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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

TAMPA BAY AT BUFFALO: Not much betting interest here, as the opening numbers have largely stood pat. Buffalo is -3 at home, in a battle of teams who are seen as relatively even in neutral site Power Ratings. The total has only nudged up a little from 41.5 to 42. Some stores are showing 42.5 as we go to press. Sharps have been hitting Buffalo hard this month, and largely regretting it. They didn’t get involved here.

DALLAS AT MIAMI: Miami opened at -4, as oddsmakers anticipated anti-Dallas perceptions because of Tony Romo’s slow recovery from his back injury. But, sharps hit the Cowboys at +4. We’re now seeing Dallas +3.5 at most locales, with a few testing out the three. Sources tell us some sharps would hit Miami hard at the key number of three. We have a BIG move on the total, with an opener of 43.5 getting bet up to 46 or 46.5. We haven’t seen much of that this week…it could be VERY telling that the Wise Guys really jumped in here.

TENNESSEE AT ATLANTA: Atlanta opened at -3, and was bet off the key number with enough enthusiasm to keep the game at Falcons -3.5. Some stores are testing a four. This tells you that sharps see Atlanta as the superior “regular season” team of the two given that this is a dress rehearsal that’s moved above home field value. We’re hearing Tennessee money might come in at +4.5. The Over/Under has been stagnant at 44.

WASHINGTON AT BALTIMORE: The Ravens opened at -3 in this local rivalry game. Sharps hit the underdog on the key number enough to move off down and settle at Washington +2.5. It’s telling that Ravens money DIDN’T come in after that move. So, the Wise Guys liked Washington at +3, but few are interested in the Ravens below that price. The Over/Under is up from 43.5 to 45, which is pretty strong support for a Washington and Over combo. We’re hearing that’s because of an expectation for offensive aggression from Jay Gruden, and the belief that backups can add to the point total once the first team is out.

NEW ORLEANS AT INDIANAPOLIS: Indianapolis opened at -2, and has moved in some stores up to -2.5. That’s not much of a move because two isn’t a key number. Of course, three is…and sharps would come in hard on the Saints at +3 based on reports we’re hearing. The Over/Under opened high at 47 and hasn’t generated interest. Some stores are testing 47.5, or are moving because of early public money in the national TV game.

MINNESOTA AT KANSAS CITY: The Chiefs opened at -3.5, as a playoff team at home against a non-playoff team. Oddsmakers assumed KC would get respect in that situation. But, sharps took under Minnesota with enough passion to bring the line down to the key number. Remember when the Wise Guys loved Russell Wilson as a rookie in Seattle? They’re starting to love Teddy Bridgewater the same way. No action on the high opening Over/Under of 45.

ST. LOUIS AT CLEVELAND: The Browns opened on the key number of three. Poor quarterback play in Cleveland inspired sharps to take the Rams +3 so hard the number has now settled at St. Louis +2.5. Pay close attention to these games that moved OFF the key number and STAYED there. Sharp sentiment is as clear as can be in those examples. The opening total of 42.5 is up to 43 or 43.5 depending on the store.

HOUSTON AT DENVER: No betting interest here, as Denver opened at -7 and 46…which is what you’re still seeing as we go to press. We hear that sharps aren’t convinced the Broncos will come out hard here given their message-sending wins over Seattle and San Francisco the past two weeks. Houston did bounce back strong last week vs. Atlanta after a horrible opener at Arizona. If the public moves the Broncos off the key number of seven, sharps would fade that move based on what our sources are telling us.

 
dumb question here, but what do you all do with the sharps report? Go with what they have already bet (at an obvious worse line)? Can someone give me an example of how they'd use the report for tonight?

I always read them, but then throw my hands up with confusion.

I'll hang up and listen.

