FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (12 Viewers)

[tjnc09]

2u:

White Sox +127 (11c value)

Twins +165 (7c value)

Mariners +118 (24c value). I would not play them at the number widely available now. Twins opened at +172, by the time I put in it was 165 because I suck.

1u:

Yankees +135 (15c value)

OAK/NYM o7 +106 (8c value)

WAS/MIL u8 -118 (-2.6c value)

MIN/LAA o7.5 -112 (-2c value)

LAD/KC o7 -117 (-5c value)

CHC/BAL u8.5 +107 (12c value)

Remember I am playing volume. Bad days are inevitable and expected.

 

[LOCO]

Reds -120

 

[tjnc09]

I beat all 4 4pm games w decent margins. Hope the later games close more favorably esp the totals.

 

[tjnc09]

White Sox under is definitely the wrong side. I will take the runs though

 

[swirvenirvin]

Bless Carlos Pena. Did you know he was in the lineup?

 

[got_nugs]

Judge, it looks like all 4 of our SA's are matching up in the round of 16...is that so?

Upside is one will guarantee through to the last 4 but that kinda otherwise is a bummer.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Bless Carlos Pena. Did you know he was in the lineup?

Not only did I know he was in the lineup, I projected him at 2 k's

 

[modogg]

grabbed Embid ov 5 and McDermott ov 9.5 for tomorrow. Still thinking on some others. the McDermott one makes me a tad nervous cause there are a lot of dumb teams at 9 and under

 

[got_nugs]

grabbed Embid ov 5 and McDermott ov 9.5 for tomorrow. Still thinking on some others. the McDermott one makes me a tad nervous cause there are a lot of dumb teams at 9 and under

Starting at 1.01

 

[tjnc09]

sorry for that Dodgers Royals over. I quit.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Give me a Wolverine over a Spartan all day.

Stauskus before Harris -105

 

[Donkey Derp]

Give me a Wolverine over a Spartan all day.

Stauskus before Harris -105

Which book(s) has that?

 

[got_nugs]

sorry for that Dodgers Royals over. I quit.

I didn't make it in time for that game, only tried Twins, Mariners, over in Twins/LAA game (chicken dinner after top 2nd)...so you're good by me.

 

[Donkey Derp]

Frosty, would you take Wiggins not #1 -135? Yay/nay?

 

[TheGooRoo]

Give me a Wolverine over a Spartan all day.

Stauskus before Harris -105

Which book(s) has that?

Sportsbook

 

[Frostillicus]

Frosty, would you take Wiggins not #1 -135? Yay/nay?

I think it's basically a coin flip between him and Parker at this point. Probably not at -135, but it's not horrible either.

 

[tjnc09]

Celph, what the hell is this Brad Mills thing?

 

[Donkey Derp]

Thanks Frosty & GooRoo

 

[Celph Titled]

Celph, what the hell is this Brad Mills thing?

He was killing in Nashville for the Brew Crew, who are obviously all stocked up on SP, and Oakland got him on the cheap. For a dollar. Seriously.

A dollar isn't bad for org. depth. Although he didn't look particularly encouraging in his first A's start. But I wouldn't be surprised if he's at least a competent fill-in. Oakland's so far ahead of everyone these days that it's almost scary.

 

[Celph Titled]

Judge, it looks like all 4 of our SA's are matching up in the round of 16...is that so?

Upside is one will guarantee through to the last 4 but that kinda otherwise is a bummer.

Yeah, kind of sucks.

I like Colombia and Chile the most in terms of ROI. I think both have been playing nearly as well as Brazil. Uruguay's almost assuredly not going to have Suarez, hopefully they don't get past Colombia.

From there our potential semi opponents are probably Germany or France, in all likelihood. And then Argentina and the Dutch are probably most likely finals opponents.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Give me a Wolverine over a Spartan all day.

Stauskus before Harris -105

 

[mquinnjr]

http://screamer.deadspin.com/luis-suarez-bites-a-guy-and-gamblers-rejoice-1595619840?utm_campaign=socialflow_deadspin_facebook&utm_source=deadspin_facebook&utm_medium=socialflow

100/17400

/MP

 

[TheGooRoo]

swirvenirvin, on 25 Jun 2014 - 07:54 AM, said:

TheGooRoo, on 24 Jun 2014 - 11:05 PM, said:Give me a Wolverine over a Spartan all day.

Stauskus before Harris -105

Need a "Hate This" button huh? Go blue.

 

[Celph Titled]

Miggy over Beltre (TB) -110

 

[Celph Titled]

What do we make of Hutchison's utter incompetence north of the border?

