FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

[got_nugs]

We need a batmanesque spotlight to shine into the great evening sky.

BIFFSAW. The logo could be a pair of panties that have +180 inscribed.

 

[The Ref]

christ. i go away for 10 min and you Larpers come up with this.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

 

[Raider Nation]

Marlins still think it's last night.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

So the Bullets lost all three home games? You'd think they'd want to replace some of those Mystics banners with some of their own.

 

[John Bender]

Thanks chain.... Again. He's slowly matriculating into the sharpest guy here.

 

[Raider Nation]

I played the Clips ML because I truly believe there is a "script" in that series. It has to go 7.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I might play something in the 2nd half.

 

[Raider Nation]

Thanks chain.... Again. He's slowly matriculating into the sharpest guy here.

I need to play all of his stuff. When I cherry pick this and that, it doesn't go well.

 

[got_nugs]

I played the Clips ML because I truly believe there is a "script" in that series. It has to go 7.

I think this is right and want it to be right (game 7 would be so fun).

I'm going to live bet the sides and hope to middle something.

 

[modogg]

I have a cabin, you are all invited. RN and Ref can sleep together on the Red Cedar futon, it's quite extraordinary. Fishing by day, girling in the evening, drinking and campfires at night.

I'm in, but only if the temperature is between 54 and 60.

That's great larping weather!

What's a larp?

It's quite possibly the strangest thing this country has to offer. Some of the chicks who follow this stuff are hot though, sneaky hot.

This.

Lightning bolt, lightning bolt, lightning bolt!!

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Las Vegas is the only reason I'm ever going to the desert.

Couple plays:

Field (vs. California Chrome) on 5D, +125. The take-out on ponies is so massive, that playing a huge favorite to NOT win is almost guaranteed +EV. Throw in the fact that CC apparently has a cold, and is getting backed by the public, as KD winners usually do, and this line is pretty inflated.

Barcelona/Atletico Madrid under 2.5 -105, Atletico Madrid +0.5 +105. Barca's second-best scorer (Neymar) is out, and Diego Costa has been dealing with injuries. This is a true title game for La Liga (Atletico wins with a draw), so it should be a fairly cautious affair. Atletico and Barcelona have played five times this season in 3 different competitions, and the total score from all 450 minutes is Atletico 3, Barcelona 2. Five games, five goals, and Neymar (again, out) has both of Barca's tallies. Simeone's done an amazing job of continuously frustrating and gumming up Barcelona's attack, no small feat even in a "down" year.

I'm a Barcelona supporter, and this team has just looked like #### down the stretch. Goalie's out, defense has been in tatters, and Tata Martino, their new coach, is a lame-duck. Most of Barca's XI is going to feature in the World Cup, I think they might be looking ahead.

 

[Frostillicus]

####### ####.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I might also lock in some profits and try for the middle

Locked in 5 guaranteed units.

Anywhere b/w WAS -3.5 and WAS +5 and I get 15u

Good luck buddy....that Wash +5 could prove difficult if it's Indy that goes on the next run.

I'll root like hell for ya. Aside from my money (head) being on the Pacers i'm all like #### YOU (heart) INDY!

was alive for a bit.

I'll take 5 free units

 

[got_nugs]

yay 20 point 2nd quarters!

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Thunder 2nd half pick'em

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Tomorrow it is going to be a monsoon here and I'm sort of in-between jobs right now (waiting on clearance). So I'm gonna do what those other homos I work with have done for the last six years while I never did; I'm teleworking tomorrow. Basically I have one report to do and I have to write an end of tour medal for one of my Airman. That's 3 hours tops.

So I just put half of an ice cube in a glass with three fingers of my best Scotch. Take that taxpayer!

 

[Raider Nation]

The NBA is stupid. I almost locked in a profit with OKC +450 after the 1Q but I passed. No more NBA for me. I don't need to bet it and I get no enjoyment out of it, so why bother.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

The NBA is stupid. I almost locked in a profit with OKC +450 after the 1Q but I passed. No more NBA for me. I don't need to bet it and I get no enjoyment out of it, so why bother.

This might be helpful to you.

 

[rascal]

I will never bet on a NBA game.

 

[tjnc09]

Also like DeAndre u 10.5p

Best play on the board imo.

Thanks for that one

 

[Doctor Detroit]

I will never bet on a NBA game.

The only bets I ever win are Thunder 2nd half bets. I should just stick to those.

Greatest predatory mammal besides humans? Orcas? Amiright?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

 

[Frostillicus]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

The closer mess this year seems to be worse than ever. In my home keeper league I traded for Holland to have Holland, Jansen, and Romo as my closers to not worry about all this bull####. Well, Jansen has been shaky and Holland not exactly elite. Thought I was genius for adding Melancon, he pitched to four batters today, including Khris Davis, and didn't get an out.

