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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

A bet from the prop sheet at the party i'm attending:

· Will Percy Harvin

Finish the game (5 pts) Be concussed (5 pts) Die (10 pts) _________

*If he returms after injury, “finish the game” wins

:lmao:

 
anyone have any leans on the following:

first shown after kickoff: Erin Andrews or Pam Oliver

First Commercial: Beer, Food or other

any member of Chili Peppers shirtless

 
Sounds like fans are having problems getting to Giants stadium

SECAUCUS, N.J. -- Several people have collapsed in an overcrowded New Jersey train station while waiting in long lines to get to the Super Bowl.

Emergency medical workers pushed their way through the overheated crowd to treat the people at Secaucus Junction on Sunday afternoon.

Long lines have come to a standstill in front of airport-style security machines that apparently cannot handle the crowd volume. People were squeezed together in an enclosed stairwell.

As more trains arrived, police tried to thin the sweating, jostling crowd by spreading people across the platform.

Initial fan calls of "Seahawks" and "Broncos" gave way to angry shouts of "New Jersey, your Super Bowl sucks!"

"The league is aware of the problem, and New Jersey transit is handling it," NFL spokeman Greg Aiello told ESPN's Sal Paolantonio. "It's clearing up. Fans are here."
Click to expand...
 
Raider Nation said:
SI.com

Prop Bets

Bobby Wagner UNDER 10.5 total tackles (-110). Only six defenders have amassed 11 or more tackles against the Broncos through 18 games this season. Three of those players — Dallas’ Barry Church, New England’s Duron Harmon and Oakland’s Charles Woodson — play the safety position, while Philadelphia’s DeMeco Ryans and Washington’s Perry Riley play inside linebacker in a 3-4 system. That leaves Dallas’ Sean Lee as the lone 4-3 middle linebacker — the position Wagner plays — to record 11 or more tackles against the Broncos this season.

In addition, each of those six aforementioned performances came in a contest where Denver scored at least 34 points and ran a minimum of 71 plays. I don’t see the Broncos hitting either benchmark on Sunday. As for Wagner, the second-year linebacker has racked up 11 or more tackles just eight times in 34 career games (23.5 percent). Four of those outings came during Wagner’s 16 starts this season, but take note that all four occurred within the confines of CenturyLink Field.

Doug Baldwin OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-110). Yeah, Percy Harvin is expected to play. But I’m not banking on a high-target effort from a guy who has appeared in just under two full games this season. Harvin will get some looks, but he’ll function mainly as a decoy, which should open up the field for Baldwin to make some plays. Two weeks removed from a six-catch, 106-yard effort against the San Francisco 49ers, Baldwin has played an integral, yet unappreciated, role in Seattle’s Super Bowl run, with 10 of his 18 outings going for 40 receiving yards or more. One big play — like the one we saw against the Niners two weeks ago — and this one is a wrap.

Russell Wilson OVER 30.5 rushing yards (-110). In the biggest game of his young life, I fully expect Wilson to leave everything he’s got on the MetLife Stadium field. I also anticipate two things that will help us cash in on this prop: First, offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell will call a few designed running plays for Wilson. Second, I believe early game jitters could play a factor, meaning instead of trying to thread the needle down the field, Wilson opts to pick up some yardage with his feet. Russ hasn’t hit this mark since Seattle’s Week 16 home loss to Arizona, but I feel he’ll be more inclined to run Sunday against Denver’s suspect defense.

Archie Manning will be shown OVER 1 TIME on TV, excluding halftime (-175). I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit the over on that in the first quarter alone. The Super Bowl is storyline hell. Expect to see the Manning family quite a bit, especially with the recent news of the lawsuit leveled against Eli Manning.

No team will get three straight scores (+155). You’ve got the No. 1 offense against the No. 1 defense, not only of this year, but of recent NFL history. This is about as even as a matchup as you could expect, featuring cerebral, talented quarterbacks and experienced coaches. Neither team is getting boatraced here.

