FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (15 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

Griz 8-0 UNDER L8. It's their longest under streak since 2005. The longest they have ever gone was 10-0 to the under - twice in 2004.

 

[ChainsawU]

Last year in Minnesota, the T-Wolves outscored Memphis 50-45 1H, but only managed 36 2H points and lost 86-99. The majority of the bets were on Memphis to cover -4.

 

[swirvenirvin]

I finally decided what I'm going to do for the coin toss. I like Heads. Real talk - I'm betting $50 on Tails at Kurts Site and then I'm betting $150 on Heads somewhere else.

Genius!!!!!!!

100% truth - not shtick.

41500736 01/31/1408:46AM

The Coin will land on? - Super Bowl XLVIII Props - Seattle vs Denver 02/02/1406:00PM

2402 TAILS -110 55 50 Accepted

Jan 31, 2014 08:45:11 AMSingle #332139947

Football - NFL Team Props (Prop) Moneyline

SUPER BOWL XLVIII - Coin Toss

Heads -105 Feb 02/14@06:30p

Competitor: Tails

Web US$ 150.00 US$ 142.86

cant believe he charges 10% on the coin toss!!! Most books will do 5 or 1% for this, love the strategy tho

 

[The Ref]

OK.... I'll admit it. The National Anthem Bet.... I'm .

That under is getting hammered.

Anything over 2 min is a long version..... but this lady is a hambone.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Grizzlies lost to the Wolves in Memphis in December 101-93, but were without Gasol. Tonight, the Wolves are without Pekovic. Without Gasol, the Grizzlies were 10-14. With him, they’re 14-6.

Action Junkie Trends:
Griz 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS L10 overall. Griz 14-2 SU L16 versus Minnesota (5-0 L5 in Minnesota). 4-1 SU and ATS L5 in their third consecutive away game. 6-2 SU and ATS L8 on one day of rest. Minny is 2-11 SU as the dog this season, but it’s only their second time to be dogged at home (L to the Heat on 12/7 82-103). Pekovic out for the Wolves. Allen and Pondexter out for the Griz; Mike Miller questionable for the Griz.

The only thing that bothers me is that Memphis is the majority public pick so far, but public was also on them last time they won here. The junk's kicking in, kids. I'm the poorest MF on Sesame Street!

Memphis -1 100/102

 

[swirvenirvin]

OK.... I'll admit it. The National Anthem Bet.... I'm .

That under is getting hammered.

Anything over 2 min is a long version..... but this lady is a hambone.

yeah doesnt't look good. I didnt link to the thread, but I mentioned the guy who used to set the lines for this prop set it at 2:22 this yr...

 

[ChainsawU]

Thunder Over 100 110/100

 

[The Ref]

OK.... I'll admit it. The National Anthem Bet.... I'm .

That under is getting hammered.

Anything over 2 min is a long version..... but this lady is a hambone.

yeah doesnt't look good. I didnt link to the thread, but I mentioned the guy who used to set the lines for this prop set it at 2:22 this yr...

Well I guess we will see. If shes out there and its piped in background music then Im going to write it off before she even starts. If there are even a small handful of instruments out there with her, she may set a record.

 

[ChainsawU]

The Thunder averaged 96 ppg and only eclipsed 100 points four times in their ten losses. In their 37 wins, they averaged 108 ppg and only scored less than 100 points five times. So basically, they scored at least 100 points in 77% of their games so far, and 5D has the best number ou there right now. Also going Nets o96 110/100.

 

[PatsFanCT]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

did you look at the article he linked?

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Lots of these guys in Seattle.

 

[PatsFanCT]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

did you look at the article he linked?

Yes. but it's based on the regular season, and the trend of Seattle bring up 37% says to me that more Seattle fans will be tuned in than Denver. Unless I'm missing something.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

did you look at the article he linked?

Yes. but it's based on the regular season, and the trend of Seattle bring up 37% says to me that more Seattle fans will be tuned in than Denver. Unless I'm missing something.

Denver's up too.

It's not like either team came out of nowhere this year. How many people on either side are left to jump on the bandwagon?

 

[PatsFanCT]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

did you look at the article he linked?

Yes. but it's based on the regular season, and the trend of Seattle bring up 37% says to me that more Seattle fans will be tuned in than Denver. Unless I'm missing something.

Denver's up too.

It's not like either team came out of nowhere this year. How many people on either side are left to jump on the bandwagon?

