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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

modogg said:
Unless, anybody is up for robbing a bank with me? We can make it a quick one, and whatever we steal we can throw into these online accounts. Anybody in?
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Ok check it out.. Me and you we start working at the bank.. Doesn't matter the position just as long as we get inside.. Right?.. Then we just go there every day.. We do the work. We gain their trust. Get them in the palm of our hand.. That's the beauty of this plan bro.. They deposit the money directly into our bank accounts! Week after week, month after month.. They don't even know they're being robbed!.. And then 20, 30 years down the road we just walk out the front door, like nothing ever happened.

 
Anybody with an account with RB(Kurt), do they have an add in game for college football Arkansas St. Vs Ark. Pine-Bluff? If so, what is the number?

 
ChainsawU said:
modogg said:
Unless, anybody is up for robbing a bank with me? We can make it a quick one, and whatever we steal we can throw into these online accounts. Anybody in?
Click to expand...
Ok check it out.. Me and you we start working at the bank.. Doesn't matter the position just as long as we get inside.. Right?.. Then we just go there every day.. We do the work. We gain their trust. Get them in the palm of our hand.. That's the beauty of this plan bro.. They deposit the money directly into our bank accounts! Week after week, month after month.. They don't even know they're being robbed!.. And then 20, 30 years down the road we just walk out the front door, like nothing ever happened.
Click to expand...
I like it. Not sure which one of us will do the commuting to Philly or down to Texas, but we can work out those details later. Let us just take a few days to dream how this will work. And if anything starts to get weird, we burn the bank down like they did in Office Space. I have to think we are smarter than over 3/4 of the people who work at these banks, we could pull it off.

 
Raider Nation said:
I gave this one to Chainsaw via PM already. Really, really like Florida Atlantic/THE U to get north of 53.5 tomorrow night.

I give the Canes a 50/50 chance of besting that total all by themselves.
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Just put 1u on it

 
Texas Tech -4 @ SMU

Texas Tech comes into this game with new HC Kliff Kingsbury. He is the #2 passer all-time at Texas Tech, a 4 year assistant at Houston, and Johnny Football’s OC last year. Long story short, Texas Tech is going to put up huge offensive numbers this year.

SMU on the other hand loses their heart and soul on offense in Zach Line. He was their workhorse last year rushing for 1278 yards, 13 tds and added 33 receptions for 229 yards. QB Garrett Gilbert (Transfer from University of Texas) remains wildly inconsistent completing only 53% of his passes with a 1:1 TD:INT ratio.

Texas Tech returns 7 starters on defense (8 before DT Delvon Simmons transferred) and 53 lettermen total (tied for the most in the Big 12 with Texas). I look for RB Kenny Williams to have a big game against an inexperienced SMU front 7 and Texas Tech to do what they are accustomed to doing through the air even with them starting a true freshman walk on QB. Their defense will make enough stops and force enough TOs against Gilbert to win by double digits.

 
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Heep said:
Texas Tech -4 @ SMU

Texas Tech comes into this game with new HC Kliff Kingsbury. He is the #2 passer all-time at Texas Tech, a 4 year assistant at Houston, and Johnny Football’s OC last year. Long story short, Texas Tech is going to put up huge offensive numbers this year with Sophomore QB Michael Brewer - 2012 Stats: 34/48 (70.8%) 375 yards, 4 tds, 0 INTs).

SMU on the other hand loses their heart and soul on offense in Zach Line. He was their workhorse last year rushing for 1278 yards, 13 tds and added 33 receptions for 229 yards. QB Garrett Gilbert (Transfer from University of Texas) remains wildly inconsistent completing only 53% of his passes with a 1:1 TD:INT ratio.

Texas Tech returns 7 starters on defense (8 before DT Delvon Simmons transferred) and 53 lettermen total (tied for the most in the Big 12 with Texas). I look for RB Kenny Williams to have a big game against an inexperienced SMU front 7 and Texas Tech to do what they are accustomed to doing through the air. Their defense will make enough stops and force enough TOs against Gilbert to win by double digits.
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You know that Brewer is out tonight right? Alot of questions about the passing game with a walk-on starting. Also, I think Shead will be as good as Line. Just don't want you to base your bet on Brewer playing and Line missing...both are irrelevant.

 
TheGooRoo said:
Heep said:
Texas Tech -4 @ SMU

Texas Tech comes into this game with new HC Kliff Kingsbury. He is the #2 passer all-time at Texas Tech, a 4 year assistant at Houston, and Johnny Football’s OC last year. Long story short, Texas Tech is going to put up huge offensive numbers this year with Sophomore QB Michael Brewer - 2012 Stats: 34/48 (70.8%) 375 yards, 4 tds, 0 INTs).

