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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

What's up w/ the late game. New Mexico average 74 ppg away. They lost once on the road at Kansas 63-80. Otherwise they are undefeated (6-0) away and have scored 68 or more in every one. Their team total is 67 right now. USU is coming off that overtime loss on ESPN. Teamrankings' says USU SOS is 106, compared to New Mexico's SOS of 59. That seems big.

edit looks like NM is 5-0 on the road? stupid beta ncaa database also Alex Kirk, Foot - is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday (1/28) at Utah State

 
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What's up w/ the late game. New Mexico average 74 ppg away. They lost once on the road at Kansas 63-80. Otherwise they are undefeated (6-0) away and have scored 68 or more in every one. Their team total is 67 right now. USU is coming off that overtime loss on ESPN. Teamrankings' says USU SOS is 106, compared to New Mexico's SOS of 59. That seems big.

edit looks like NM is 5-0 on the road? stupid beta ncaa database
Utah State gets a lot of points at home, which is why the line is where it is. And Utah State has only given up 67 points at home three times this year not including Overtime games, and it was a 67, a 68, and a 78.

gl. I almost played New Mexico myself but I'm terrified of going against USU at home.

 
ChainsawU said:
Leroy Hoard said:
This years playoffs (most recent & most important games) they are both around 16 points per game given up.
I still disagree with you on this because those games were played at home. Denver gives up six more points per game on the road than they do at home. And you already know about Seattle's HFA.
ok, but this really isn't a "road" game either, compared to playing @ Seattle or Denver.

 
Is there a line on how many times Manning will say "Omaha"? I'm listening to Jim Miller and Pat Kirwan interview John Fox right now on Sirius NFL Radio and they asked him about Omaha.

His reply? "You won't be hearing that word again for a long time," followed by a laugh.

:shrug:

 
Is there a line on how many times Manning will say "Omaha"? I'm listening to Jim Miller and Pat Kirwan interview John Fox right now on Sirius NFL Radio and they asked him about Omaha.

His reply? "You won't be hearing that word again for a long time," followed by a laugh.

:shrug:
of course there is.

 
I know he has the cash to do it, but I still can't fathom betting that much money on a single outcome.

The vig alone could probably buy my entire apartment complex.
It's all percentages, man. Dudes disposable income account could end world hunger (+\-).

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Lots of stuff I like tonight, may add another one or two later.

Maple Leafs +107

Red Wings/Flyers OVER 5.5 +105
That flyers game line throws me off. Why are the flyers -145? Any thoughts? I liked them to bounce back, but thought it would be even odds or around therr

 
I know he has the cash to do it, but I still can't fathom betting that much money on a single outcome.

The vig alone could probably buy my entire apartment complex.
@RJinVegas: Rumor of big @FloydMayweather SB bet provides ZERO proof, and originates from a lone, historically unreliable source.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Lots of stuff I like tonight, may add another one or two later.

Maple Leafs +107

Red Wings/Flyers OVER 5.5 +105
That flyers game line throws me off. Why are the flyers -145? Any thoughts? I liked them to bounce back, but thought it would be even odds or around therr
Carchidi tweeted they were without Zetterberg, Datsyuk and Franzen, but I only see Bertuzzi and Z scratched. :shrug:

 
Is there a line on how many times Manning will say "Omaha"? I'm listening to Jim Miller and Pat Kirwan interview John Fox right now on Sirius NFL Radio and they asked him about Omaha.

His reply? "You won't be hearing that word again for a long time," followed by a laugh.

:shrug:
In!
In all over the place!
I would hate to have this blow up in our face, but he said what he said. Foxy and Pat have been friends for over two decades. I can't imagine he'd lie right to his face, unsolicited, over something so trivial.

 
Is there a line on how many times Manning will say "Omaha"? I'm listening to Jim Miller and Pat Kirwan interview John Fox right now on Sirius NFL Radio and they asked him about Omaha.

His reply? "You won't be hearing that word again for a long time," followed by a laugh.

:shrug:
In!
In all over the place!
I would hate to have this blow up in our face, but he said what he said. Foxy and Pat have been friends for over two decades. I can't imagine he'd lie right to his face, unsolicited, over something so trivial.
Regardless.... at this point it's way better then even money. Even it it turns out to not be true, we still holding a ticket at 50/50

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Lots of stuff I like tonight, may add another one or two later.