True. Then why not just take the +110 instead of the -150 (Bovada now)? It just seems to me the odds should be much closer. But then again, I'm not good at props and lose a lot.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

*1 Which region will have higher local tv rating - Denver -130 - http://www.sportsbus.../NFL-local.aspx

Missed this one..... I like it. Booked.

I don't think I get this one. Both cities have roughly the same amount of people, but wouldn't Seattle have bigger ratings just based on never have won the Super Bowl before?

I guess I just want to know why is Denver favored here?

did you look at the article he linked?

Yes. but it's based on the regular season, and the trend of Seattle bring up 37% says to me that more Seattle fans will be tuned in than Denver. Unless I'm missing something.

Denver's up too.

It's not like either team came out of nowhere this year. How many people on either side are left to jump on the bandwagon?

I would also keep in mind that Seattle has the bigger Nielson audience. Not sure what the bet is, but I wouldn't bet the Denver media market having a higher rating than Seattle/Tacoma if that's what it is.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Islanders +170 tonight

That's just a stupid line, should be like +130

 

[optionmaven]

Degen golf plays because, well, just because. D.A. Points over Horschel +140. Lefty over Ryan Moore +105. Some low dollar parlays scattered around with Yang over Cabrerra and Perez over Colsaerts and Mahan over Fowler.

 

[NIU Kicker]

Got a bunch of pals flying down for the weekend tonight with the highlight being watching the SB outdoors. Had the pool heater on since yesterday hired some maids to come in special today for a total house cleansing and I already have 3 cases of beer on ice along side the New York strips.

Pray for me. The last time they were down I almost didn't make it through the weekend alive. I had the worst hangover of my life. We went golfing and the 6 of us finished a bottle of Patron at the turn before we went back out. One GB had a $1.7K credit card bill from the strip joint.... Not all that bad until he realized he had another card out with another $1.2K on it he forgot about. I called a limo at 3AM to take us to the pats game at 7AM because apparently I kept saying "we will never make it". I woke up to some dude in a Tux pounding on my door. "dude WTF do you want?" He replyed "Ha... I knew it... You must be The Ref.... Don't remember our phone calm a few hours ago do you?". Apparently he made me pre pay.... So we had to go.... Smart on his behalf.

Anyway I'm not sure how much ill be checking in. Good luck on Sunday men. Let's make some $$.

 

[PatsFanCT]

BTW - For those grasping at straws looking for any edge at all, I had a dream that the Broncos won and Julius Thomas had a huge game and won the MVP...

Bet accordingly.

 

[PatsFanCT]

There should be a line for this.

If the Broncos win the Super Bowl and a reporter says to Manning "Hey, Peyton. You just won the Super Bowl. What are you going to do next?", what does he say...

I'm going to Disney Land -300

I'm going to Omaha +500

 

[mquinnjr]

There should be a line for this.

If the Broncos win the Super Bowl and a reporter says to Manning "Hey, Peyton. You just won the Super Bowl. What are you going to do next?", what does he say...

I'm going to Disney Land -300

I'm going to Omaha +500

I'm going to retire +1500

 

[got_nugs]

Got a bunch of pals flying down for the weekend tonight with the highlight being watching the SB outdoors. Had the pool heater on since yesterday hired some maids to come in special today for a total house cleansing and I already have 3 cases of beer on ice along side the New York strips.

Pray for me. The last time they were down I almost didn't make it through the weekend alive. I had the worst hangover of my life. We went golfing and the 6 of us finished a bottle of Patron at the turn before we went back out. One GB had a $1.7K credit card bill from the strip joint.... Not all that bad until he realized he had another card out with another $1.2K on it he forgot about. I called a limo at 3AM to take us to the pats game at 7AM because apparently I kept saying "we will never make it". I woke up to some dude in a Tux pounding on my door. "dude WTF do you want?" He replyed "Ha... I knew it... You must be The Ref.... Don't remember our phone calm a few hours ago do you?". Apparently he made me pre pay.... So we had to go.... Smart on his behalf.

Anyway I'm not sure how much ill be checking in. Good luck on Sunday men. Let's make some $$.

I'm leaving ft myers now....be there by sundown.

Have fun!

 

[got_nugs]

Memphis is a good bet. Very good. In.

Ill tail tts too.

Do work saw!

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I would also keep in mind that Seattle has the bigger Nielson audience. Not sure what the bet is, but I wouldn't bet the Denver media market having a higher rating than Seattle/Tacoma if that's what it is.

the bet is on the % of households in each market watching the game so I don't think the size would really matter here, would it?