SMU on the other hand loses their heart and soul on offense in Zach Line. He was their workhorse last year rushing for 1278 yards, 13 tds and added 33 receptions for 229 yards. QB Garrett Gilbert (Transfer from University of Texas) remains wildly inconsistent completing only 53% of his passes with a 1:1 TD:INT ratio.

Texas Tech returns 7 starters on defense (8 before DT Delvon Simmons transferred) and 53 lettermen total (tied for the most in the Big 12 with Texas). I look for RB Kenny Williams to have a big game against an inexperienced SMU front 7 and Texas Tech to do what they are accustomed to doing through the air. Their defense will make enough stops and force enough TOs against Gilbert to win by double digits.
Click to expand...
You know that Brewer is out tonight right? Alot of questions about the passing game with a walk-on starting. Also, I think Shead will be as good as Line. Just don't want you to base your bet on Brewer playing and Line missing...both are irrelevant.
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Yes I did. I changed the write-up so people aren't confused. I understand Line graduated last year and he is not injured/suspended/etc. It is still a huge blow. I wouldn't call it irrelevant.

 
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For those of you on Toledo or thinking about it: "Gator Country and Scout are reporting that Florida has suspended 3 more players for opener, including Loucheiz Purifoy."

 
Heep said:
TheGooRoo said:
Heep said:
Texas Tech -4 @ SMU

Texas Tech comes into this game with new HC Kliff Kingsbury. He is the #2 passer all-time at Texas Tech, a 4 year assistant at Houston, and Johnny Football’s OC last year. Long story short, Texas Tech is going to put up huge offensive numbers this year with Sophomore QB Michael Brewer - 2012 Stats: 34/48 (70.8%) 375 yards, 4 tds, 0 INTs).

SMU on the other hand loses their heart and soul on offense in Zach Line. He was their workhorse last year rushing for 1278 yards, 13 tds and added 33 receptions for 229 yards. QB Garrett Gilbert (Transfer from University of Texas) remains wildly inconsistent completing only 53% of his passes with a 1:1 TD:INT ratio.

Texas Tech returns 7 starters on defense (8 before DT Delvon Simmons transferred) and 53 lettermen total (tied for the most in the Big 12 with Texas). I look for RB Kenny Williams to have a big game against an inexperienced SMU front 7 and Texas Tech to do what they are accustomed to doing through the air. Their defense will make enough stops and force enough TOs against Gilbert to win by double digits.
Click to expand...
You know that Brewer is out tonight right? Alot of questions about the passing game with a walk-on starting. Also, I think Shead will be as good as Line. Just don't want you to base your bet on Brewer playing and Line missing...both are irrelevant.
Click to expand...
Yes I did. I changed the write-up so people aren't confused. I understand Line graduated last year and he is not injured/suspended/etc. It is still a huge blow. I wouldn't call it irrelevant.
Click to expand...
It is not a huge blow or irrelevant if you feel that Line's replacement (Shead) is as good as Line was.

 
Uh yeah Texas Tech defense. You might want to watch out for the old QB drop back and then tuck and run it up the middle for 20 yards a play after he does it 5 times.

 
Not sure what I did to deserve it, but I got a $50 free bet. Even though I think UL Monroe is the play of the day tomorrow I put it on Georgia.

Cant wait for that game.

 
The Ref said:
Not sure what I did to deserve it, but I got a $50 free bet. Even though I think UL Monroe is the play of the day tomorrow I put it on Georgia.

Cant wait for that game.
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Going against you here. Tomorrow is a coming out party for Sammy.

Love over anything under 100.

Wooooo football!

 
Gotta a few plays in for the UFC tomorrow night but i am tired, so here ya go:

S PALELEI +160

GAUDINOT +145

Pettis +105 (bit of a heart play here, so tail at your own risk)

Barnett -170

I have more, but honestly forget who they were

 
The more I look at it, the more I wouldn't touch Virgina Tech no matter what. Saban destroys non-SEC competition:

2012
Michigan: 41-14
WKU: 35 -0
Florida Atlantic: 40-7
Western Carolina: 49-0
Notre Dame: 42-14


2011
Kent St: 48-7
Penn St: 27-11
NT: 41-0
Georgia Souther: 45-21


2010
SJS: 48-3
Penn St: 24-3
Duke: 62-13
Georgia St: 63-7
Michigan St: 497

2009
VA Tech: 34-24
FI: 40-14
NT: 53-7
UTC: 45-0
Texas: 37-21
 
WKU/KU total of 57 looked awfully low to me...then I realized it started at 50 :eek:

Last year, both of these teams put up a lot of points and gave up a lot of points. Obviously, Mark Stoops will improve KU's defense and Bobby Petrino will improve WKU's offense....but does it happen right away?

