What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

Kershaw is 0-5 SU in his L5 home starts after making his previous two starts on the road. Five of his last six home losses came after he made his previous two starts on the road: May 28, May 11, Sep 13, Aug 27, and Jul 12.

 
Braves 100/190

Braves o2½ 100/145

Braves/Dodgers o5½ 115/100

You could argue that you don't tug on Superman's cape or whatever. But it is what it is. Last night I went to bed thinking it would be cool to check out what the Dodgers had done after blowing a save. I didn't expect it to be so blatant - and let's face it, it could be more random. I also liked how every game was versus the same opponent as the day before, and not the first game of a series versus a different team - because of the revenge factor. Also, the home team is 4-15 SU in home plate umpire Mike DiMuro's games this season with an over of 10-7-2. The Dodgers are 0-3 SU and 3-0 to the over in DiMuro's L3 games behind home plate at Chavez Ravine (one game each in '14, '13, and '10) and the Dodgers lost those three games by a total of 18 runs. Also, the Braves OPS versus LHP (.751) is a lot better than their OPS versus RHP (.666). So I don't think six runs is asking too much, especially at those odds. So what the hell - let's see if the Braves can get three of them. Cheers dudes.
like it
yeah, still reeling from that last UFC event, but this looks like one i can jump back into the fire with. Go braves!
Careful there, big fella. You're pulling on Superman's cape tonight.

 
Next juicy bonus they offer amen
this will be tomorrow
50% bonus on Sunday.
any details on this anywhere?
Not that I see right now.
I'm confused...are you saying that you know of a 50% bonus at SB on Sunday or you are just speculating?
I got the email for Sunday.
just checked my trash. i must've deleted it on the fly :thumbup:

 
Kershaw is 0-5 SU in his L5 home starts after making his previous two starts on the road. Five of his last six home losses came after he made his previous two starts on the road: May 28, May 11, Sep 13, Aug 27, and Jul 12.
Not doubting the lean at all...I just can't make myself place 3 bets vs. him in one night...that's all. Hope you're right though :thumbup:

 
Braves 100/190

Braves o2½ 100/145

Braves/Dodgers o5½ 115/100

You could argue that you don't tug on Superman's cape or whatever. But it is what it is. Last night I went to bed thinking it would be cool to check out what the Dodgers had done after blowing a save. I didn't expect it to be so blatant - and let's face it, it could be more random. I also liked how every game was versus the same opponent as the day before, and not the first game of a series versus a different team - because of the revenge factor. Also, the home team is 4-15 SU in home plate umpire Mike DiMuro's games this season with an over of 10-7-2. The Dodgers are 0-3 SU and 3-0 to the over in DiMuro's L3 games behind home plate at Chavez Ravine (one game each in '14, '13, and '10) and the Dodgers lost those three games by a total of 18 runs. Also, the Braves OPS versus LHP (.751) is a lot better than their OPS versus RHP (.666). So I don't think six runs is asking too much, especially at those odds. So what the hell - let's see if the Braves can get three of them. Cheers dudes.
like it
yeah, still reeling from that last UFC event, but this looks like one i can jump back into the fire with. Go braves!
Careful there, big fella. You're pulling on Superman's cape tonight.
i'll pull on Super's cape, I'll spit into the wind. I'll pull the mask off the Old Lone Ranger, and you can't #### with me and my men.

I'm betting nobody can guess the song here.......

 
Braves 100/190

Braves o2½ 100/145

Braves/Dodgers o5½ 115/100

You could argue that you don't tug on Superman's cape or whatever. But it is what it is. Last night I went to bed thinking it would be cool to check out what the Dodgers had done after blowing a save. I didn't expect it to be so blatant - and let's face it, it could be more random. I also liked how every game was versus the same opponent as the day before, and not the first game of a series versus a different team - because of the revenge factor. Also, the home team is 4-15 SU in home plate umpire Mike DiMuro's games this season with an over of 10-7-2. The Dodgers are 0-3 SU and 3-0 to the over in DiMuro's L3 games behind home plate at Chavez Ravine (one game each in '14, '13, and '10) and the Dodgers lost those three games by a total of 18 runs. Also, the Braves OPS versus LHP (.751) is a lot better than their OPS versus RHP (.666). So I don't think six runs is asking too much, especially at those odds. So what the hell - let's see if the Braves can get three of them. Cheers dudes.
like it
yeah, still reeling from that last UFC event, but this looks like one i can jump back into the fire with. Go braves!
Careful there, big fella. You're pulling on Superman's cape tonight.
i'll pull on Super's cape, I'll spit into the wind. I'll pull the mask off the Old Lone Ranger, and you can't #### with me and my men.

I'm betting nobody can guess the song here.......
..........AZ

 
That's a good ol' beer drinking song around these parts. It's also good for listening to while playing some of them good ol' pocket billiards.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
So I know RN posted in here awhile ago about one of his pet peeves is the fact that the pro wrestling page gets on page 1 too much. i would like to argue there are worse threads that are up there a bit.

