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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.

 
Of the Week 15 lines already posted, played KC -4 @ OAK and SEA -7 -105 @ NYG for 1U each.

Both have rout potential, and I'll take a split if one doesn't end up covering, especially with reduced juice on SEA right now.

 
if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.
Dallas D line is playing street free agents. No starters left, all injured. Now Lee is lost for the game. Bears may throw up 60 points. Romo about to go Xbox. He may end up with less than 200.
 
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if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.
Dallas D line is playing street free agents. No starters left, all injured. Now Lee is lost for the game. Bears may throw up 60 points. Romo about to go Xbox. He may end up with less than 200.
what i can't figure out is you have Murray with 14 carries for 100 yards. yeah, i know you guys are down points, but your QB has less then 100 yards passing. Maybe try running it at least a few times? you had almost 2 full quarters

 
if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.
Dallas D line is playing street free agents. No starters left, all injured. Now Lee is lost for the game. Bears may throw up 60 points. Romo about to go Xbox. He may end up with less than 200.
what i can't figure out is you have Murray with 14 carries for 100 yards. yeah, i know you guys are down points, but your QB has less then 100 yards passing. Maybe try running it at least a few times? you had almost 2 full quarters
Ask an he shall receive.....a tad too late cowboys

 
if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.
Dallas D line is playing street free agents. No starters left, all injured. Now Lee is lost for the game. Bears may throw up 60 points. Romo about to go Xbox. He may end up with less than 200.
what i can't figure out is you have Murray with 14 carries for 100 yards. yeah, i know you guys are down points, but your QB has less then 100 yards passing. Maybe try running it at least a few times? you had almost 2 full quarters
Ask an he shall receive.....a tad too late cowboys
as an Eagles fan, i am just delightful that Jerry Jones still runs this team, and feels the need to keep this coaching staff on. it is just dumb, and will not F me a bit because i took un13.5 i the 4th Q :bag:

 
I said earlier Garrett would abandon the run because he's an idiot. A degenerate ex QB who can't help himself. Would rather pass and lose rather than run and win.

 
6 straight runs got them in the RZ on that last TD. Garrett can't figure out that when something is working KEEP DOING IT.

He needs to be fired but Jerreh won't do it.

 
Doc, did you pick up any Persian in your travels? If you went to Tehran like they did tonight in Homeland, would you be able to communicate with the locals? Claire Danes makes it sound fairly effortless. Of course, she's probably saying gibberish and I don't know any better.
Her French was :yucky:
Yeah I'm not sure where she was speaking any Farsi. She translated Arabic in the 2nd to last episode, and spoke gutter French when she was in Iran. She still looks like a fish though and her character in the show is pretty awful.

This season of Homeland is much more plausible btw, but it does provide quite a bot of :bs: still. It's closer to not being a complete cartoon now though.

 
if the Cowboys defense wasn't so terrible i would think the Bears trying to milk the clock would come back to haunt them.
Dallas D line is playing street free agents. No starters left, all injured. Now Lee is lost for the game. Bears may throw up 60 points. Romo about to go Xbox. He may end up with less than 200.
what i can't figure out is you have Murray with 14 carries for 100 yards. yeah, i know you guys are down points, but your QB has less then 100 yards passing. Maybe try running it at least a few times? you had almost 2 full quarters
Garrett has an ego and wants to look like a passing genius. He just can't help himself.

 
Interesting that this was the highest-scoring weekend in NFL history, yet 5 games still went under. When I went to check on it, I expected to see that about 15 out of 16 went over. The books are still doing their job.

 
Ugh, I hate live betting. that last Cowpokes TD will cost me about $320 betweeen 3 different bets that will beat. This team can not find enough ways for me to have hate for them

 
So I went through 34 of the 35 posted bowl sides (New Orleans Bowl line not up) after running my formula to gage the lines. I was within 1.5 points of 25 of the games, within three points of 30 of 34. Not sure if my line predicting ability is worth something, or if everyone can do this...but basically I only have four outliers on the sides. And of those I don't care for two of the four. Considering how bad I've been recently at bowl sides betting though, I pretty much have to play those two I don't care for. lol

Eagerly awaiting totals to be posted. :popcorn:

 
So I went through 34 of the 35 posted bowl sides (New Orleans Bowl line not up) after running my formula to gage the lines. I was within 1.5 points of 25 of the games, within three points of 30 of 34. Not sure if my line predicting ability is worth something, or if everyone can do this...but basically I only have four outliers on the sides. And of those I don't care for two of the four. Considering how bad I've been recently at bowl sides betting though, I pretty much have to play those two I don't care for. lol

