FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

[Celph Titled]

Yes. The US gets through if they draw or win, and possibly still if they lose.

 

[got_nugs]

Yes. The US gets through if they draw or win, and possibly still if they lose.

So you would hedge try to middle or would you ride the lightning on them damn Yanks? Germany line is -150 now...may always have been that.

 

[Celph Titled]

Yes. The US gets through if they draw or win, and possibly still if they lose.

So you would hedge or would you ride the lightning on them damn Yanks? Germany line is -150 now...may always have been that.

I'd let it ride.

 

[Celph Titled]

Here are the plays I photoshopped last night:

Pending6/23/14 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 920 Kansas City Royals +132* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (Z Greinke - R must Start J Guthrie - R must Start) (currently 18c value) [2u]

Pending 6/23/14 7:10pm Reduced Baseball 917 Pittsburgh Pirates +143* vs Tampa Bay Rays (E Volquez - R must Start A Cobb - R must Start) (2c value) [1u]Pending 6/23/14 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 915 Boston Red Sox +148* vs Seattle Mariners (J Lackey - R must Start F Hernandez - R must Start) (19c value) [1u]Pending6/23/14 10:10pm Reduced Baseball 915 Boston Red Sox/Seattle Mariners Over 6½ +115* (J Lackey - R must Start F Hernandez - R must Start) (3c value) [1u]

Pending6/23/14 8:10pm Reduced Baseball 919 Los Angeles Dodgers/Kansas City Royals Over 7½ -105* (Z Greinke - R must Start J Guthrie - R must Start) (-2c value) [1u]

Here are my made-up records backtesting using current numbers since 5/13:

1u: 120-144 +19.51u

2u: 60-72 +10.09u

totals: 151-112 +30.34u

all: 331-328 +59.94u

Hopefully I go 0-5 today and the thread rejoices

Nice one.

I traded Lackey away today in fantasy, nice going-away present he left me.

 

[mquinnjr]

I like 1U on Win +700 Draw +150 each for

USA

Either outcome advances our squad. Awesome odds for a US Miracle on Grass, and a small profit net on a draw.

IN

 

[got_nugs]

Holy moly the pads matched their season total output tonight (+\-).

 

[Frostillicus]

Bovada:

Over 2.5 seniors taken in first round -120

McDermott is a lock and I'd be stunned if either Napier or Payne fell out of the first.

Parker +125 to go first any good?

Embiid under?

I still have a lot on Wiggins to not going #1, so not messing with Parker but Chad Ford has him going #1, FWIW.

Only other one I've played so far is Napier under 25.5 or whatever that line is.

OTB

 

[Dan Lambskin]

so we just got a text from my 11yo daughters bff's dad (stay with me), said bff's mom probably won't make it through the night. She's young, father mentioned it was alcohol related failure of the innards. I know at one point before we met them they lived in a motel for a bit, we've only known them for 6 monthish. Don't know if drugs were involved, didn't seem like they were on drugs and I have a pretty good eye-takes one to know one.

WTF alcohol related could kill a mid 30's person? Live is a mother####er.

ok, back to tiny units.

I usually just ignore stories like this. I drink way too much.

Me too, scares the #### out of me. Gotta be pills and booze mixed huh?

I'd guess pills involved too. Had a cousin early 40's almost die from constant overuse of the two

 

[John Bender]

Holy moly the pads matched their season total output tonight (+\-).

Yep. Ugh.

 

[optionmaven]

I need to win 36 bucks this week to not pay at RB. Goo, Chain, anybody ....get me one small winner sometime this week. Quit all the nitpicking too people. Not worth the energy you spend ifighting imo. When i have time, I will post a Better than Ezra story with you all when they came over for an after hours party at our place after playing HOB in Orlando when I lived there.

EFF YOU EFFER!

You go to UCF or were you just living in Orlando bud?

Just living there and partying like a banshee at the time. I bailed on Chicago because I had nothing holding me back and wanted to get out of the godforasken crap weather. Now I'm back here in Chicago, and the weather this last yr has been the worst of any year in my life. Might be time for another relocation.

 

[Celph Titled]

Optionmaven, how long have you been trading options? For fun, profit or both?

 

[Frostillicus]

Wiggins is now -110 to go first. Time to lock in some profit.

 

[mquinnjr]

Wiggins is now -110 to go first. Time to lock in some profit.

Where is this? My local is -180 Wiggins, -110 Parker, +500 Embiid, +2000 Field.

 

[LOCO]

Uruguay +195.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

Wiggins is now -110 to go first. Time to lock in some profit.

Where is this? My local is -180 Wiggins, -110 Parker, +500 Embiid, +2000 Field.

Bovada

I got him at -125 after Frosty's post.

 

[mquinnjr]

Wiggins is now -110 to go first. Time to lock in some profit.

Where is this? My local is -180 Wiggins, -110 Parker, +500 Embiid, +2000 Field.

Bovada

I got him at -125 after Frosty's post.

