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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Probably gonna take a shutout from King to cash this. He's certainly capable of it. Kinda wish Torts was still coaching the Rangers right now. He'd put this game in the deep freeze by mid-2nd.

 
"Good said:
Barcelona/Atletico Madrid under 2.5 -105, Atletico Madrid +0.5 +105. Barca's second-best scorer (Neymar) is out, and Diego Costa has been dealing with injuries. This is a true title game for La Liga (Atletico wins with a draw), so it should be a fairly cautious affair. Atletico and Barcelona have played five times this season in 3 different competitions, and the total score from all 450 minutes is Atletico 3, Barcelona 2. Five games, five goals, and Neymar (again, out) has both of Barca's tallies. Simeone's done an amazing job of continuously frustrating and gumming up Barcelona's attack, no small feat even in a "down" year.

I'm a Barcelona supporter, and this team has just looked like #### down the stretch. Goalie's out, defense has been in tatters, and Tata Martino, their new coach, is a lame-duck. Most of Barca's XI is going to feature in the World Cup, I think they might be looking ahead.
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:thumbup: Tailed both.

 
The Buffalo Bills identified Clemson wide receiver Sammy Watkins as their top target in the 2014 NFL Draft, so they made sure they were going to land him. Buffalo traded with the Cleveland Browns to move up from the No. 9 spot to the No. 4 pick in exchange for a 2015 first-round pick and 2015 fourth-round pick.It was a costly deal for Buffalo, but they were apparently willing to give up even more to land Watkins. According to Buffalo’s director of player personnel Jim Monos, the team was flirting with the idea of trading with the Houston Texans in order to move up to the No. 1 spot in an effort to guarantee they would land Watkins.

“We went with Houston right off the bat,” Monos said, via the team’s official website. “We tried to go to No. 1. They weren’t having it. They knew who they wanted, so we started working our way right down.
Click to expand...
Wow.

 
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo

 
Adding: NYY -1.5 (+150)

Volquez is less than good and there is a nice breeze blowing straight out. Hoping for a few bombs from the pinstripes.

ETA: 4:00 game on Fox Sports 1.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
Adding: NYY -1.5 (+150)

Volquez is less than good and there is a nice breeze blowing straight out. Hoping for a few bombs from the pinstripes.
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Got the 3 Yankee HRs and still not gonna sniff the over. Very disappointing.
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Yeah, I played this too. Also tapped the TT 4.5 though so I was happy to see Soriano go yard.

Also got -1.5 and -2.5 so whatever's clever cheddar. At least you can't lose both bets now, though a 5-4 finish would be a #####.

 
got_nugs said:
Raider Nation said:
Raider Nation said:
Adding: NYY -1.5 (+150)

Volquez is less than good and there is a nice breeze blowing straight out. Hoping for a few bombs from the pinstripes.
Click to expand...
Got the 3 Yankee HRs and still not gonna sniff the over. Very disappointing.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I played this too. Also tapped the TT 4.5 though so I was happy to see Soriano go yard.

Also got -1.5 and -2.5 so whatever's clever cheddar. At least you can't lose both bets now, though a 5-4 finish would be a #####.
Click to expand...
Correct. That 5th run was huge. I have more on the RL than on the over, so I don't really care if the Pirates score.

 
meh, #### it dude. lets go bowling.

it was the right play...and we hit the run line too! thanks bro. suns going down now...get your ### to work on some plays!

 
got_nugs said:
meh, #### it dude. lets go bowling.

it was the right play...and we hit the run line too! thanks bro. suns going down now...get your ### to work on some plays!
Click to expand...
Saw's Rockies play is a go. Lineups are out and they are at full strength.

Also playing Buehrle -107 @ Texas. He's been great and Ross has really struggled.

 
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo
Click to expand...
Weird, Maybin is the only Rockie sitting. Let's go ROCKIE RUNS

 
Raider Nation said:
got_nugs said:
meh, #### it dude. lets go bowling.

it was the right play...and we hit the run line too! thanks bro. suns going down now...get your ### to work on some plays!
Click to expand...
Saw's Rockies play is a go. Lineups are out and they are at full strength.

Also playing Buehrle -107 @ Texas. He's been great and Ross has really struggled.
Click to expand...
I have this game as a flip so good luck with Toronto - but be careful with Ross this year. His two worst starts were against the A's who are monsters on the road and his first career start at Colorado - that is never easy for anyone. Other than that, he has been decent.

 
Good luck with that over, fellas. I trust the Rockies to score. I don't trust the Padres to contribute.

Which makes Colorado the much better play, IMO.

The Padres' .219 average is the lowest in the majors, and they've plated two runs or less in five of six road games.
Click to expand...
 
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
got_nugs said:
meh, #### it dude. lets go bowling.

it was the right play...and we hit the run line too! thanks bro. suns going down now...get your ### to work on some plays!
Click to expand...
Saw's Rockies play is a go. Lineups are out and they are at full strength.

