FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

[Angry Beavers]

Red Sox/Cards/Reds/Nats pays 5 to 1....

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I like the cut of your jib

 

[The Man With No Name]

Masterson is 3-0 with a 0.38 ERA career at Progressive Field against NYY

 

[got_nugs]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

Will I be able to tail someone in here for the contest?

 

[NIU Kicker]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

In for $100

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

Will I be able to tail someone in here for the contest?

just fade me

 

[TheGooRoo]

Masterson is 3-0 with a 0.38 ERA career at Progressive Field against NYY

Check lineups before game. If opponent bats fewer than 5 lefties against Masters, back him. If its exactly 5, pass. If its greater than 5, fade him.

 

[Angry Beavers]

In for an LVH style contest complete with the stipulation

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

Will I be able to tail someone in here for the contest?

The real contest allows you get get/buy picks from anywhere, don't see why we should be different.

I'll give this its own dedicated thread once we get closer to American football season.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

alternative could be to have everyone pony up and have one FFAWT entry in the Contest. Could be fun debating the 5 games and whatnot. Although, could have a cluster factor where we would need a "Team Captain" to keep things organized. Then again, the cluster could be part of the fun

 

[tonydead]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

Will I be able to tail someone in here for the contest?

The real contest allows you get get/buy picks from anywhere, don't see why we should be different.

I'll give this its own dedicated thread once we get closer to American football season.

IN.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

alternative could be to have everyone pony up and have one FFAWT entry in the Contest. Could be fun debating the 5 games and whatnot. Although, could have a cluster factor where we would need a "Team Captain" to keep things organized. Then again, the cluster could be part of the fun

Or do both.

 

[Angry Beavers]

GPJ is thinking! I like the both idea as well!

 

[got_nugs]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

alternative could be to have everyone pony up and have one FFAWT entry in the Contest. Could be fun debating the 5 games and whatnot. Although, could have a cluster factor where we would need a "Team Captain" to keep things organized. Then again, the cluster could be part of the fun

Or do both.

:mindblown:

 

[The Ref]

If you have the attention span, interesting conversation among Haralabos, Chad, a bookie and Glenn from The Walking Dead.

Jesus. How did you watch that. The guy on the left kept cutting everyone off. i wanted to punch him in the jellycock.

 

[The Ref]

Fat man recommendation.

Coldstone - Coffee ice cream with heath bar and caramel. Best ice cream going.

 

[facook]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

Will I be able to tail someone in here for the contest?

The real contest allows you get get/buy picks from anywhere, don't see why we should be different.

I'll give this its own dedicated thread once we get closer to American football season.

IN.

I'd donate my $50 to participate.

 

[Tiger Fan]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

alternative could be to have everyone pony up and have one FFAWT entry in the Contest. Could be fun debating the 5 games and whatnot. Although, could have a cluster factor where we would need a "Team Captain" to keep things organized. Then again, the cluster could be part of the fun

Or do both.

Now we're cooking with gas!

 

[Raider Nation]

In for an LVH style contest complete with the stipulation

I'm in for whatever amount, but I can't commit to the stipulation. Unless I'm reading it incorrectly, you have to be in LV in person to enter the contest. I can't guarantee I'll be able to be present. Not to mention that even in the unlikely event that I win, that $1,500 will be blown 30 minutes later.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Think you can sign up with a proxy? Woz?

 

[Tiger Fan]

RN - what TV did you get? Looking for one I can move inside and outdoors easily

I'm at a cookout but it has 420 in the model number. $378 before tax. Beautiful picture for the price.

Thx

ooh i'm looking for a new TV. any thoughts would be greatly appreciated

Haven't pulled the trigger yet, but probably going to get this one as a tv I can easily move inside and outside during football season: http://www.amazon.com/LG-Electronics-42LN5300-42-Inch-1080p/dp/B00BB0ZTO0

 

[modogg]

RN - what TV did you get? Looking for one I can move inside and outdoors easily

I'm at a cookout but it has 420 in the model number. $378 before tax. Beautiful picture for the price.

Thx

ooh i'm looking for a new TV. any thoughts would be greatly appreciated

Haven't pulled the trigger yet, but probably going to get this one as a tv I can easily move inside and outside during football season: http://www.amazon.com/LG-Electronics-42LN5300-42-Inch-1080p/dp/B00BB0ZTO0

 

[TheGooRoo]

Teheran -139

 

[Warsteinner]

I had an awesome idea yesterday:

This year for NFL season, we do a capping contest which mirrors the LVH's SuperContest: 5 picks every week ATS, winner gets the big prize. Except we have some mandate that whomever wins the FFAWT capping contest uses their winnings to enter the big one at the LVH next year. It's $1500, I figure it shouldn't be too hard to get 30 people at $50 per head or something. Genius amirite?

alternative could be to have everyone pony up and have one FFAWT entry in the Contest. Could be fun debating the 5 games and whatnot. Although, could have a cluster factor where we would need a "Team Captain" to keep things organized. Then again, the cluster could be part of the fun

Or do both.

:mindblown:

In either way

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Huh, so apparently you have to make picks in person or designate a proxy (like these guys: http://www.footballcontestproxy.com/) to put in picks for you.

Fallback plan is we just have a SuperContest-style game amongst ourselves strictly for the .

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I also do another contest where you get a set amount (say 10,000 units) and you can wager as much as you want each week through the Super Bowl...biggest bankroll at the end wins

It's run on officefootballpool...not sure the hosting fee but they have quite a few different games like that

 

[Tiger Fan]

atl -121

reds -153

laa -165

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k5hWWe-ts2s

 

[Tiger Fan]

Teheran -139

still a play at -155?