OK, in on Wiggins to win 1U.

 

[tjnc09]

GooRoo, you fading Kershaw tonight?

 

[ChainsawU]

Kershaw 6-1 SU after CGSO in previous start (6-0 SU if he allowed 5 or fewer hits in the CGSO).

 

[TheGooRoo]

tjnc09, on 24 Jun 2014 - 1:31 PM, said:GooRoo, you fading Kershaw tonight?

I'm not. Kersh or pass for me.

 

[Celph Titled]

GPJ

see any good values in the world cup you see?

Belgium to win their group at -175 is sticking out to me.

I like it. I'm all over some SA teams to win: Chile, Colombia, Uruguay, I read somewhere that the "home continental advantage" is about half of what "home country advantage" is, but that's still fairly significant. And that no European team has ever won a Cup held in South America. I'm also going to fade Brazil at some point late in the tourney, just because Alves is so brutal.

But Belgium doesn't have any SA teams in their group, and SK and Algeria are weak sisters. The only thing I'd suggest is taking Belgium outright to beat Russia at -105, as that game will likely decide the group winner.

I also think Belgium might be one of the most fun teams to watch in the tourney.

 

[got_nugs]

Any good group C angles to exploit?

Rooting for the USA and all South American teams has been a blast.

 

[swirvenirvin]

So I guess I don't know everyone's alias so I dont know who half these people are anymore

 

[Celph Titled]

<-- GPJ

 

[got_nugs]

<--RN, TJ, SAW

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

<------just some guy

 

[tjnc09]

<--RN, TJ, SAW

Whose unit size do we, I mean I have?

 

[got_nugs]

<--RN, TJ, SAW

Whose unit size do we, I mean I have?

The $1 one

 

[Celph Titled]

Sorry about Lebron, nugs.

 

[got_nugs]

<--RN, TJ, SAW

Whose unit size do we, I mean I have?

Also if I were you, which I am, I'd ask myself to post more baseball plays today. Thanks me.

 

[got_nugs]

Sorry about Lebron, nugs.

#### it dude, let's go bowling.

 

[John Bender]

Really disappointing...

JACK SOCK guys.

Seriously, nothing?

 

[John Bender]

Here's my first round tennis plays:

B. Becker -175 -

M. Russell +185 :currently in 5th set:

JACK ####### SOCK -160

De Schepper +450

 

[got_nugs]

Really disappointing...

JACK SOCK guys.

Seriously, nothing?

I finished.

 

[Celph Titled]

Sorry about Lebron, nugs.

#### it dude, let's go bowling.

He won 50% of all possible championships, not too shabby.

 

[got_nugs]

Holy #### Russell is still alive?

Bend it like bender! Thanks bro

 

[got_nugs]

Sorry about Lebron, nugs.

#### it dude, let's go bowling.

He won 50% of all possible championships, not too shabby.

If he leaves I would only have gratitude towards them all for 4 years of relevance. I'll wait til wade opts in before i wish James bye 1st.

Group C all wrapped up or is there something to bet here?

 

[John Bender]

Holy #### Russell is still alive?

Holy #### Russell is still alive?

Bend it like bender! Thanks bro

4 all - Reistano serving now

 

[John Bender]

Reister holds.

russell serving at 4-5

 

[John Bender]

Getting dark.

If Russell holds here, might be a Wednesday morning finish

 

[John Bender]

5 all.

No Tiebreakers in set 5 at Wimby. Get ya popcorn

 

[John Bender]

Reister holds at love

5-6

 

[Angry Beavers]

Here's my first round tennis plays:

B. Becker -175 -

M. Russell +185 :currently in 5th set:

JACK ####### SOCK -160

De Schepper +450

Thanks - tailed on Jack ######## Sock - only one I took!

 

[tonydead]

Wow, goal fest in Group D.

Let's do this Columbia!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[John Bender]

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

B. Becker -175 -

M. Russell +185 :currently in 5th set:

JACK ####### SOCK -160

De Schepper +450

 

[Celph Titled]

Sorry about Lebron, nugs.

#### it dude, let's go bowling.

He won 50% of all possible championships, not too shabby.

If he leaves I would only have gratitude towards them all for 4 years of relevance. I'll wait til wade opts in before i wish James bye 1st.

Group C all wrapped up or is there something to bet here?

Meh to all of it. Too unpredictable.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Tonight - what I like:

Cin - 125/Col -122/Det/Tex O 9.4 -115/LAD - 152/ATL/Hou U 8.6 - 105 in one big donk parlay

Also lean with Cle/AZ Over o8 -110, Oak - 126, Sea -108,

Way too many favorites here......

 

[swirvenirvin]

Try it again eh.. Cards over 5 -105

 

[swirvenirvin]

Try it again eh.. Cards over 5 -105

Carlos Quentin under 2 H. R, RBI -150

 

[Celph Titled]

Kemp over Hosmer (total bases) -130

 

[TheGooRoo]

Trying Smyly o 4.5 k's tonight.