I would like to argue that the Big Brother spoilers thread is much worse then the Pro Wrestling threads could ever be.

discuss....

 
So I know RN posted in here awhile ago about one of his pet peeves is the fact that the pro wrestling page gets on page 1 too much. i would like to argue there are worse threads that are up there a bit.

I would like to argue that the Big Brother spoilers thread is much worse then the Pro Wrestling threads could ever be.

discuss....
The Bachelor

/thread

 
So I know RN posted in here awhile ago about one of his pet peeves is the fact that the pro wrestling page gets on page 1 too much. i would like to argue there are worse threads that are up there a bit.

I would like to argue that the Big Brother spoilers thread is much worse then the Pro Wrestling threads could ever be.

discuss....
The Bachelor

/thread
hmm yeah that has to be bad. But we are talking Big Brother 16 here. What the hell could possibly happen on that show tha would be worth spending 10 seconds to write about?

 
Dunno, haven't watched it in years. Back in the day they had hot chicks, and if you watched the Showtime version (BB After Hours) you'd occasionally catch some nudity.

 
So I know RN posted in here awhile ago about one of his pet peeves is the fact that the pro wrestling page gets on page 1 too much. i would like to argue there are worse threads that are up there a bit.

I would like to argue that the Big Brother spoilers thread is much worse then the Pro Wrestling threads could ever be.

discuss....
:bag:

 
So I know RN posted in here awhile ago about one of his pet peeves is the fact that the pro wrestling page gets on page 1 too much. i would like to argue there are worse threads that are up there a bit.

I would like to argue that the Big Brother spoilers thread is much worse then the Pro Wrestling threads could ever be.

discuss....
:bag:
lol, explain it to me. I watched it the other week (long story but we are in a hotel with not many channels). seemed real annoying, but why in the world would there need to be a Big Brother spoiler thread. I get a Big Brother thread, and can accept that it could make sense. But a Big Brother 16 spoiler thread?? I feel like this a puzzle i can't figure out, what am i missing?

 
what a ####:

"Until that homer, Yasiel Puig had hit just one home run in his last 212 plate appearances, since May 28"

But i sense the Braves are warming up. We can at least get those overs boys!!

 
What's the biggest favorite in a baseball game? Sale is -280 tomorrow.
Like, ever? -280 isn't even close.
Yes, ever.

I wasn't saying I thought Sale was the biggest ever, just that I haven't often seen a -280 and was wondering what the biggest number was. That was a poorly worded post.
That's gonna take some hefty research, friendo.

Back in 1990, when Ramon Martinez was filthy, I remember laying 1.5 runs and -200 or so. That was pretty dumb of me, but he often came through. Bookies used to take advantage of people in the pre-internet age. We youngsters didn't know any better.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I watch wrestling, not big brother
oh, no shame in that bud. I catch it from time to time. Hell i listen to podcasts about it. Basicaly because i love hearing people be overly passionate about it and freak our about it, but no shame in Pro Wrestling

 
Y'all are already talking about it. Sale is definitely the highest-lined favorite of any starter making consecutive starts versus the same opponent in the last ten years. The White Sox are 1-2 SU (0-2 SU home) when Sale is making his second-consecutive start versus the same opponent. link

I wouldn't include him in any parlays.

 
The over is usually good when you have two of the same starters going against each other in a short amount of time, like MIN/CWS and ATL/SD tomorrow. But it's usually the games in April that go over the total in that situation. Once you get past April, the O/U in that situation actually tends to break even over the long run.

 
What's the biggest favorite in a baseball game? Sale is -280 tomorrow.
Like, ever? -280 isn't even close.
Yes, ever.

I wasn't saying I thought Sale was the biggest ever, just that I haven't often seen a -280 and was wondering what the biggest number was. That was a poorly worded post.
That's gonna take some hefty research, friendo.

Back in 1990, when Ramon Martinez was filthy, I remember laying 1.5 runs and -200 or so. That was pretty dumb of me, but he often came through. Bookies used to take advantage of people in the pre-internet age. We youngsters didn't know any better.
I remember him. We used to call him the razor.

 
The Giants are 7-2 SU in Vogelsong's road starts. You can go to BR to see what he has done on 5 days of rest this season. It is impressive. I want to narrow those games down to the L6 games he has started on 5 days of rest: The Giants went 5-1 SU in those games and 6-0 to the under. Vogelsong went 39 IP and allowed 6 R, 27 H, and 11 BB with 38 K. That is good for a 1.38 ERA and WHIP of 0.974 in his last six starts on 5 days of rest. This will be the first time Vogelsong has started the first game of a road trip on the East Coast. Since he joined the team in 2011, the Giants are 9-1 SU in the first game of a road trip when Vogelsong starts (4-0 SU as the dog, 3-0 SU after a day of rest for the team).

Giants 112

 
I am doing t-shirt laundry and the one from Monday still smells like stripper perfume. Also noticed the line on Latos is acting up. He has that back issue. I'm following it.