 

[Raider Nation]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

I hated how the Marlins and Giants brought in their closers in the 3rd inning tonight.

 

[Frostillicus]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

I hated how the Marlins and Giants brought in their closers in the 3rd inning tonight.

Sometimes you just get one wrong.

 

[Raider Nation]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

I hated how the Marlins and Giants brought in their closers in the 3rd inning tonight.

Sometimes you just get one wrong.

I didn't even play it. Just like giving you a hard time.

Heads up: 2:20 game at Wrigley tomorrow. Unless the wind is gusting straight out, the under is gonna be in play -- even at 6.5. Both pitchers have been very effective.

 

[rascal]

You know baseball teams are desperate for bullpen help if they even think of looking into heath bell

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

I probably will but they'll get ruined by a bunch of #### ### closers.

I hated how the Marlins and Giants brought in their closers in the 3rd inning tonight.

Sometimes you just get one wrong.

I didn't even play it. Just like giving you a hard time.

Heads up: 2:20 game at Wrigley tomorrow. Unless the wind is gusting straight out, the under is gonna be in play -- even at 6.5. Both pitchers have been very effective.

In on any telework day bet. Call me!

 

[got_nugs]

The NBA is stupid. I almost locked in a profit with OKC +450 after the 1Q but I passed. No more NBA for me. I don't need to bet it and I get no enjoyment out of it, so why bother.

Sorry bud. I had this whole okc ml+spread post written up for you but I just didn't think the clips would allow okc to win that one. And they didn't for a half. I got on some okc stock at +260 at half when they were down 8 and Russ hadn't hit anything. Gave a unit back at clips +250 mid 4th tho. Live betting nba after runs can be lucrative if you're careful not to get heart smart...but ya if you don't enjoy the game, no reason to bet it.

I'd promote okc as a series play since they match up well vs San Antonio, but that'd mean brooks beat pop 2 of the last 3years. Oof.

Pucks tomorrow!

 

[Raider Nation]

Things could change overnight but the baseball weather site tentatively shows a moderate wind blowing straight in at Wrigley tomorrow.

Giddy up!

 

[Raider Nation]

Liking Sonny Gray @ CLE tomorrow night at first glance, also. I have a huge Sonny man-crush.

 

[tjnc09]

Things could change overnight but the baseball weather site tentatively shows a moderate wind blowing straight in at Wrigley tomorrow.

Giddy up!

30% chance of rain might ruin the day game though

 

[tjnc09]

Hi TJ!

Got any totals tomorrow?

Hi DD - totals are hard to cap overnight without great weather/wind info.

But Eric Stults has a 5.34 ERA and 1.84 WHIP career at Coors Field. I would think a team averaging 5.5 rpg but only 1.3 over their last 3 would break out of their slump.

 

[ChainsawU]

Samardzija has a 1.48 ERA in four starts at Wrigley this season. The Cubs are 0-4 in those four games, 0-5 L5 Samardzija starts at Wrigley, and 6-15 L21 Samardzija starts at Wrigley since 2013 (avg line -110). The Brewers as a team have also won six games at Wrigley Field since 2013 (6-3 SU L9 at Wrigley).

 

[tjnc09]

swirvenirvin, on 14 May 2014 - 09:13 AM, said:

Tiger Fan, on 14 May 2014 - 07:33 AM, said:

TheGooRoo, on 12 May 2014 - 6:02 PM, said:LA Dodgers to win 3 game series over Miami -140 to -160

easy

Just a strange, strange line imo. Miami is probably the worst teams in baseball on the road. It was public knowledge that Fernandez wasn't right (although I posted the play a bit before the media picked up on the severity). You've got 2 posted lines of >-150 on Monday and Tuesday, and a huge question mark of who Miami is going with on Wednesday. Fortunately, we didn't need it, but give me Maholm over Desclafani all day. In my mind, the line was set with a Fernandez/Maholm Wednesday game and Vegas dropped the ball in never taking the line OTB or adjusting the price once Fernandez was ruled out.

thanks for this one too Goo. I'm glad we didn't Maholm to win that third game because it looked like variance came to play

Miami's home/road splits are amazing this year. They are second only to Colorado at home and were abysmal on the road before their last two games. Maybe they are pumping in some Denver altitude?

 

[tjnc09]

Not that you really need to cap Rockies home games, but in three home games following a road game this year, they won 12-1, 12-1, and 7-4.

Following a home game where they scored 3 or less runs home or away, they scored 8, 10, 9, 10, and 8 this year.

