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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Any good reasons not to take NW -5 @ Cal (other than the fact ill probably fall asleep before kickoff)
I read alot of good things about how the team was practicing at night and taking naps to prepare for the late night start. NW has more skill players and is just plain out the better team. Two headed QB will give Cal some personnel problems.

 
I was at my local draft all night. Sorry for anyone who tailed that Miami over abortion.

Their freshman WR (#3) leads off my 2013 sh-t list. TWO dropped TD passes right in his hands. There was your over. :angry:

 
What happened for those of us not watching?
Florida up by 18 with about 5 minutes left. They run every play (which is fine). Get inside the red zone when they have the game locked up (time to kneel)....keeps running plays...tries to snap it from the 2 with :01 left (clock expired).

#### him

 
What happened for those of us not watching?
Florida up by 18 with about 5 minutes left. They run every play (which is fine). Get inside the red zone when they have the game locked up (time to kneel)....keeps running plays...tries to snap it from the 2 with :01 left (clock expired).

#### him
They mixed in a screen pass, too. 1st down with about a minute left...classy move is to kneel on it.

 
To be fair to Muschkamp, I would have been throwing the rock all day. But I'm an ahole that will never coach at the pee wee level.

I had Toledo. Thought they played about as poorly as I have ever seen them play on offense. FLA deserves some credit of course

 
The best team in college football tries to take its first step toward a three-peat late Saturday afternoon in Atlanta, Georgia when two-time defending national champion Alabama takes on Virginia Tech in a game that will be nationally televised by ESPN.

Alabama is the undisputed juggernaut of the sport right now. Not only have they won the last two national championships…but they’ve won three of the last four. And, they’re the betting favorite to go the distance again this season…projected as clear favorites every time they take the field.

But, of course…they were clear favorites whenever they took the field last year, and they still lost a regular season game! Any power can stub its toe if they lose focus or get overconfident. The fact that revenge against Texas A&M will be on the minds of the Crimson Tide in a couple of weeks could create a flat spot Saturday against Virginia Tech.

Let’s see what the betting markets think about that…

Current Line: Alabama by 20.5, total of 45.5

Prior Market Activity: an opener of Alabama by 17.5 continues to rise

Well…it’s pretty clear that the betting markets don’t see this as a toe-stubbing game. Remember, this a NEUTRAL FIELD matchup…so we’re seeing a huge number for Alabama facing a bowl caliber opponent. It is worth noting that the bulk of late week betting action is coming from the public. Squares love betting teams they’ve been hearing about from the media. All they’ve heard this past summer is that Alabama looks indestructible…possibly BETTER than last year’s team that crushed Notre Dame for the title.

Some quick notes on both sides…

ALABAMA

2012 Record: 13-1 (beat Georgia in SEC Championship, Notre Dame in BCS Championship)

2012 Strengths: Everything, but especially all facets of defense

2012 Weaknesses: Maybe passing offense, arrogance prior to A&M and Georgia games

2013 Focus: Remembering that they’re not invincible!

As great as Alabama was last year…they lost at home to Texas A&M…they were very lucky to survive LSU in Baton Rouge…and they played a thriller with Georgia in the SEC title tilt. They can be beaten as pricey favorites if you play your very best game while they come in overconfident. There’s no doubt that this is a super-team.

VIRGINIA TECH

2012 Record 7-6 (beat Rutgers in the Russell Atlantic Bowl)

2012 Strengths: Defense

2012 Weaknesses: Offense, lack of poise

2013 Focus: Re-embracing Beamer-Ball to stop downward trend.

Virginia Tech barely had a winning record last year…and had to survive overtimes against Georgia Tech, Boston College, and Rutgers to get there. They were 4-6-3 in regulation against a mediocre schedule. Part of the line move this week may be the realization from the public that Virginia Tech just doesn’t have it any more. They were a big disappointment last year. And, preseason injuries may have made it even more difficult for this team to score points vs. good defenses. Even though they won their bowl vs. Rutgers…it was one of the ugliest games ever played. How can Tech improve enough to compete with Alabama?!

 
It’s one thing when minor bowl teams play thrillers on the way to 8-4 type seasons. #5 Georgia visits #8 Clemson Saturday Night (nationally televised by ABC) in a matchup worthy of a BCS Bowl or even a future championship tournament. Both teams are loaded. Both teams have quarterbacks capable of putting points on the board very quickly and efficiently. And, you’ll see in the stats below that both teams have realistically big dreams about what 2013 might bring to their programs.

2012 Records

Georgia: 12-2 (lost to ‘Bama in SEC Championship, beat Nebraska in Capital One Bowl)

Clemson: 11-2 (beat LSU in Chick-Fil-A Bowl)

Georgia took Alabama to the wire…playing much more impressively than Notre Dame would a few weeks later in the BCS Championship game. Clemson made up for an embarrassing bowl loss to West Virginia two years ago with an upset of LSU in Atlanta. Clemson played like an SEC power in that game, and hopes to do the same thing on their home field against the Bulldogs. Based on last year’s won-lost records and this season’s poll rankings, Georgia/Clemson is clearly the best matchup of the opening week…and will be one of the top few matchups of the opening month in this sport.

2012 Offense

Georgia: 22 in total offense (30 in passing, 43 in rushing)

Clemson: 9 in total offense (13 in passing, 36 in rushing)

Both teams move the ball very effectively. It’s important to remember here that Clemson plays fast break football while Georgia is much more methodical. That means, on a per-play basis, Georgia arguably has the better offense. If they can slow Saturday’s game down…they will get the best of it in the numbers. Clemson must play fast to fully utilize their speed and schematics.

2012 Defense

Georgia: 32 in total defense (8 in passing, 77 in rushing)

Clemson: 63 in total defense (71 in passing, 57 in rushing)

Clemson gets hurt here because fast-break football lengthens games, and puts opponents on the field more often than normal. That being said, Georgia is still the stronger unit on that side of the ball. Key for Georgia will be stopping run plays from out of the spread attack to get stops. Clemson’s defense must prevent big passing plays. Well, “stop” and “prevent” are probably too strong for what’s likely to take place. Both defenses want to slow down the opposing attacks as best as possible. Best expectations are for a high scoring shootout.

Returning Starters (Projected Quarterback)

Georgia: 8 on offense, 3 on defense (Aaron Murray)

Clemson: 6 on offense, 7 on defense (Tajh Boyd)

This is where Georgia has to worry. Can their new starters get up to speed in their career openers on the road against a potent offense? Sharp money has hit the home dog largely because of concerns about Georgia’s new defenders. Overall, Georgia has the better talent, and comes from a much superior conference. That won’t matter if an inexperienced defense can’t get in the way of what Tajh Boyd is trying to do with his arms and his legs.

Current Vegas Line: Georgia by 1.5, total of 71

Yup…that’s about 36-35 for the projected final score…very much in line with the biggest shootouts of this past Thursday. Get ready for a great game!

 
Wolverines -13.5 2nd half

Chips haven't done much on O, their FG are due to good field position off Gardner INT

They also recieve the 2nd half KO

 
anyone else on team GooRoo just see Jarrod West standing on the first down to gain line all alone waiving both hands in the air with nobody within 6 yards of him in any direction?

 

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