Manning says “Omaha” UNDER 27.5 times, excluding replays (-155). Manning, you might have heard, is ridiculously smart. And he thinks his offensive coordinator, Adam Gase, is even smarter. After all the attention that’s been given to “Omaha” over the last few weeks, in perhaps his last crack at a Super Bowl, do you think he’s going to make it easy on the Seahawks defense? Perhaps Manning and Gase will use it as a dummy call in attempt to use reverse psychology against Seattle, but if they do it’ll be sparingly. The Broncos have averaged 52 offensive plays a game in the playoffs, so if you take the over you’re counting on more than half of those plays getting the “Omaha” treatment, and you’re counting on the FOX mics to pick up every single one. I’m not buying it.

:)
Click to expand...
Wagner is my big prop play today. Those stats are too compelling to ignore.

 
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
SI.com

Prop Bets

Bobby Wagner UNDER 10.5 total tackles (-110). Only six defenders have amassed 11 or more tackles against the Broncos through 18 games this season. Three of those players — Dallas’ Barry Church, New England’s Duron Harmon and Oakland’s Charles Woodson — play the safety position, while Philadelphia’s DeMeco Ryans and Washington’s Perry Riley play inside linebacker in a 3-4 system. That leaves Dallas’ Sean Lee as the lone 4-3 middle linebacker — the position Wagner plays — to record 11 or more tackles against the Broncos this season.

In addition, each of those six aforementioned performances came in a contest where Denver scored at least 34 points and ran a minimum of 71 plays. I don’t see the Broncos hitting either benchmark on Sunday. As for Wagner, the second-year linebacker has racked up 11 or more tackles just eight times in 34 career games (23.5 percent). Four of those outings came during Wagner’s 16 starts this season, but take note that all four occurred within the confines of CenturyLink Field.

Doug Baldwin OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-110). Yeah, Percy Harvin is expected to play. But I’m not banking on a high-target effort from a guy who has appeared in just under two full games this season. Harvin will get some looks, but he’ll function mainly as a decoy, which should open up the field for Baldwin to make some plays. Two weeks removed from a six-catch, 106-yard effort against the San Francisco 49ers, Baldwin has played an integral, yet unappreciated, role in Seattle’s Super Bowl run, with 10 of his 18 outings going for 40 receiving yards or more. One big play — like the one we saw against the Niners two weeks ago — and this one is a wrap.

Russell Wilson OVER 30.5 rushing yards (-110). In the biggest game of his young life, I fully expect Wilson to leave everything he’s got on the MetLife Stadium field. I also anticipate two things that will help us cash in on this prop: First, offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell will call a few designed running plays for Wilson. Second, I believe early game jitters could play a factor, meaning instead of trying to thread the needle down the field, Wilson opts to pick up some yardage with his feet. Russ hasn’t hit this mark since Seattle’s Week 16 home loss to Arizona, but I feel he’ll be more inclined to run Sunday against Denver’s suspect defense.

Archie Manning will be shown OVER 1 TIME on TV, excluding halftime (-175). I wouldn’t be surprised if we hit the over on that in the first quarter alone. The Super Bowl is storyline hell. Expect to see the Manning family quite a bit, especially with the recent news of the lawsuit leveled against Eli Manning.

No team will get three straight scores (+155). You’ve got the No. 1 offense against the No. 1 defense, not only of this year, but of recent NFL history. This is about as even as a matchup as you could expect, featuring cerebral, talented quarterbacks and experienced coaches. Neither team is getting boatraced here.

Manning says “Omaha” UNDER 27.5 times, excluding replays (-155). Manning, you might have heard, is ridiculously smart. And he thinks his offensive coordinator, Adam Gase, is even smarter. After all the attention that’s been given to “Omaha” over the last few weeks, in perhaps his last crack at a Super Bowl, do you think he’s going to make it easy on the Seahawks defense? Perhaps Manning and Gase will use it as a dummy call in attempt to use reverse psychology against Seattle, but if they do it’ll be sparingly. The Broncos have averaged 52 offensive plays a game in the playoffs, so if you take the over you’re counting on more than half of those plays getting the “Omaha” treatment, and you’re counting on the FOX mics to pick up every single one. I’m not buying it.

:)
Click to expand...
Wagner is my big prop play today. Those stats are too compelling to ignore.
Click to expand...
i have played that "no team will score 3 times in a row" prop i think 3 years in a row, and lose it every time. So, i played it again this year.

