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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

TheGooRoo said:
Placeholder for my Futures action:

MLB

Nats to win NL east -180 3600/2000

Trout AL MVP +500 250/1250

Harper NL MVP +1200 250/3000

Tulo NL MVP +300 250/750

Tanaka AL CY +350 200/700

Cespedes -3.5 HR+RBI over Puig -115 1150/1000

Chris Davis HR champ +800 250/2000

Chris Davis HR champ +700 400/2800

Encarnacion HR champ +3000 300/9000

Alvarez HR champ +3000 150/4500

Abreu HR champ +3000 400/12000

Stanton HR champ +700 100/700

Bautista o 29.5 hr -125 250/200

Encarnacion o 30.5 hr -115 230/200

Kinsler o 147.5 hits -115 460/400

Posey u 162.5 hits -115 460/400

Pedroia o 165.5 hits -120 1500/1250

Mccutchen o 164.5 hits -125 313/250

Adam Jones o 167.5 hits -115 518/450

Alvarez o 29.5 hr -115 230/200

Heyward o 20.5 hr -115 288/250

Rizzo o 23 hr -115 288/250

CBB

Kentucky National Champs +1000 100/1000

CFB

Mariota Heisman +700 100/700

NFL (far from finished)

Sankey OROY 1150/13950

Cooks OROY 200/2000

Mosley DROY 1100/14700

Shazier DROY 500/4000

NBA

Napier u 23.5 1950/1100

Russ Smith before Kane -180 540/300

Stauskus before Harris -105 1575/1500

Wiggins 1st overall +250 500/1250
Click to expand...
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.

 
Donkey Derp said:
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.
Click to expand...
Those are the two that I liked pre-camp and without any developments. West, Bridgewater, Hill, and Manziel present some value and are worth monitoring. No value in Watkins at this number imo. Camp situations will dictate further action. Lines move rather slowly, if a major development happens we should be able to get in on any of these guys at a nice number.

 
TheGooRoo said:
Donkey Derp said:
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.
Click to expand...
Those are the two that I liked pre-camp and without any developments. West, Bridgewater, Hill, and Manziel present some value and are worth monitoring. No value in Watkins at this number imo. Camp situations will dictate further action. Lines move rather slowly, if a major development happens we should be able to get in on any of these guys at a nice number.
Click to expand...
I have a hard time betting QBs, RBs & WRs are where its all at imho.

 
Leroy Hoard said:
TheGooRoo said:
Donkey Derp said:
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.
Click to expand...
Those are the two that I liked pre-camp and without any developments. West, Bridgewater, Hill, and Manziel present some value and are worth monitoring. No value in Watkins at this number imo. Camp situations will dictate further action. Lines move rather slowly, if a major development happens we should be able to get in on any of these guys at a nice number.
Click to expand...
I have a hard time betting QBs, RBs & WRs are where its all at imho.
Click to expand...
Is this specific to this class or every year in general?

 
TheGooRoo said:
Leroy Hoard said:
TheGooRoo said:
Donkey Derp said:
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.
Click to expand...
Those are the two that I liked pre-camp and without any developments. West, Bridgewater, Hill, and Manziel present some value and are worth monitoring. No value in Watkins at this number imo. Camp situations will dictate further action. Lines move rather slowly, if a major development happens we should be able to get in on any of these guys at a nice number.
Click to expand...
I have a hard time betting QBs, RBs & WRs are where its all at imho.
Click to expand...
Is this specific to this class or every year in general?
Click to expand...
Most years the QB has a slower/harder road to go, but I'm not sure how the past results actually pan out.

edit :qbs have done well in recent years, I guess I'm just not big on this years rookie Qbs :shrug:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Football_League_Rookie_of_the_Year_Award#Offensive_ROTY_Winners_.281967.E2.80.93present.29

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Parlay

Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
Yankees +1.5 (-160)
Athletics ML (-220)