 

[NIU Kicker]

Got a bunch of pals flying down for the weekend tonight with the highlight being watching the SB outdoors. Had the pool heater on since yesterday hired some maids to come in special today for a total house cleansing and I already have 3 cases of beer on ice along side the New York strips.

Pray for me. The last time they were down I almost didn't make it through the weekend alive. I had the worst hangover of my life. We went golfing and the 6 of us finished a bottle of Patron at the turn before we went back out. One GB had a $1.7K credit card bill from the strip joint.... Not all that bad until he realized he had another card out with another $1.2K on it he forgot about. I called a limo at 3AM to take us to the pats game at 7AM because apparently I kept saying "we will never make it". I woke up to some dude in a Tux pounding on my door. "dude WTF do you want?" He replyed "Ha... I knew it... You must be The Ref.... Don't remember our phone calm a few hours ago do you?". Apparently he made me pre pay.... So we had to go.... Smart on his behalf.

Anyway I'm not sure how much ill be checking in. Good luck on Sunday men. Let's make some $$.

I'm leaving ft myers now....be there by sundown.Have fun!

PM means come by... Knock on the door and say "hi I'm from the internet"

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Any of you guys live around middle of nowhere Indiana? Cause I'll be there in a few weeks

 

[crewmember]

I would also keep in mind that Seattle has the bigger Nielson audience. Not sure what the bet is, but I wouldn't bet the Denver media market having a higher rating than Seattle/Tacoma if that's what it is.

the bet is on the % of households in each market watching the game so I don't think the size would really matter here, would it?

The person that posted the picture of a nerd or hippie for Seattle, made me think those types will have large parties. Bill Burr on Conan was great last night talking about how much superbowl parties suck and real fans watch by themselves. I say larger parties only taking up one household would go to Seattle thus favoring Denver.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I would also keep in mind that Seattle has the bigger Nielson audience. Not sure what the bet is, but I wouldn't bet the Denver media market having a higher rating than Seattle/Tacoma if that's what it is.

the bet is on the % of households in each market watching the game so I don't think the size would really matter here, would it?

Yeah I can't open that link from here so that is why I asked. If it's percentage of households that would be ok, gross Nielson I would guess goes to Seattle/Tacoma.

 

[Raider Nation]

Gambling porn... enjoy!

Love this part:

I visited V. R. one Sunday morning while he was working from a high-rise apartment. It was airy, with an expansive view of the city through floor-to-ceiling windows, and had an L-shaped white sofa parked in front of a huge TV. V. R. sat at a glass table, his four cellphones pinging constantly with text messages from syndicate sources. In less than an hour, he placed more than $30,000 in bets from his laptop. Using software that scrambled the computer’s I.P. address, he said, he could trick the bookies into thinking that many people were betting rather than just one. Sometimes he even used computer programs to fire off 30 or more bets at the same time. V. R. sounded enthusiastic and downright gleeful, like a school kid bragging about stealing the answers to a test. “I can’t imagine doing anything else than this,” he said.

Awesome article, thanks for posting RN.

Part 2 tomorrow profiles "Lumpy from upstate New York." He has an awesome man-cave, and somehow manages to find amazing bonuses all over the place despite being distracted by a small family and frequent avatar changes.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I would also keep in mind that Seattle has the bigger Nielson audience. Not sure what the bet is, but I wouldn't bet the Denver media market having a higher rating than Seattle/Tacoma if that's what it is.

the bet is on the % of households in each market watching the game so I don't think the size would really matter here, would it?

Yeah I can't open that link from here so that is why I asked. If it's percentage of households that would be ok, gross Nielson I would guess goes to Seattle/Tacoma.

NFL teams averaged a 28.5 local rating in their respective home markets for regular-season game telecasts in '13, up 4% from '12 and up 3% from '11. The Saints once again led all teams with a 52.0 local rating in New Orleans, up 14% from last season. The Chiefs saw the biggest local jump, with ratings in K.C. up 41%. Also seeing strong year-over-year gains were the Seahawks, up 37% over '12 and 77% over '11 in Seattle-Tacoma. The Falcons saw the sharpest drop in local ratings, down 22% in Atlanta. The Steelers also saw a double-digit percentage drop (-14% in Pittsburgh). The Raiders had the lowest local rating among all NFL teams for at least the third straight season. Ten clubs have seen two straight years of local declines (Giants, Jets, Falcons, Rams, Packers, Steelers, Patriots, Ravens, Cowboys, Jaguars).