 
I'm on the Wagner under but the stats are misleading given the Broncos stats crew being very stingy with assists.

 
modogg said:
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
SI.com

Prop Bets

Bobby Wagner UNDER 10.5 total tackles (-110). Only six defenders have amassed 11 or more tackles against the Broncos through 18 games this season. Three of those players Dallas Barry Church, New Englands Duron Harmon and Oaklands Charles Woodson play the safety position, while Philadelphias DeMeco Ryans and Washingtons Perry Riley play inside linebacker in a 3-4 system. That leaves Dallas Sean Lee as the lone 4-3 middle linebacker the position Wagner plays to record 11 or more tackles against the Broncos this season.

In addition, each of those six aforementioned performances came in a contest where Denver scored at least 34 points and ran a minimum of 71 plays. I dont see the Broncos hitting either benchmark on Sunday. As for Wagner, the second-year linebacker has racked up 11 or more tackles just eight times in 34 career games (23.5 percent). Four of those outings came during Wagners 16 starts this season, but take note that all four occurred within the confines of CenturyLink Field.

Doug Baldwin OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-110). Yeah, Percy Harvin is expected to play. But Im not banking on a high-target effort from a guy who has appeared in just under two full games this season. Harvin will get some looks, but hell function mainly as a decoy, which should open up the field for Baldwin to make some plays. Two weeks removed from a six-catch, 106-yard effort against the San Francisco 49ers, Baldwin has played an integral, yet unappreciated, role in Seattles Super Bowl run, with 10 of his 18 outings going for 40 receiving yards or more. One big play like the one we saw against the Niners two weeks ago and this one is a wrap.

Russell Wilson OVER 30.5 rushing yards (-110). In the biggest game of his young life, I fully expect Wilson to leave everything hes got on the MetLife Stadium field. I also anticipate two things that will help us cash in on this prop: First, offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell will call a few designed running plays for Wilson. Second, I believe early game jitters could play a factor, meaning instead of trying to thread the needle down the field, Wilson opts to pick up some yardage with his feet. Russ hasnt hit this mark since Seattles Week 16 home loss to Arizona, but I feel hell be more inclined to run Sunday against Denvers suspect defense.

Archie Manning will be shown OVER 1 TIME on TV, excluding halftime (-175). I wouldnt be surprised if we hit the over on that in the first quarter alone. The Super Bowl is storyline hell. Expect to see the Manning family quite a bit, especially with the recent news of the lawsuit leveled against Eli Manning.

No team will get three straight scores (+155). Youve got the No. 1 offense against the No. 1 defense, not only of this year, but of recent NFL history. This is about as even as a matchup as you could expect, featuring cerebral, talented quarterbacks and experienced coaches. Neither team is getting boatraced here.

Manning says Omaha UNDER 27.5 times, excluding replays (-155). Manning, you might have heard, is ridiculously smart. And he thinks his offensive coordinator, Adam Gase, is even smarter. After all the attention thats been given to Omaha over the last few weeks, in perhaps his last crack at a Super Bowl, do you think hes going to make it easy on the Seahawks defense? Perhaps Manning and Gase will use it as a dummy call in attempt to use reverse psychology against Seattle, but if they do itll be sparingly. The Broncos have averaged 52 offensive plays a game in the playoffs, so if you take the over youre counting on more than half of those plays getting the Omaha treatment, and youre counting on the FOX mics to pick up every single one. Im not buying it.

:)
Click to expand...
Wagner is my big prop play today. Those stats are too compelling to ignore.
Click to expand...
i have played that "no team will score 3 times in a row" prop i think 3 years in a row, and lose it every time. So, i played it again this year.
Click to expand...
Lmao I effing love you mo

 
If you guys have a "team to receive opening kickoff" prop at your book, it seems logical to me that regardless of which team wins the coin toss, Denver would want to start on offense and Seattle would want to start on defense, no?

 
Denver comitted six or more penalties in 12 of their 18 games so far (.667) - with half of those since December - including every game in weeks 11-17 and the playoff game versus the Chargers. I am thinking it might be an illegal formation that pushes it over.

Accepted penalties against DEN over 6 100/130

 
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