 

[tjnc09]

Samardzija has a 1.48 ERA in four starts at Wrigley this season. The Cubs are 0-4 in those four games, 0-5 L5 Samardzija starts at Wrigley, and 6-15 L21 Samardzija starts at Wrigley since 2013 (avg line -110). The Brewers as a team have also won six games at Wrigley Field since 2013 (6-3 SU L9 at Wrigley).

Poor Jeff:

The right-hander ranks second in the major leagues in ERA, yet is winless in his eight starts due to the second-lowest run-support average in baseball at 1.93. He's the first pitcher since at least 1900 to give up three or fewer runs in his first eight starts and not get a victory.

 

[ChainsawU]

Samardzija has a 1.48 ERA in four starts at Wrigley this season. The Cubs are 0-4 in those four games, 0-5 L5 Samardzija starts at Wrigley, and 6-15 L21 Samardzija starts at Wrigley since 2013 (avg line -110). The Brewers as a team have also won six games at Wrigley Field since 2013 (6-3 SU L9 at Wrigley).

Poor Jeff:

The right-hander ranks second in the major leagues in ERA, yet is winless in his eight starts due to the second-lowest run-support average in baseball at 1.93. He's the first pitcher since at least 1900 to give up three or fewer runs in his first eight starts and not get a victory.

I wanted to double check and found that nine of those 15 Samardzija losses were in day games (with an average of 5.1 ±1.7 opponent runs scored). And I think I like Lohse on 5 days of rest. He had a 2.26 ERA in 8 starts on 5 days of rest last season, and has a 3.75 ERA in 2 starts on 5 days of rest this season with an 11.00 K/BB ratio (the Brewers won both games 5-4). Add that to the fact that the Cubs strike out 9.34 times per game, worst in the MLB.

Brewers +102

 

[swirvenirvin]

Also like DeAndre u 10.5p

Best play on the board imo.

Thanks for that one

yep

 

[John Bender]

Go Brewers

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Back to VegasChat...I'll be there August 21st-24th

Obviously not ideal weather or sports betting time but if any of you jellycocks happen to be around there the same time let me know

 

[NIU Kicker]

Go Brewers

Yup

 

[TheGooRoo]

Wasn't this the guy from your video Lump?

L'Damian Washington - WR - Cowboys
Cowboys signed Missouri WR L'Damian Washington to a three-year contract including a $7,000 signing bonus.
It's a decent signing bonus for a UDFA, indicating the Cowboys were in hot pursuit of the Mizzou alum. Washington (6-foot-3 3/4, 195) played both the X and Z receiver positions in Gary Pinkel's spread offense, finishing his career with 100 catches for 1,735 yards (17.4 YPR) and 15 touchdowns. He's a one-trick-pony deep threat with 4.46 jets and long arms (33 3/8") who tends to catch the football with his body as opposed to his hands, and doesn't play with enough physicality to handle much volume in the NFL. He's a straight-line vertical receiver like Robert Meachem. Washington will compete for a roster spot this summer.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

In on Brew Crew

Add Colorado -1.5

Yanks/Pirates O9

LAA/Tex parlay

 

[Tiger Fan]

Let's go Brewers!

 

[lumpy19]

Wasn't this the guy from your video Lump?

L'Damian Washington - WR - Cowboys
Cowboys signed Missouri WR L'Damian Washington to a three-year contract including a $7,000 signing bonus.
It's a decent signing bonus for a UDFA, indicating the Cowboys were in hot pursuit of the Mizzou alum. Washington (6-foot-3 3/4, 195) played both the X and Z receiver positions in Gary Pinkel's spread offense, finishing his career with 100 catches for 1,735 yards (17.4 YPR) and 15 touchdowns. He's a one-trick-pony deep threat with 4.46 jets and long arms (33 3/8") who tends to catch the football with his body as opposed to his hands, and doesn't play with enough physicality to handle much volume in the NFL. He's a straight-line vertical receiver like Robert Meachem. Washington will compete for a roster spot this summer.

Yup that's him. Got a long road ahead as a UDFA. Thanks for posting, hadn't seen this.

 

[LOCO]

Rockies ML. time for those bats to warm back up.

 

[Raider Nation]

Samardzija has a 1.48 ERA in four starts at Wrigley this season. The Cubs are 0-4 in those four games, 0-5 L5 Samardzija starts at Wrigley, and 6-15 L21 Samardzija starts at Wrigley since 2013 (avg line -110). The Brewers as a team have also won six games at Wrigley Field since 2013 (6-3 SU L9 at Wrigley).

Poor Jeff:

The right-hander ranks second in the major leagues in ERA, yet is winless in his eight starts due to the second-lowest run-support average in baseball at 1.93. He's the first pitcher since at least 1900 to give up three or fewer runs in his first eight starts and not get a victory.

Tell me why these stats make the Brewers a better play than the under?