FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (2 Viewers)

[ChainsawU]

I was wondering why the book would line the Angels as the favorite. Obvious angle: Fade the Angels and their circadian rhythms after flying home to the WC time zone off of a road trip back east on zero days of rest. Masterson is on his ideal starter rest and is 4-0 in 12 appearances (9 starts) at Anaheim with a 2.45 ERA. It's his lowest ERA in any ballpark he has appeared or started in more than three times. Hidden gem stat: his WHIP in those games was 1.396 with a 1.34 K/BB ratio.

And check this out. When you go back and look at how the Angels have done in this situation since 2004 (at home on zero rest after playing away at Rays, Nats, Marlins, Orioles, Phillies, Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox the previous game): 10-4 SU and 9-5 O/U with an average of 5.9 runs per game for the Angels. If you narrow it down to the games they lost the day before: 5-0 SU with Angels run totals of 5,10,6,11,6.

These "creative scenarios" usually dont work out as well, but action junkie says go for it since I wont be home to watch any games until late. Also can root for GooRoo's all-time favorite pitcher Tyler Skaggs to shut out the Indians before the Angels bullpen (ranked 24th with a 4.52 ERA) gives up some late runs.

Angels o4 +115

Indians/Angels o8 +100

 

[Frostillicus]

TEX/OAK u 7.5

CLE/LAA u 8

SD/SF u 6.5

 

[comfortably numb]

Soccer in Italy today...

Juventus @ Sassuolo

Juventus is the top team and nearing clinching the title

Sass is at the bottom and tied for regulation status

Sass has played 5 games against the top 6 in Italy at home, this last game being against Juv.

In those 5 home games they are yet to score a goal.

They have lost

0-2

0-2

0-1

0-7

0-2

Juv has played 17 road games and allowed 13 road goals including 9 road shutouts.

Obv Juv wins this game but that costs you -280

You can do the -1.5 goals at +125 for good value but as dirty as it seems, I am going to bet the under 2.5 for Ev

If Sass scores a goal this will lose, heck if Juv scores an early goal it probably loses.

I am banking on Juv taking a 1-0 lead and just letting their D do what it does best.

Juv also has an important Europa semifal Leg 2 game against Benfica on Thursday.

GL

I thought about a juventus/arsenal parlay last night. I'll do it and add undah.

My only concern is Sass is fighting for their regulation life and may be going all out trying to score and potentially leaving themselves open in the back too many times

Maybe a quick 2 goals demoralizes them and Juv can just hold down the fort

Well...not happy about that quick Sassulo goal.

Gonna be a tough one to prevent Juventus from getting 2 goals but got my fingers crossed

 

[got_nugs]

No Al Jefferson tonight? 8 seem low now?

 

[comfortably numb]

Soccer in Italy today...

Juventus @ Sassuolo

Juventus is the top team and nearing clinching the title

Sass is at the bottom and tied for regulation status

Sass has played 5 games against the top 6 in Italy at home, this last game being against Juv.

In those 5 home games they are yet to score a goal.

They have lost

0-2

0-2

0-1

0-7

0-2

Juv has played 17 road games and allowed 13 road goals including 9 road shutouts.

Obv Juv wins this game but that costs you -280

You can do the -1.5 goals at +125 for good value but as dirty as it seems, I am going to bet the under 2.5 for Ev

If Sass scores a goal this will lose, heck if Juv scores an early goal it probably loses.

I am banking on Juv taking a 1-0 lead and just letting their D do what it does best.

Juv also has an important Europa semifal Leg 2 game against Benfica on Thursday.

GL

I thought about a juventus/arsenal parlay last night. I'll do it and add undah.

My only concern is Sass is fighting for their regulation life and may be going all out trying to score and potentially leaving themselves open in the back too many times

Maybe a quick 2 goals demoralizes them and Juv can just hold down the fort

Well...not happy about that quick Sassulo goal.

Gonna be a tough one to prevent Juventus from getting 2 goals but got my fingers crossed

Blah

1-1 at HT

sorry, this looks like it is dead in the water.

 

[Billy Bats]

Marc Vlasic out and backup goalie Alex Stalock starting for the Sharks tonight. Have played four of five overs in the series, let's get another one.

