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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (7 Viewers)

John Bender said:
swirvenirvin said:
Tiger Fan said:
Tiger Fan said:
I'm seeing Pitt @ 47.5 now @ RB (47.5 @ SB)

Ohio +4 (46) now a system play @ CMU

Michigan +3 now a system play @ Rutgers as well
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ML parlay all 3. Because :football:
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apparently we are lucky at 3-0 or 4-0 or whatever we are

from their website

9/30/14 Update: This system has gone 2-2 ATS in 2014 and is now 267-181 with +72.8 units won and a 16% ROI.
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We are.

First 2 games were in the window for only a brief time and we took them at that time.

I think that's the issue anyway. But yeah - very lucky to be 4-0 (3-0 if you don't count BYU week 2)
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So I guess the 2 losses were games we didn't identify early in the week that "fell" into the window?

And FWIW, the parlay is .2u to win 3.5u...not spending a lot

 
New Orleans is 34-13 against the spread as a home favorite since 2007.

The Buccaneers, meanwhile, will be challenged with their third consecutive road game.

Hosts laying 6.5 points or more are an incredible 35-8 ATS with a week off on the horizon since 2002.

 
VA703 said:
New Orleans is 34-13 against the spread as a home favorite since 2007.

The Buccaneers, meanwhile, will be challenged with their third consecutive road game.

Hosts laying 6.5 points or more are an incredible 35-8 ATS with a week off on the horizon since 2002.
Click to expand...
I've noticed that if they are coming off a loss + bye, home chalks seem to do well also.

 
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VA703 said:
New Orleans is 34-13 against the spread as a home favorite since 2007.

The Buccaneers, meanwhile, will be challenged with their third consecutive road game.

Hosts laying 6.5 points or more are an incredible 35-8 ATS with a week off on the horizon since 2002.
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those #s include the year that Payton was suspended, where we had some home losses

 
2014 Summary
Units Record
Week 1 1.38 20-17
Week 2 3.38 24-18
Week 3 10.49 28-16
Week 4 -5.99 26-27
Regular Season 9.26 98-78

Not much has chaned on the units (far right)

RB Bet Unit Rush Under 1.8 1.4Rush Over 0.7 0.9Rush+Rec Over 0.8 0.9Rush+Rec Under 1.2 1.1Receptions Over 0.9 0.9Recptions Under 1.6 1.3Receiving Over 0.8 0.9Receiving Under 0.7 0.9WR Bet Unit Receptions Over 1.0 1.0Recptions Under 1.2 1.1Receiving Over 1.0 1.0Receiving Under 1.0 1.0QB Bet Unit Passing Over 1.2 1.1Passing Under 1.0 1.0Completion Over 1.1 1.0Completion Under 1.4 1.2Rushing Over 1.1 1.1Rushing Under 0.9 1.0TE Bet Unit Receptions Over 1.1 1.0Receptions Under 1.3 1.1Receiving Over 0.3 0.7Receiving Under 3.1 2.1Asiata under 80.5 rush.rec -115

Patterson under 52.5 receiving -105

Lacy under 90.5 rush.rec -115

Lacy under 2.5 receptions -140

Adams over 2.5 receptions -110

Adams over 25.5 rececving -115

 
threw in a bunch of euorpa league bets

2-1 yesterday in CL games

lets see today...

Napoli -1

Sevilla -1/2

Tottenham -160

Inter Milan -1.5

Inter/Qar o3

St Etienne -115

Estoril +125

Torino -145

 
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NIU Kicker said:
The total on tonight's Oregon game is up to 79.

Still wouldn't take the under.
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I never bet on my Ducks games, but man, I think it's crazy the amount of points they're laying. I'd be all over Arizona. I'm worried about winning the game, much less covering by 23.5. :shocked:

 
@covers: Packers seeing 70% of spread and 76% of moneyline action for tonight's game against the Vikings per @PinnacleSports

12:58pm - 2 Oct 14

 
Tiger Fan said:
Is the golden nugget the consensus best hotel in downtown Vegas? If so, what's the next best one?
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yes, it's the closest thing to a strip level hotel in downtown. have stayed at the Cal and the Binion, would avoid the Binion as it is a motel dressed in hotel clothing, Cal wasn't terrible and has better food options if you like Hawaiian flavors.

 
Billy Bats said:
@covers: Packers seeing 70% of spread and 76% of moneyline action for tonight's game against the Vikings per @PinnacleSports

12:58pm - 2 Oct 14
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line is stopped moving, my local back to 8 from 7.5 last two days. weather and bridgewater status will probably make this fluctuate some more before gametime.

 
Aaron Rodgers stats in games classified as having significant precipitation:

2011-2013 (5 Games)
* 119-167 (71.2%)
* 1478 yards (295 YPG)
* 13 TDs
* 2 INTs
* 19 rushes - 98 yards - 1TD
* 2 FUM - 1 LOST

 
Since 1990 the four West Coast teams travelling to play the 17 teams in the Eastern time zone on #SNF and #MNF are 11-3 SU and ATS as the favorite. The average line was -6.0 ±2.9. The O/U went 7-7 against an average total of 42.1. The average margin of victory in the wins was 25.8 ±11.8 points. link SEA -7.5 -105

Since 2013 the four West Coast teams travelling to play the 17 teams in the Eastern time zone, regardless of start time, are 11-8 SU (.579) and 15-4 ATS (.789) with an O/U of 7-12-0 (.368). link SEA/WAS u47 -130*

*NFL games land on 46 about 1.5% of the time. They land on 47 about 3% of the time. I'm not sure if it is a profitable system in the long-run, but I bought the point anyway.

 
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The same situation, West Coast teams travelling to the Eastern time zone to play on #SNF and #MNF, regardless of who was favored:

SU: 21-11-0 (8.81, 65.6%)
ATS: 23-9-0 (8.56, 71.9%) avg line: -0.2
O/U: 16-16-0 (3.89, 50.0%) avg total: 42.6

^^ That's for the road team link

 
Since 2013 Thursday totals are 15-6 O/U (.714) in the NFL. That includes three games last Thanksgiving. Since 2013, including Thanksgiving, Thursday totals of 49 or less in the NFL are 15-3 O/U (.833). NFL games land on 46 about 1.5% of the time. They land on 47 about 3% of the time. I'm not sure if it is a profitable system in the long-run, but bought the ½ point anyway.

MIN/GB o46½ -120

 
tjnc09 said:
Did RAS release the over as a play? Total jumped from 79 to 83.5 within 10 minutes.
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from another guy:

Looks like Right Angle totals are the following:

411 Ga Southern OVER

342 UNC UNDER

322 Indiana UNDER

328 ECU UNDER

338 WMU UNDER

390 La Tech UNDER

387 Utah OVE

 
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