Frostillicus
Footballguy
ferrell over, sheehey under, harris under 3s, and all four kentucky point unders
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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter John Bender
- Start date
FWIW, I played these SOG props at SB (for $5 each):
Oilers - Total Shots on Goal
Over 27.5 (-120)
Avalanche - Total Shots on Goal
Over 31.5 (-145)
Maple Leafs - Total Shots on Goal
Under 28.5 (-120)
Stars - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30.5 (-120)
Wild - Total Shots on Goal
Over 27.5 (-120)
Sabres - Total Shots on Goal
Over 26.5 (-120)
Panthers - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30.5 (-120)
Blues - Total Shots on Goal
Under 27.5 (-130)
Islanders - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30 (even)
Kings - Total Shots on Goal
Under 31.5 (-120)
just based on my projections, the best bets are:
BUF Over
COL Over
MIN Over
LAK Under
NYI Under
STL Under
Oilers - Total Shots on Goal
Over 27.5 (-120)
Avalanche - Total Shots on Goal
Over 31.5 (-145)
Maple Leafs - Total Shots on Goal
Under 28.5 (-120)
Stars - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30.5 (-120)
Wild - Total Shots on Goal
Over 27.5 (-120)
Sabres - Total Shots on Goal
Over 26.5 (-120)
Panthers - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30.5 (-120)
Blues - Total Shots on Goal
Under 27.5 (-130)
Islanders - Total Shots on Goal
Under 30 (even)
Kings - Total Shots on Goal
Under 31.5 (-120)
just based on my projections, the best bets are:
BUF Over
COL Over
MIN Over
LAK Under
NYI Under
STL Under
ArbyMelt
Footballguy
Did sportsbetting.ag require you have a $0 balance and $0 pending bets? They tried to deny my last reload bonus (a few months ago), because I had a pending future, but a $0 balance. They gave me a one-time exemption to the reload bonus.lumpy19 said:
ETA: no 50% free play for me, only 25%, and its no good if you have a pending bet. Free plays require $0 balance and $0 pending.
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Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Just to be contrary, ESPN's bottom line said that no team with zero SB player experience has ever won.NIU Kicker said:
Drifter
Footballguy
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Drifter
Footballguy
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101351399
Quicken Loans offering 1 BILLION dollars for a perfect March Madness bracket this year.
Quicken Loans offering 1 BILLION dollars for a perfect March Madness bracket this year.
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Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Aren't there usually 1 or 2 secretaries that do this every year?http://www.cnbc.com/id/101351399
Quick Loans offering 1 BILLION dollars for a perfect March Madness bracket this year.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
Vegas has -2.5 across the board now. Gotta figure a lot of SEA buyback happens at 3, SB only had them there for a few hours on Sun/Mon.
That will be the type of person who eventually wins this prize.Aren't there usually 1 or 2 secretaries that do this every year?http://www.cnbc.com/id/101351399
Quick Loans offering 1 BILLION dollars for a perfect March Madness bracket this year.
Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
Of course one could say that maybe most teams like that wouldn't even make it to the SB to be included in the stat.
I haven't been following today but SEA was +3 (-115) at Bovada yesterday.
I've been loading up on SEA +3 and doing chalk parlays with the Denver ML hoping for a nice middle opportunity on game day.
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Drifter
Footballguy
I'd be surprised if this moves to 3. That hook is a powerful incentive for the public
![[icon]](/data/avatars/m/5/5167.jpg?1660313464){kind=avatar}
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Insoxicated
Yep.Drifter said:
On SEA +9.5 / Under 55.
The books have admitted they already have inflated totals to try to balance out crazy public action on the Over... starting with an already inflated line, adding a tease and you're looking at getting 10+ points over the actual projected number.
FYI looks like Sportsbook might be about to move to 3 as a key number again... heavy juice (-125) on DEN -2.5
Keep an eye on the forecast... if it looks bad, books are anticipating a line swing toward SEA with the game possibly moving back to a PK or even with SEA ending favored
. Could open up a considerable middle for some.