Eagerly awaiting totals to be posted. :popcorn:
Can't link it from work, but Vegas Insider has totals listed

 
CFB bowl totals(posted at betonline cause i'm sure the formatting is going to suck)

303 Army +13 -110 o Ov 54 -110 o 304 Navy -13 -110 o Un 54 -110 o Saturday, Dec 21, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 02:00 PM 201 Colorado State
+4 -110 o Ov 64½ -110 o 202 Washington State -4 -110 o Un 64½ -110 o 03:30 PM 203 USC
-5½ -110 o Ov 62 -110 o 204 Fresno State +5½ -110 o Un 62 -110 o 05:30 PM 205 Buffalo -3 -105 o Ov 52½ -110 o 206 San Diego State +3 -115 o Un 52½ -110 o Monday, Dec 23, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 02:00 PM 209 Ohio
+13 -110 o Ov 64½ -110 o 210 East Carolina -13 -110 o Un 64½ -110 o Tuesday, Dec 24, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 08:00 PM 211 Oregon State
-3 -110 o Ov 63½ -110 o 212 Boise State +3 -110 o Un 63½ -110 o Thursday, Dec 26, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 06:00 PM 213 Pittsburgh
+6 -110 o Ov 49 -110 o 214 Bowling Green -6 -110 o Un 49 -110 o 09:30 PM 215 Utah State +1½ -110 o Ov 56½ -115 o 216 Northen Illinois -1½ -110 o Un 56½ -105 o Friday, Dec 27, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 02:30 PM 217 Marshall
-2 -110 o Ov 61½ -110 o 218 Maryland +2 -110 o Un 61½ -110 o 06:00 PM 219 Syracuse
+4 -110 o Ov 45½ -110 o 220 Minnesota -4 -110 o Un 45½ -110 o 09:30 PM 221 Washington
-3 -110 o Ov 57½ -110 o 222 BYU +3 -110 o Un 57½ -110 o Saturday, Dec 28, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 12:00 PM 223 Rutgers
+15½ -110 o Ov 51 -110 o 224 Notre Dame -15½ -110 o Un 51 -110 o 03:20 PM 225 Cincinnati
+3 -110 o Ov 56 -110 o 226 North Carolina -3 -110 o Un 56 -110 o 06:45 PM 227 Miami Florida
+3 -105 o Ov 56½ -110 o 228 Louisville -3 -115 o Un 56½ -110 o 10:15 PM 229 Michigan
+3 -110 o Ov 56½ -110 o 230 Kansas State -3 -110 o Un 56½ -110 o Monday, Dec 30, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 11:45 AM 231 Middle Tennessee State
+6½ -110 o Ov 56½ -110 o 232 Navy -6½ -110 o Un 56½ -110 o 03:15 PM 233 Mississippi
-3 -110 o Ov 56 -110 o 234 Georgia Tech +3 -110 o Un 56 -110 o 06:45 PM 235 Texas
+13 -110 o Ov 69½ -110 o 236 Oregon -13 -110 o Un 69½ -110 o 10:15 PM 237 Texas Tech
+13½ -110 o Ov 72 -110 o 238 Arizona State -13½ -110 o Un 72 -110 o Tuesday, Dec 31, 2013 - NCAA Football Game 12:30 PM 239 Boston College
+7 -105 o Ov 57½ -110 o 240 Arizona -7 -115 o Un 57½ -110 o 02:00 PM 241 Virginia Tech
+7 -105 o Ov 48 -110 o 242 UCLA -7 -115 o Un 48 -110 o 04:00 PM 243 Mississippi State
-7 -110 o Ov 51½ -110 o 244 Rice +7 -110 o Un 51½ -110 o 08:00 PM 245 Duke
+11½ -110 o Ov 68½ -110 o 246 Texas A&M -11½ -110 o Un 68½ -110 o Wednesday, Jan 01, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 12:00 PM 247 Nebraska
+9 -110 o Ov 60½ -110 o 248 Georgia -9 -110 o Un 60½ -110 o 12:00 PM 249 UNLV
+6½ -110 o Ov 56 -110 o 250 North Texas -6½ -110 o Un 56 -110 o 01:00 PM 251 Wisconsin
pk -110 o Ov 49½ -110 o 252 South Carolina pk -110 o Un 49½ -110 o 01:00 PM 253 Iowa
+7½ -110 o Ov 49 -110 o 254 LSU -7½ -110 o Un 49 -110 o 05:00 PM 255 Michigan State
+4 -110 o Ov 41 -110 o 256 Stanford -4 -110 o Un 41 -110 o 08:30 PM 257 Central Florida
+16½ -110 o Ov 71 -110 o 258 Baylor -16½ -110 o Un 71 -110 o Thursday, Jan 02, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 08:25 PM 259 Oklahoma
+15 -110 o Ov 51 -110 o 260 Alabama -15 -110 o Un 51 -110 o Friday, Jan 03, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 08:00 PM 261 Oklahoma State
pk -110 o Ov 60 -110 o 262 Missouri pk -110 o Un 60 -110 o 08:00 PM 263 Clemson
+3 -115 o Ov 67 -110 o 264 Ohio State -3 -105 o Un 67 -110 o Saturday, Jan 04, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 12:00 PM 265 Houston
+3 -110 o 266 Vanderbilt -3 -110 o Sunday, Jan 05, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 09:00 PM 267 Arkansas State
+9 -110 o Ov 63½ -110 o 268 Ball State -9 -110 o Un 63½ -110 o Monday, Jan 06, 2014 - NCAA Football Game 08:30 PM 269 Auburn
+9 -110 o +260 o Ov 65½ -110 o 270 Florida State -9 -110 o -310 o Un 65½ -110 o Friday, Dec 13, 2013 - Division 1AA Playoffs Game 08:00 PM 341 Towson +15½ -110 o Ov 68½ -110 o 342 Eastern Illinois -15½ -110 o Un 68½ -110 o Saturday, Dec 14, 2013 - Division 1AA Playoffs Game 12:00 PM 343 Coastal Carolina +13 -110 o Ov 62½ -110 o 344 North Dakota State -13 -110 o Un 62½ -110 o 04:00 PM 345 Jacksonville State +8 -110 o Ov 68 -110 o 346 Eastern Washington -8 -110 o Un 68 -110 o 07:00 PM 347 New Hampshire +7½ -110 o Ov 61½ -110 o 348 Southeastern Louisiana -7½ -110 o Un 61½ -110 o
 
