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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (9 Viewers)

Since 2005 the Giants are 10-1-1 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitched a CG (9-0-0 to the over when it's not the first game of a series). Since 2006 they are 8-0 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitches a CG allowing 1 run or less and it's not the first game of the series.

On the other hand, the Mets have had two dudes pitch a CG against them this season (both CGSO). The Mets promptly responded by scoring 0 runs in each of the subsequent games. So I'm conflicted on the who is going to score the runs to hit the over. I want to watch Peavy though. So I'm backing Peavy just based on feel after watching the game tonight, action junkie style.

Giants 120

 
ChainsawU said:
Since 2005 the Giants are 10-1-1 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitched a CG (9-0-0 to the over when it's not the first game of a series). Since 2006 they are 8-0 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitches a CG allowing 1 run or less and it's not the first game of the series.

On the other hand, the Mets have had two dudes pitch a CG against them this season (both CGSO). The Mets promptly responded by scoring 0 runs in each of the subsequent games. So I'm conflicted on the who is going to score the runs to hit the over. I want to watch Peavy though. So I'm backing Peavy just based on feel after watching the game tonight, action junkie style.

Giants 120
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Three questions based on the writeup:

  1. What's the Giants SU record in those situations?
  2. Why wouldn't the Giants TT be the bet here?
  3. Why "action play"? This data looks good?
 
Tiger Fan said:
ChainsawU said:
Since 2005 the Giants are 10-1-1 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitched a CG (9-0-0 to the over when it's not the first game of a series). Since 2006 they are 8-0 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitches a CG allowing 1 run or less and it's not the first game of the series.

On the other hand, the Mets have had two dudes pitch a CG against them this season (both CGSO). The Mets promptly responded by scoring 0 runs in each of the subsequent games. So I'm conflicted on the who is going to score the runs to hit the over. I want to watch Peavy though. So I'm backing Peavy just based on feel after watching the game tonight, action junkie style.

Giants 120
Click to expand...
Three questions based on the writeup:

  1. What's the Giants SU record in those situations?
  2. Why wouldn't the Giants TT be the bet here?
  3. Why "action play"? This data looks good?
Click to expand...
Because Eliezer Alfonzo, Shea Hillenbrand, Ray Durham, Omar Vizquel, Pedro Feliz, Barry Bonds, Steve Finley, and Randy Winn have all moved on.

 
TheGooRoo said:
Tiger Fan said:
ChainsawU said:
Since 2005 the Giants are 10-1-1 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitched a CG (9-0-0 to the over when it's not the first game of a series). Since 2006 they are 8-0 to the over on the road in the game after their starter pitches a CG allowing 1 run or less and it's not the first game of the series.

On the other hand, the Mets have had two dudes pitch a CG against them this season (both CGSO). The Mets promptly responded by scoring 0 runs in each of the subsequent games. So I'm conflicted on the who is going to score the runs to hit the over. I want to watch Peavy though. So I'm backing Peavy just based on feel after watching the game tonight, action junkie style.

Giants 120
Click to expand...
Three questions based on the writeup:

  1. What's the Giants SU record in those situations?
  2. Why wouldn't the Giants TT be the bet here?
  3. Why "action play"? This data looks good?
Click to expand...
Because Eliezer Alfonzo, Shea Hillenbrand, Ray Durham, Omar Vizquel, Pedro Feliz, Barry Bonds, Steve Finley, and Randy Winn have all moved on.
Click to expand...
:bag:

 
That's not it. It's just because nothing else really looked good at 7. And last night it looked like the Giants came to play. East Coast road trip/beginning of a new month seemed like a good spot for them to run away and start a new life after losing five of their last six at home going into last night, and Flushing is about as far from home as you can get if you are going to do that. Then you have Peavy as the 6/5 dog in what looks like a coinflip game. Peavy got thrown into the fire in his first start versus the Dodgers and now he gets the Mets. The Mets seem like a less imposing and less stressful task in this situation and Peavy still has something to prove.

 
ChainsawU said:
That's not it. It's just because nothing else really looked good at 7. And last night it looked like the Giants came to play. East Coast road trip/beginning of a new month seemed like a good spot for them to run away and start a new life after losing five of their last six at home going into last night, and Flushing is about as far from home as you can get if you are going to do that. Then you have Peavy as the 6/5 dog in what looks like a coinflip game. Peavy got thrown into the fire in his first start versus the Dodgers and now he gets the Mets. The Mets seem like a less imposing and less stressful task in this situation and Peavy still has something to prove.
Click to expand...
Gotcha. Rolling with you for a 1/2 unit. Got poker night tonight, so I'll be gambling while I'm gambling

:banned:

 
I am traveling for a tournament this weekend so I can't look at the stats, but dont sell DeGrom short.. Nym SP. He has pitched very well lately. I have been backing him in parlays and was thinking of taking him as a short favorite tonight for S&G's. Good luck to Saw and Co. just the same.

