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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (10 Viewers)

Bet on MLB Props and Earn Bonus Casino Chips

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Date Week 1 Featured Stats Bonus Earned Aug. 4 Total Home Runs by AL teams TBD Aug. 5 Total Strikeouts by the Yankees TBD Aug. 6 Jose Abreu Hits + RBIs + Runs TBD Aug. 7 Total Walks in the Giants vs Brewers game TBD Aug. 8 Mike Trout Total Bases TBD Aug. 9 Total Runs scored by the Pirates TBD Aug. 10 Total Errors in the MLB TBD​

Here’s how to play:

  1. Enter the Ballpark Bonus by clicking the button above.
  2. Bet $25 or more in combined MLB prop handle any day during the promotional period.
  3. Score casino chips based on the result of that night’s featured MLB stat (see chart).
Example: The featured statistic for August 10 is total errors in the MLB. Wager $25 or more that night in combined MLB prop (team or player) handle, and for every error that occurs in the MLB that night, you will earn a $1 casino chip.

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Date Week 2 Featured Stats Bonus Earned Aug. 11 Total Double Plays in the MLB TBD Aug. 12 Total team Hits by the Tigers TBD Aug. 13 McCutchen + Alvarez combined Hits + Runs TBD Aug. 14 Successful Stolen bases in the MLB TBD Aug. 15 Total Strikeouts by the Red Sox TBD Aug. 16 Total RBIs in the Cubs vs Mets game TBD Aug. 17 Total Doubles hit by NL teams TBD​
Offer Details: Players must opt-in to this promotion to be eligible. Players must wager $25 or more in combined MLB player or team prop handle in the Sportsbook to qualify for that night’s bonus. Betting on both sides of a prop will nullify eligibility towards meeting the minimum handle amount. Props must be full-game to qualify. A maximum of $100 in bonuses can be earned per week. Wagers graded as no action will not be eligible towards earning a bonus. Bonus chips will be issued via email on Monday, August 11 and Monday, August 18. Casino chip bonuses are subject to a 20x rollover. Any play on Single Deck and Double Deck Blackjack, Baccarat, Sic Bo, Craps, Roulette and Blackjack in the Poker Software does not count toward meeting rollover requirements for withdrawal. Casino chip bonuses will expire 30 days after issue date.


 
Got a promo from Bovada saying that if I wager 25 on baseball props, I get $1 in casino chips for every error that occurs in MLB that day. Apparently this is part of a promo going for a couple weeks. Neat!

I was gonna post something about Poisson Distribution here, but I'm blocked from using my calculator to use good examples. The main gist of it is that if you have a prop of 1.5, say, receptions, a player who averages 1 reception a game is going to be under way more than a player who averages 2 a game is going to be over. Point being that using a mean to set a prop is not optimal, and is exploitable.
Will they move my max bet over $20?

 
Got a promo from Bovada saying that if I wager 25 on baseball props, I get $1 in casino chips for every error that occurs in MLB that day. Apparently this is part of a promo going for a couple weeks. Neat!

I was gonna post something about Poisson Distribution here, but I'm blocked from using my calculator to use good examples. The main gist of it is that if you have a prop of 1.5, say, receptions, a player who averages 1 reception a game is going to be under way more than a player who averages 2 a game is going to be over. Point being that using a mean to set a prop is not optimal, and is exploitable.
Will they move my max bet over $20?
to win or to bet?

 
Scherzer 8-1 SU (8-0 L8) and 3-6 O/U on 5 days rest this season. He is on 4 days of rest today. This could get interesting. On 4 days rest this season he is 7-4 SU and 7-4 O/U with a 4.33 ERA and WHIP of 1.183 in 72.2 IP. Luckily HPU Mike Winters is 4-10-1 O/U this season and 0-3 O/U lifetime with Scherzer. Scherzer has an ERA of 1.00 and WHIP of 0.889 in 18.0 IP in those three games since 2012. Cheers to all of you fellows! And BOL!!

 
Bet on MLB Props and Earn Bonus Casino Chips

MLB teams are turning it up in their quest to win a pennant and we’re giving you a chance to take the game excitement to the next level. From August 4 to August 17, you’ll score casino chips based on what happens around the Majors. To be eligible for this promotion, enter the Ballpark Bonus below.

Bet $25 or more in MLB prop handle and earn casino chips based on that night’s featured stat.

ENTER NOW
NOTE: You must enter the Ballpark Bonus above and be subscribed to promotional emails to receive bonus chips. You can update your subscriptions under Account Settings in the “My Account” area of the website.

Date Week 1 Featured Stats Bonus Earned Aug. 4 Total Home Runs by AL teams TBD Aug. 5 Total Strikeouts by the Yankees TBD Aug. 6 Jose Abreu Hits + RBIs + Runs TBD Aug. 7 Total Walks in the Giants vs Brewers game TBD Aug. 8 Mike Trout Total Bases TBD Aug. 9 Total Runs scored by the Pirates TBD Aug. 10 Total Errors in the MLB TBD​

Here’s how to play:

  1. Enter the Ballpark Bonus by clicking the button above.
  2. Bet $25 or more in combined MLB prop handle any day during the promotional period.
  3. Score casino chips based on the result of that night’s featured MLB stat (see chart).
Example: The featured statistic for August 10 is total errors in the MLB. Wager $25 or more that night in combined MLB prop (team or player) handle, and for every error that occurs in the MLB that night, you will earn a $1 casino chip.