How is it that FSU is going to stop Auburn?
I thought FSU's defense was supposed to be strong?

Looks to me like they gave up fewer points/game than any team in all of college football this year. 10.7 per game.
Yeah Auburn has the #88 defense in the nation, FSU #3. Puts against are 10 v 24. Auburn has played better teams but FSU manhandled Clemson, Duke and Miami who moved the ball and scored against pretty much everyone else.

 
So I went through 34 of the 35 posted bowl sides (New Orleans Bowl line not up) after running my formula to gage the lines. I was within 1.5 points of 25 of the games, within three points of 30 of 34. Not sure if my line predicting ability is worth something, or if everyone can do this...but basically I only have four outliers on the sides. And of those I don't care for two of the four. Considering how bad I've been recently at bowl sides betting though, I pretty much have to play those two I don't care for. lol

Eagerly awaiting totals to be posted. :popcorn:
Can't link it from work, but Vegas Insider has totals listed
Of the totals Lumpy posted, I was within three points of the total in 27 of the 34 games. I have to figure the standard deviation but I'll wait until they are posted at Greek before doing so. Looks like a few outliers there though, I had the Okie State/Missou total at 66 for example so that one is going to fall into the AUTOPLAY category as an OVER. I say this based on many of my other total estimations coming in below the Vegas number, not above.

 
So - anyone want to take any early action on these early lines?

I booked Auburn plus 9 at RB....
In for 3.5 units on FSU -7.5. Just don't see how Auburn will stop them.
OK thats fine. How is it that FSU is going to stop Auburn?
I trust that FSU will be able to at least slow Auburn down with a month to prepare. They have a really good D. Auburn is pretty one dimensional. FSU will score at will IMO :shrug:

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
The Ref said:
How is it that FSU is going to stop Auburn?
I thought FSU's defense was supposed to be strong?

Looks to me like they gave up fewer points/game than any team in all of college football this year. 10.7 per game.
FSU does in fact have a good D. But I'm not saying that based upon the 10.7 PPG. That schedule they played was a complete joke, they had one game the whole year (and it was an impressive one vs Clemson).

 
lumpy19 said:
I love the last post from JB....

John Bender said:
I'm really wanting to get involved with this, but this thread is huge and also outdated now.

With the the College Ball season Over I started a new Wagering Thread. Feel free to keep using this one if you think it's for the best and I'll have the other one deleted but here is the link

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...howtopic=516869
The thread was so huge.... 159 pages.

 
I don't bet on sports all that often, but it's the playoffs so what the heck. Put a little on the Cinci and the Under, but for value I like this.....

