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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

Baltimore lead the league in homers. I'm taking their ML. Action on the game, the two-team ML parlay of the late games seems like it's going to screw someone, I'm not laying that juice on the Angels who have cooled off after a specific, definable period of time (after the ASB), Tillman's record as the underdog, and the Orioles' record as the underdog. And then the whole home run thing. I'm taking Baltimore.

 
Garrett Richards has started two games versus Detroit. The Angels outscored the Tigers by a combined 23-0 in those two games. The Tigers have played two three-game series in Anaheim since 2012. They are 0-6 SU in those six games. They haven't won there since July 6, 2011. Before the Tigers' two wins versus the Halos back in April they were 0-10 SU versus the Angels since Sep 7, 2012.

 
ChainsawU said:
Garrett Richards has started two games versus Detroit. The Angels outscored the Tigers by a combined 23-0 in those two games. The Tigers have played two three-game series in Anaheim since 2012. They are 0-6 SU in those six games. They haven't won there since July 6, 2011. Before the Tigers' two wins versus the Halos back in April they were 0-10 SU versus the Angels since Sep 7, 2012.
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Tigers have won their last two games versus the Angels this season after losing a crapload in the matchup between these two teams. And I still think Angels are cold. Scherzer's four starts with the Tigers against the Angels since 2012: 29 IP, 5 R, 15 H, 8 BB, 36 K. I didn't check to see who all the dudes were that are still on the Angels' roster after all that time though. But I played the Tigers anyway. Besides maybe the White Sox I think you can make an arguement that the Tigers are a much better offense than any of Richards' L7 opponents. So I'm rolling with them. Plus I hate the Angels right now.

And then for the early game. Alvarez ran naked into the Mets' rape fest when they were putting it all together on folks back before the break. But aside from that he has allowed two or fewer runs in his past nine starts. And the Braves rank 27th in the MLB in runs scored. Same thing I mentioned with Richards applies to Harang regarding who he's pitched against recently: Philly 3x, Houston, Arizona, and the Mets. Even though Harang did face the Mets amidst that same sickening sex fest they were putting together against their opponents back before the break and survived it.

Anyway, two dogs to help me get my fix tomorrow. I'm rolling with Marlins in the early game at 133. I didn't want to fade Iwakuma in the late game, and Chen has weird SU results when he starts two consecutive games on the road. So action junk on the Tigers in the late game at 116. I'm not trying to lay any juice tomorrow. I'm just trying to kick back. Cheers dudes.

 
Went back and grabbed record from basbeball props.

Been fairly avg besides the 1 or 2 good days.

61-39 +11.8

broken down:

pitching props 32-16 +12.275

player individual 19-14 +.65

player HTH 9-9 -1.25

 
Hudson under 5k's -130 Loser

Hamels under 6.5k's +110 Loser

Beltre over 2 -130 Loser

Ellsbury under 2.5 -150 Winner

 
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The Ref said:
Seems like sprotsbook posted games of the year for NCAA. I'm shut off generaly speaking but they are allowing 330/300 bets for anyone I guess.

Here is what I like, be interested in anyone's thoughts.

Wazzu -5 @ Nevada No problem laying less then a TD here

Baylor -27 @ Buff This will be on the other side of 28 come kickoff.

Stanford PK @ Wash I dont get this line. Stanford is a better team by a mile

Temple +15 @ Hou I dont think they will catch > two TD at kickoff, but I like Temple this year compared to last

ECU -13.5 Vs Uconn I think this will be on the other side of 14

Ariz St PK @ Ariz It's later in the year and Ariz should get it's self put together by now, but Ariz St is just a much more experienced team.

SC -1.5 @ Clemson SEC over ACC that isn't Fla St.
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:kicksrock:

 
Starters making their first start at Wrigley versus Edwin Jackson are 6-1 SU against an average line of -112.5. link

I think the Pads might be getting too much public love to play them though.

 
The Ref said:
The Ref said:
Seems like sprotsbook posted games of the year for NCAA. I'm shut off generaly speaking but they are allowing 330/300 bets for anyone I guess.

Here is what I like, be interested in anyone's thoughts.

Wazzu -5 @ Nevada No problem laying less then a TD here

Baylor -27 @ Buff This will be on the other side of 28 come kickoff.

Stanford PK @ Wash I dont get this line. Stanford is a better team by a mile

Temple +15 @ Hou I dont think they will catch > two TD at kickoff, but I like Temple this year compared to last

ECU -13.5 Vs Uconn I think this will be on the other side of 14

Ariz St PK @ Ariz It's later in the year and Ariz should get it's self put together by now, but Ariz St is just a much more experienced team.