Straight up

Reds ML (-145)

Rockies / Cubs U 7.5 (EV)

Blue Jays +1.5 (-165)
Yankees +1.5 (-160)
Athletics ML (-220)



BOL

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Leroy Hoard said:
TheGooRoo said:
Leroy Hoard said:
TheGooRoo said:
Donkey Derp said:
Are Cooks and Sankey still your frontrunners for OROY value? Everything out there so far about Cooks is extremely impressive.
Click to expand...
Those are the two that I liked pre-camp and without any developments. West, Bridgewater, Hill, and Manziel present some value and are worth monitoring. No value in Watkins at this number imo. Camp situations will dictate further action. Lines move rather slowly, if a major development happens we should be able to get in on any of these guys at a nice number.
Click to expand...
I have a hard time betting QBs, RBs & WRs are where its all at imho.
Click to expand...
Is this specific to this class or every year in general?
Click to expand...
Most years the QB has a slower/harder road to go, but I'm not sure how the past results actually pan out.edit :qbs have done well in recent years, I guess I'm just not big on this years rookie Qbs :shrug:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Football_League_Rookie_of_the_Year_Award#Offensive_ROTY_Winners_.281967.E2.80.93present.29
Click to expand...
Bridgewater is my pick.

 
ChainsawU said:
Dan Lambskin said:
I had never heard of Josh Harrison before today, yet somehow he's an Allstar? Neat sport
Click to expand...
That's on you, bro. Dude is a playmaker. Take a look at this (there might be an ad before the video): link

It was the first time I had ever seen a man successfully avoid a rundown. He didn't score that inning, but he would eventually win the game with a walk-off double in the eleventh. I had the Pirates +104 and +327 live. The line closed at -145.
Click to expand...
He did it again. http://nesn.com/2014/07/pittsburgh-pirates-josh-harrison-escapes-rundown-with-crazy-moves-video/

 
Some nasty #### Bumgarner is 6-1 to the over at home after making his previous start away. link

Fade the hot streak though. Me an my boy have been getting throwed for the last two days. The EOM #### is good though right. SSlick Rick.

 
Just finished up to GB.

Both of those Manziels under's.

Dont think Lacy get's 12 with Rodgers back

nevermind that is fair see its rushing and receiving

 
Last edited by a moderator:
For some reason I thought it was a good idea to tail Game Hunter tonight so I put $5 each on a 6 way round robin by 2s/3s/4s/5s/6s (52 bets).

If Arizona/Cincy (2/1 in the 15th) ends under 7.5 runs he will sweep tonights games. I can't wait to see how i'll lose this under.

 
NIU Kicker said:
TheGooRoo said:
NIU Kicker said:
TheGooRoo said:
NIU Kicker said:
Bridgewater is my pick.
Click to expand...
I have a local that has Bridgewater o/u 12.5 td passes.
Click to expand...
Over. He is already splitting time 50/50 at the start of camp. They want him to play.....
Click to expand...
What else you got for me big guy?http://awesomescreenshot.com/07b383p640
Click to expand...
Gronk over I thinks a good value. The guy averages just under a TD a game and is slated to play week 1.
Click to expand...
Yep. You're essentially betting that he will play 9+ game this year.

 
Re: craps.

1. Highest EV is playing don't pass with max odds - bud considered bad karma if you're into that sort of thing

2. Next highest EV (slightly higher) is playing pass with max odds

If I'm by myself, I'll do #2 if I can afford it. If I'm with a big group, I'll play the pass with some odds and then across the board (all #s). On a $5 table, that's about $50ish that gets wiped out if a 7 comes.

It's fun as he'll to have action of every number. Just have to have the balls to walk away if the table is cold.

 
Nice job on 2k pages. We still need to have an annual picnic with various games of feat with the GMTAN thread.

Nugs, thank you, I owe you a Pm back, but if you check the buy a house or rent thread, you'll see my need for advice has waned.

 
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