Future Wager 01/09/10 15:43 ET

bet 10.00 to win 150.00 Result: Pending

Jets vs Bengals - Player to score the 1st Touchdown (All Bets Action)

Andre Caldwell (Bengals) 01/09/10(16:30 ET)

+1500

Dont see the jets scoring much, Ocho is hurt/covered, and the jets run d is stout. I like the price.
:lmao: :lmao: :lmao:

Scary thing is it was a true statement at the time.

 
Aaron Rudnicki said:
The Ref said:
How is it that FSU is going to stop Auburn?
I thought FSU's defense was supposed to be strong?

Looks to me like they gave up fewer points/game than any team in all of college football this year. 10.7 per game.
FSU does in fact have a good D. But I'm not saying that based upon the 10.7 PPG. That schedule they played was a complete joke, they had one game the whole year (and it was an impressive one vs Clemson).
I hardly watched FSU at all, but just a quick 2 minute glance at the results...the team that had the most success (BC) against them put up 200 yards on the ground and 34 points. We know Auburn can rush.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Tiger Fan said:
Doctor Detroit said:
So I went through 34 of the 35 posted bowl sides (New Orleans Bowl line not up) after running my formula to gage the lines. I was within 1.5 points of 25 of the games, within three points of 30 of 34. Not sure if my line predicting ability is worth something, or if everyone can do this...but basically I only have four outliers on the sides. And of those I don't care for two of the four. Considering how bad I've been recently at bowl sides betting though, I pretty much have to play those two I don't care for. lol

Eagerly awaiting totals to be posted. :popcorn:
Can't link it from work, but Vegas Insider has totals listed
Of the totals Lumpy posted, I was within three points of the total in 27 of the 34 games. I have to figure the standard deviation but I'll wait until they are posted at Greek before doing so. Looks like a few outliers there though, I had the Okie State/Missou total at 66 for example so that one is going to fall into the AUTOPLAY category as an OVER. I say this based on many of my other total estimations coming in below the Vegas number, not above.
Wait til bookmaker posts totals, those are the real #'s, no idea when they post them

betonline will immediately adjust their #'s to match bookmaker

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Tiger Fan said:
Doctor Detroit said:
So I went through 34 of the 35 posted bowl sides (New Orleans Bowl line not up) after running my formula to gage the lines. I was within 1.5 points of 25 of the games, within three points of 30 of 34. Not sure if my line predicting ability is worth something, or if everyone can do this...but basically I only have four outliers on the sides. And of those I don't care for two of the four. Considering how bad I've been recently at bowl sides betting though, I pretty much have to play those two I don't care for. lol

Eagerly awaiting totals to be posted. :popcorn:
Can't link it from work, but Vegas Insider has totals listed
Of the totals Lumpy posted, I was within three points of the total in 27 of the 34 games. I have to figure the standard deviation but I'll wait until they are posted at Greek before doing so. Looks like a few outliers there though, I had the Okie State/Missou total at 66 for example so that one is going to fall into the AUTOPLAY category as an OVER. I say this based on many of my other total estimations coming in below the Vegas number, not above.
Wait til bookmaker posts totals, those are the real #'s, no idea when they post them

betonline will immediately adjust their #'s to match bookmaker
Got it, thanks.

 
Florida -3

Evansville +10.5

Illinois -16

Gonzaga -2

Kentucky -11
Bovada:

Wiggins (ku) Under 4.5 made FTs -135

Ellis (ku) Under 13.5pts -130

Ferrell (ind) Under 16.5pts -120

[2u]Vonleh (ind) Over 9.5rebs -120

Drmic (bsu) Under 16.5pts -135

Watkins (bsu) Under 9.5rebs -120

Randle (uk) Over 16.5pts -120

Cauley-Stein (uk) Over 9.5pts -110

Dower (gonz) Over 20.5p+r -120

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Of the totals Lumpy posted, I was within three points of the total in 27 of the 34 games. I have to figure the standard deviation but I'll wait until they are posted at Greek before doing so. Looks like a few outliers there though, I had the Okie State/Missou total at 66 for example so that one is going to fall into the AUTOPLAY category as an OVER. I say this based on many of my other total estimations coming in below the Vegas number, not above.
:bow:

 
Just manscaped for half-an-hour (we're doing me next) and am getting out of a serious funk I have been in. My classes this semester SUCKED and real talk - I hated them. I wrap it up tonight and tomorrow with two final exams and am seeing the light at the end of the tunnel. I finally made it. About to go tan for the first time since I can remember and work out for only the second time in the last three weeks. Looking forward to clearing the fog, researching trends specifically narrowed down to bowl games/coaches and taking requests brohans.

 

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