NFL TEAMS' LOCAL MARKET AVERAGE RATING DURING REGULAR SEASON​

TEAM TV MARKET

'13​

'12​

'11​

1-YR % +/-​

2-YR % +/-​

Broncos Denver

43.5​

37.2​

31.8​

+17%​

+37%​

Seahawks Seattle-Tacoma

38.6​

28.3​

21.8​

+37%​

+77%​

not sure if that's legible or not, but the Broncos beat Seattle in each of the past 3 years on average during the regular season. The gap was smaller in 2013 than it's been though.

 

[Raider Nation]

OFFSHOOT! List all of Lumpy's avatars.

- Ron Rivera

- Blake Griffin

- Denver Broncos

- Buffalo Bills

- FSU

What else?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

OFFSHOOT! List all of Lumpy's avatars.

- Ron Rivera

- Blake Griffin

- Denver Broncos

- Buffalo Bills

- FSU

What else?

Spurs

 

[crewmember]

If anyone's digging, you could look for the ratings for their last respective superbowls.

 

[lumpy19]

OFFSHOOT! List all of Lumpy's avatars.

- Ron Rivera

- Blake Griffin

- Denver Broncos

- Buffalo Bills

- FSU

What else?

Spurs

I had the bucks for a while

The avatar is used to represent my current largest bet

FSU - winner(ML wager)

Broncos - didn't cover but won

Spurs - lost

bucks - lost

Tomorrow night we'll see the result of rivera although i'm not optimistic

 

[Raider Nation]

Need some advice here. First, read what Fezzik tweeted today:

Steve Fezzik ‏@FezzikSports

IF you like SB OVER, it's now or never to get OVER 47....

My question is, I'm looking at a 2-team, 7-point teaser at Bovada. Ties do not lose.

It's currently sitting at 3 & 47. So the options are two of the following:

Denver +4

Seattle +10

Under 54

Over 40

I have to go with SEA +10 on general principle. As for the totals, I think both sides are pretty safe, honestly. But according to Fezzik (and others), that total will only be going up as we get closer to game time and the weather situation proves to be a non-factor.

If I decide to tease the under, it would certainly be wise to wait until Sunday afternoon, correct? The only thing I'm afraid of in that scenario is Seattle steaming, and +10 would no longer be available.

My long-winded question is, if you like a SEA/under teaser.... put it in now, or wait?

I cant say for sure, but Bovada has shown me the past few weeks that they wont move off of 3 once they get there. Case in point the rest o the world had Sea -3.5 but Bovada stuck with Sea -3 -140.

It would take a big move to get Bovada off the 3 at this point.

Already very happy I waited on this. The public usually nudges the over and the favorite the closer we get to game time, and that's what's happening. That 3 and 47 at Bovada is now 3 -135 (should be 3.5 by Sunday) and 48 with the over shaded. Getting the Seahawks +10.5 is juicy as hell, and waiting for 48.5 is key. That gets us to 55.5 in a 7-point teaser. That means you cash a 31-24 final... a very common score.

 

[lumpy19]

Need some advice here. First, read what Fezzik tweeted today:

Steve Fezzik ‏@FezzikSports

IF you like SB OVER, it's now or never to get OVER 47....

My question is, I'm looking at a 2-team, 7-point teaser at Bovada. Ties do not lose.

It's currently sitting at 3 & 47. So the options are two of the following:

Denver +4

Seattle +10

Under 54

Over 40

I have to go with SEA +10 on general principle. As for the totals, I think both sides are pretty safe, honestly. But according to Fezzik (and others), that total will only be going up as we get closer to game time and the weather situation proves to be a non-factor.

If I decide to tease the under, it would certainly be wise to wait until Sunday afternoon, correct? The only thing I'm afraid of in that scenario is Seattle steaming, and +10 would no longer be available.

My long-winded question is, if you like a SEA/under teaser.... put it in now, or wait?

I cant say for sure, but Bovada has shown me the past few weeks that they wont move off of 3 once they get there. Case in point the rest o the world had Sea -3.5 but Bovada stuck with Sea -3 -140.

It would take a big move to get Bovada off the 3 at this point.

Already very happy I waited on this. The public usually nudges the over and the favorite the closer we get to game time, and that's what's happening. That 3 and 47 at Bovada is now 3 -135 (should be 3.5 by Sunday) and 48 with the over shaded. Getting the Seahawks +10.5 is juicy as hell, and waiting for 48.5 is key. That gets us to 55.5 in a 7-point teaser. That means you cash a 31-24 final... a very common score.