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Leroy Hoard
Footballguy
If I were doing a tease, this would have to be it.Yep. On SEA +9.5 / Under 55.Drifter said:
The books have admitted they already have inflated totals to try to balance out crazy public action on the Over... starting with an already inflated line, adding a tease and you're looking at getting 10+ points over the actual projected number.
I just verified that Bovada is offering SEA +3 (-110) right now.
ML: +125/-145
EDIT: just moved to +3 (-115) I guess.
SB has SEA +2.5 (+105) and you can buy it up to +3 (-120) there if you want.
ML: +125/-145
EDIT: just moved to +3 (-115) I guess.
SB has SEA +2.5 (+105) and you can buy it up to +3 (-120) there if you want.
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
Here we go
Temple +12, IU +12.5, Ky -14, Pro Butler under 131.5 NW Purdue under 125.5 13.67 to win 273.40
LSU -5 Texas -5.5 IU _12.5 13 to win 78
Miss +5, New Mexico -5.5 13.33 to win 34.66
yes I know mizz and lsu are against each other
Temple +12, IU +12.5, Ky -14, Pro Butler under 131.5 NW Purdue under 125.5 13.67 to win 273.40
LSU -5 Texas -5.5 IU _12.5 13 to win 78
Miss +5, New Mexico -5.5 13.33 to win 34.66
yes I know mizz and lsu are against each other
Drifter
Footballguy
The weather is worrisome. I really want to hit this tease but I'm going to be in Vegas and will want to put my money down there where the weather will be more or less known by the time I hit town. 10 day forecast is pretty cold but just starting to warm up at the tail end of it.Yep.Drifter said:
On SEA +9.5 / Under 55.
The books have admitted they already have inflated totals to try to balance out crazy public action on the Over... starting with an already inflated line, adding a tease and you're looking at getting 10+ points over the actual projected number.
FYI looks like Sportsbook might be about to move to 3 as a key number again... heavy juice (-125) on DEN -2.5
Keep an eye on the forecast... if it looks bad, books are anticipating a line swing toward SEA with the game possibly moving back to a PK or even with SEA ending favored
I got crushed on the under pro bowl last year. I thought Goodell threatening to end the game would give them some incentive to play defense but that obviously didn't happen.
I made that back taking the under in the NBA all star game. Six+ points per minute is basically unsustainable. I am passing on the pro bowl total this year and going w the NBA under as long as it is 290 ish again.
I made that back taking the under in the NBA all star game. Six+ points per minute is basically unsustainable. I am passing on the pro bowl total this year and going w the NBA under as long as it is 290 ish again.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Senators +105
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
spartans missing payne, plus they have just played better on the road for some reason. Last 2 home games were wins but in OT, all road games have been double digit wins though
pizzatyme
Footballguy
I'd guess the line accounted for Payne being out but not for Sheehey. With that said, the Hoosiers are playing well. MSU looks lost offensively.
lumpy19
Footballguy
Yes. BetOnline and sportsbetting.ag are essentially the same book. Same lines same software. I currently have pending futures at BetOnline so I reload sportsbetting. I try to bet all futures at one book so I can do reloads at the other.
Drifter
Footballguy
Good info if the line stays where it is. A 6.5 teaser may not have that much more value than 6 pt.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
John Bender
Footballguy
Pm MarshallPlan re:these. He's our resident expert and he made well past 6 figures in 2009 (I know because he told us 2009 times)
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swirvenirvin
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
I missed it earlier, but the Avs over 31.5 isn;t like stealing... it is stealing. Of course it's all the way up to -175 now but frankly I think it's a good bet all the way up to like -300.
Toronto has given up over 34.5 shots in 9 of the last 10 road games and Colorado likes to shoot. I have the line around 36.5 and I still wouldn't bet the under 36.5.
swirvenirvin
Footballguy
The Ref
Footballguy
14 shots in the 3P and it STILL went under... wasnt so lucky with the saves however :(
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
DD on fire with the NHL.
Thanks
Thanks