Bet on MLB Props now and start earning your ballpark bonus.

Date Week 2 Featured Stats Bonus Earned Aug. 11 Total Double Plays in the MLB TBD Aug. 12 Total team Hits by the Tigers TBD Aug. 13 McCutchen + Alvarez combined Hits + Runs TBD Aug. 14 Successful Stolen bases in the MLB TBD Aug. 15 Total Strikeouts by the Red Sox TBD Aug. 16 Total RBIs in the Cubs vs Mets game TBD Aug. 17 Total Doubles hit by NL teams TBD​
Offer Details: Players must opt-in to this promotion to be eligible. Players must wager $25 or more in combined MLB player or team prop handle in the Sportsbook to qualify for that night’s bonus. Betting on both sides of a prop will nullify eligibility towards meeting the minimum handle amount. Props must be full-game to qualify. A maximum of $100 in bonuses can be earned per week. Wagers graded as no action will not be eligible towards earning a bonus. Bonus chips will be issued via email on Monday, August 11 and Monday, August 18. Casino chip bonuses are subject to a 20x rollover. Any play on Single Deck and Double Deck Blackjack, Baccarat, Sic Bo, Craps, Roulette and Blackjack in the Poker Software does not count toward meeting rollover requirements for withdrawal. Casino chip bonuses will expire 30 days after issue date.
Kick some balls, you ####ers!

 
So was looking at all the ridiculous futures that sb posted on nfl players and pretty much none of them will come close to hitting. However I did see this one that could have a chance at 8-1 He had 5 last yr and had 86 87 88 and 92 yard games. Thoughts?

A Brown (PIT) Over 100 Receiving Yards in 7 Games or More
+800

 
I took Angels o3 Even. Set it up as the first leg in a couple open two-team parlays. I like to have the +100 leg in my pending plays and then drop a ML dog into the second leg for a nice score TBD later. With the flat 3 you get a chance for the push and a full 9 innings. And that was the first thing that stuck out with them returning home from the East Coast is the number of runs they were scoring in those games.
NOW IMAGINE HE'S WHITE IT HITS IN THE 1st INNING.

 
I played the Pirates -147. Going back to last season, the Pirates are 14-3 SU as the home favorite (avg line -144) after a day off. They are also 3-0 SU (1-0 SU home) in Morton's starts versus the Marlins since last season. Morton went 19.0 IP and allowed 8 R (7 ER), 20 H, and 3 BB with 17 K. That translates to 6.1 innings per start with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.211 in those three games versus the Marlins. They have been good after a day off and Morton has been servicable versus the Marlins his L3 starts against them.

Other stuff:

The Pirates are 5-0 SU in Morton's starts lined < -121 this season (avg line -150).

The Pirates are 10-4 SU versus the Marlins since 2012 and 6-0 SU home (avg home line -152).

 
I played the Pirates -147. Going back to last season, the Pirates are 14-3 SU as the home favorite (avg line -144) after a day off. They are also 3-0 SU (1-0 SU home) in Morton's starts versus the Marlins since last season. Morton went 19.0 IP and allowed 8 R (7 ER), 20 H, and 3 BB with 17 K. That translates to 6.1 innings per start with an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.211 in those three games versus the Marlins. They have been good after a day off and Morton has been servicable versus the Marlins his L3 starts against them.

Other stuff:

The Pirates are 5-0 SU in Morton's starts lined < -121 this season (avg line -150).

The Pirates are 10-4 SU versus the Marlins since 2012 and 6-0 SU home (avg home line -152).
McCutchen could miss up to a month

http://www.sportingnews.com/mlb/story/2014-08-04/andrew-mccutchen-injury-update-pirates-mvp-dl-oblique-hit-by-pitch-diamondbacks

 
McCutchen could miss up to a month
I know, right. Last couple nights have been stressful betting all these dogs. I was going to take the night off and bet a favorite I thought was safe to kind of unwind to and relax. It just goes to show you that nothing is ever easy.

 
The Angels are 5-2 SU in Santiago's starts since June. Santiago went 36.2 IP and allowed 14 R (13 ER), 28 H, and 10 BB with 36 K. That's good for an ERA of 3.19 and WHIP of 1.036. The Dodgers own a .673 OPS v LHP (25th MLB). The Angels own a .786 OPS v LHP (3rd MLB).

 
The D-Backs are 4-0 SU v LHP since the All-Star break against an average line of 110 versus Travis Wood, Cliff Lee, Jeff Locke, and Francisco Liriano.