SC -1.5 @ Clemson SEC over ACC that isn't Fla St.
Click to expand...
:kicksrock:
Click to expand...
How was LSU/WIS not on that list/

 
Tiger Fan said:
The Ref said:
The Ref said:
Seems like sprotsbook posted games of the year for NCAA. I'm shut off generaly speaking but they are allowing 330/300 bets for anyone I guess.

Here is what I like, be interested in anyone's thoughts.

Wazzu -5 @ Nevada No problem laying less then a TD here

Baylor -27 @ Buff This will be on the other side of 28 come kickoff.

Stanford PK @ Wash I dont get this line. Stanford is a better team by a mile

Temple +15 @ Hou I dont think they will catch > two TD at kickoff, but I like Temple this year compared to last

ECU -13.5 Vs Uconn I think this will be on the other side of 14

Ariz St PK @ Ariz It's later in the year and Ariz should get it's self put together by now, but Ariz St is just a much more experienced team.

SC -1.5 @ Clemson SEC over ACC that isn't Fla St.
Click to expand...
:kicksrock:
Click to expand...
How was LSU/WIS not on that list/
Click to expand...
Good question. Maybe cause it's moved around a bunch?

 
Joe, personally speaking, I don't feel comfortable betting any CFB games until week 3 or so. You can read Phil's magazine cover-to-cover five times, think you know everything about every team, and then something crazy happens because these are 18, 19, 20-year-old kids. Until I see something on tape for the new season, it's a crapshoot. How many times have we seen early-season shockers?

Ahem...

 
Raider Nation said:
Joe, personally speaking, I don't feel comfortable betting any CFB games until week 3 or so. You can read Phil's magazine cover-to-cover five times, think you know everything about every team, and then something crazy happens because these are 18, 19, 20-year-old kids. Until I see something on tape for the new season, it's a crapshoot. How many times have we seen early-season shockers?

Ahem...
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Stop trying to make so much GD sense......

I'm still hammering BG -7.5 in week 1.

 
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Raider Nation said:
Joe, personally speaking, I don't feel comfortable betting any CFB games until week 3 or so. You can read Phil's magazine cover-to-cover five times, think you know everything about every team, and then something crazy happens because these are 18, 19, 20-year-old kids. Until I see something on tape for the new season, it's a crapshoot. How many times have we seen early-season shockers?

Ahem...
Click to expand...
can't wait to bump this week one when you're up til 3AM chasing the Hawaii 2h over

 
I don't think so. I'm going to be hugely distracted most of the fall. I am house/condo-hunting and that process is exhausting. And moving BLOWS.

 
ChainsawU said:
ChainsawU said:
Garrett Richards has started two games versus Detroit. The Angels outscored the Tigers by a combined 23-0 in those two games. The Tigers have played two three-game series in Anaheim since 2012. They are 0-6 SU in those six games. They haven't won there since July 6, 2011. Before the Tigers' two wins versus the Halos back in April they were 0-10 SU versus the Angels since Sep 7, 2012.
Click to expand...
Tigers have won their last two games versus the Angels this season after losing a crapload in the matchup between these two teams. And I still think Angels are cold. Scherzer's four starts with the Tigers against the Angels since 2012: 29 IP, 5 R, 15 H, 8 BB, 36 K. I didn't check to see who all the dudes were that are still on the Angels' roster after all that time though. But I played the Tigers anyway. Besides maybe the White Sox I think you can make an arguement that the Tigers are a much better offense than any of Richards' L7 opponents. So I'm rolling with them. Plus I hate the Angels right now.

And then for the early game. Alvarez ran naked into the Mets' rape fest when they were putting it all together on folks back before the break. But aside from that he has allowed two or fewer runs in his past nine starts. And the Braves rank 27th in the MLB in runs scored. Same thing I mentioned with Richards applies to Harang regarding who he's pitched against recently: Philly 3x, Houston, Arizona, and the Mets. Even though Harang did face the Mets amidst that same sickening sex fest they were putting together against their opponents back before the break and survived it.

Anyway, two dogs to help me get my fix tomorrow. I'm rolling with Marlins in the early game at 133. I didn't want to fade Iwakuma in the late game, and Chen has weird SU results when he starts two consecutive games on the road. So action junk on the Tigers in the late game at 116. I'm not trying to lay any juice tomorrow. I'm just trying to kick back. Cheers dudes.
Click to expand...
Fwiw, I tailed and parlayed both of these to win one unit. Yeah marlins!

 
Interesting bet here. Like RGIII here but Julio if he stays good could take it I think. Could see Gronk going nuts too. Guess too hard to tell now

2014-15 NFL Comeback Player of the Year
08:00 PM 301 Robert Griffin III +150 302 Julio Jones +250 304 Percy Harvin +500 305 Field (Any Other Player) +300 306 Rob Gronkowski +500
 
Played 36 holes of golf today in brutal humidity at the Atlantic City country Club. Headed to the Taj Mahal. Win, they had a room, a nice Chairman's Lounge too at a good price. No time to shower

Had a nice steak at Roberts.

