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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Just moved last week. Self imposing no tv/WiFi in the house until we are unpacked...

I might be watching football in a bar until November. Oof

 
We take a look at some of the biggest line moves on the college football board heading into the weekend, and get the inside scoop on the action from Jay Rood, president of race and sports at MGM in Las Vegas, and Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag:

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Central Florida Knights (in Dublin) – Open: +1, Move: -2

This overseas affair will have hardcore college cappers up early Saturday morning, with kickoff in Ireland scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET – 5:30 a.m. in Las Vegas. Books opened this game as big as PSU -1, but it looks like the departure of QB Blake Bortles isn’t scaring money away from UCF.

“On August 12, we got a sharp play on UCF +1,” says Perry. “However, 66 percent of the cash and 69 percent of bets are on Penn State.”

UCLA Bruins at Virginia Cavaliers – Open: +23, Move: +20.5

Action on the Bruins has pushed this spread past the key number of 21 at some markets, tempting bettors to buy back the Cavaliers. However, most spots are dealing UCLA -21 and are waiting for more money to show once the public has its say.

“We’ve taken some small bets on the dog,” says Rood. “UCLA has been a very popular bet for the futures book but dog is the play for the sharps in this one. The Bruins are seeing all the action, on straight bets and parlays. Like, 20/1 parlay action on UCLA.”

Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Boilermakers – Open: -13, Move: -10

This isn’t the sexiest game on the Week 1 slate, however, books have seen sharps snatch up WMU with both hands, pushing this spread to the key number of 10. According to Perry, sharp money took the Broncos +13 – forcing the move – but it’s been all money on Purdue since, with 75 percent of bets looking to “Boiler Up!”

“I’ve seen a couple guys in the newspapers, the talking heads and handicappers, touting Purdue in this game,” says Rood. “It’s odd that those haven’t come in. We took some early limit plays on the dog in this ($5,000). The play for a lot of those guys (wiseguys) is Purdue but they haven’t shown up yet.”

Boston College Eagles at UMass Minutemen – Open: +14.5, Move: +17.5

This Massachusetts matchup has moved an entire field goal with nothing but Boston College money. Both sharps and public bettors are taking the Eagles, according to bookmakers.

“We’ll need the Minutemen to show up. This (line) won’t slow down,” says Rood. “We have nothing on UMass and any buyback will come at +17.5, if they want to wait and try to catch a middle.”

Arkansas Razorbacks at Auburn Tigers – Open: -22.5, Move: -18

One of the marquee matchups of Week 1 has seen a lot of line juggling since opening. Wiseguys are going against Auburn, expecting a drop-off from the Tigers after their incredible 2013. Books online and in Nevada have seen early sharp money on the Razorbacks but do expect the public to side with the favorite Saturday.

“Sharp plays came in on Arkansas +22.5 back on August 1 at +21.5 the next day,” says Perry. “Seventy-three percent of the cash is on Arkansas and 65 percent of bets are on Hogs.”

Washington Huskies at Hawaii Warriors – Open: +15, Move: +17.5

This 10:30 p.m. ET kickoff is the last game on the board Saturday, or as Rood calls it “The get even or get even deep game”. It’s been all money on Washington heading into the weekend and with this being the final game, it will be a big decider for sportsbooks when it comes to an overall win or loss in the first Saturday of the season.

“The new Washington coach (Chris Petersen) is kind of known for not pulling his horses too early, so this could get ugly if Hawaii can’t put up a fight,” says Rood. “People are going to play this game either way, and you’ve got to imagine they’re all going to fall on Washington.”
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