 

[modogg]

grabbed Embid ov 5 and McDermott ov 9.5 for tomorrow. Still thinking on some others. the McDermott one makes me a tad nervous cause there are a lot of dumb teams at 9 and under

So I hate this Embid bet now. I got it at (ev) on 5dimes last night, and just looked on sportsbook and the under is now -260. it was a light bet so I will bite the bullet here, but it isn't a good bet. Way too much in the air, and trusting the info. coming out right now is dumb because everybody is lying. With no idea what the medical records say, I have no idea where this is going.

I do like GR's call on Stauskas as well, and also grabbed Gordon ov Randle too.

 

[tonydead]

Going to the Columbia well three times has kept me from loosing money in the World Cup so far. Passed on the games today. Tomorrow I've got Portugal, USA, USA Tie and Belgium.

Oh and............

 

[got_nugs]

Going to the Columbia well three times has kept me from loosing money in the World Cup so far. Passed on the games today. Tomorrow I've got Portugal, USA, USA Tie and Belgium.

Oh and............

Betting overs like a mother####ing champ has kept me rolling.

Let's go goals!

 

[Celph Titled]

Doesn't seem like the books have adjusted? New ball seems to be worth about +0.6 extra goals per game.

 

[tonydead]

Suarez is going to get booted from the tournament right? Columbia the favorites at even money right now.

 

[Celph Titled]

Suarez is going to get booted from the tournament right? Columbia the favorites at even money right now.

You never know with FIFA, but I would say the chances he sees the field again in this World Cup are under 3%.

 

[optionmaven]

Optionmaven, how long have you been trading options? For fun, profit or both?

6 years or a just a bit longer. When everything crashed and the dow hit 6600 was when I really started it up. Just got very lucky with the starting point, thanks to my better half. I'm much more conservative these days, following the ways of my stepfather. I'm actually more on the selling end too, hoping most go worthless to the buyer.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Placeholder for my Futures action:

MLB

Nats to win NL east -180 3600/2000

Trout AL MVP +500 250/1250

Harper NL MVP +1200 250/3000

Tulo NL MVP +300 250/750

Tanaka AL CY +350 200/700

Cespedes -3.5 HR+RBI over Puig -115 1150/1000

Chris Davis HR champ +800 250/2000

Chris Davis HR champ +700 400/2800

Encarnacion HR champ +3000 300/9000

Alvarez HR champ +3000 150/4500

Abreu HR champ +3000 400/12000

Stanton HR champ +700 100/700

Bautista o 29.5 hr -125 250/200

Encarnacion o 30.5 hr -115 230/200

Kinsler o 147.5 hits -115 460/400

Posey u 162.5 hits -115 460/400

Pedroia o 165.5 hits -120 1500/1250

Mccutchen o 164.5 hits -125 313/250

Adam Jones o 167.5 hits -115 518/450

Alvarez o 29.5 hr -115 230/200

Heyward o 20.5 hr -115 288/250

Rizzo o 23 hr -115 288/250

CBB

Kentucky National Champs +1000 100/1000

CFB

Mariota Heisman +700 100/700

NFL (far from finished)

Sankey OROY 1150/13950

Cooks OROY 200/2000

Mosley DROY 1100/14700

Shazier DROY 500/4000

NBA

Napier u 23.5 1950/1100

Russ Smith before Kane -180 540/300

Stauskus before Harris -105 1575/1500

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

 

[derek245583]

Awesome list

 

[Frostillicus]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

 

[TheGooRoo]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

Parker was +1000 at the time that bet was placed.

 

[tjnc09]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

Your locals have to take your action and play it somewhere else, no?

 

[modogg]

Placeholder for my Futures action:

NFL (far from finished)

Sankey OROY 1150/13950

Cooks OROY 200/2000

Mosley DROY 1100/14700

Shazier DROY 500/4000

hmm, i was wondering if you had any of these in play? I went waay overboard last year with my ROY of the year plays, basically cancelling most of them out. I have some on Bridgewater since i still think the QBs are the best bets with those, so if any of them have a chance i'll probably put a little on them.

 

[Frostillicus]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

Looks fantastic now.

 

[modogg]

and woah, i see NFL season win totals are out. I imagine some of you already knew this from when they first came out, but i love betting these. I just unfortunately don't have a ton of thoughts right now because i have been waiting for this NBA draft

 

[tjnc09]

Pending

6/25/14 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 911 Chicago White Sox/Baltimore Orioles Under 9 -105* (H Noesi - R must Start U Jimenez - R must Start)

Pending 6/25/14 7:05pm Reduced Baseball 911 Chicago White Sox +149* vs Baltimore Orioles (H Noesi - R must Start U Jimenez - R must Start) Cool bottom of the 8th

 

[swirvenirvin]

Havent started projections yet besides the baseline stuff, but this seems like a pretty good value.