 
It the time of year when I start hanging out in this thread more, providing very little value to others, but tailing a bunch of your bets.

Just checked my NFL props and it looks like they were bumped up from $1 to $18.18

Gonna make it rain :moneybag:

 
From Prediction Machine.com

ATS Free Pick of the Week: Georgia -1.5 vs. Clemson (Covers 53.8%)
College football kicks off Week 1 of the regular season with one clear marquee Game of the Week as the Georgia Bulldogs head to Clemson to face the Tigers in a big non-conference matchup that features at least four legitimate Heisman Trophy contenders and two high-profile offenses. The experienced triumvirate of senior quarterback Tajh Boyd, junior wide receiver Sammy Watkins and offensive coordinator/mastermind Chad Morris, coupled with a top ten home field advantage (the Tigers moved up one spot from last year's 11th placed ranking) should help Clemson put up points almost at will against an athletic, yet inexperienced Georgia Bulldogs defense (just three returning starters from 2012). Unfortunately for the home team, Georgia has just as much offensive talent at the skill positions, appears to have a clear edge in the trenches and is facing a far more exploitable secondary, which should be enough to narrowly edge Clemson and get a well-fought victory before heading back home to host South Carolina next week.

In 2012, Clemson finished the season 11-2 against the nation's 61st ranked schedule. This included a dramatic 25-24 Chick-fil-A Bowl victory over LSU to conclude the year. Though Clemson actually returns four of five starting offensive linemen, this has traditionally been an area of weakness for the team, especially when facing physical opponents like Florida State within the ACC and teams from the SEC like South Carolina (four straight losses to the Gamecocks by double-digits) and LSU, who did not win the bowl game over Clemson, yet held Clemson to 17 points below its scoring average for the season. Clemson's starting offensive line averages 6'4", 299 lbs while Georgia's projected starting defensive line averages 6'4", 305 lbs (and for comparison it's offensive line, which actually returns all five offensive starters averages 6'4", 309 lbs). That may not seem like a massive difference, but it has materialized into a tangible one in games Clemson has played against bigger teams.

Furthermore, just one starter returns in the secondary for a Clemson team that already struggled mightily giving up big plays in the passing game. In 2012, the Tigers ranked 68th in the country allowing 7.3 yards-per-attempt in the passing game despite playing an average FBS schedule. That's not going to get it done against a Bulldogs squad with an elite senior starting quarterback, Aaron Murray, and playmakers at every position like the "Gurshall" tandem of Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall at running back, two standout receivers who barely had a chance to play the position last year in Michael Bennette and Malcolm Mitchell and a tight end in Arthur Lync who has All-American potential.

Overall, Clemson ranks 19th in our initial College Football Power Rankings, which is second in the ACC (behind Florida State at #12) and would be SEVENTH in the SEC. The Tigers rank as having a top ten overall offense and a top ten pass efficiency offense, yet rank outside the top 25 nationally in our run offense, run defense and pass defense efficiency rankings. That should still be good enough to make Clemson a favorite in nine of 12 games on the slate, but this is not one of them. Georgia ranks fourth overall in our Power Rankings, has the top overall pass efficiency offense and is one of just three teams (with Alabama and Texas) that ranks in the top ten in both passing and rushing efficiency. There are concerns with UGA's defense as well, but the team is similar in overall abilities and rankings to Clemson and is strongest in the back seven right now, which is very important when taking on Clemson's pass heavy attack. Both offenses should win over the defenses, but Georgia wins more matchups than Clemson and should win this game.

Through 50,000 simulations of Saturday's 8:00 PM ET featured game on ABC, Georgia wins at Clemson 55.1% of the time and by an average score of 40.1-33.9. As 1.5 point favorites that win by more than a field goal, the Bulldogs cover the spread 53.8% of the time. According to our Play Value Calculator recommendations, this would warrant a $15 play from a normal $50 player. The 74 projected points currently only covers the current 72 point posted total 51.3% of the time, which is not confident enough to cover the general -110 vig (52.4% accuracy is necessary to be profitable at -110 odds). However, reviewing the books right now, 71.5 is available in a few places and about 70% of the action to this point has been on the under at 72
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