 
Price under 7.5 -115 Loser

Morton over 5 -125 Loser

Buehrle under 4 -120 Winner

Lincecum over 5.5 -120 Winner

Travis Wood over 5 -110 Loser

 
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Am I :loco: for considering Forte over Peterson in a 0.5 PPR? (Shady and Charles will be gone). Norv + AD intrigues me but I am head over heels with Da Bears offense.

Will answer yours.

 
Thanks for the replies.

My only concern about Lacy: I believe since his senior year of high school, he's only made it through one season without being hurt. That was last year. I think last season was the anomaly, not the norm. He's gonna take (and give) a beating with his bruising style. He's a stud for sure though.

Hard Knocks premieres tonight at 10pm. :banned:

 
Thanks for the replies.

My only concern about Lacy: I believe since his senior year of high school, he's only made it through one season without being hurt. That was last year. I think last season was the anomaly, not the norm. He's gonna take (and give) a beating with his bruising style. He's a stud for sure though.

Hard Knocks premieres tonight at 10pm. :banned:
And there is a reason why he slid, that foot is still not built for a Curtis Martin like career.

He did miss two games when Brandon merriweather knocked him the f out.

 
Thanks for the replies.

My only concern about Lacy: I believe since his senior year of high school, he's only made it through one season without being hurt. That was last year. I think last season was the anomaly, not the norm. He's gonna take (and give) a beating with his bruising style. He's a stud for sure though.

Hard Knocks premieres tonight at 10pm. :banned:
And there is a reason why he slid, that foot is still not built for a Curtis Martin like career.

He did miss two games when Brandon merriweather knocked him the f out.
I stand corrected then. He's hurt every year. Just gotta hope it's not at the worst time for fantasy owners.

 
So was looking at all the ridiculous futures that sb posted on nfl players and pretty much none of them will come close to hitting. However I did see this one that could have a chance at 8-1 He had 5 last yr and had 86 87 88 and 92 yard games. Thoughts?

A Brown (PIT) Over 100 Receiving Yards in 7 Games or More
+800
I like it

IN

 
Took a week off.

I'm back.

turns out I'm in ZERO fantasy football leagues this year.

If anyone knows of anything and needs an extra man, let me know please.

Thanks in advance.

 
IN! Put one together, GB. Can never have too many leagues.

How about a league where FFAWT regulars get first dibs? One of my leagues uses Yahoo! It's a free host and pretty damn good for free.

 
I also just got a mac (iMac air) for the first time and man, this thing is so foreign feeling to me. Anything I need to know as a first time Apple User?

Ref - I would but, not a fan of splitting teams even with good buds. Also, not a fan of tim - I avoid his posts usually because they make me want to jump off of a cliff. I'm not sure that I could deal with his nonsense

I'd be in for a simple / high stakes style Wagering type league, but I think we usually have trouble getting those off of the ground.

We should bring back the pick em contest from 2 years ago though. That was actually a lot of fun.

 
If you're brought in for relief and if you give up a single to load the bases and then proceed to walk 2 runs home, you're getting tied to a pole and left in the visitors dugout, right?

I sure as #### hope so.

 
I also just got a mac (iMac air) for the first time and man, this thing is so foreign feeling to me. Anything I need to know as a first time Apple User?

Ref - I would but, not a fan of splitting teams even with good buds. Also, not a fan of tim - I avoid his posts usually because they make me want to jump off of a cliff. I'm not sure that I could deal with his nonsense

I'd be in for a simple / high stakes style Wagering type league, but I think we usually have trouble getting those off of the ground.

We should bring back the pick em contest from 2 years ago though. That was actually a lot of fun.
i think i'd be up for any of them. pick 'em contests are good if somebody is having a good year and gets hot. fun to tail.

 
No problem GB. You change your mind let me know. I don't take these FFA leauges seriously at all.

You sit back down at 2-5?

I'm still running like crap. Got it all in pre my Q-Q vs J-J and A-K for $1400 total before I left for vacation brick, brick, brick, brick - Ace. Can win the big ones or the small ones for the past two months.

 
I also just got a mac (iMac air) for the first time and man, this thing is so foreign feeling to me. Anything I need to know as a first time Apple User?

Ref - I would but, not a fan of splitting teams even with good buds. Also, not a fan of tim - I avoid his posts usually because they make me want to jump off of a cliff. I'm not sure that I could deal with his nonsense

I'd be in for a simple / high stakes style Wagering type league, but I think we usually have trouble getting those off of the ground.

We should bring back the pick em contest from 2 years ago though. That was actually a lot of fun.
i think i'd be up for any of them. pick 'em contests are good if somebody is having a good year and gets hot. fun to tail.
I'm in for anything. Fantasy league, pick 'em contest, whatever. Squirreling away some money for a big purchase as soon as I find a place I like, but I'll go anything up to like a $500 entry fee.

Bought one of those huge bags of trail mix. Wanted to start snacking on healthier stuff, M&Ms, peanuts, cashews, almonds, raisins, etc. But I ended up picking out all of the M&Ms. Next time I'll just buy a bag of M&Ms.

 

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