Also playing Buehrle -107 @ Texas. He's been great and Ross has really struggled.
Click to expand...
I have this game as a flip so good luck with Toronto - but be careful with Ross this year. His two worst starts were against the A's who are monsters on the road and his first career start at Colorado - that is never easy for anyone. Other than that, he has been decent.
Click to expand...
And the Mark Buehrle CY Young campaign is going to come to an end eventually.

 
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
got_nugs said:
meh, #### it dude. lets go bowling.

it was the right play...and we hit the run line too! thanks bro. suns going down now...get your ### to work on some plays!
Click to expand...
Saw's Rockies play is a go. Lineups are out and they are at full strength.

Also playing Buehrle -107 @ Texas. He's been great and Ross has really struggled.
Click to expand...
I have this game as a flip so good luck with Toronto - but be careful with Ross this year. His two worst starts were against the A's who are monsters on the road and his first career start at Colorado - that is never easy for anyone. Other than that, he has been decent.
Click to expand...
Let me know how decent he was at home against the White Sox. I remember it well, because he cost me a grand.

 
Buehrle, who's won all four road starts this year with a 0.92 ERA, is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA in eight career starts at Texas. He gave up one total run in two outings against the Rangers in 2013, going seven innings and allowing four hits both times, highlighted by an 8-0 victory at Arlington on June 14.
Click to expand...
 
It's easy to like Kershaw tonight @ Arizona, but who wants to lay -180 on the road. Maybe throw the Dodgers in some jellycock parlays?

 
tjnc09 said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo
Click to expand...
Weird, Maybin is the only Rockie sitting. Let's go ROCKIE RUNS
Click to expand...
Maybin plays for the Pads, Rockies fielding their "A" lineup, biggest baseball bet of the year so far for me :popcorn:

 
TheGooRoo said:
tjnc09 said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo
Click to expand...
Weird, Maybin is the only Rockie sitting. Let's go ROCKIE RUNS
Click to expand...
Maybin plays for the Pads, Rockies fielding their "A" lineup, biggest baseball bet of the year so far for me :popcorn:
Click to expand...
:banned:

I added more before you posted this.

 
TheGooRoo said:
tjnc09 said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo
Click to expand...
Weird, Maybin is the only Rockie sitting. Let's go ROCKIE RUNS
Click to expand...
Maybin plays for the Pads, Rockies fielding their "A" lineup, biggest baseball bet of the year so far for me :popcorn:
Click to expand...
:excited:

 
Anybody who doesn't mind getting a little chalky:

Alexander Shlemenko -390 is my biggest bet in recent memory. There is no reason why this price should even be bettable.

Tito Ortiz is a washed up shell of a washed up shell of himself. He has exactly 1 victory in the last seven and a half years which came about 3 years ago in the form of an extremely fluky W against Ryan Bader. Shlemenko is a 60 pro-fight-vet, on a 13 fight win streak, with his last loss coming via decision at the hands of Hector Lombard.

Tito always was a 1 trick pony. That trick doesn't even exist anymore. The likelihood that he flash-KOs AS is, well, astronomical, at best. His ONLY path to victory is to take Shlemenko down and lay-n-pray. He hasn't done that to anyone other than Jenna Jamison in almost a decade. If he were to score a miracle takedown, the chances of it staying on the ground, and/or Tito having the energy to repeat that process enough times in the fight to scratch out a victory are nearly nonexistent IMHO.

I've got the true line on this honestly pegged at about -2000. Can't figure out for the life of me why it's only -400ish. Normally that would scare me away from such a large play, but not in this instance. Not with Tito Ortiz on the other side of the bet.

WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#: STRAIGHT BET May 17 MU [24160] ALEXANDER SHLEMENKO -390 (TITO ORTIZ vrs ALEXANDER SHLEMENKO) 3900.00 USD / 1000.00 USD 78561383
 
TheGooRoo said:
tjnc09 said:
tjnc09 said:
Raider Nation said:
ChainsawU said:
Rockies -122
Click to expand...
Something smells rotten with this line. Colorado is at home, where they score a million runs. They have the better pitcher on paper, and they have a much, MUCH better offense. Why aren't the Rockies -160 in this spot?
Click to expand...
The line opened at 138/-150 at Pinnacle and is now 111/-120. Erlin has a career .76 GO/AO ratio. Definitely odd. I'd have to believe someone knows somebody is sitting for Colorado like Cargo
Click to expand...
Weird, Maybin is the only Rockie sitting. Let's go ROCKIE RUNS
Click to expand...
Maybin plays for the Pads, Rockies fielding their "A" lineup, biggest baseball bet of the year so far for me :popcorn:
Click to expand...
*Oops meant Dickerson per SI

 
sheerterror said:
Anybody who doesn't mind getting a little chalky:

Alexander Shlemenko -390 is my biggest bet in recent memory. There is no reason why this price should even be bettable.