 
Lester faced the Royals 13 days ago and the Red Sox shut them out that game. It's been a theme with pitchers facing the same team lately. But check it out: Lester's team is 19-4 SU when he is facing a team he pitched against ≤ 20 days ago. The average line in those games was -137 and the average time between starts was 9.8 days. Lester went a total of 152.2 IP and allowed 47 R (42 ER), 111 H, and 52 BB with 139 K in those 23 games. That's good enough for an ERA of 2.48 and WHIP of 1.068 with a 2.7 K/BB ratio. Lester has also been good on 6+ days rest this year. But that 19-4 SU trend along with Lester's numbers in those games is what really surprised me.

 
Angry Beavers said:
I am traveling for a tournament this weekend so I can't look at the stats, but dont sell DeGrom short.. Nym SP. He has pitched very well lately. I have been backing him in parlays and was thinking of taking him as a short favorite tonight for S&G's. Good luck to Saw and Co. just the same.
Click to expand...
Daily Notes contributor Mike Sheets likes him today. I'm not afraid.

Jacob deGrom may have the least experience of everyone in this group, but he shouldn't be overlooked. He's been on a tear over the last month, holding a 1.39 ERA with 38 strikeouts in 32.1 July innings, and he's also been downright filthy at home this season, owning a 1.83 ERA over six starts. That's a pretty impressive run, and he has a good chance of keeping it going against the San Francisco Giants, who rank 26th in baseball with a .292 wOBA versus right-handers this season. He could be a sneaky option on Saturday depending on the price.
Click to expand...
 
swirvenirvin said:
Donaldson under 2 -115 Push

Vargas over 4 -115 Winner

Lester under 6 -125 Winner

Moustakas over Reddick +115 Loser
Click to expand...
Bovada

Zimmerman under 5.5 -125 Loser

Burnett over Zimmerman -130 Loser

Carroll under 4 -125 Push

Cano under 2 (E) Loser

M. Gonzalez under 4.5 -110 Winner

sportsbetting.ag

Altuve under 2 -115 Loser

Archer over 4.5 -125 Winner

 
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Frosty/Truck, I know you guys get to :e: once a month or so, but do you think you can get around to banning alibab when you get a chance? The first page isn't entirely made of up threads about naked has-been chicks, but it's pretty close. The novelty wore off two weeks ago.

 
Raider Nation said:
Frosty/Truck, I know you guys get to :e: once a month or so, but do you think you can get around to banning alibab when you get a chance? The first page isn't entirely made of up threads about naked has-been chicks, but it's pretty close. The novelty wore off two weeks ago.
Click to expand...
UP AND CUMMER JENNA JAMESON GETS HER ###### PENETRATED

 
Mike Pereira ‏@MikePereira

Here are other changes for 2014. The clock won't stop after a QB sack at any time during the game. Stopped outside of 2 minutes in 2013

 
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Pirates/DBacks under 8.5....1-1 heading into the 8th. What could go wrong? 3 9th inning runs that sunk my Mariners/Os under kinda hurt but that 1st one is just silly.

Hooray baseball.

 
Raider Nation said:
Oh yeah, they can't make Cowboys totals high enough. :popcorn:
Click to expand...
48.5 in Dallas vs SF Week 1, dial up the max bets. Great spot where it's deflated because SF is a primarily run team. Added receiving options and the boys D is awful, so they'll put up points. If romo can play near 100%, they'll chase the total up. I :wub: that over for Week 1. ETA: 49ers D is not what it was, so that's exploitable as well.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
got_nugs said:
Pirates/DBacks under 8.5....1-1 heading into the 8th. What could go wrong? 3 9th inning runs that sunk my Mariners/Os under kinda hurt but that 1st one is just silly.

Hooray baseball.
Click to expand...
Finished off esta excelente noche with my Bravos losing in extras and the Under in the Cubs/Dodgers (7 runs) pushing on a 3 run dong in a 2-2 game in the 12th. Glad I got all that #### out of my system, today's gonna be muy bueno, hombres!

 
1300/1000 Bowlkng Green -7

I was going to load up and do something a little bigger, but I'll listen to the advice of you in here and not pay it all out in week 1.

Now I got a $500 bet, any ideas ?

 
I had a dream that GR posted a 2 way parlay, NY Giants and SF Giants so i'm doing it for one half unit. I have no other information on these.

 
Does anyone have a screen capture of sportsbetting.ag from before baseball season with the 150 game qualifier for the season long props?

I'd be quite grateful if you could share it :tebow:

 
Raider Nation said:
Any competent offense, you can put them down for 35 right off the bat. This will be a historically bad defense.
Click to expand...
Just hit this in O49 -115 for 1U, plus the 1U free play at SB thanks to Tiger Fan :excited:

 
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