 6units.

 

[Annyong]

StL @ Pit ML -154, -1.5 +140

Westbrook is 0-5 in 5 career starts at PNC with a 7.24 ERA. StL is 7-13 in their last 20 road games. Gotta take the Bucs at home with Liriano on the mound.

PIT -1.5 +140 1.5U

Had to give you props. Hammered Pitt. ML and took Alvarez, Mcclutchen, and Liriano for my daily draft team. Altogether you helped me win 6units.

did the same. great call. Liriano has been filthy all season too.

 

[Treynwreck3]

TB ML -113, -1.5 +140 @ Bos

Price is 5-1 lifetime at Fenway with a 1.96 ERA. This is a make-up of a rainout. TB asserts itself atop the AL EAST.

TB -113 1.5U

How about that blown call at the plate?

I was outside by the pool, not even watching the game.

 

[shake zula]

TB ML -113, -1.5 +140 @ Bos

Price is 5-1 lifetime at Fenway with a 1.96 ERA. This is a make-up of a rainout. TB asserts itself atop the AL EAST.

TB -113 1.5U

How about that blown call at the plate?

I was outside by the pool, not even watching the game.

I hammered this one too. I owe Treny some sort of muffin basket.

 

[lumpy19]

anyone know where to find lines for bama vs. A&M? Sportsbook has this at -6.5, but Clay Travis just tweeted out (with no source ) that he saw Bama -9.5

5dimes has 8.5

thx. will pull the trigger on bama at sb then

Bama by double digits.

Tried to bet it at sportsbook and had $1 limits

well, makes me feel a little better. I could only play for $10

In for 300. Was looking at this last week and didn't pull the trigger. Roll Tide.

I was originally at $1 limits also...had a "live chat" with customer service and they reset me to default limits. Used my freebet100 promo....in for $100

Now I have a $100 free bet to place

trying live chat now :fingerscrossed:

ETA: Application DENIED

 

[ChainsawU]

Hey loser, your boy Kazmir pitching a no-no thru 6

Good notebook bro. But I only take losing pitchers these days. I had another sweet Homer Bailey writeup planned today, but DD was on em, and I just knew it would be the kiss of death. Guess what...

Next Level Notes

In Scott Kazmir's first 12 starts of the season, his fastball averaged 91.8 mph. In his next six starts, it's averaged 92.7. Opponents slugged .534 in at-bats ending with Kazmir's fastball in his first 12 starts and have slugged .259 against it since.

 

[Annyong]

Lynn sucks on the road. Pit -137

 

[tjnc09]

STL Pit u7 1/2u

 

[Treynwreck3]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link

Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

Tailing @ U8.5

 

[tjnc09]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link

Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

Tailing @ U8.5

I'm taking the over again. GL

 

[tjnc09]

Who wants to bet the Marlins with me?

 

[Treynwreck3]

Hou @ Bal -240, -1.5 -125

Astros are 0-6 lifetime at Camden, and have lost 8 0f 9 straight up against Baltimore. Chen has pitched well since coming off the DL and Harrell is taking the mound for the Astros in lieu of Norris. Harrell had been pitching out of the bullpen due to ineffectiveness, but hasn't gotten any better, actually raising his ERA to 5.17. O's are sucking right now, and the Astros are the cure.

Playing O's -1.5 -125 1U.

leaning Yanks/Dodgers U7 later. Yanks are hitting the Over following an O payoff at a 25% clip this year.

 

[LOCO]

Royals -124

 

[tjnc09]

AZ TB u8

Marlins

 

[tjnc09]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link

Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

Tailing @ U8.5

I'm taking the over again. GL

On May 11, 2012, Wilson went .1 innings giving up 3 hits and 4 runs @Tex

On May 12, 2012, Wilson went 5.2 innings giving up 5 hits and 2 runs @Tex (started because of rain delay night before)

On August 2, 2012, Wilson went 5.1 innings giving up 10 hits and 8 runs @Tex

 

[ChainsawU]

Wilson had bone spurs last year.

 

[got_nugs]

Wilson had bone spurs last year.

ouch.

 

[Tiger Fan]

anyone know where to find lines for bama vs. A&M? Sportsbook has this at -6.5, but Clay Travis just tweeted out (with no source ) that he saw Bama -9.5

5dimes has 8.5

thx. will pull the trigger on bama at sb then

Bama by double digits.

Tried to bet it at sportsbook and had $1 limits

well, makes me feel a little better. I could only play for $10

In for 300. Was looking at this last week and didn't pull the trigger. Roll Tide.

I was originally at $1 limits also...had a "live chat" with customer service and they reset me to default limits. Used my freebet100 promo....in for $100

Now I have a $100 free bet to place

trying live chat now :fingerscrossed:

ETA: Application DENIED

yeah, i was surprised too. Originally cut during gooroo props in 2011 season, apparently the "ncaa games of the year" are lines off of props, so I was surprised i could only bet $1.