:thanks:

 
Raider Nation said:
:shrug:

Just added info, I suppose. Certainly not gospel or anything.
Click to expand...
i hear ya, but I guess I'm just stumped. Take this for example:

ST. LOUIS AT CLEVELAND: The Browns opened on the key number of three. Poor quarterback play in Cleveland inspired sharps to take the Rams +3 so hard the number has now settled at St. Louis +2.5. Pay close attention to these games that moved OFF the key number and STAYED there. Sharp sentiment is as clear as can be in those examples. The opening total of 42.5 is up to 43 or 43.5 depending on the store.

Does the bolded mean that I should take STL +2.5?

 
Here is another view of the card from "The Linesmakers", via SI.com.

New Orleans at Indy (-2, 47) (8:00 p.m. ET, CBS)

For handicappers, here’s the story, in two numbers, of the Saints’ preseason through two games:

Points: 57

Penalty flags drawn: 42

The Saints’ offense looks formidable. In two exhibition wins, New Orleans has racked up seven offensive TDs.

However, the penalty issue bears monitoring.

The club was assessed 22 penalties for 184 yards in last week’s win vs. Tennessee. Eleven of the 42 penalties called on New Orleans this summer have been illegal contact, defensive pass interference or defensive holding fouls.

There’s one other number to ponder when it comes to New Orleans. Through two games, the Saints have allowed six TD passes.

Hmmm. These might be radar screen blips. But this is the sort of data that totals players can’t overlook.

The Colts, meanwhile, are having a solid-enough preseason for a club that’s yet to win an exhibition game. Note that Indianapolis has been outscored 30-3 in the fourth quarter in two preseason contests.

On Saturday night, the Colts’ starters figure to see a good deal of action against visiting New Orleans (8:00 p.m. ET, CBS). Indianapolis is a 2.5-point favorite, with the total 47.

It’s a game that gives spread and OVER-UNDER enthusiasts something to ponder. Given all the yellow flags we’ve seen in New Orleans games and all of the late-game points in Indianapolis contests, this could be a heartburn-inducing affair for the sporting investors.

The Linemakers’ lean: The Saints’ quarterback rotation is clicking with a loaded group of receivers, and this week they face a Colts D that has struggled in the preseason with defensive backfield penalties. The Colts have a pretty formidable passing attack of their own, and the New Orleans D hasn’t been putting up all that much resistance.

The Saints are 7-1 straight up in Week 3 preseason games during Sean Payton’s tenure, but our play is OVER 47.

Here’s a take on the rest of Saturday’s card. Lines are the Las Vegas consensus as of Friday afternoon.

Tennessee at Atlanta (-3.5, 44) (7:00 p.m. ET)

Since 2011, the Falcons are 2-12 straight-up in preseason games. However, they are 4-2 in third exhibition games in Mike Smith’s tenure as head coach.

Could the Titans have a sneaky-good offense this season? Through two exhibition games, the Titans were seventh in yards per play and sixth in third-down conversions.

Dallas at Miami (-3.5, 46) (7:00 p.m. ET)

Neither team has exactly been a good preseason play in recent years. The Dolphins are 2-9 against the number in Joe Philbin’s tenure as coach, while the Cowboys are just 5-10 ATS in exhibition play under Jason Garrett.

It’s no secret the Cowboys’ defense looks like the club’s most glaring weakness. Through two preseason games, opponents are 31-of-45 passing (68.9 percent) for 438 yards and two TDs against Dallas.

Washington at Baltimore (-2.5, 43.5) (7:30 p.m. ET)

The Ravens are 4-2 in penultimate preseason games in John Harbaugh's tenure. Of particular note: the OVER has cashed easily in each of the Ravens’ last three third preseason games.

Speaking of the OVER, it hit in Monday’s Washington-Cleveland matchup only because of a last-play Hail Mary. That said, Washington’s first-team offense moved the ball well against a good Cleveland defense, with two turnovers and a Browns goal-line stand halting three drives without points. As long as Washington takes care of the football, the points will come.

St. Louis at Cleveland (-2.5, 43) (8:00 p.m. ET)

History suggests it’s hard to love the Rams in this spot. Since 2000, Jeff Fisher-coached clubs are 2-11 straight-up in the next-to-last preseason game.