Tito Ortiz is a washed up shell of a washed up shell of himself. He has exactly 1 victory in the last seven and a half years which came about 3 years ago in the form of an extremely fluky W against Ryan Bader. Shlemenko is a 60 pro-fight-vet, on a 13 fight win streak, with his last loss coming via decision at the hands of Hector Lombard.

Tito always was a 1 trick pony. That trick doesn't even exist anymore. The likelihood that he flash-KOs AS is, well, astronomical, at best. His ONLY path to victory is to take Shlemenko down and lay-n-pray. He hasn't done that to anyone other than Jenna Jamison in almost a decade. If he were to score a miracle takedown, the chances of it staying on the ground, and/or Tito having the energy to repeat that process enough times in the fight to scratch out a victory are nearly nonexistent IMHO.

I've got the true line on this honestly pegged at about -2000. Can't figure out for the life of me why it's only -400ish. Normally that would scare me away from such a large play, but not in this instance. Not with Tito Ortiz on the other side of the bet.

WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#: STRAIGHT BET May 17 MU [24160] ALEXANDER SHLEMENKO -390 (TITO ORTIZ vrs ALEXANDER SHLEMENKO) 3900.00 USD / 1000.00 USD 78561383
Click to expand...
:tebow:

 
modogg said:
i don't know why, but i feel the need to bet on this Bellator card tomorrow:

Lawal +210

Chandler inside the distance -210

Tito Ortiz +480 .33 unit

may take one or 2 others. fading Cheik Kongo and taking Page are possibilities
Click to expand...
Bump for sheer terror since mo is on Ortiz
 
Defend yourself mo!!!!

Seriously, I've got to be missing something. Contrarian bet?

I do like King Mo as well, and will certainly be joining in on that, need to finish up my research though. Any chance to fade Rampage at a + number is a near autobet for me at this point in his career. Mo's only 2 losses in the last ~4 years were suffered against Emmanuel Newton, who, as it turns out, is actually a stud. I think that, coupled with Rampage's recent wins against inferior competition, and his loud mouth, and the general public tendency to bet him because of his name recognition, has built a significant amount of value into the line.

I also believe that these 2 do genuinely hate eachother, and knowing that, that increasing the POSSIBILITY of Mo finally going back to using his elite wrestling to assure he gets the W.

 
Raider Nation said:
Isn't mo on Tito?

:oldunsure:
Click to expand...
i am, but light. I got him at +450 or something. Sheer makes good points, but we all know this. my bet is pretty simple, Tito is a good size LHW, Alex your usual Russian fighter who is a MW (Russian meaning many don't cut too much weight). Tito definitely sucks, no doubt. But i like that i got him around +450, and it is a light bet. Tito isn't a good wrestler anymore, but his ground and pound is still legit. I would argue his fight against Bader was a legit win, and his fights against Forrest were all close. Alex isn't much of a wrestler grappler, and he has a 13 win streak, but his competition has been pitiful at best. Sheer has a ton more on this then i do, so i will be happy if Alex wins, but i don't feel nearly as confident as he does. Alex should win, but the weight and size advantage is legit, and Tito really didn't look that horrible in his last fight against Forrest which he actually should have won

 
Wow - it's not like me to panic on a bet, but we are DEAD.

Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,Ball, Ball, Ball, Strike, Ball, Ball, Ball Foul, Hit, Ball,

 
sheerterror said:
Defend yourself mo!!!!

Seriously, I've got to be missing something. Contrarian bet?

I do like King Mo as well, and will certainly be joining in on that, need to finish up my research though. Any chance to fade Rampage at a + number is a near autobet for me at this point in his career. Mo's only 2 losses in the last ~4 years were suffered against Emmanuel Newton, who, as it turns out, is actually a stud. I think that, coupled with Rampage's recent wins against inferior competition, and his loud mouth, and the general public tendency to bet him because of his name recognition, has built a significant amount of value into the line.

I also believe that these 2 do genuinely hate eachother, and knowing that, that increasing the POSSIBILITY of Mo finally going back to using his elite wrestling to assure he gets the W.
Click to expand...
Well, we will disagree here bud. Rampage is a legit bag of air these days, dude talks #### out of his ### for the hell of it. But i do agree, Rampage is a fade for me too. Burned me twice now, so i am hoping that King Mo is not the piece of crap he has been as of late. I think for Mo a lot of his problems have been motivation, and if the guy wants any kind of career in MMA he needs to win this fight. getting him at +200 or so is the way to go

 
Not that I'd have great confidence in rampage these days but what makes you want to lay money on king mo? To me he's looked horrible in his last few fights and he doesn't have any great wins on his resume other than mousasi (in a fight mousasi beat up mo from his back). Rampage for me in this one.

 
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