Marlins -117

Nevermind :bag:

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Do any of you guys actually made money doing this? I've gone on a few hot streaks but don't know when to 2alk away. I'm also betting on a small scale:

Turning $50 into $500 isn't as glorifiying as turning $500 in $5,000. Do you guys know what I'm saying? I've struck gold like that twice now. I think the key is I need to start gambling more money at once. In a roundabout sense,

What amount is your "unit"? I don't think my strategy is completely off but there are times where I'll turn $25 into $60 when it could easily have been $250 into $600. I win $35 throughout the day and I want to keep going because it's not a "substantial" amount. But if I won $350, I definitely would have stopped.

If I ever make like $36,000 a year, I'm definitely going to budget $500 for a gambling expense. I've turned my current $50 expense into $500+ twice now. If I hit it once and just bank on it, I can bet on the $5,000 and not even have to dip into my $36,000 a year income. But these little numbers are almost meaningless to me.

Makes me want to cash in my HEMP stock and gamble with it...

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Do any of you guys actually made money doing this? I've gone on a few hot streaks but don't know when to 2alk away. I'm also betting on a small scale:

Turning $50 into $500 isn't as glorifiying as turning $500 in $5,000. Do you guys know what I'm saying? I've struck gold like that twice now. I think the key is I need to start gambling more money at once. In a roundabout sense,

What amount is your "unit"? I don't think my strategy is completely off but there are times where I'll turn $25 into $60 when it could easily have been $250 into $600. I win $35 throughout the day and I want to keep going because it's not a "substantial" amount. But if I won $350, I definitely would have stopped.

If I ever make like $36,000 a year, I'm definitely going to budget $500 for a gambling expense. I've turned my current $50 expense into $500+ twice now. If I hit it once and just bank on it, I can bet on the $5,000 and not even have to dip into my $36,000 a year income. But these little numbers are almost meaningless to me.

Makes me want to cash in my HEMP stock and gamble with it...
Kid do yourself a favor. Leave your housing budget as your housing budget leave your food budget as your food budget leave your savings budget as your savings budget and leave your gambling budget as your gambling budget, if you can afford a gambling budget.

Stick to that and you'll never have a problem.

As far as making money goes it is very possible to make money on props. It's also possible to make small amounts of money on size and totals, but there's a very good chance you won't make any money on sides and totals.

 
Do any of you guys actually made money doing this? I've gone on a few hot streaks but don't know when to 2alk away. I'm also betting on a small scale:

Turning $50 into $500 isn't as glorifiying as turning $500 in $5,000. Do you guys know what I'm saying? I've struck gold like that twice now. I think the key is I need to start gambling more money at once. In a roundabout sense,

What amount is your "unit"? I don't think my strategy is completely off but there are times where I'll turn $25 into $60 when it could easily have been $250 into $600. I win $35 throughout the day and I want to keep going because it's not a "substantial" amount. But if I won $350, I definitely would have stopped.

If I ever make like $36,000 a year, I'm definitely going to budget $500 for a gambling expense. I've turned my current $50 expense into $500+ twice now. If I hit it once and just bank on it, I can bet on the $5,000 and not even have to dip into my $36,000 a year income. But these little numbers are almost meaningless to me.

Makes me want to cash in my HEMP stock and gamble with it...
Gamble sides/totals for fun. Gamble props/futures for profit. At least that's how it works for me.

 
Haren is 6-8 SU (1-7 SU L8) lined < 0 this season against an average line of -130. Opposing teams averaged 5.5 ±1.3 runs per game in those L8 games. Road dogs versus Haren are 4-3 SU against an average line of 141 and 6-1 to the over against an average total of 7.2. As the home favorite Haren has gone 37.2 IP and allowed 24 R, 45 H, and 20 BB with 26 K. That's good for a WHIP of 1.726 and, I don't know how many of those runs were earned, but road dogs averaged 5.4 ±1.1 runs per game in those seven games at Chavez Ravine with Haren as the favorite. The ML is losing value as I type this, and we are still waiting on umpire and lineups, but I took Cubs o3 -115 anyway since we get a full 9 innings guaranteed and action on the late game. The Cubs have gone from home to the West Coast twice in the last two years in two games versus the Padres and scored 5 and 6 runs in those two games. Both games were on zero rest. Cheers dudes.

 
The Giants are 7-2 SU in Vogelsong's road starts. You can go to BR to see what he has done on 5 days of rest this season. It is impressive. I want to narrow those games down to the L6 games he has started on 5 days of rest: The Giants went 5-1 SU in those games and 6-0 to the under. Vogelsong went 39 IP and allowed 6 R, 27 H, and 11 BB with 38 K. That is good for a 1.38 ERA and WHIP of 0.974 in his last six starts on 5 days of rest. This will be the first time Vogelsong has started the first game of a road trip on the East Coast. Since he joined the team in 2011, the Giants are 9-1 SU in the first game of a road trip when Vogelsong starts (4-0 SU as the dog, 3-0 SU after a day of rest for the team).

Giants 112
I thought I played this first thing this morning, but forgot to hit submit :rant:

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top