But I checked, they just reset my "NCAA games of the year" to no limit...but normal props are still @ $1.

Now to decide if I want to double up on Bama -6.5 or save my free $100 bet for college week 1 :hmm:

 

[ChainsawU]

Wilson had bone spurs last year.

ouch.

That's what she said.

 

[Raider Nation]

You guys should play twenty of those $1 props every day, and try to lose them all intentionally.

That should fix your limits right quick.

 

[Tiger Fan]

You guys should play twenty of those $1 props every day, and try to lose them all intentionally.

That should fix your limits right quick.

that actually would be fun during late night college fb

ETA - only 30 days til college fb

 

[dino259]

We do an annual ENGAGEMENT survey at work. As part of our department results which were low, it was pointed out internet time by some in the department. I've shut down all my internet time so I don't get on here anymore. I didn't post much, but loved following along. Football season is going to be boring if I don't find time to get on here more.

 

[ChainsawU]

It's puzzling why one person's fecal odor can be more overpowering than another's. I wonder whether it is a function of the food digested or that person's internal metabolism.

 

[optionmaven]

It's puzzling why one person's fecal odor can be more overpowering than another's. I wonder whether it is a function of the food digested or that person's internal metabolism.

Food intake. Sometimes the sh it dont stink and sometimes it could gag a maggot.

 

[Treynwreck3]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link

Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

Tailing @ U8.5

I'm taking the over again. GL

Good call. Baseball is a fickle filly.

 

[ChainsawU]

LAA vs. TEX u8 -105

Ballpark at Arlington 16-35-3 O/U this season. link

Umpire Greg Gibson 6-10 O/U (7.90) this season.

Tailing @ U8.5

I'm taking the over again. GL

On May 11, 2012, Wilson went .1 innings giving up 3 hits and 4 runs @Tex

On May 12, 2012, Wilson went 5.2 innings giving up 5 hits and 2 runs @Tex (started because of rain delay night before)

On August 2, 2012, Wilson went 5.1 innings giving up 10 hits and 8 runs @Tex

Good job dude.

 

[ChainsawU]

leaning Yanks/Dodgers U7 later. Yanks are hitting the Over following an O payoff at a 25% clip this year.

Yep.

 

[ChainsawU]

Lynn sucks on the road. Pit -137

Hey brohan, nice call on this earlier. It took four hours to come true but you hit it. Good job.

 

[ChainsawU]

You guys ever notice how Doc always refers to a woman's ### as her stinker? What is that a military thing? It's sexy whatever it is.

BTW Doc, they are talking about your fantasy team over here.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

It's puzzling why one person's fecal odor can be more overpowering than another's. I wonder whether it is a function of the food digested or that person's internal metabolism.

Food intake. Sometimes the sh it dont stink and sometimes it could gag a maggot.

I dunno, at a draft once a bunch of us ordered out Thai. One guy in particular had some rancid farts coming out of his ###.

This past Saturday, we were out at a show and I saw a girl come out of a women's bathroom and exclaim "God, it smells like #### in there." I can't explain the happiness and joy that I was filled with hearing this.

 

[tjnc09]

Chainsaw, you put in a lot of work in this thread, but I still think you put too much weight in umpires. How many pitches do you think their zone effects in a game? 20? I would think at most 10%. You also cite their O/U records but there are so many more important variables to take into consideration - teams, pitchers, parks, etc. Correlation vs causation ...

I'm really not being an ###hat - I lost on the LA TX over yesterday. Just my 2cents. Wouldn't mind discussing it more.

 

[tjnc09]

What are the chances the Cardinals get swept two series in a row?

 

[Raider Nation]

Listen to this with headphones on... nice and loud. Preferably after a few bong hits.

 

[optionmaven]

Chainsaw, you put in a lot of work in this thread, but I still think you put too much weight in umpires. How many pitches do you think their zone effects in a game? 20? I would think at most 10%. You also cite their O/U records but there are so many more important variables to take into consideration - teams, pitchers, parks, etc. Correlation vs causation ...

I'm really not being an ###hat - I lost on the LA TX over yesterday. Just my 2cents. Wouldn't mind discussing it more.

I used to cap horse races with a few other guys at the Orleans on a daily basis. We'd pool our money together and try to hit some bomb trifectas and other plays. Back to the point, we all had different perspectives and weighted different specifics of race more heavily than others based on beliefs. One guy was adamant using beyer numbers. one guy was a jock/connections guy. another always looked for favorable post changes. It was the intake of all the knowledge that was created that made us base our decisions. I think the same applys here to some extent. Extra knowledge of an umps tendencies is pretty good stuff to throw in there. jmo.