Sharks/Kings over 5 -110

 

[comfortably numb]

Blah

1-1 at HT

sorry, this looks like it is dead in the water.

under, wait

 

[got_nugs]

under, wait

oof, sorry bud. I missed getting the under in so I guess i'm lucky. Juventus/Arsenal parlay still on, though!

 

[comfortably numb]

oof, sorry bud. I missed getting the under in so I guess i'm lucky. Juventus/Arsenal parlay still on, though!

sweeet it actually makes me feel better

 

[Whomper]

sweeet it actually makes me feel better

I took Juventus -1 based on your suggestion . edit to add: I dont know anything about soccer so I just ran with them and laid the goal to ease up the vig

 

[comfortably numb]

I took Juventus -1 based on your suggestion . edit to add: I dont know anything about soccer so I just ran with them and laid the goal to ease up the vig

I almost feel like a won at this point!

 

[Raider Nation]

Would you guys mind leaving out the endless blocks of nested quotes when possible? It's annoying as hell on mobile.

TIA

XOXO

 

[Whomper]

Leaning towards the Rockies over 3.5. Im just waiting for the line ups to come out to lock it in

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Would you guys mind leaving out the endless blocks of nested quotes when possible? It's annoying as hell on mobile.

TIA

XOXO

I agree...

 

[Billy Bats]

What's your puck action tonight RN?

 

[lumpy19]

Blah

1-1 at HT

sorry, this looks like it is dead in the water.

I'm not responding to your posts just wanted to nest a bunch of replies for RN.

Anyway big fan of spurs ml tonight and the current spurs -180 to win the series

Booooo mods editing

 

[LOCO]

agree on the spurs ML. i just don't see them losing 3 in a row.

spurs ML. - 2 units.

 

[tjnc09]

Blah

1-1 at HT

sorry, this looks like it is dead in the water.

I'm not responding to your posts just wanted to nest a bunch of replies for RN.

Anyway big fan of spurs ml tonight and the current spurs -180 to win the series

Booooo mods editing

I like the Spurs too

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I really really hate nested quotes.

 

[lumpy19]

I really really hate nested quotes.

Me too but I like busting balls more than I hate nested quotes

 

[got_nugs]

I really really hate nested quotes.

What's a nested quote?

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I really really hate nested quotes.

What's a nested quote?

something like this but bigger, longer, and no fun for anyone to scroll through

 

[Raider Nation]

Just one MLB play today. My ticker needs a break after last night.

Rockies/Diamondbacks u8.5

 

[optionmaven]

I really really hate nested quotes.

What's a nested quote?

I think its a french bird.

 

[comfortably numb]

I really really hate nested quotes.

Can't you bring this up to Joe and David in the next meeting. Maybe wear your FBG shirt inside out in protest until some changes are made?

 

[got_nugs]

I think you missed my not funny joke.

We playing Atlanta +7?

 

[got_nugs]

Numbs was better.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

I really really hate nested quotes.

Can't you bring this up to Joe and David in the next meeting. Maybe wear your FBG shirt inside out in protest until some changes are made?

it's been discussed.

there's no good solution except for people to monitor it themselves and not be a #### about it.

 

[comfortably numb]

Can you at least fight to get the subtitles back???

 

[LOCO]

i do like the Reds ML alot today.

Spurs ML

Wild ML

under rockies/az

lets get some.

 

[got_nugs]

Famous last words:

I just bet 4 units to win a unit on the Heat ML.

 

[comfortably numb]

STL ML

STL -1.5

 

[Raider Nation]

I don't feel like laying 2-1 on the Spurs ML. I think the shark move is to hit them live if the Mavs have a 6-8 point lead during a 1Q commercial.

 

[comfortably numb]

I used to do that on bigger favorites. Does RB still offer live? Doesn't ever seem to be available.

 

[got_nugs]

I used to do that on bigger favorites. Does RB still offer live? Doesn't ever seem to be available.

You need to check during commercials-not during play.

 

[comfortably numb]

Ah ok. Haven't checked that much, just every time I did it wasn't available.

 

[comfortably numb]

Abreu has real power. Bargain at +3000 for HR champ I believe.

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 TNT MLB - 2014 MOST REGULAR SEASON HOME RUNS[888328] JOSE ABREU +3000 300.00 USD / 9000.00 USD

76109395

There's more but the formatting sucks. Alvarez is in the same boat. Should hit 35 with some upside possibly. You can do worse at +3000.