Let’s see if Browns quarterback Brian Hoyer loosens up now that he’s been named the starter. He didn’t play well at all in Monday’s loss at Washington, missing several open throws, including a TD pass.

Minnesota at Kansas City (-3.5, 45) (8:00 p.m. ET)

Andy Reid’s teams typically get the job done in the third preseason game. Since 2000, Reid-led squads are 9-5 straight-up in these key dress rehearsals.

Through two exhibition games, the Vikings are surrendering just 294 yards per game. By contrast, they surrendered nearly 400 per contest last preseason and then struggled on defense throughout the 2013 campaign.

Houston at Denver (-7, 46), 9:00 p.m. ET

Talk about locked in: Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning is 22-of-27 for 180 yards in two preseason games.

Handicappers will want to watch how Denver’s ground game fares against Houston’s stout run defense. The Texans are allowing 2.8 yards per carry in the preseason, while the Broncos are gaining just 3.4 yards per rush. Denver needs its ground game to be sharp, and this is the time to buckle down. In other words, it's not all going to be Manning strikes to open receivers.
Click to expand...
 
Anybody in this Survivor thing at SB? I can only imagine how long it would take them to send $100K to you.

$100K SURVIVOR POOL

TURN $25 INTO $100,000

Predict an NFL winner weekly and win $100,000 in the world’s largest survivor pool.

Enter today and place a game-winning pick every week of the 2014 NFL Season to win a massive $100K payday.

Your first entry is just $25 and you can increase your chances of winning by purchasing additional entries for as low as $10. In all, you can purchase up to 15 entries and the more you buy, the bigger your discount.

Ready to Play? Here’s how it works:

Every week of the NFL Season you must select a team to win its game outright. Whether that team covers the spread is irrelevant, they must simply win the game.

If your team wins, your entry remains alive and you advance to select a team the next week. If your team loses, your entry is eliminated from the competition.

Choose carefully though, because once you select a team you cannot select them again for that entry. So, if you select the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1, you cannot use them the rest of the season for that entry.

Use your football knowledge and football foresight to survive and claim the $100,000 prize.
Click to expand...
 
Was just on a live chat with "Frank" at SB. I asked if he could offer me any bonuses if I reload.

He's gone for over five minutes, comes back and types "Sorry, we have nothing to offer you."


:lmao:

Feels like family!

 
FYI...using a new site called topbet.eu

First site I've used where I select the teams I want to tease....and it does all the work for me.

Tonight I selected was/No/STL/Den

It did all the combinations for me....I think I'm in :wub:

The odds on 3 teamers and 4 teamers are horrific but the 2 teamers are -110

 
Raider Nation said:
Anybody in this Survivor thing at SB? I can only imagine how long it would take them to send $100K to you.

$100K SURVIVOR POOL

TURN $25 INTO $100,000

Predict an NFL winner weekly and win $100,000 in the world’s largest survivor pool.

Enter today and place a game-winning pick every week of the 2014 NFL Season to win a massive $100K payday.

Your first entry is just $25 and you can increase your chances of winning by purchasing additional entries for as low as $10. In all, you can purchase up to 15 entries and the more you buy, the bigger your discount.

Ready to Play? Here’s how it works:

Every week of the NFL Season you must select a team to win its game outright. Whether that team covers the spread is irrelevant, they must simply win the game.

If your team wins, your entry remains alive and you advance to select a team the next week. If your team loses, your entry is eliminated from the competition.

Choose carefully though, because once you select a team you cannot select them again for that entry. So, if you select the Seattle Seahawks in Week 1, you cannot use them the rest of the season for that entry.

Use your football knowledge and football foresight to survive and claim the $100,000 prize.
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
i did it

 
So far, so good. A quick answer by Brees would be nice. Not sure how long he'll play coming off the oblique injury.

I'm very confident Hasselbeck will move the 2nd team for Indy. Not quite as confident Luke McCown will move the Saints, but we'll see.

 
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