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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

got_nugs said:
As opposed to where you currently reside which is ________?
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I'm a 22 year old scrub with a few redeemable qualities who lives with his parents and is a manager at Walgreens. Barely passing his Associates in Accounting, graduates in December.

I make $11.50 an hour. Now you're up to speed, lol.

 
Eminence said:
Liverpool probably wins the whole thing, btw. First time in twenty-something years.
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I think that's why they are -600 right now.Fortunately, we got on them when they were +800 not too long ago. Thanks to GPJ.

 
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Aaron Rudnicki said:
Raider Nation said:
I know the value on the Chelsea/Liverpool play he posted last week is completely shot, but is Pool -188 to win still a good bet?
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I added more on them at -137 at 5d tonight. -188 is steep when a draw can kill you.
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The play he initially recommended was Liverpool -1, +160 or so, yes? So what am I missing? If we like them -1, why wouldn't I like them straight up, if I don't mind paying the vig?

 
Raider Nation said:
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Raider Nation said:
I know the value on the Chelsea/Liverpool play he posted last week is completely shot, but is Pool -188 to win still a good bet?
Click to expand...
I added more on them at -137 at 5d tonight. -188 is steep when a draw can kill you.
Click to expand...
The play he initially recommended was Liverpool -1, +160 or so, yes? So what am I missing? If we like them -1, why wouldn't I like them straight up, if I don't mind paying the vig?
Click to expand...
At the time, they were -110 at -.5 and +160 at -1He expects them to win by 2 but it's soccer. I don't know anything about the teams. Just saying it looks like a bad price after the huge line move.

At my books, these are the lines now:

RB: -170

SB: -189

5D: -138

BV: -155

 
Chelsea’s only hope is boring Liverpool to deathIt looks like the title could come down to the clash between Liverpool and Chelsea at Anfield but don't expect the type of thrills you got when the Reds faced Manchester City.

Jose Mourinho's Chelsea make hard work of every game because of the style in which they play.

Chelsea put everybody to sleep with their style. They more than grind a game out.

Chelsea are going to have to do something unbelievably boring to win at Liverpool on April 27.

It is the only way they can win it. If they open up, they will be overrun by Brendan Rodgers' side.

Chelsea will visit Anfield with a pistol, but the opposition possess a six-shooter.

That is the difference. Chelsea do not have the same level of flair and pace that Liverpool have in their side.

How are Chelsea going to handle pace from a front five or six that has been causing so many teams so many problems? I don't know. I'm not sure if they can.

They have real pace and energy that Chelsea don't have. When you look at Chelsea's back four, you would say that only Gary Cahill has any significant pace.

You look at teams that have been to Anfield, and then you think of poor old John Terry.

Terry will have to defend on the byline or behind his own goal because he will be too scared of anyone going behind him. He will be so deep, he'll be able to touch the bottom of the Mersey.

But that will suit the plan because Mourinho will have to go there and park the bus. They can't try to play Liverpool at their own game because they don't have the players to compete trying the alternative.

Mourinho only plays one style. That is all he does.

He will try to use that one about Rodgers working for him at Chelsea.

He'll play the old friends act as he does with his old players. He comes out with all that stuff about players getting jobs back at Chelsea.

He did it with Didier Drogba before the Champions League tie with Galatasaray. Was Drogba going to get a job back at Chelsea? Only as a spectator.

He used all that with Galatasaray. He'll be using it with Rodgers.

That is what he does. It is getting boring, but he'll use that down the line.

That is how Mourinho will go at that game. He can't win it with football. He can only go to Anfield to nullify, park the bus and play negative. It is the Chelsea way.

Play the Chelsea way by stifling the game. And they will try to nick a goal.

If Liverpool get nervous against Chelsea, Chelsea will take advantage of it. They have the experience. Chelsea are more clinical than Manchester City in that department.

Those players have got a system that works for them. They rely on one or two players to score goals. That is what works for them to score a goal.

I think Liverpool will have too much for them, but with Chelsea you never know. They might just bore Liverpool to death.
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Aaron Rudnicki said:
Raider Nation said:
Aaron Rudnicki said:
Raider Nation said:
I know the value on the Chelsea/Liverpool play he posted last week is completely shot, but is Pool -188 to win still a good bet?
Click to expand...
I added more on them at -137 at 5d tonight. -188 is steep when a draw can kill you.
Click to expand...
The play he initially recommended was Liverpool -1, +160 or so, yes? So what am I missing? If we like them -1, why wouldn't I like them straight up, if I don't mind paying the vig?
Click to expand...
At the time, they were -110 at -.5 and +160 at -1He expects them to win by 2 but it's soccer. I don't know anything about the teams. Just saying it looks like a bad price after the huge line move.

At my books, these are the lines now:

RB: -170

SB: -189

5D: -138

BV: -155
Click to expand...
Euro books look like they've leveled off around -140 or so. American books are probably just moving hard with the public wave coming in, knowing that people won't buy back on Chelsea, which is a pretty tough trigger to pull.

Chelsea will sit back and try to grind out a draw, but with so many of their horses injured, I think Liverpool will be able to unlock them relatively easily. They're flying right now (unbeaten in their last 17), have almost their whole team healthy, and Anfield's going to be a ####### mad house. There are no sure things (especially in soccer), but I'm not at all uncomfortable having multiple units on this. We're already going to crush the closing line.

 
Taking the O3.5 +165 in Chelsea-Liverpool. I know the Blues will try to park the bus but what do they do if Liverpool scores a couple quick goals?

Just seems like better value since Liverpool is now -188 at SB

 
JaxBill said:
Taking the O3.5 +165 in Chelsea-Liverpool. I know the Blues will try to park the bus but what do they do if Liverpool scores a couple quick goals?

Just seems like better value since Liverpool is now -188 at SB
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Thought of that as well but needing 4 goals might be tricky as I think cheslea might get shut out.

 
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