 

[optionmaven]

Degen golf plays.

HamNegger to win +375.(placed bet last night and i see he's down to +350 based on my massive 1 unit play)

Harris English to win @ 100/1

Russel Henley to win @125/1

Kuchar over Stricker -125. Stricker coming off small layoff but has performed really well in this tourney. Kooch just seems to find the top of leaderboards week in and week out.

Jason Day over Serge. It seems like i've faded serge alot this yr and he has taken some of my money. Time to give some back.

Reno/Tahoe open

Woodland to win @ 30/1

Bowditch to win @ 30/1

Another guy i'm usually on the fade side.

Sabbatini over Molder +110. Stableford scoring should benefit Rory on this easy track

Sabbatini over Campbell +110.

Woodland over Romero. _115/ Hot golfer and looooooonnnngg.

Hate laying this much juice but love the way this kid is playing. Peter Uihlein over the not so hot Bud Cauley -170. Strong play.

 

[cheese]

What are the chances the Cardinals get swept two series in a row?

Can lose today and still not get swept FWIW. 5 game series

 

[LOCO]

Degen golf plays.

HamNegger to win +375.(placed bet last night and i see he's down to +350 based on my massive 1 unit play)

Harris English to win @ 100/1

Russel Henley to win @125/1

Kuchar over Stricker -125. Stricker coming off small layoff but has performed really well in this tourney. Kooch just seems to find the top of leaderboards week in and week out.

Jason Day over Serge. It seems like i've faded serge alot this yr and he has taken some of my money. Time to give some back.

Reno/Tahoe open

Woodland to win @ 30/1

Bowditch to win @ 30/1

Another guy i'm usually on the fade side.

Sabbatini over Molder +110. Stableford scoring should benefit Rory on this easy track

Sabbatini over Campbell +110.

Woodland over Romero. _115/ Hot golfer and looooooonnnngg.

Hate laying this much juice but love the way this kid is playing. Peter Uihlein over the not so hot Bud Cauley -170. Strong play.

lets do it.

 

[loser]

Nats +121

No Cabrera fwiw

 

[Annyong]

Nats +121

No Cabrera fwiw

I'm on this as well

.

Also, Cardinals -120. Too good of a price to pass up for Wainwright

 

[tjnc09]

What are the chances the Cardinals get swept two series in a row?

Can lose today and still not get swept FWIW. 5 game series

Didn't even think twice it was a 4-game series excluding the DH. Good catch

 

[loser]

Nats +121

No Cabrera fwiw

I'm on this as well.

Also, Cardinals -120. Too good of a price to pass up for Wainwright

Sure why not

 

[optionmaven]

Degen golf plays.

HamNegger to win +375.(placed bet last night and i see he's down to +350 based on my massive 1 unit play)

Harris English to win @ 100/1

Russel Henley to win @125/1

Kuchar over Stricker -125. Stricker coming off small layoff but has performed really well in this tourney. Kooch just seems to find the top of leaderboards week in and week out.

Jason Day over Serge. It seems like i've faded serge alot this yr and he has taken some of my money. Time to give some back.

Reno/Tahoe open

Woodland to win @ 30/1

Bowditch to win @ 30/1

Another guy i'm usually on the fade side.

Sabbatini over Molder +110. Stableford scoring should benefit Rory on this easy track

Sabbatini over Campbell +110.

Woodland over Romero. _115/ Hot golfer and looooooonnnngg.

Hate laying this much juice but love the way this kid is playing. Peter Uihlein over the not so hot Bud Cauley -170. Strong play.

lets do it.

My late rant to last week. Posted here i played Hunter at 15/1. He's winning by 2 heading into saturday, playing great coming into tourney, and his wife has to plop out the baby. He withdraws, bye bye money. Also posted, i played DJ to win at 15/1. Tied for the lead with Sneds on the 71st hole and smacks it OB. Triple bogey, finishes in three way tie for second when he should have at the minimum, been in a playoff. A couple other matchup mishaps too on like the 17th or 18th hole of each round. Was frustrating. Prolly won a few i should have lost but we don't count those. Can't complain, i've had some tourney winners and some solid long dogs with chances each week.

 

[optionmaven]

Tigers to score 1st even

edit: was looking to play no score 1st inning but it was -190......yuk.

 

[LOCO]

Baltimore -1.5 RL -115

 

[ChainsawU]

Yep. Umps are just icing on the cake. All the obvious stuff comes first. It’s no secret that C.J. and Holland were two of the hottest pitchers going yesterday. And in the late game Trey pointed out the trend for the Yankees’ under last night, which was money, but even more so with Miller behind the dish – Just icing on the cake.

 

[tjnc09]

Not a lot I love today. Leaning Oak Tor under and a Hellickson/Kershaw parlay.

 

[got_nugs]

Damn Gio!