MLB leader with 10 coming into today

 

[swirvenirvin]

Used past stats, rotoworld and site projections here to try to figure these out. Did ok last yr on the handful I made plus hit that Scherzer CY. But here goes still have 20 some pitchers to look at. FYFYIFYIYFIYFIYF The units are consistent, but they are not the same unit size I play NFL props

1.5

Pedroria over 163.5 hits -115

1.25

Chris Davis over 36 HR's -115

Paul Goldschmidt over 29.5 HR's -120

Hanley Ramirez over 21.5 HR's -115

1

Adam Jones over 164.5 hits -115

Bryce Harper under 157.5 hits -115

Buster Posey under 162.5 hits -115

Ian Kinsler over 147.5 hits -1115

Edwin Encarnacion over 30.5 HR's -115

David Ortiz over 23.5 HR's -115

Prince Fielder under 31.5 HR's +120

Matt Moore under 13.5 wins -105

Julio Teheran over 11.5 wins -125

Couldn't find a margin of greater than 1 for any of the remaining pitchers so this is it.

Looks like Matt Moore could be done

http://www.tampabay.com/sports/baseball/rays/rays-matt-moore-placed-on-15-day-dl-mri-inconclusive/2174188

dead guy #2. Harper down for the count..

http://www.rotoworld.com/headlines/mlb/427946/harper-(thumb)-needs-surgery-out-until-july

 

[Raider Nation]

Pacers worth a shot at +675 to win this game or are they just completely f---ed?

 

[comfortably numb]

anyone gonna tell the pens the game is still going on?

 

[Raider Nation]

Of course, there are a million goals in every Columbus/Pittsburgh game EXCEPT the one where everyone in the thread buried the over.

 

[Raider Nation]

I don't feel like laying 2-1 on the Spurs ML. I think the shark move is to hit them live if the Mavs have a 6-8 point lead during a 1Q commercial.

Done!

Mavs up 9-2 at the first timeout. S.A.at -115. Saved 90 cents by waiting two minutes into the game.

 

[got_nugs]

Of course, there are a million goals in every Columbus/Pittsburgh game EXCEPT the one where everyone in the thread buried the over.

You guys didn't bet the over? I bet the over in all these 1p and games.

Cause THAT'S WHAT I DO

 

[got_nugs]

I don't feel like laying 2-1 on the Spurs ML. I think the shark move is to hit them live if the Mavs have a 6-8 point lead during a 1Q commercial.

Done!

Mavs up 9-2 at the first timeout. S.A.at -115. Saved 90 cents by waiting two minutes into the game.

IN!

 

[Raider Nation]

Still that little matter of the Spurs, you know.... winning!

 

[Billy Bats]

Of course, there are a million goals in every Columbus/Pittsburgh game EXCEPT the one where everyone in the thread buried the over.

Got gun shy tonight.

 

[got_nugs]

Of course, there are a million goals in every Columbus/Pittsburgh game EXCEPT the one where everyone in the thread buried the over.

Got gun shy tonight.

We're still on the nightcap over, right buddy?

 

[Billy Bats]

Of course, there are a million goals in every Columbus/Pittsburgh game EXCEPT the one where everyone in the thread buried the over.

Got gun shy tonight.

We're still on the nightcap over, right buddy?

Ovr LA/SJ part of my three teamer.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Abreu has real power. Bargain at +3000 for HR champ I believe.

STRAIGHT BET Apr 14 TNT MLB - 2014 MOST REGULAR SEASON HOME RUNS[888328] JOSE ABREU +3000 300.00 USD / 9000.00 USD

76109395

There's more but the formatting sucks. Alvarez is in the same boat. Should hit 35 with some upside possibly. You can do worse at +3000.

MLB leader with 10 coming into today

Realllllly early but the guy DOES have power. I have another 100/3000. I could have done 1k to win 30k on the bet I posted but although I trust my local guy, I don't even want to put him in that spot. Happy with 12k if Abreu holds on. Odds went from+3000 to +250 in 2 weeks. Did anybody get in on the bet??

 

[comfortably numb]

I dropped 50/1500.

I will be an Abreu fan all summer