Can't wait to get to Scores. A/C is broken in Scores! Covered in 3 women while I sweat profusely who are looking for 40 bucks a piece to make me sweatier. Gross. First time I've ever had to leave a strip club.

They govern the a/C in the rooms now too apparently. Wow this city is on its way out.

Eta: 25 women, not a single blond. Awful

 
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Forgot to mention... Finally I told the strippers I'd pay one of them 200 bucks to wave a menu at me as a fan for 30 minutes. One of the better looking women did it. :lmao:

 
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Desire and Fantasies will get it done in Prov. Foxy is more difficult. Gotta pay the server well to stay out of the room, and even then nothing is guaranteed.

 
Sup dudes. Just wanted to share this real quick about the Dodgers tomorrow. They're offered at -123 right now and I think it looks good. The Giants will be playing B2B flying East Coast to West Coast and the Dodgers just had a day off. Zack Greinke is 5-0 SU and 5-0 to the under in his starts with the Dodgers following a day off for the team. He went 33.2 IP and allowed 4 R, 17 H, and 8 BB with 27 K. That's an ERA of 1.07 with a WHIP of 0.743. Opposing teams scored a total of four runs in those five games and three of those teams were totally shut out. In the games where Greinke was pitching on 5 days rest he went a total of 15.1 innings with 0 runs allowed. Both were road games at the Phillies and D-Backs, both of whom were totally shut out. As far as the Dodgers offense goes, they have scored 7,9,7,5,5 runs in their 5 games after a day off since May. And all of those were on the road.

So, it's basically fading the Giants after B2B East Coast to West Coast and then also taking advantage of the Dodgers and Greinke after a day off. I didn't check the lineups or anything, and I know the Dodgers have a few injuries, so if that is your thing you may want to wait. I took the Dodgers though. Cheers dudes.

 
ChainsawU said:
Sup dudes. Just wanted to share this real quick about the Dodgers tomorrow. They're offered at -123 right now and I think it looks good. The Giants will be playing B2B flying East Coast to West Coast and the Dodgers just had a day off. Zack Greinke is 5-0 SU and 5-0 to the under in his starts with the Dodgers following a day off for the team. He went 33.2 IP and allowed 4 R, 17 H, and 8 BB with 27 K. That's an ERA of 1.07 with a WHIP of 0.743. Opposing teams scored a total of four runs in those five games and three of those teams were totally shut out. In the games where Greinke was pitching on 5 days rest he went a total of 15.1 innings with 0 runs allowed. Both were road games at the Phillies and D-Backs, both of whom were totally shut out. As far as the Dodgers offense goes, they have scored 7,9,7,5,5 runs in their 5 games after a day off since May. And all of those were on the road.

So, it's basically fading the Giants after B2B East Coast to West Coast and then also taking advantage of the Dodgers and Greinke after a day off. I didn't check the lineups or anything, and I know the Dodgers have a few injuries, so if that is your thing you may want to wait. I took the Dodgers though. Cheers dudes.

IN. lets get some Saw.
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Yankees are 20-2 SU (16-0 L16) at home versus the Blue Jays since 2012. Kuroda started three of those games. He pitched 21 innings and allowed 3R, 12 H, and 2 BB with 13 K. I think Yankees -134 looks good for the early game and then the Dodgers in the late game for action junkie greatness all night long.

 
swirvenirvin said:
ChainsawU said:
Doug Eddings was the 1B umpire in Anaheim tonight so he will rotate to home plate tomorrow. He's an under dude.
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Is there anyway to tell avg strikeouts per HP umpire?
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http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/tsnform.aspx?c=sportsnetwork&page=gaming/baseball/mlb/umpires.aspx

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1673715

http://www.statfox.com/mlb/umpiremain.asp

http://stats.predictem.com/Stats/Umpires/Baseball/MLB

http://www.thelogicalapproach.com/umpire_2014_website.htm

I haven't checked these in a while but this is all the stuff I have for umps.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Chain. Which one do you like better- yanks or dodgers? Have a $500 free bet to play :excited:
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God dang! That's some coin. I would let line movement tell me what to do. Like back on July 2 when Cueto was in SD. It was so easy to take the Reds that day because, it's Cueto.. and the Pads. Yet they kept lowering the price on the Reds, down to like -110, -115. I took the Pads 105 that day and it was a hard bet to make. But sure enough the Pads scored 3 in the 1st inning and ended up winning 3-0. I will tell you what is nuts though, is that Jerome Williams is pitching for the Rangers today. Versus Oakland. So there's that, there is the under in Anaheim, there is a heat index in the 100s today at Kaufmann with wind blowing out and they scored about 2 runs there yesterday in an extra inning game that probably taxed both pens..

 
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