Jesus hammer away at +3 +115, that's a ridiculously awesome line

I like Denver but i'll be opening a bovada account(under a friends name) to get that number

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

 

[Pumpnick]

does anyone know of a good first time deposit bonus going on now?

Bump

Sportsbook. 25% match up to $2k deposit ($500 free bet)

sportsbook said they do not offer this anymore. Anything else from a decent book?

 

[Pumpnick]

does anyone know of a good first time deposit bonus going on now?

Bump

Sportsbook. 25% match up to $2k deposit ($500 free bet)

sportsbook said they do not offer this anymore. Anything else from a decent book?

I cannot join Bovada from New York either

 

[ORC]

For you Gatorade guys...

http://www.gifdsports.com/2013/12/russel-wilson-bumps-into-teamate.html

Looks like the Seahawks had lemon-lime on the sidelines at the beginning of December.

 

[southeastjerome]

Taking a flyer on Earl Thomas for MVP at 50-1. He's the single high safety against the most prolific pass offense in the league.

 

[mquinnjr]

Need some advice here. First, read what Fezzik tweeted today:

Steve Fezzik ‏@FezzikSports

IF you like SB OVER, it's now or never to get OVER 47....

My question is, I'm looking at a 2-team, 7-point teaser at Bovada. Ties do not lose.

It's currently sitting at 3 & 47. So the options are two of the following:

Denver +4

Seattle +10

Under 54

Over 40

I have to go with SEA +10 on general principle. As for the totals, I think both sides are pretty safe, honestly. But according to Fezzik (and others), that total will only be going up as we get closer to game time and the weather situation proves to be a non-factor.

If I decide to tease the under, it would certainly be wise to wait until Sunday afternoon, correct? The only thing I'm afraid of in that scenario is Seattle steaming, and +10 would no longer be available.

My long-winded question is, if you like a SEA/under teaser.... put it in now, or wait?

I cant say for sure, but Bovada has shown me the past few weeks that they wont move off of 3 once they get there. Case in point the rest o the world had Sea -3.5 but Bovada stuck with Sea -3 -140.

It would take a big move to get Bovada off the 3 at this point.

Already very happy I waited on this. The public usually nudges the over and the favorite the closer we get to game time, and that's what's happening. That 3 and 47 at Bovada is now 3 -135 (should be 3.5 by Sunday) and 48 with the over shaded. Getting the Seahawks +10.5 is juicy as hell, and waiting for 48.5 is key. That gets us to 55.5 in a 7-point teaser. That means you cash a 31-24 final... a very common score.

Might fund Bovada just to get this, my local site is sitting on -2 Broncos right now. I love the Seahawks over a TD+FG with the hook and the under. I have a relative to my normal units boatload on the Broncos -2.5 from Vegas, so I'll take this hedge

 

[Raider Nation]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

Weird. I'm staring at SEA +3 (+115) right now.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

Weird. I'm staring at SEA +3 (+115) right now.

When I go to Bovada without logging in, I just see +3/-3 with no vig in parentheses on either.

After I log in, I see the following:

SEA +3 (-120)

DEN -3 (Even)

ML

SEA +115

DEN -135

I'm pretty sure that line is the same it's been all week there. Not seeing any recent movement one way or the other. Doubt it gets to 3.5.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

Weird. I'm staring at SEA +3 (+115) right now.

Bad layout. That's the ML side-by-side.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

Weird. I'm staring at SEA +3 (+115) right now.

When I go to Bovada without logging in, I just see +3/-3 with no vig in parentheses on either.

After I log in, I see the following:

SEA +3 (-120)

DEN -3 (Even)

ML

SEA +115

DEN -135

Got the same thing here. Bovada shades their lines for people they consider "sharp."

 

[Frostillicus]

I'm seeing +3 with even vig at Bovada right now.

Weird. I'm staring at SEA +3 (+115) right now.

When I go to Bovada without logging in, I just see +3/-3 with no vig in parentheses on either.

After I log in, I see the following:

SEA +3 (-120)

DEN -3 (Even)

ML

SEA +115

DEN -135

Got the same thing here. Bovada shades their lines for people they consider "sharp."

Also have the +3 (-120), does this mean I'm sharp.

 

[got_nugs]

Bovada is giving me Seattle +22.

 

[got_nugs]

But seriously I get -110 +3. #dull