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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (6 Viewers)

Games I'm looking at today. Took this from PM Trends, use or flame away: http://goo.gl/eEUs8e

NE -6 vs. CHI

Since 2001, the Tom Brady era, the Patriots following a Thursday night game are 5-2 (71% ATS).

Since 2009, the Jay Cutler era, the Bears as dogs of 3 or more points are 14-21 (40% ATS).

BUF +3 @ NYJ

All-time, teams that are dogs against opponents that have lost six games in a row are 22-13-1 (63% ATS). - Buf

All-time, teams on a six game losing streak and are favorites are 13-22-1 (37% ATS). - NYJ

WAS +10 @ DAL

Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Redskins are 12-4 (75% ATS) when playing the Cowboys.

Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Cowboys as favorites of 9 or more points are 9-13 (41% ATS).

NO -2.5 vs. GB

Since 2006, the Drew Brees era, the Saints as home favorites are 36-25-2 (59% ATS).

Since 2008, the Aaron Rodgers era, following a blowout (a win by 21 or more points) the Packers are 7-12 (37% ATS).

IND -3.5 @ PIT

Andrew Luck as a road favorite is 6-1-1 (86% ATS).

Since 2004, the Ben Roethlisberger era, the Steelers following a Monday Night Game are 4-8-1 (33% ATS).

 
The Eagles were off the bye week when they played the Cardinals last season. It was their head coach's first NFL game after a bye. They beat the Cards 24-21 at home as a -3.5 favorite despite only scoring 7 total points in the 2H. "The Cardinals' HC felt like he was robbed of a victory by the refs and their extremely poor officiating. After the game he called the NFL to complain and to advise them he'd be sending in about 15 plays for review. It was a high-stakes game that had potential playoff ramifications for both teams."

I found another example of a team coming off a bye week and playing Arizona - After the Panthers' bye week last season they went to Arizona and scored two 1H field goals and that was it, and Arizona won the game 22-6. The Cardinals are 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS (avg line -1.0) at home since last season.

 
Eagles Under 23½ -105

I'm going to wait on the spread since it starts later, and my hypothesis is that more people will back the Eagles before then, so maybe the line will improve. But figured I would beat this line early since I have seen 23 flat elsewhere and also saw the total drop from 48½ to 48.

 
I have three main FanDuel pairings this week:

Brady/Gronk

Luck/Hilton

Rodgers/Nelson

All expensive, gonna have to play a couple cheapies to make up for the stack cost. Looking at Kearse, everyone on Earth is probably playing McKinnon... I like Forsett. :shrug:

 
hagmania said:
I have three main FanDuel pairings this week:

Brady/Gronk

Luck/Hilton

Rodgers/Nelson

All expensive, gonna have to play a couple cheapies to make up for the stack cost. Looking at Kearse, everyone on Earth is probably playing McKinnon... I like Forsett. :shrug:
Click to expand...
I'm on Luck/Bradshaw/Hilton and Rodgers/Nelson as well. Also took a hail mary on Mettenberger/Hunter.

 
McKinnon is going to be >33% owned, I just know it, both GPP and Cash... If he's worth any value at all you're missing out by not playing him. Time for more research on MIN/TB :X

 
Min vs TB

McKinnon under 75.5 -115

Martin under 55.5 -115

CHI vs NE

Vereen under 45.5 -115

Jeffery under 5 -110

Edelman under 6.5 -130

Gronkowski over 5.5 -110

NYJ vs BUF

Decker over 4 -110

B. Brown under 52.5 -115

MIA vs JAX

Tannenhill under 256.5 -115

Shorts over 4 -115

Hartline under 3.5 -115

Miller under 68.5 -115

SEA vs CAR

Benjamin over 3.5 -145

CIN vs BAL

Bernard under 60.5 -115

Bernard over 3.5

HOU vs TEN

A. Johnson over 5 -130

 
What promotion is Sportsbook running right now? Every prop I punch, I get a free bet. Unfortunately, my prop limits are micro mainly because of the guys in here, but free money is free money.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
comfortably numb said:
In 9 London games the average total has been 48. If you remove the 1st ever game between NYG and TB in the pouring rain that ended 13-10 the average bumps up to 51.

Going out for a long run and hitting o46.5
Click to expand...
Lions have played 6 straight unders FWIWThink they might have gone over closing line last week but that game was bet down a ton from opener
Click to expand...
Yea thought of this but was confident I would get 28-34 from ATL.In hindsight probably should have just taken the ATL team total

 
Last edited by a moderator:
So it looks like RB doesn't like total reception props. Do they only post their lines after they see what gets beaten up? The only Swirv play available so far is McKinnon and it's u72.5. I misread it as 75.5 when I punched the play.

 
PHI vs ARZ

McCoy under 73.5 -115

Cooper under 39.5 -115

Ertz over 42.5 -115

Ellington under 67.5 -115

PIT vs IND

Hilton over 5.5 -130

A. Brown under 92.5 -115

CLE vs OAK

B. Tate under 78.5 -115

Hoyer under 230.5 -115

Carr under 210.5 -115

 
Tiger Fan said:
Games I'm looking at today. Took this from PM Trends, use or flame away: http://goo.gl/eEUs8e

NE -6 vs. CHI

Since 2001, the Tom Brady era, the Patriots following a Thursday night game are 5-2 (71% ATS).

Since 2009, the Jay Cutler era, the Bears as dogs of 3 or more points are 14-21 (40% ATS).

BUF +3 @ NYJ

All-time, teams that are dogs against opponents that have lost six games in a row are 22-13-1 (63% ATS). - Buf

All-time, teams on a six game losing streak and are favorites are 13-22-1 (37% ATS). - NYJ

WAS +10 @ DAL

Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Redskins are 12-4 (75% ATS) when playing the Cowboys.

Since 2006, the Tony Romo era, the Cowboys as favorites of 9 or more points are 9-13 (41% ATS).

NO -2.5 vs. GB

Since 2006, the Drew Brees era, the Saints as home favorites are 36-25-2 (59% ATS).

Since 2008, the Aaron Rodgers era, following a blowout (a win by 21 or more points) the Packers are 7-12 (37% ATS).

IND -3.5 @ PIT

Andrew Luck as a road favorite is 6-1-1 (86% ATS).

Since 2004, the Ben Roethlisberger era, the Steelers following a Monday Night Game are 4-8-1 (33% ATS).
Click to expand...
eff it. parlayed it all

 
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