Maple Leafs +107

Red Wings/Flyers OVER 5.5 +105
That flyers game line throws me off. Why are the flyers -145? Any thoughts? I liked them to bounce back, but thought it would be even odds or around therr
Carchidi tweeted they were without Zetterberg, Datsyuk and Franzen, but I only see Bertuzzi and Z scratched. :shrug:
hmm, that at least makes more sense, but having faith in the Flyers at -145 is ballsy. i put a little of Flyers -1.5 +200, so pretty sure they will win but only by 1 goal now

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Lots of stuff I like tonight, may add another one or two later.

Maple Leafs +107

Red Wings/Flyers OVER 5.5 +105
That flyers game line throws me off. Why are the flyers -145? Any thoughts? I liked them to bounce back, but thought it would be even odds or around therr
Carchidi tweeted they were without Zetterberg, Datsyuk and Franzen, but I only see Bertuzzi and Z scratched. :shrug:
hmm, that at least makes more sense, but having faith in the Flyers at -145 is ballsy. i put a little of Flyers -1.5 +200, so pretty sure they will win but only by 1 goal now
Nice wager, GL. Would be nice for Mason to hold down the fort again.
 
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regularguy said:
Good Posting Judge said:
regularguy said:
"Good said:
Ronaldo goals over Seahawks TD's +150 at SB.

Maybe the guy meant to hit "-" instead of "+"?
More specifically, it's over Seahawks rushing TD's. SB has SEA -195 to score a rushing TD, fwiw.
Correct, thank you.

If it were just TD's, then the line might make sense. :whistle:
I don't know anything about the Ronaldo side here. He looks to be averaging just over a goal per game, and they don't appear to be heavy favorites on Sunday. Which do you like better? - his chance at scoring 2 or that SEA won't get 1
I make Ronaldo's number at 1.5 (based on overseas odds), and the SEA rushing TD's at 1.1.

Both numbers are Poissonable. The two-variable Poisson expectation is as follows:

Ronaldo winning: 46.42%

SEA TD winning: 27.80%

Draw: 25.77%

At +150, that's obv. a play.

 
Doctor Detroit said:
Lots of stuff I like tonight, may add another one or two later.

Maple Leafs +107

Red Wings/Flyers OVER 5.5 +105
That flyers game line throws me off. Why are the flyers -145? Any thoughts? I liked them to bounce back, but thought it would be even odds or around therr
Carchidi tweeted they were without Zetterberg, Datsyuk and Franzen, but I only see Bertuzzi and Z scratched. :shrug:
That's because Franzen and Datsyuk are on the IR

 
Got the Omaha under at 5D before it moved. Now I want the marijuana prop +500. Did you guys see all the hype it was getting today re: concussions, as well as both teams being from states that legalized it.

 
Got the Omaha under at 5D before it moved. Now I want the marijuana prop +500. Did you guys see all the hype it was getting today re: concussions, as well as both teams being from states that legalized it.
where are these props at on 5dimes. i am just lost over there. i can see the future props, and when i look under the prop menu i don't see any of these fun types of props

 
Got the Omaha under at 5D before it moved. Now I want the marijuana prop +500. Did you guys see all the hype it was getting today re: concussions, as well as both teams being from states that legalized it.
where are these props at on 5dimes. i am just lost over there. i can see the future props, and when i look under the prop menu i don't see any of these fun types of props
They are all on the same page under football props. Not sure why you can't find them.
 
Got the Omaha under at 5D before it moved. Now I want the marijuana prop +500. Did you guys see all the hype it was getting today re: concussions, as well as both teams being from states that legalized it.
where are these props at on 5dimes. i am just lost over there. i can see the future props, and when i look under the prop menu i don't see any of these fun types of props
They are all on the same page under football props. Not sure why you can't find them.
hmm, i either missed them or they added some since i checked. thanks

 
I am dying to find the John Fox interview online. No luck so far.

I want the rest of you to hear what I heard, that way if Manning belts out 35 Omahas and everyone loses, I won't feel so bad.

LOL?

 
Here's the thing I'm confused about. In Denver's two playoff games, the Broncos ran 70 plays against SD and 71 plays against NE. It seemed to me he was yelling OMAHA most of the time, so why is the total only in the high 20s? And when he didn't say Omaha, did they snap it on silent counts? I really can't recall.

 
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