 

[cheese]

IN for the fball contest at $100 or less per man

 

[swirvenirvin]

1.5 - Frazier over Schierholtz -140

1.5 - Rizzo under 2 -140

1 - Cueto under 7.5 k -110

1 - Frazier over 2 -115

1 - Wood over 4 k -130

 

[ChainsawU]

If you have the attention span, interesting conversation among Haralabos, Chad, a bookie and Glenn from The Walking Dead.

Jesus. How did you watch that. The guy on the left kept cutting everyone off. i wanted to punch him in the jellycock.

Watched the whole thing. Thought it might have been stale when they started talking about how the Ravens shocked bettors by making it to the big show after years of one-and-done in the playoffs, but it turned out to be pretty relevant, entertaining, and informative. I think the dude on the left is Haralabos, right? How the hell he only bets NBA is nuts, and then turns around and says football seems totally random and arbitrary to him. That is one interesting perspective right there. Shows you everyone thinks differently. That is an extreme difference in perception and seems the exact opposite opposite compared to anything I have ever heard of.

Pretty cool hearing them talk about how Pinny sets the lines, how public action (doesn't) influences the line/moves, and then about how they set the lines not based on what number they think the game will land on, but by the perception of the gamblers - especially on Sunday night/Monday night football games when people are looking to break even/make it all back in one game. They absolutely see you coming in those games. It makes you want to tread really carefully on Sunday/Monday nights, especially at the end of the month when you are betting on credit, Jesus Christ. Add "putting yourself in the position to want/need to win it all back at the EOM in one game" to GPJ's list of what not to do - aong with martingdailing and betting craploads on huge faves.

Also around 33:00 Harabalos talks about tweaking his system in the short term and understanding how models are proven to be stable in the short/long term. I also liked how Harabalos got into it with the bookie around 25:00. There is a reason for the huge buffer zone between him and the bookie dude on the far right. I also liked how Harabalos said he started out as a situational handicapper and made a lot of money that way and kind of emphasized that as a legit way to do things.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Cin ( Day game - game 1)/Oak parlay

GLTA
AB

 

[TheGooRoo]

Teheran -139

still a play at -155?

Yes, not to exceed. Much more comfortable under 50 though.

 

[Tiger Fan]

Teheran -139

still a play at -155?

Yes, not to exceed. Much more comfortable under 50 though.

thx gb

 

[LOCO]

Brazil to advance. -113

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Brazil to advance. -113

Yeah, think I'm going to be on them too.

 

[tonydead]

Brazil to advance. -113

Yeah, think I'm going to be on them too.

Ah, oh.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Brazil to advance. -113

Yeah, think I'm going to be on them too.

Ah, oh.

I should add, this is a completely action-y/gut play and not at all backed by logic, math, numbers, all that ####.

 

[John Bender]

I'm down to gambool on football 5 picks a week. Seems like every year we talk about it but I only remember getting it together once when I set it up and DerekNumbers held the dough. Maybe I just missed the boat the past few years.

I have a coworker who lives in Vegas that would out the lvh bets in for us.

 

[swirvenirvin]

1.5 - Frazier over Schierholtz -140 Push

1.5 - Rizzo under 2 -140 Winner

1 - Cueto under 7.5 k -110 Winner

1 - Frazier over 2 -115 Loser

1 - Wood over 4 k -130 Winner

3-1-1 start

1. 5 - DeGroom +1.5 over Teheran -110 Winner

1 - Norris over 4.5 -130

1 - N. Cruz over 2 -125

1 - Adrian Gonzalez under 2 -125 Loser 4 in the first

1 - Justin Upton under 2 -105 Push

1 - Pedroia under 2.5 -150 Loser

1.5 - Zobrist over Hosmer -115 Loser

1.5 - Peacock over 4.5 k's -110 Winner

1 - Wily Peralta under 5 k's -125 Winner

1 - Braun over 2.5 +130

1 - Dickey under 6 k's -150 Winner

1 - Chris Young under 4.5 k's -120 Loser

1 - Lucroy over 2 -120 Winner

1 - Kendrick under 4.5 k's -125 Winner

1 - Carpenter over 2 +110 Winner

1 - Worley under 4.5 k's -125 Winner

1 - Morales over 4 k's -115 Winner

1 - Werth under 2 -140

1.5 - Danks over 5 -125 Loser

1 - Hosmer under 2 - 130 Loser

1 - Sean Rodriguez under 2 -160 Winner

1 - Andrus under 2 -140 Winner

 

[Raider Nation]

Brazil needs a special teams TD.

 

[Raider Nation]

My ex, the Brazilian #### I lived with for 3 years lives and breathes Brazil soccer.

Hope she's crying right now.

 

[ArbyMelt]

Sweating my 6 pt teaser with Brazil

 

[swirvenirvin]

Germany over 6.5 +485903485093845908

Also took Brazil in live betting to win in regulation for +24t0578340985390485093825d

 

[tonydead]

4 goals in a span of 6 minutes, wholly crap, that's got to be some kind of all time record for fotbol.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Played Worley u 4.5 k's -125 at sportsbetting.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Played Worley u 4.5 k's -125 at sportsbetting.

 

[TheGooRoo]

Played Worley u 4.5 k's -125 at sportsbetting.

Add on, that's stronger than 1u brothaman.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Played Worley u 4.5 k's -125 at sportsbetting.

Add on, that's stronger than 1u brothaman.

I did. Just messing around with the stats right now when I get some free time at work

Had my buddy to a data dump that sends me the batter vs pitcher stats daily, then I am doing some manipulating on some other things with them. Will take some time to see some plays are stronger than others