Dood had 580 yards through 5 games last year. I'll take Julio Jones +1200 for most receiving yards

Also will bet a little less on Dem Thomas as +1000

both on sb.ag

 

[TheGooRoo]

Placeholder for my Futures action:

NFL (far from finished)

Sankey OROY 1150/13950

Cooks OROY 200/2000

Mosley DROY 1100/14700

Shazier DROY 500/4000

hmm, i was wondering if you had any of these in play? I went waay overboard last year with my ROY of the year plays, basically cancelling most of them out. I have some on Bridgewater since i still think the QBs are the best bets with those, so if any of them have a chance i'll probably put a little on them.

It's so darn early, I'm just betting early opportunity right now. Plenty of time to move pieces around. Missed my shots with Bell and Brown/Ogletree last year but had enough of Lacy to balance. Playing with house money forever after 35k from RG and Kuech in '12.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Placeholder for my Futures action:

MLB

Nats to win NL east -180 3600/2000

Trout AL MVP +500 250/1250

Harper NL MVP +1200 250/3000

Tulo NL MVP +300 250/750

Tanaka AL CY +350 200/700

Cespedes -3.5 HR+RBI over Puig -115 1150/1000

Chris Davis HR champ +800 250/2000

Chris Davis HR champ +700 400/2800

Encarnacion HR champ +3000 300/9000

Alvarez HR champ +3000 150/4500

Abreu HR champ +3000 400/12000

Stanton HR champ +700 100/700

Bautista o 29.5 hr -125 250/200

Encarnacion o 30.5 hr -115 230/200

Kinsler o 147.5 hits -115 460/400

Posey u 162.5 hits -115 460/400

Pedroia o 165.5 hits -120 1500/1250

Mccutchen o 164.5 hits -125 313/250

Adam Jones o 167.5 hits -115 518/450

Alvarez o 29.5 hr -115 230/200

Heyward o 20.5 hr -115 288/250

Rizzo o 23 hr -115 288/250

CBB

Kentucky National Champs +1000 100/1000

CFB

Mariota Heisman +700 100/700

NFL (far from finished)

Sankey OROY 1150/13950

Cooks OROY 200/2000

Mosley DROY 1100/14700

Shazier DROY 500/4000

NBA

Napier u 23.5 1950/1100

Russ Smith before Kane -180 540/300

Stauskus before Harris -105 1575/1500

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

I'd have to add a zero to all of mine for them to look cool :(

 

[TheGooRoo]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

Your locals have to take your action and play it somewhere else, no?

Not sure what the actual man behind the operation does but I know for certain that the agent plays them.

 

[modogg]

Havent started projections yet besides the baseline stuff, but this seems like a pretty good value.

Dood had 580 yards through 5 games last year. I'll take Julio Jones +1200 for most receiving yards

Also will bet a little less on Dem Thomas as +1000

both on sb.ag

hmm, i like those.

as for NFL win totals, there are some that are appealing. One that caught my eye that i already hit was Was ov 7.5 wins. Haven't even really looked at the schedules yet, so this could be terrible, but i think they can get 3-4 wins in the NFC East. I like if they fall behind they can go to Garcon, D.Jax or Reed, and really at the least D. Jax will open up more space for everyone. A.Mo can run the clock out with the best of them, and Griffin should be looking better since he isn't coming off an immediate injury rushing back

 

[sheerterror]

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250

Wow, when and where did you get this one?

June 13th at 6:16 pm at a local. In hindsight, learned it was a bad bet because allegedly Cleveland had decided on Embiid at that point.

Your locals have to take your action and play it somewhere else, no?

Not sure what the actual man behind the operation does but I know for certain that the agent plays them.

'

I want his job

 

[derek245583]

Ghana Portugal Over 2.5 goals is free money

Ghana needs to win by 2 to have any chance imo

Portugal needs to win by 4 or more probably

So both teams pressing from the opening whistle, and even with a 1-0 lead both teams still pressing.

Portugal probably has a shot if Germany buries USA by 2-3, but they would still need to win by a couple....

Its -165, but its free money

 

[Warsteinner]

Ghana Portugal Over 2.5 goals is free money

Ghana needs to win by 2 to have any chance imo

Portugal needs to win by 4 or more probably

So both teams pressing from the opening whistle, and even with a 1-0 lead both teams still pressing.

Portugal probably has a shot if Germany buries USA by 2-3, but they would still need to win by a couple....

Its -165, but its free money

Over 2.5 is -210 at Bovada. That's expensive even for free money.